River Flood Warning 38, NWS Grand Forks, ND

494 
WGUS83 KFGF 111744
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
   THE MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
   THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
   THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
   THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY

 
.MINOR THROUGH MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECASTED AT MOST
LOCATIONS ALONG THE MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES TO THE RED RIVER OF THE
NORTH. RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT AND RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MAKE
ITS WAY INTO THE RIVERS. LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE COOPERATIVE
WEATHER...SOME LOCATIONS THAT HAVE ALREADY CRESTED OR ARE NEAR
CRESTING WILL REMAIN STEADY OR ONLY VERY SLOWLY RECEDE FROM THEIR
VERY HIGH LEVELS.

THERE ARE A FEW NOTEWORTHY CHANGES IN THIS LATEST FORECAST. THE
FORECAST FOR THE ROSEAU RIVER AT ROSEAU WAS INCREASED...BUT
THE RIVER IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE
FORECAST FOR THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX WAS ALSO INCREASED
TO EVEN MORE ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. THERE ARE ALSO SOME
INCREASED FORCASTS FOR THE BUFFALO AND SOUTH BRANCH OF THE BUFFALO
RIVERS...INCLUDING AT HAWLEY...SABIN...AND DILWORTH. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC107-130544-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0038.110412T0000Z-110413T1200Z/
/TWVM5.1.RS.110412T0000Z.110412T0600Z.110413T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL THEN 
  RECEDE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE
  RECEDING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.1    9.9    9.5    8.9    8.4    7.9    7.5

$$

MNC107-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.3.RS.000000T0000Z.110414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.7 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A RANGE BETWEEN 33
  AND 34 FEET BY THURSDAY...AND THEN SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH EARLY
  NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THIS LOCATION IS AFFECTED BY BACKWATER FROM THE MAINSTEM RED
  RIVER AND RECENT RAINFALL.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD WARNING STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           33.1   33.5   33.6   33.4   33.1   32.7   32.3

$$

MNC119-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLXM5.3.RS.110407T2257Z.110414T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A RANGE BETWEEN 33.5
  AND 35.5 FEET BETWEEN APRIL 13TH AND 15TH. THE RIVER WILL THEN
  VERY SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THIS LOCATION IS AFFECTED BY BACKWATER FROM THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 34.0 FEET, SANITARY SEWER LIFT STATION ON 
  NORTH END OF TOWN IS THREATENED. SEVERAL HOMES ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF
  TOWN THREATENED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

SANDHILL RIVER
  CLIMAX            33.3   34.1   34.5   34.4   33.6   32.9   31.6

$$

MNC027-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.RS.110325T2030Z.110412T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AND THEN BEGIN FALLING THROUGH EARLY
  NEXT WEEKEND.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 9.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. RAILROAD 
  UNDERPASS AT US HWY 10 FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             8.7    8.6    8.2    8.0    7.7    7.4    7.1

$$

MNC027-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.RS.110322T1230Z.110406T0630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
  WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          20.0   20.1   20.7   20.7   19.8   18.7   17.6

$$

MNC107-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHYM5.2.RS.110405T1000Z.110412T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING...AND THEN RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 23.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

MARSH RIVER
  SHELLY            22.2   21.6   20.6   19.9   19.3   18.7   18.2

$$

MNC069-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.RS.110329T1915Z.110412T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 808.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 806.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 808.5 FEET BY 
  THIS EVENING...AND THEN SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 809.0 FEET, CITY CREW ON SHIFTS FOR MANNING
  OF PUMPS AND CHECKING LIFT STATIONS.LINE SANDBAGGING STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          808.5  808.4  808.1  807.6  806.8  805.7  804.7

$$

MNC027-130543-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110418T1500Z/
/SABM5.2.RS.110323T1918Z.110406T0530Z.110418T0300Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* UNTIL MONDAY APRIL 18...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING...AND THEN RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.4   14.6   14.1   13.4   12.9   12.3   11.8

$$

MNC119-130543-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRKM5.1.RS.000000T0000Z.110413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 23.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         21.1   22.0   21.4   20.3   18.8   17.2   15.9

$$

MNC089-120900-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110412T0900Z/
/MKLM5.1.RS.110411T0709Z.110411T1200Z.110411T2100Z.NO/
1244 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 67.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 67.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

SNAKE RIVER
  ABOVE WARREN      66.7   66.4   65.8   65.3   65.0   64.8   64.6

$$

169 
WGUS83 KFGF 120243
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY.
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY.
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY.
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY.
   THE MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY.
   THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX AFFECTING POLK COUNTY.
   THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY.
   THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY.

