River Flood Warning 2, NWS Grand Forks, ND

949 
WGUS83 KFGF 201739
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY REFLECT A FIRST CREST FOR THE RIVER POINTS CONSIDERED...FOLLOWED 
BY A FREEZE UP FOR A WEEK OR MORE. THIS WILL OPEN THE POSSIBILITY FOR 
A SUBSEQUENT CREST OR CRESTS IN APRIL. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

 - ICE JAMS COULD CAUSE RIVER STAGES TO FLUCTUATE 1 TO 2 FEET FROM THE 
   FORECAST STAGE VALUES.  

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-220539-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.110323T0200Z-110325T2100Z/
/SABM5.1.SM.110323T0200Z.110324T0000Z.110325T0900Z.UU/
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 11:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN              9.2   10.9   12.2   12.5   12.1   11.5   10.9

$$

MNC027-220538-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.110323T0300Z-110325T1200Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.110323T0300Z.110323T1800Z.110325T0000Z.NO/
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.1    6.6    7.1    7.3    6.9    6.6    6.4

$$

MNC027-220538-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.110323T2024Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110323T2024Z.110325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1239 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           9.9   10.7   11.2   12.9   14.7   15.0   14.1

$$
WJB

587 
WGUS83 KFGF 211620
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1120 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...
 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH SHOULD BRING A VARIETY OF WEATHER
CONDITIONS WITH IT. A MIXTURE OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET
MAY START OFF THE EVENT BEFORE IT SWITCHES OVER TO SNOW. HOWEVER
IT APPEARS THAT COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM. THE MAIN RESULT OF THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
A SLOW DOWN IN THE MELT. THIS FORECAST ONLY USES PRECIPITATION
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS SO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WITH
THE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY STORM SYSTEM IS NOT INCLUDED IN THIS
FORECAST.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-230420-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.110322T1800Z-110326T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.110322T1800Z.110323T1200Z.110325T1200Z.NO/
1120 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON. THEN THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 7.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.9    7.3    7.2    7.0    6.8    6.6    6.3

$$

MNC027-230419-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.110322T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1800Z.110325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1120 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON THEN CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          11.8   12.6   13.4   13.9   13.8   13.0   12.1

$$

MNC027-211650-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110325T2100Z/
/SABM5.N.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1120 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.5 FEET 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.1   11.3   11.5   11.2   10.6   10.1    9.6

$$

536 
WGUS83 KFGF 221647
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1147 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.A MIXTURE OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. THE RAIN WILL 
SWITCH OVER TO SNOW LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY TUESDAY 
EVENING. THE FORECAST INCLUDES FORECAST PRECIPITATION FOR 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK 
WILL SLOW DONW THE MELT. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-240447-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110327T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.110323T0600Z.110326T1800Z.NO/
1147 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 10:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.5 FEET AROUND
  MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 8.0 FEET, PARTS OF HAWLEY CITY PARK BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.5    7.4    7.3    7.1    6.8    6.6    6.4

$$

MNC027-240447-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.110322T1620Z-110329T0600Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110325T1200Z.110328T1800Z.UU/
1147 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MARCH 29...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MARCH 29. 
* AT 10:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          12.9   13.5   14.0   13.8   13.0   12.2   11.4

$$

619 
WGUS83 KFGF 231621
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1121 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

.THE BUFFALO RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON SNOWMELT OVER THE PAST WEEK. COLDER WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WILL LOCK MOISTURE IN PLACE AND SLOW DOWN THE MELT. ONE TO TWO FOOT FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-250421-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110326T1200Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.110323T0415Z.110326T0000Z.NO/
1121 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.2    7.1    6.8    6.6    6.4    6.2    6.0

$$

MNC027-250421-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110330T0600Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110326T0600Z.110329T1800Z.UU/
1121 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          13.9   14.2   14.5   14.0   13.1   12.2   11.3

$$

MNC089-250421-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKLM5.1.ER.110322T2348Z.110323T1015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1121 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 67.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 67.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BE NEAR STEADY AROUND 67.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. ONE TO TWO FOOT FLUCTUATIONS ARE 
  POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE. 


