Red Flag Warning 24, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

507 
WWUS85 KFGZ 160508
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1008 PM MST WED JUN 15 2011

AZZ104>118-138>140-161300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.110616T1800Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
1008 PM MST WED JUN 15 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
THURSDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST 
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST 
THURSDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. A 
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IF EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY 
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: APACHE COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...MOUNTAINS OF 
  YAVAPAI COUNTY...AND MOST OF COCONINO COUNTY.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM 
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING ON BOTH THURSDAY AND 
  FRIDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
  35 TO 45 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

651 
WWUS85 KFGZ 160917
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
217 AM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ104>118-138>140-162130-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.110616T1800Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
217 AM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
THURSDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

* AFFECTED AREA: APACHE COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...MOUNTAINS OF
  YAVAPAI COUNTY...AND COCONINO COUNTY.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

371 
WWUS85 KFGZ 162248
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ104>109-171200-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FRIDAY...

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
  8 PM THIS EVENING...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AZZ118-170000-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


$$

AZZ110>117-138>140-171200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES... 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
  8 PM THIS EVENING...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
  RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

485 
WWUS85 KFGZ 170303
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ110>117-138>140-171515-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 


* TIMING: FOR TONIGHT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
  BEGINNING TO DIMINISH AS WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE AND RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY INCREASES. A FEW LOCATION WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CRITICAL
  FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH 830 PM MST. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN FROM 11 AM MST THROUGH
  8 PM MST FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
  TO 40 MPH ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AZZ104>109-171515-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 


* TIMING: FOR TONIGHT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
  BEGINNING TO DIMINISH AS WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE AND RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY INCREASES. A FEW LOCATION WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CRITICAL
  FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH 830 PM MST. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM MST THROUGH 8 PM
  MST SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
907 AM MST WED JUN 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY...BRINGING
WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ONCE AGAIN...WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE NORTHLAND. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH FAR
NORTHERN ARIZONA SATURDAY AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GRAND CANYON AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOMINATE THE NORTHLAND THIS MORNING
WITH SOME AREAS OF SMOKE ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES NEAREST
THE WALLOW FIRE. WARM AND DRY WEATHER LOOKS ON TAP THIS AFTERNOON WITH
NO MAJOR UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /330 AM MST/...FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN. FOR TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR STATE...WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
CLEAR SKIES. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RETURN FOR THE
AFTERNOON.

FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
SET UP OVER THE WESTERN U.S...WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
OVER ARIZONA. SURFACE SOUTHWESTERLY AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS SHOULD
REACH INTO THE 35 MPH RANGE AS SOON AS THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE RIM. VERY GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE SATURDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRUSHES FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA. MODELS DO HAVE SOME
MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT WITH THIS FEATURE...INSTABILITY IS NOT
QUITE THERE YET AND WE WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS GOING FOR THE KAIBAB PLATEAU AND GRAND CANYON AREAS ON
SATURDAY. STILL LOOKING WINDY ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH IS
SLOWLY TO LEAVE THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL
TO SLIGHT BELOW LEVELS FOR THE WEEKEND.

MONDAY LOOKS LIKE A TRANSITION PERIOD TO WEST THEN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AS WARM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. EXPECT LIGHT
SURFACE WINDS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH MAX TEMPS STARTING A
WARMING TREND.

TUESDAY AND LATER NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIKELY BUILD AGAIN
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGER WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY. AREAS OF SMOKE FROM THE WALLOW FIRE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS
OF FAR EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A SLIGHT NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING TODAY...BEFORE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
RETURN BY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN VERY
LOW. ANOTHER LATE-SEASON TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
BY THURSDAY. THIS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE DISTRICT BY LATE MORNING THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA AND A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A LATE-SEASON AND LONG-WAVE TROUGH WILL
PERSIST OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THIS PERIOD. EXPECT GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EACH DAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
FROM 35 TO 40 MPH EACH AFTERNOON. MOISTURE VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO INCREASE...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
AZZ105>117-139-140.

&&

PUBLIC.....................OUTLER / DL
AVIATION/FIRE WX...........RB / DB

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
425 AM MST WED JUN 15 2011

AZZ004>018-037>040-160730-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
425 AM MST WED JUN 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN ARIZONA STARTING
THURSDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE THURSDAY AND
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.SEE PRODUCT
PHXRFWFGZ FOR DETAILS. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND SHOULD PEAK IN SPEEDS SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER WATCHES
AND A WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE ISSUED VALID FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

MUCH LESS WIND IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

41