Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 6, NWS Grand Forks, ND

March 25, 2011Marshall County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Mar 25, 2011, 2:37 PM CDT for Marshall County, Minnesota. It took effect at Mar 25, 2011, 3:09 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 25, 2011, 2:37 PM CDT (19:37 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 25, 2011, 3:09 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 30, 2011, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Flood severity
Minor

County Marshall County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Snake River (NW MN) at Alvarado (ALVM5).

Action stage
105 ft
Minor stage
106 ft
Moderate stage
108 ft
Major stage
110 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05086000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

228 
WGUS43 KFGF 251937
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
237 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A NEW 
FLOOD WARNING FOR 
SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY...

.RECENT SNOWMELT ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY HAS RESULTED IN 
RISES ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. HYDROLOGIC ROUTING 
OF OBSERVED WATER LEVELS BY RIVER MODEL FROM WARREN DOWNSTREAM RESULTS 
IN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO. FLUCTUATIONS OF 
1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. 

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC089-252237-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0006.110325T2009Z-110331T1200Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110325T2009Z.110327T0000Z.110331T0000Z.UU/
237 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 105.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 

$$
7 follow-up statements
319 
WGUS83 KFGF 251944
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
244 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

.RECENT SNOWMELT ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY HAS RESULTED IN 
RISES ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. HYDROLOGIC ROUTING 
OF OBSERVED WATER LEVELS BY RIVER MODEL FROM WARREN DOWNSTREAM RESULTS 
IN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO. FLUCTUATIONS OF 
1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC089-270744-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.110325T2009Z-110331T1200Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110325T2009Z.110327T0000Z.110331T0000Z.UU/
244 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT 
ALVARADO FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO
* UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 30
* AT 1 PM FRIDAY MARCH 25 THE STAGE WAS...105.7 FEET.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS
  FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...106.0 FEET. MODERATE...108.0 FEET. MAJOR...110.0 
  FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 106.0 FT LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON THEN WILL RISE TO AROUND 107.5 FT TOMORROW EVENING AND
  THEN SLOWLY FALL THEREAFTER. 
* FLUCTUATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 108.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND 
  OVERLAND SHEET FLOODING OF LOCAL AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         107.3  107.4  107.0  106.6  106.1  105.6  105.2

$$

ROGERS
413 
WGUS83 KFGF 260234
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
934 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.LOCAL RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOWMELT ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY HAS 
RESULTED IN RIVER LEVEL RISES ALONG SOME MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES TO
THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG
THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN...AS WELL AS THE BUFFALO RIVER
NEAR HAWLEY AND DILWORTH. MINOR FLOODING WILL ALSO PERSIST ALONG THE 
SNAKE RIVER NEAR ALVARADO...WITH RIVER LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET
POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. RIVER LEVELS SHOULD SLOWLY BEGIN TO RECEDE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS COOLER WEATHER REDUCES THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL 
RUNOFF. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-271434-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110331T1200Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T1900Z.110331T0000Z.UU/
934 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT 8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. 

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.4   13.8   13.1   12.6   12.0   11.6   11.1

$$

MNC027-270600-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110327T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.110325T2030Z.110326T0145Z.110326T1800Z.NO/
934 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL LEVEL OFF SATURDAY...AND MAY FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.9    6.7    6.5    6.3    6.1    5.9    5.7

$$

MNC027-271433-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110328T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
934 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.9   18.2   18.2   17.3   15.9   14.4   13.2

$$

MNC089-271433-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110331T0900Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110327T0000Z.110330T2100Z.UU/
934 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 105.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 107.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON WEDNESDAY. ICE MAY RESULT IN RIVER FLUCTUATIONS 
  OF 1 TO 2 FEET DURING THIS PERIOD. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 108.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND 
  OVERLAND SHEET FLOODING OF LOCAL AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         107.5  107.3  106.8  106.4  105.9  105.5  105.0

$$

CLH/PJS
424 
WGUS83 KFGF 261304
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
804 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
 
.THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO CONTINUES TO FLUCTUATE BETWEEN ACTION 
STAGE AND MINOR FLOOD STAGE DUE TO ICE AFFECTS AND DAILY TEMPERATURE
TRENDS. WITH DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 
FREEZING...SOME ADDITIONAL LOCAL RUNOFF IS POSSIBLE...RESULTING IN 
PERIODIC RISES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC089-280104-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110331T0600Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110327T1800Z.110330T1800Z.UU/
804 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT  7:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 104.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 107.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLUCTUATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE AFFECTS. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 108.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND 
  OVERLAND SHEET FLOODING OF LOCAL AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         107.2  107.1  106.5  106.1  105.6  105.2  104.7

$$
627 
WGUS83 KFGF 261502
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1002 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
 
.WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH FORK BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AND THE 
BUFFALO RIVER AT HAWLEY WILL FALL SLOWLY THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT AND LOCAL RUNOFF WILL BE LIMITED AS TEMPERATURES 
ONLY BRIEFLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EACH AFTERNOON. THE WATER LEVEL 
ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND GIVEN WATER THAT IS ALREADY IN THE RIVER SYSTEM. 

THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO IS CURRENTLY BELOW ACTION STAGE...BUT
IS EXPECTED TO RISE AGAIN ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT 
GIVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND WATER ALREADY IN THE RIVER SYSTEM. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-280302-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110331T1200Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T1900Z.110331T0000Z.UU/
1002 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT 
  SABIN.
* AT 8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.0   13.4   12.8   12.3   11.8   11.4   11.0

$$

MNC027-280302-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110328T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.110325T2030Z.110326T0930Z.110327T1800Z.NO/
1002 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 8:57 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.0    6.8    6.6    6.4    6.2    6.0    5.9

$$

MNC027-280302-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110328T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1002 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          17.1   18.4   17.8   16.5   14.9   13.7   12.7

$$

MNC089-280302-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110329T1800Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110327T1800Z.110329T0600Z.UU/
1002 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT 9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 104.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 106.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* FLUCTUATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE AFFECTS. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 108.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND 
  OVERLAND SHEET FLOODING OF LOCAL AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         106.4  106.4  105.9  105.4  104.8  104.4  104.0

$$

ROGERS
173 
WGUS83 KFGF 270313
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1013 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH FORK BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AND THE 
BUFFALO RIVER AT HAWLEY WILL FALL SLOWLY THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT AND LOCAL RUNOFF WILL BE LIMITED AS TEMPERATURES 
ONLY BRIEFLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EACH AFTERNOON. THE WATER LEVEL 
ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND GIVEN WATER THAT IS ALREADY IN THE RIVER SYSTEM. 

THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO IS CURRENTLY BELOW ACTION STAGE...BUT
IS EXPECTED TO RISE AGAIN ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT 
GIVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND WATER ALREADY IN THE RIVER SYSTEM. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-281513-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110331T1800Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T1900Z.110331T0600Z.UU/
1013 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT  9:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.0   13.3   12.7   12.1   11.6   11.2   10.8

$$

MNC027-281513-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110329T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.110325T2030Z.110327T0245Z.110328T1800Z.NO/
1013 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT  9:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 8.0 FEET, PARTS OF HAWLEY CITY PARK BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.1    6.9    6.7    6.5    6.3    6.2    6.0

$$

MNC027-281513-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110327T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1013 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT  9:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          18.5   17.7   16.7   15.6   14.4   13.2   12.2

$$

MNC089-281512-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110329T1800Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110327T1800Z.110329T0600Z.UU/
1013 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT  9:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 105.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 106.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 106.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE...STORM SEWER
  FLOOD GATES ARE CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         106.5  106.1  105.6  105.1  104.6  104.1  103.7

$$
950 
WGUS83 KFGF 271602
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1102 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH FORK BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AND THE 
BUFFALO RIVER AT HAWLEY WILL FALL SLOWLY THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT AND LOCAL RUNOFF WILL BE LIMITED AS TEMPERATURES 
ONLY BRIEFLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. 
THE WATER LEVEL ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH WILL CONTINUE 
TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY GIVEN WATER THAT IS ALREADY IN THE RIVER 
SYSTEM. 

THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO IS CURRENTLY JUST ABOVE ACTION STAGE...
BUT IS EXPECTED TO RISE AGAIN ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT 
GIVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND WATER ALREADY IN THE RIVER SYSTEM. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-290402-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110401T1200Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T1900Z.110401T0000Z.UU/
1102 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT 
  SABIN.
* AT 9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.8   13.4   12.9   12.3   11.8   11.5   11.2

$$

MNC027-290000-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110329T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.110325T2030Z.110327T0530Z.110328T1200Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.0    6.7    6.5    6.3    6.1    6.1    6.5

$$

MNC027-290402-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110328T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1102 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          19.6   18.2   16.7   15.3   14.4   13.6   13.0

$$

MNC089-290402-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110330T0600Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110328T1800Z.110329T1800Z.UU/
1102 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 105.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 106.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 106.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE...STORM SEWER
  FLOOD GATES ARE CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         106.2  106.1  105.7  105.2  104.8  104.4  104.0

$$
838 
WGUS83 KFGF 280319
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1019 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.COOL WEATHER WILL HELP RIVER LEVELS BECOME STEADY AND THEN BEGIN
FALLING BY MIDWEEK...WITH WITH THE EXCEPTION OF DILWORTH...WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO JUST ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD OF TIME BEFORE RECEDING BELOW MODERATE FLOOD STAGE BY MID
WEEK. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN NEAR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-291519-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.110325T2030Z.110327T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT  9:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.4 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.2    7.0    6.8    6.6    6.5    6.7    7.4

$$

MNC027-291519-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.SM.110322T1230Z.110328T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1019 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT  9:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          20.5   19.6   18.3   17.1   15.9   15.2   15.2

$$

MNC027-291518-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110402T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T1900Z.110401T1200Z.UU/
1019 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT  9:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.7   13.2   12.7   12.2   11.7   11.3   11.2

$$

MNC089-291518-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110330T1800Z/
/ALVM5.1.ER.110326T0112Z.110329T0600Z.110330T0600Z.UU/
1019 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO.
* AT  9:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 105.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 106.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 106.3 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 106.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE...STORM SEWER
  FLOOD GATES ARE CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         106.2  106.1  105.6  105.2  104.8  104.4  104.0

$$
SPEICHER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 25, 10:36 AM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 10:36 AM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1036 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...

NOT MANY CHANGES TO MAKE FOR THE MORNING UPDATE. A FEW OF THE OBS
IN THE SOUTHERN CWA WENT DOWN WITH FOG BRIEFLY THIS MORNING.
VALLEY CITY AWOS STILL REPORTING LESS THAN A QUARTER
MILE...ALTHOUGH OTHER SITES HAVE GONE BACK UP. THINK THAT ANY FOG
SHOULD DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. TEMPS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO
RISE ACROSS THE AREA THAT RECEIVED HEAVY SNOW TUESDAY...AND WITH
LIGHT WINDS THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH MIXING TO HELP IT HEAT UP.
TWEAKED HIGHS DOWN A DEGREE OR SO OVER THIS AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...

CONDITIONS WILL STAY AT VFR AS ANY PATCHY FOG IN THE FORECAST AREA
DISSIPATES IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. SOME SCATTERED CIRRUS CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED...BUT NOTHING BELOW 20000 FT. WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE EAST AT LESS THAN 10 KTS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

A FLOOD ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE FOR CLAY COUNTY DUE
TO MINOR FLOODING ACROSS SOME ROADS. ANY WATER OVER ROADS WILL
FREEZE AT NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING WELL BELOW FREEZING.

