Alert archive / Arizona / Fire Weather Watches in 2011

Fire Weather Watch 21, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 16, 20115 counties in Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this fire weather watch at Jun 16, 2011, 2:17 AM MST for 5 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jun 18, 2011, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2011, 2:17 AM MST (09:17 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 18, 2011, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
Jun 17, 2011, 2:59 PM MST
In force
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2011-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2011-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4120 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

651 
WWUS85 KFGZ 160917
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
217 AM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ104>118-138>140-162130-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.110616T1800Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
217 AM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
THURSDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

* AFFECTED AREA: APACHE COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...MOUNTAINS OF
  YAVAPAI COUNTY...AND COCONINO COUNTY.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
5 follow-up statements
371 
WWUS85 KFGZ 162248
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ104>109-171200-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FRIDAY...

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
  8 PM THIS EVENING...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AZZ118-170000-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


$$

AZZ110>117-138>140-171200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
348 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES... 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
  8 PM THIS EVENING...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
  RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
485 
WWUS85 KFGZ 170303
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ110>117-138>140-171515-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 


* TIMING: FOR TONIGHT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
  BEGINNING TO DIMINISH AS WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE AND RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY INCREASES. A FEW LOCATION WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CRITICAL
  FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH 830 PM MST. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN FROM 11 AM MST THROUGH
  8 PM MST FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
  TO 40 MPH ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AZZ104>109-171515-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
803 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 


* TIMING: FOR TONIGHT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
  BEGINNING TO DIMINISH AS WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE AND RELATIVE
  HUMIDITY INCREASES. A FEW LOCATION WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CRITICAL
  FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH 830 PM MST. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM MST THROUGH 8 PM
  MST SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
269 
WWUS85 KFGZ 170416
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
916 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

AZZ110>117-138>140-171630-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
916 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN
  FROM 11 AM MST THROUGH 8 PM MST FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
  35 TO 40 MPH ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

AZZ104>109-171630-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
916 PM MST THU JUN 16 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  11 AM MST THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
337 
WWUS85 KFGZ 170939
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
239 AM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

AZZ110>117-138>140-172145-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.110617T1800Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
239 AM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING 
TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY...SATURDAY...AND
  SUNDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
  TO 45 MPH ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY...SATURDAY...AND SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

AZZ104>109-172145-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
239 AM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
971 
WWUS85 KFGZ 172159
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

AZZ110-181000-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0027.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
CHINLE VALLEY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST TODAY
AND SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING AND ON
SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
CANCELLED AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
  TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AZZ106>108-181000-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0026.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106)-
COCONINO PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107)-
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING SATURDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
  RANGE FROM 7 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AZZ109-181000-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0027.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
109)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING SUNDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 
  35 TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
  RANGE FROM 7 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AZZ104-105-172300-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. 

$$

AZZ111>117-138>140-181000-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0021.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0026.110618T1800Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0022.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0027.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 112)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
113)-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
114)-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 115)-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 116)-
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 138)-
BLACK MESA AREA (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 139)-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264 (FIRE WEATHER ZONE
140)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
TODAY...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
TODAY...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM 
  LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY...SATURDAY...AND 
  SUNDAY.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
  TO 45 MPH ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY...
  SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE...EXPECT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
  40 TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AZZ118-181000-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0027.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
259 PM MST FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY.


* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE
  SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
  WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 12 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this fire weather watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this fire weather watch went out at Jun 15, 9:30 PM MST, 4 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 9:30 PM MST, 4 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 PM MST WED JUN 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AS A
TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHLAND STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONALLY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN MAY SKIRT FAR
NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH LIFTS ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. BY NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WITH
WARMING CONDITIONS AND DECREASING WINDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...NO UPDATES PLANNED FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT FORECAST TO MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT INTO THE
PLAINS STATES WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THE TROUGH WILL DIP SOUTHWARD ON THURSDAY...INCREASING
THE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR STRONG AND GUSTY AFTERNOON
SOUTHWEST WINDS. WIND ADVISORY AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA LATE THURSDAY
MORNING INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /330 PM MST/...CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE NORTHLAND
THIS AFTERNOON WITH EXCEPTION OF SOME AREAS OF SMOKE NEAREST THE
WALLOW FIRE. WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TOMORROW AS A
SHORTWAVE LIFTS ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INDUCING PRESSURE
FALLS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UTAH. THIS WILL RESULT IN WINDY CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...PARTICULARLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
NORTHWARD. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE
WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE CHANGES LITTLE...AND WE MAY NEED FURTHER
WIND HEADLINES DOWN THE ROAD TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

FOR THE WEEKEND...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND SOME SLIGHT INCREASES
IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO VERY MINIMAL SHOWER CHANCES ACROSS
OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES NEARING THE UTAH BORDER. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON
THIS BUT FOR NOW AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER IS A MORE LIKELY
BET...WITH MOST OF THE AREA REMAINING DRY.

ON MONDAY...PRIMARY TROUGH AXIS LIFTS EASTWARD INTO COLORADO
BRINGING AN END TO THE WINDY CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE TROUGH RESULTING IN WARMING CONDITION AND
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER...WITH LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. ON THURSDAY...STRONGER
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP 15-25 KTS GUSTING 35-40 KTS.
AREAS OF SMOKE FROM THE WALLOW FIRE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF FAR EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE INTO THE
10 TO 15 KTS RANGE AFTER SUNSET ON THURSDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN STATES WILL
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BOTH DAYS...COVERING MOST OF
NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST ON THURSDAY WITH
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS RANGING FROM 35 TO
45 MPH.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WEST
WILL PRODUCE WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ON MONDAY...A SURFACE TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH ARIZONA IN THE MORNING...RESULTING IN A WIND DIRECTION
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO
8 PM MST BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR AZZ104>118-138>140.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
AZZ004-006-007-011>017-039-040.

&&

PUBLIC.....................TC/OUTLER
AVIATION/FIRE WX...........TC/RB

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 3:00 PM MST, 11 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 PM MST WED JUN 15 2011

AZZ004>018-037>040-160730-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
300 PM MST WED JUN 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN ARIZONA STARTING
THURSDAY. DUE TO THE EXPECTED STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. A
WIND ADVISORY MAY ALSO BE NEEDED FRIDAY. SEE PRODUCT PHXNPWFGZ FOR
MORE DETAILS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA FOR
THESE PERIODS. SEE PRODUCT PHXRFWFGZ FOR DETAILS.

ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR SATURDAY. STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

MUCH LESS WIND IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

Nearby

Fire Weather Watches in Arizona, 2011Every fire weather watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.