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

SNAKE RIVER
  ABOVE WARREN      67.4   67.4   67.3   67.3   67.2   67.2   67.1

$$

845 
WGUS83 KFGF 232029
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
329 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

.THE BUFFALO RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON SNOWMELT OVER THE PAST WEEK. COLDER WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WILL LOCK MOISTURE IN 
PLACE AND SLOW DOWN THE MELT. ONE TO TWO FOOT FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE.   

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-250829-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110327T0300Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110324T1800Z.110326T1500Z.UU/
329 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO 
RIVER AT SABIN FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 26
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 23 THE STAGE WAS...12.1 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING
  IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...15.0 FEET. MAJOR...19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL RISE TO AROUND 13.0 FT THURSDAY EVENING THEN WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FT SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.0   12.6   11.9   11.3   10.7   10.2    9.6

$$

MNC027-250829-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110326T1200Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.110323T0415Z.110326T0000Z.NO/
329 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
HAWLEY FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY
* UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY MARCH 25
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 23 THE STAGE WAS...7.2 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING
  IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...7.0 FEET. MODERATE...9.0 FEET. MAJOR...11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 7.0 FT FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.3    7.1    6.8    6.6    6.4    6.2    6.0

$$

MNC027-250828-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110330T1000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110326T0600Z.110329T2200Z.UU/
329 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
DILWORTH FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH
* UNTIL TUESDAY MARCH 29
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 23 THE STAGE WAS...13.2 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING
  IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...20.0 FEET. MAJOR...26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL RISE TO AROUND 15.0 FT SATURDAY MORNING 
  THEN WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 15.0 FT THRU SATURDAY AFTERNOON 
  THEN WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          13.9   14.7   15.0   14.4   13.3   12.2   11.2

$$

MNC089-250828-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKLM5.1.ER.110322T2348Z.110323T1015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
329 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE 
ABOVE WARREN FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 23 THE STAGE WAS...67.1 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING
  IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...67.0 FEET. MODERATE...71.0 FEET. MAJOR...75.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 67.0 FT THRU NEXT WEDNESDAY.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30

SNAKE RIVER
  ABOVE WARREN      67.4   67.4   67.3   67.3   67.2   67.2     M 

$$

231 
WGUS83 KFGF 241600
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1100 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
 
.MINOR ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT 
DILWORTH AND THE SOUTH FORK BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN DUE TO LOCAL RUNOFF.
WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT HAWLEY 
AND REMAIN NEARLY STEADY ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER AT WARREN. SUB FREEZING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK COMBINED WITH NO ADDITIONAL 
PRECIPITATION WILL SLOW OR STOP THE SNOWMELT AND LIMIT LOCAL RUNOFF.    

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-260400-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110329T0600Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.110323T1918Z.110325T0600Z.110328T1800Z.UU/
1100 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT 9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FLUCTUATIONS OF 1-2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE BEGINS TO 
  OCCUR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.5   13.3   12.8   12.1   11.5   11.0   10.6

$$

MNC027-260000-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110326T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.110322T0530Z.110323T0415Z.110325T1200Z.NO/
1100 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.0    6.8    6.6    6.4    6.1    6.0    5.8

$$

MNC027-260359-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.110322T1230Z.110327T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1100 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, SOME AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          14.6   16.8   16.9   16.1   14.9   13.7   12.5

$$

MNC089-260359-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKLM5.1.ER.110322T2348Z.110324T0830Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1100 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SNAKE RIVER ABOVE ABOVE WARREN.
* AT 9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 67.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 67.0 FEET.
* ELEVATED STAGES MAY OCCUR POSSIBLY DUE TO ICE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 67.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31

SNAKE RIVER
  ABOVE WARREN      67.5   67.5   67.5   67.5   67.5   67.5   67.3

$$

ROGERS

537 
WGUS83 KFGF 251536
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1036 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
.THE WATER LEVEL ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER AT HAWLEY DROPPED BELOW 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...SO THE FLOOD WARNING HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED. SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK 
COMBINED WITH NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL SLOW OR STOP THE 
SNOWMELT AND LIMIT ADDITIONAL LOCAL RUNOFF.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-251606-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110326T0000Z/
/HWYM5.1.SM.110322T0530Z.110323T0415Z.110325T0915Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 4:15 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         03/26  03/27  03/28  03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.5    6.3    6.1    5.9    5.7    5.6    5.4

