Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 62, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 6, 2011Wilkin County, Minnesota; Richland County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jul 6, 2011, 9:57 AM CDT for Wilkin County, Minnesota; Richland County, North Dakota. It took effect at Jul 6, 2011, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2011, 9:57 AM CDT (14:57 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 6, 2011, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jul 8, 2011, 10:15 AM CDT
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Wilkin County, MN, Richland County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Red River of the North at Wahpeton (WHNN8). The gauge peaked at 10.18 ft at Jul 7, 2011, 5:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate810121407/0607/0707/0807/09
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05051500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

124 
WGUS43 KFGF 061457
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
957 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A NEW 
FLOOD WARNING FOR 
RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES...


.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS WEEK HAS BEEN ENTERING THE
RIVER SYSTEM...WHICH HAS RESULTED IN THE FORECAST FOR THE RED RIVER
AT WAHPETON TO RISE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-061757-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0062.110706T1800Z-110709T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.110706T1800Z.110707T1200Z.110708T1800Z.NO/
957 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

SROWE
4 follow-up statements
957 
WGUS83 KFGF 061518
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS CONTINUES
TO WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE RED RIVER SYSTEM. THE RED RIVER AT
WAHPETON IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET TODAY.
FARGO REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 18.0 FEET AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SO FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. RIVER LEVELS AT EAST GRAND FORKS AND OLSO ARE
SLOWING FALLING...AND ARE STILL EXPERIENCING MINOR AND MODERATE
FLOODING RESPECTIVELY. DRAYTON IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND WILL BEGIN A
SLOW RECESSION IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-080318-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0062.110706T1800Z-110709T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.110706T1800Z.110707T1200Z.110708T1800Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          10.3   10.1    9.8    9.5    9.3    9.2    9.1

$$

MNC027-NDC017-080317-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.110616T0618Z.110628T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY MID-MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.6 FEET...FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE IS
  CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  FARGO             18.9   19.2   19.6   20.0   19.9   19.6   19.2

$$

MNC119-NDC035-080317-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110710T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.110626T1022Z.110703T0430Z.110709T1200Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MID-MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  30.9   29.3   28.0   26.8   26.0   25.1   24.3

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-080317-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110711T1200Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.110626T2218Z.110704T0215Z.110711T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  OSLO              30.4   29.2   27.9   26.7   25.4   24.4   23.6

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-080317-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110711T1800Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.110701T1625Z.110706T1800Z.110711T0600Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. AGRICULTURAL 
  DAMAGE STARTS. 

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           34.0   33.7   33.2   32.7   31.8   30.9   30.1

$$

SROWE
449 
WGUS83 KFGF 070254
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS 
CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE RED RIVER SYSTEM. WAHPETON 
WAS A LITTLE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. FARGO REMAINS 
ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 18.0 FEET AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO 
FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. RIVER LEVELS AT EAST GRAND FORKS AND OLSO ARE
FALLING. OSLO SHOULD FALL BELOW MODERATE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
MORNING.DRAYTON APPEARS TO GHAVE CRESTED AND WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-081454-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-110709T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.110706T1700Z.110707T1200Z.110708T1800Z.NO/
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 10.3 FEET SOMETIME 
  THURSDAY MID-MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          10.3    9.9    9.6    9.4    9.2    9.1    9.0

$$

MNC027-NDC017-081453-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.110616T0618Z.110628T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.6 FEET, FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE IS
  CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  FARGO             19.0   19.4   19.8   20.0   19.8   19.4   19.0

$$

MNC119-NDC035-081453-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110710T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.110626T1022Z.110703T0430Z.110709T1200Z.NO/
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 33.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BETWEEN 
  OSLO AND GRAND FORKS.  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE BEGINS AT RIVER MILE 271
  - 296.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  30.1   28.7   27.4   26.4   25.6   24.7   24.0

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-081453-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110711T0959Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.110626T2218Z.110704T0215Z.110710T2159Z.NO/
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW MINOR FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SUNDAY.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  OSLO              29.6   28.4   27.1   25.9   24.8   23.9   23.1

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-081453-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110711T1800Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.110701T1625Z.110706T1630Z.110711T0600Z.NO/
954 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. AGRICULTURAL 
  DAMAGE STARTS. 

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         07/07  07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           33.8   33.4   33.0   32.3   31.3   30.5   29.6

$$
597 
WGUS83 KFGF 071430
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS CONTINUES
TO WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE RED RIVER SYSTEM. WAHPETON WAS A LITTLE
ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET AND IS FORECAST TO RECEDE BELOW 
FLOOD STAGE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FARGO REMAINS ABOVE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 18.0 FEET AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
RIVER LEVELS AT EAST GRAND FORKS AND OSLO ARE FALLING...BOTH OF WHICH
ARE NOW AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE. DRAYTON IS SLOWLY RECEDING AND IS
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE IN THE NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY. IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO ASSESS THESE POTENTIAL IMPACTS UNTIL
AFTER THE RAINS FALL.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-090230-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-110709T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.110706T1700Z.110707T1800Z.110708T1800Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          10.1    9.7    9.5    9.4    9.2    9.1    9.0

$$

MNC027-NDC017-090229-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.110616T0618Z.110628T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.6 FEET...FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE IS
  CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

RED RIVER
  FARGO             19.3   19.7   20.0   20.0   19.7   19.3   19.0

$$

MNC119-NDC035-090229-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110710T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.110626T1022Z.110703T0430Z.110709T1200Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MID-MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  29.3   28.0   27.0   26.0   25.1   24.6   24.2

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-090229-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110711T0800Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.110626T2218Z.110704T0215Z.110710T2000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

RED RIVER
  OSLO              28.8   27.6   26.4   25.2   24.3   23.5   22.7

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-090229-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110711T1200Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.110701T1625Z.110706T1630Z.110711T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. AGRICULTURAL 
  DAMAGE STARTS. 