MINOR ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE BUFFALO AND SOUTH
BRANCH BUFFALO RIVERS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THERE WILL ALSO
BE SOME VERY MINOR RISES ALONG THE RED LAKE RIVER. THE HIGHER
WATER LEVELS ALONG THE MAPLE AND FAR SOUTHERN RED RIVERS ARE
EXPECTED TO LEVEL OFF OR DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW OR NEAR FREEZING THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER FRESH SNOW. SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES WITH
NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL SLOW OR STOP THE SNOWMELT AND
LIMIT LOCAL RUNOFF AND ADDITIONAL RIVER RISES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011/

SHORT TERM...MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE TEMPERATURES. OVERALL PATTERN
WILL UNDERGO LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. SFC RIDGE TO THE
NORTHEAST WILL SLOWLY RETROGRADE BACK INTO THE REGION. MODELS ARE ALL
SIMILAR WITH THIS SCENARIO. COULD BE SOME MID-UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN/SOUTHERN FA...BUT OVERALL CLEAR
SKIES AND DRY WX EXPECTED. AIRMASS TEMPERATURE UNDERGOES VERY
LITTLE CHANGE...AND WILL USE PERSISTENCE FOR MAX/MIN TEMPS (USED
THURSDAY MAX/MIN TEMPS AS A GUIDE). ALL OF THIS MEANS MINIMAL
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

A FEW NOTES OF INTEREST...

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE 0F TO -10F ACROSS GRIGGS...STEELE...TRAIL
AND NORTHERN BARNES/CASS COUNTIES INTO ADJACENT MINNESOTA AREAS
WHERE THE DEEPEST FRESH SNOW COVER EXISTS.

MIN TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN VALLEY...WHERE VERY LITTLE SNOW
COVER EXISTS...WILL BE IN THE TEENS.

MIN TEMPS SHOULD BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE.

MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID/UPPER 20S WHERE SNOW COVER
EXISTS...AND LOW-MID 30S WHERE LITTLE SNOW COVER EXISTS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY-THURSDAY)...THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
IN THE LONG TERM. THE CONSENSUS IS THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO HELP KEEP THE REGION DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE DOES
LOOK TO BE A STORM IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND A
LITTLE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE MODELS PRIMARILY KEEP PCPN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...SO DID NOT MENTION PCPN CHANCES AT THIS POINT. THE MODELS
ARE ALSO HINTING AT A POSSIBLE STORM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE FORECAST
AREA THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. THIS GFS HAS A PROGRESSIVE LOW DROPPING
OUT OF SASKATCHEWAN AND QUICKLY PASSING THE FORECAST AREA. ON THE
OTHER HAND...THE ECMWF HAS A LOW MOVING OUT OF SOUTHERN
SASKATCHEWAN AND THEN LINGERING IN SOUTHERN MANITOBA FOR A COUPLE
DAYS DUE TO BLOCKING FROM AN EASTERN CANADA HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM.
THE DGEX IS PICKING UP ON SOMETHING MORE AKIN TO THE GFS. DUE TO
THE UNCERTAINTY OF TIMING/LOCATION/STRENGTH...THOUGHT BLANKETING
THE FORECAST AREA WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE BEST WAY TO FORECAST THIS FOR NOW.

DAILY TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD SHOULD SLOWLY RECOVER TOWARDS
NORMAL...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 40S POSSIBLE THURSDAY DUE TO THE
POSSIBLE SURGE OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LATE WEEK SYSTEM.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

JR
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 25, 4:59 AM CDT, 9 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
459 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

MNZ001-002-004>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-
024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-261200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-WEST MARSHALL-
EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-EAST POLK-
NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-
WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-
WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-
EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-
BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
459 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MNZ003-261200-
CLAY-
459 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED MINOR FLOODING OCCURRING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CLAY COUNTY...MAINLY CAUSED BY WATER BEING
DIVERTED OVER COUNTY ROADS DUE TO BLOCKED CULVERTS.

IN ADDITION...MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE BUFFALO RIVER AT
HAWLEY...DILWORTH...AND SABIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TG

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.