.FLOODING CONTINUES ON SEVERAL OF THE MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES TO THE 
RED RIVER. RUNOFF FROM THE WEEKEND RAINFALL IS ENTERING SEVERAL OF 
THE RIVERS AND IS RESULTING IN ANOTHER RISE IN WATER LEVEL AT SOME 
LOCATIONS. THE FLOODING IS ALSO BEING ENHANCED BY BACKWATER EFFECTS 
FROM THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER ON THE WILD RICE RIVER AT HENDRUM...THE 
MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY...AND THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX. THE WILD 
RICE RIVER AT HENDRUM IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 33.6 FEET WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BE JUST UNDER ITS RECORD STAGE OF 
33.8 FEET.

A MAINLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...SO 
THE RIVER LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ANY ADDITIONAL 
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC107-131443-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-110413T1800Z/
/TWVM5.1.RS.110412T0600Z.110412T1200Z.110413T0600Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE JUST ABOVE THE MINOR FLOOD STAGE
  OF 10.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL
  BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENT - AT 10.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS BANKFULL.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.0    9.8    9.3    8.7    8.2    7.8    7.4

$$

MNC107-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.3.RS.000000T0000Z.110414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO BETWEEN 33.0 AND 34.0
  FEET BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS NEAR
  33.6 FEET.
* THE RIVER LEVEL AT HENDRUM IS IMPACTED BY BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
  MAINSTEM RED RIVER. THE FORECAST ALREADY TAKES THOSE EFFECTS INTO
  ACCOUNT.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENT - AT 32.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD WARNING STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           33.3   33.6   33.6   33.3   32.9   32.5   32.1

$$

MNC119-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLXM5.3.RS.110407T2257Z.110414T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.7 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO BETWEEN 33.5 AND 35.5 FEET FROM
  WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
* THE RIVER LEVEL AT CLIMAX IS IMPACTED BY BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
  MAINSTEM RED RIVER. THE FORECAST ALREADY TAKES THOSE AFFECTS INTO
  ACCOUNT.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENTS - AT 34.0 FEET...THE SANITARY SEWER LIFT STATION ON 
  THE NORTH END OF TOWN IS THREATENED. SEVERAL HOMES ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF
  TOWN ARE THREATENED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

SANDHILL RIVER
  CLIMAX            33.9   34.4   34.6   34.1   33.3   32.3   31.2

$$

MNC027-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.RS.110325T2030Z.110412T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
  THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENTS - AT 8.0 FEET...PARTS OF THE HAWLEY CITY PARK
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. AT 9.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...THE RAILROAD
  UNDERPASS AT HIGHWAY 10 WOULD FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             8.9    8.6    8.4    8.1    7.8    7.5    7.3

$$

MNC027-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.RS.110322T1230Z.110406T0630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW RISE TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY
  THURSDAY.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENT - AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          20.2   20.4   20.8   20.2   19.3   18.2   17.0

$$

MNC107-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHYM5.2.RS.110405T1000Z.110412T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY. IT WILL BEGIN A VERY SLOW FALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER LEVEL AT SHELLY IS IMPACTED BY BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
  MAINSTEM RED RIVER. THE FORECAST ALREADY TAKES THOSE EFFECTS INTO
  ACCOUNT.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENT - AGRICULTURAL FLOODING CONTINUES AS LONG AS THE 
  RIVER REMAINS ABOVE 20.0 FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

MARSH RIVER
  SHELLY            22.2   21.1   20.4   19.7   19.1   18.6   17.9

$$

MNC069-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.RS.110329T1915Z.110412T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 808.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 806.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD NEARLY STEADY AROUND 808.4 FEET
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL ON THURSDAY.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENTS - AT 808.0 FEET...DIKE PATROLS ARE ON 24 HOURS. 
  STORM SEWER VALVE AT REACH 3 (NORTH CEMETERY) PORTABLE PUMPS ARE SET 
  UP.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          808.4  808.3  807.9  807.1  806.1  805.2  804.2

$$

MNC027-131442-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.2.RS.110323T1918Z.110406T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL THEN BEGIN A SLOW FALL ON TUESDAY
  NIGHT.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.9   14.6   14.1   13.6   13.0   12.6   12.0

$$

MNC119-131442-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRKM5.1.RS.000000T0000Z.110413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO RIVER LEVELS
  ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AT 
  THIS TIME.
* IMPACT STATEMENTS - AT 20.0 FEET...THE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
  IS ACTIVATED AND DIKE PATROLLING BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         21.7   21.9   20.9   19.5   18.2   16.8   15.7

$$

CJS/SR

853 
WGUS83 KFGF 121644
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1144 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
.THE WILD RICE RIVER AT TWIN VALLEY IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH
MINOR FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS NOW FORECAST TO RECEDE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC107-121714-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-110413T1800Z/
/TWVM5.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1144 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* AT 10:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.7 FEET. THE
  RIVER WILL RECEDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 9.5 FEET, OVERFLOW IS ON UNDEVELOPED LAND.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18  04/19

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY        9.4    9.1    8.5    7.9    7.5    7.1    6.7

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1131 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MONTANA WILL MOVE EAST AND BE OVER THE
VALLEY THIS EVENING. APPEARS ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTN ESP NRN VALLEY INTO NRN MN. QUITE MILD TODAY
WITH WEST WIND HELPING TO BOOST TEMPS IN MANY AREAS CLOSE TO 60.
SATELLITE SHOWS SNOW COVER IN DVL BASIN GREATLY REDUCED SO WILL
SEE WARMER TEMPS THERE AS COMPARED TO PAST DAYS.