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         07/08  07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           33.6   33.2   32.4   31.5   30.6   29.7   28.8

$$

ROWE
700 
WGUS83 KFGF 081515
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES

. Most river warning locations on the main-stem red river of the
north are in flood...except for halstad and pembina...and are slowly
falling...except for fargo. A rainey weekend will add some runoff to
the rivers and streams in the red river basin later next week and we
may see a slight surge of water along the mainstem. Depending on if
and where any heavy precipitation falls due to thunderstorms this
weekend...we may see some river warning locations on the minnesota
and north dakota tributaries bump back up to flood stage...but minor
flooding is the most probable sceneario. Flood products will be
issued as needed as we see where any heavy rains have fallen during
this weekend.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-081545-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-110709T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.110706T1700Z.110707T1530Z.110708T1800Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           9.7    9.5    9.3    9.1    9.0    9.0    8.9

$$

MNC027-NDC017-100314-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.110616T0618Z.110628T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 20.2 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.6 FEET, FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE
IS
  CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15

RED RIVER
  FARGO             19.9   20.2   20.1   19.7   19.4   19.0   18.8

$$

MNC119-NDC035-091800-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110709T1800Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.110626T1022Z.110703T0430Z.110709T0600Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING
  STAGE...MINOR.BANK FULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  27.7   26.5   25.4   24.6   24.2   23.9   23.5

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-100314-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110710T2000Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.110626T2218Z.110704T0215Z.110710T0800Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15

RED RIVER
  OSLO              27.1   25.8   24.6   23.8   23.2   22.6   22.2

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-100314-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110711T0400Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.110701T1625Z.110706T1630Z.110710T1600Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. AGRICULTURAL 
  DAMAGE STARTS. 

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         07/09  07/10  07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           32.9   32.2   31.3   30.4   29.4   28.5   27.3

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 6, 9:51 AM CDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 9:51 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
951 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN CHALLENGE TODAY WILL BE CONVECTION AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE
IN NW FLOW ALOFT. WILL BE ADDING SOME POPS INTO THE NORTHERN
VALLEY/DVL BASIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME INSTABILITY/SHEAR AHEAD
OF A SHORTWAVE. THERE COULD BE A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS ON THE WEAK SIDE BUT
SOMETHING TO MONITOR. OTHERWISE REST OF FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. VCTS CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE BY 00Z THURSDAY INTO THE DEVILS LAKE AREA. WIDELY SCT
TSRA MAY PASS EASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. DUE TO A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT...SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 KNOTS
THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGER ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE PROBABILITY OF THIS
OCCURRING AT ANY PARTICULAR AIRPORT IS QUITE LOW OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE RED RIVER AT OSLO MINNESOTA...
OTHERWISE MINOR FLOODING IS ONGOING ON THE RED RIVER AT
FARGO...EAST GRAND FORKS...DRAYTON. WITH THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
IN THE FAR SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT...WAHPETON WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE OVER FLOOD STAGE A NEW WARNING WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY FOR THEM.

THE ONLY RIVER FLOODING WITHIN OUR FA IS LIMITED TO THE MAINSTEM RED
RIVER. THE RED RIVER WILL FLUCTUATE SLIGHTLY AT FARGO...AND IS
EXPECTED TO RECEDE DOWNSTREAM AT GRAND FORKS AND OSLO. THE RED CREST
IS AT DRAYTON AND WILL REACH PEMBINA THIS WEEKEND...REMAINING BELOW
FLOOD STAGE THERE.

TYPICAL OF SUMMER...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST PERIODICALLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH SATURATED SOILS ANY
RAIN WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. IT IS NOT POSSIBLE
TO ASSESS THESE POTENTIAL IMPACTS UNTIL AFTER THE RAINS FALL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGE IS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY. AN AXIS OF LOW TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY...CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN MONTANA...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EASTWARD INTO ND TODAY. THUS...TSRA CHANCES SHOULD INCREASE IN THE
DEVILS LAKE BASIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TRANSLATE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THE VERTICAL SHEAR OVER
EASTERN ND/NW MN WILL BE LIMITED AND THUS ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL
WILL BE RELATIVELY LOW.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD EXTEND SOUTHWARD FROM MANITOBA ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. ANOTHER MORE SUBSTANTIAL
PRECIPITATION EVENT IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A
STRONGER RETURN FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND A PRECIPITABLE WATER AXIS
APPROACHING 2 INCHES SHOULD PASS OVER THE AREA. MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD BE
CONSIDERABLY HIGHER...2000+ J/KG...FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THUS...BOTH THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE MORE
LIKELY FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SHOULD REMAIN NEAR
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR EARLY JULY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

DK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 6:56 AM CDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
656 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-071200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
656 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM
WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE DEVILS LAKE
BASIN WILL LIKELY SEE THIS ACTIVITY BY LATE MORNING. ALTHOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER...AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RED RIVER. MINOR FLOOD LEVELS
REMAIN AT FARGO...EAST GRAND FORKS AND DRAYTON. OSLO CONTINUES TO
SEE MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS. RIVER STAGES ARE FALLING AT ALL POINTS
EXCEPT DRAYTON WHICH SHOULD REACH ITS CREST WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE
HAIL...HIGH WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

ALL RED RIVER FORECAST POINTS IN FLOOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
RECESSION DURING THIS PERIOD. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS
FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

BRAMER

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2011River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.