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1122 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

.UPDATE...
FOG AND TEMPS THE MAIN ISSUE THIS AFTN. SFC LOW NEAR A RUGBY TO
JAMESTOWN CORRIDOR MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST. AREA OF DENSE FOG RACED
NORTHWARD QUICKLY UP THE JAMES VALLEY IN SOUTH DAKOTA AND THEN UP
THROUGH VALLEY CITY TO DEVILS LAKE IN THE 12-14Z PERIOD. FOG IS
SPREADING A BIT MORE NORTH AND EAST WITH TIME LIKELY INTO THE
WESTERN END OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY. LIKELY WILL NOT GET RID OF IT
TIL TROUGH PASSES AND WINDS SHIFT WEST LATER ON THIS AFTN. THUS
EXPANDED DENSE FOG ADV A BIT EAST TO THE RED RIVER AND EXTENDED IN
TIME TO 22Z FOR ENDING. ALSO NUDGED TEMPS DOWN A BIT....STILL HAVE
CHANCE FOR SOME LOW 40S IN FAR SOUTH AS SOME CLEARING NOTED ATTM
SOUTHWEST OF JAMESTOWN SPREADS EAT AND ALLOW A TEMP RISE THIS AFTN.

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR CONDITIONS ENCOMPASS MOST OF ND AND MN WITH AREAS OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG (1/4 SM OR LESS) ACROSS THE EASTERN DAKOTAS. CLOUD MASS
SHOULD DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. DIFFICULT TO SAY WHEN IFR
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AND THE FOG WILL LIFT...SO MULTIPLE TAF
UPDATES ARE LIKELY. MODEST SOUTHEAST WIND THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER SURFACE LOW/TROUGH PASSAGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR LOCAL FLOODING NEAR
CAYUGA (SARGENT COUNTY)...NEAR ROTHSAY IN OTTERTAIL COUNTY FROM
SNOWMELT AND LOCAL RUNOFF. THESE ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE RE-ISSUED
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL
CONTINUE MELTING IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY FOR MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL ALLOW THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL FLOODING
ALONG SMALL STREAMS. IT WILL TAKE LONGER TO SEE BREAKUP AND MOVEMENT
ON THE MAINSTEM RED AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES. COLDER WEATHER AND
MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SNOW WILL MOVE IN BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...WHILE THIS WILL ADD LIQUID WATER EQUIVALENT TO THE
SYSTEM...THE MELTING PROCESS WILL GRIND TO A HALT OVER MOST AREAS BY
WEDNESDAY. EXTENDED FORECASTS SHOW THIS SPRING FREEZE UP MAY LAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011/

DISCUSSION...

PRECIP CHANCES FOR TODAY ALONG WITH THE MAJOR SYSTEM ON TUESDAY
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HEADACHE THIS MORNING.

LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EJECT OUT INTO THE CWA
TODAY. SFC LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ND/NORTH
CENTRAL SD WILL MOVE EASTWARD. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE
LOW HAVE CONTINUED OVER THE REGION...AND MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
SOME DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT THIS MORNING. RADAR LOOP SHOWS THAT
MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS LIFTED TO THE NORTH AND EAST...ALTHOUGH
THERE HAS BEEN SOME CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALONG THE NEB/SD BORDER
THAT MAY CLIP OUR VERY FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. PRECIP AMOUNTS
HAVE BEEN VERY LIGHT...AND MANY OF THE RADAR RETURNS HAVE NOT BEEN
REACHING THE GROUND. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP 20-50 POPS THIS
MORNING AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST...AND SLIGHTLY LESS THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH TEMPS HOLDING STEADY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY
THIS MORNING...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S CONTINUE TO LOOK
GOOD FOR TODAY.

TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...IT SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET AS RIDGING
BUILDS IN BRIEFLY BETWEEN SYSTEMS. TEMPS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
AS COLD AIR ADVECTION SETS IN BEHIND TODAY'S SYSTEM. MADE ONLY A
FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO WHAT WE HAD GOING FOR THIS PERIOD...CONTINUING
WITH SOME SLIGHT POPS IN OUR NORTHEAST AND HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOW
40S.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE FIRST LOBE OF THE BIG TROUGH IN THE WESTERN
CONUS BEGINS TO MOVE INTO MT/WY. THE SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER
WY/CO AND BEGIN TO MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MODELS ARE
PRETTY CONSISTENT ON KEEPING MOST OF THE PRECIP TO OUR SOUTH AND
WEST THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY EVENING...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THEM START
TO MOVE PRECIP INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CWA TOWARDS MORNING. BUMPED
UP POPS JUST A BIT IN THAT AREA AFTER 06Z.

THE SYSTEM REALLY GETS GOING ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO
MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE GFS...GEM...AND ECMWF ALL BRING
THE SYSTEM OUT SOMEWHERE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE NAM IS
FURTHER SOUTH...BUT CONSIDERING IT IT MORE THAN 60 HOURS OUT AND
THE NAM IS UNRELIABLE THAT FAR OUT...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE
GLOBAL MODELS. ALL HAVE THE SFC LOW MOVING JUST TO OUR
SOUTH...WITH PLENTY OF PRECIP OVER THE CWA FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO WHAT PHASE THE PRECIP WILL
BE. MODELS SOUNDINGS FOR THE FARGO AREA TUESDAY MORNING AS WELL
AS 850MB PLOTS SHOW THE SOUTHERN CWA WILL HAVE QUITE A BIT OF WARM
AIR FROM ABOUT 800MB DOWN TOWARDS THE SFC. THE NAM IS QUITE A BIT
COLDER AND SHOWS SNOW...AND IF ANY OF THE MODELS ARE A BIT COLDER
AT THE SFC THAN EXPECTED...ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THERE COULD BE
SOME FREEZING RAIN. SREF PROBABILITIES OF PRECIP TYPE BASICALLY
HAVE ALL FOUR OPTIONS OVER THE CWA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

WITH THE LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY...WILL INCLUDE A MENTION OF
FZRA AS WELL AS RAIN AND SNOW FOR TUESDAY MORNING. PLENTY OF QPF
TO WORK WITH...BUT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL DEPEND ON WHEN AND WHERE
CHANGE OVER OCCURS. WARMER GFS HAS THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WHILE THE SLIGHTLY COOLER ECMWF PUTS THE
HEAVIEST SNOW FROM KDVL TO KFFM. SO FAR FOR NOW PUT HEAVIEST SNOW
GRIDS A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN THE ECWMF...BUT WILL PROBABLY HAVE
TO BE ADJUSTED. DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE
PHASE AND WHERE PRECIP WILL OCCUR...WILL HOLD OFF ON A WATCH FOR NOW.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE EXTENDED...PRECIP WILL CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW AND TAPER OFF. TEMPS LOOK FAIRLY COLD WITH NEW SNOW AND 850MB
TEMPS WELL BELOW ZERO. TWEAKED TEMPS A BIT FURTHER DOWN...BUT
CONTINUED COLD WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SNOW ON SATURDAY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NDZ007-008-
     014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

MN...NONE.
&&

RIDDLE/ROGERS/WJB/JR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
639 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-211145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
639 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL STREAM AND ROAD FLOODING CONTINUES FOR WILKIN AND OTTERTAIL
COUNTIES NEAR ROTHSAY AND IN SOUTHEASTERN SARGENT COUNTY DUE TO
RUNOFF FROM LOCAL SNOWMELT. WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 40
DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...THE SNOWMELT AND LOCAL RUNOFF IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

LOCAL SNOWMELT RUNOFF WILL SLOW SOMEWHAT ON MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES
TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. COLDER AIR MOVING IN AFTER THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK WILL BRING A HALT TO THE MELT AS AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL UNCERTAIN...BUT
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA COULD SEE SOME HEAVY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION AND EVEN A GLAZING OF ICE IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN RED
RIVER VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...SPREADING NORTH AND EASTWARD
THROUGH THE DAY. A MIXTURE OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
TAPERING OFF ON WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOW ACCUMULATION
COULD SEE OVER 8 INCHES OF SNOW...ALTHOUGH EXACT AMOUNTS ARE STILL
UNCERTAIN.  STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

JR