&&

AVIATION...04/11/12Z GRAND FORKS TAF ISSUANCE/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGHOUT
THE TAF PERIOD...BRINGING VFR CLEAR CONDITIONS TO ALL TAF SITES. A
COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA LATER TONIGHT...RESULTING IN WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE RED RIVER AND MANY OF ITS TRIBUTARIES IN
NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA. THE RED RIVER AT FARGO COULD FLUCTUATE A
BIT THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...BUT IN GENERAL LEVELS
WILL CONTINUE TO FALL VERY SLOWLY. THE RED RIVER WILL CONTINUE
RISING DOWNSTREAM OF FARGO. HALSTAD IS FORECASTED TO APPROACH 40.6
FEET...AND JUST SHY OF ITS 1997 RECORD OF 40.74 FEET.REACHING A
LEVEL OF 50.0 TO 52.0 FEET AT EAST GRAND FORKS IS FORECASTED TO
REACH A LEVEL BETWEEN 50 AND 52 FEET BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE
WEEK. AS FOR UPSTREAM OF FARGO...THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON WILL ALSO
EXPERIENCE A RISE AS WATER BEING RELEASED FROM UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS
REACHES THAT AREA.

THE RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY WILL
CONTINUE TO RUNOFF INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS. THAT WILL CAUSE RISES ON
SOME OF THE MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES TO THE RED RIVER. THE RED LAKE AND
SNAKE RIVER IN PARTICULAR HAVE BEEN RISING AGAIN AFTER FALLING BELOW
FIS STAGE SEVERAL DAYS AGO. IN OTHER PLACES...THE RAIN WILL NOT
CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...BUT IT WILL ACT TO SLOW THE RATE OF FALL ON
THE RIVERS. ON THE RED RIVER...IT COULD ALSO CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLUCTUATIONS IN THE RIVER LEVEL.

AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THE OVERLAND FLOODING THAT IS OCCURRING IN MANY LOCATIONS. IN
CASS COUNTY...SEVERE AND UNPRECEDENTED OVERLAND FLOODING IS ONGOING.
THE FLOODING HAS BEEN DESCRIBED AS THE WORST EVER OBSERVED IN PARTS
OF CASS COUNTY...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS NEAR THE MAPLE...RUSH...AND
SHEYENNE RIVERS. THAT INCLUDES LOCATIONS FROM MAPLETON TO HARWOOD.
INTERSTATE 29 REMAINS CLOSED FROM FARGO TO HILLSBORO DUE TO
EXTENSIVE OVERLAND FLOODING.

WINDS WILL BE WEAKER ON TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION...SO THE WAVE ACTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS THAN THAT
EXPERIENCED ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 430 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
UPPER AIR PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH SPLIT FLOW ACROSS NORTH
AMERICA. NORTHERN STREAM WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS/SOUTHERN
CANADA AND SOUTHERN STREAM OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. MODELS
ARE TRENDING TOWARD LOWER 500 HPA HEIGHTS OVER EASTERN CANADA WITH
EACH MODEL RUN. GFS IS MORE CONSISTENT FROM MODEL RUN TO RUN THAN
THE ECMWF WITH UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER THE WESTERN US AT 84 HOURS.
THE GFS WAS A LITTLE FASTER WITH BOTH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS.
WILL USE A COMBINATION OF THE ECMWF AND GFS.

WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWED DEPARTING UPPER LOW NORTH OF LS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES WIL MOVE OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN MAN BY TUE. COOLER WEATHER FORECAST TO MOVE IN LATE TUE
INTO WED.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
LOW AMPLITUDE LONG WAVE RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL FLATTEN THIS
PERIOD AS HEIGHTS FALL A BIT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. MODELS
FORECAST COOLER WEATHER THU THEN MODERATION ON FRI.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NDZ038.

MN...NONE.
&&

RIDDLE/GROCHOCINSKI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
645 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-121145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
645 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SPRING SNOW MELT AREAL AND RIVERINE FLOODING CONTINUES
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON
SPECIFIC LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WIDESPREAD SPRING SNOW MELT AREAL AND RIVERINE FLOODING CONTINUES
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON
SPECIFIC LOCATIONS.

LIGHT RAIN IS FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAIN
AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AND WILL AFFECT RIVER
STAGES LITTLE IF ANY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

HOPPES