Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 13, 2011Sumter County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 13, 2011, 3:44 PM EDT for Sumter County, Georgia. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 13, 2011, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired: Jul 13, 2011, 4:15 PM EDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Sumter County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2823 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 13, 1:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 1:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
111 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1158 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011/

UPDATE...
NOT MUCH TO ADD TO GOING FCST. A LITTLE LESS PRECIP THAN EXPECTED
THIS MORNING BUT AGAIN EXPECT ISOLD TO SCT CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
AFTER 2 PM. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STILL UNCOMFORATBLY HIGH AND HEAT
INDICES ALREADY CLIMBING TO ADVISORY LEVEL. ADVISORY LOOKS GOOD.
SHOULD NOT NEED HEAT WARNING BASED ON LATEST ASOS READINGS.

ON A RELATED NOTE...MANY EXPERIENCED FORECASTERS IN THIS AREA KNOW
THIS...BUT WANT TO REITERATE THAT SEVERAL AWOS STATIONS IN MIDDLE
GEORGIA HAVE ERRONEOUSLY HIGH DEWPOINT READINGS. SOME OF THIS IS
DUE TO THE USE OF LESS EXPENSIVE SENSORS BUT ARE ALSO DUE TO LESS
FREQUENT MAINTENANCE. BOTTOM LINE...PLEASE USE CAUTION WHEN
EVALUATING HEAT INDEX READINGS FROM SOME OF THESE AWOS STATIONS IN
MIDDLE GEORGIA. ASOS AND EVEN RAWS STATIONS GENERALLY HAVE MORE
ACCURATE DEWPOINT READINGS. A LIST OF AWOS AND ASOS STATIONS IS
AVAILABLE ONLINE AT THE FAA.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 723 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENING OVER OUR AREA DURING
THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER TROF DEEPENS ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MEANWHILE...THE BACK DOOR FRONT PROGGED TO PUSH INTO THE STATE
TODAY...THEN MEANDER ACROSS THE AREA INTO FRIDAY...SHOULD INCREASE
OUR CHANCES FOR PRECIP. STILL LOOKING FOR BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP
OVER THE NORTH TODAY/TONIGHT...THEN POPS FAIRLY UNIFORM THE REST
OF THE PERIOD WITH THE FRONT DRIFTING ACROSS THE AREA. HOT
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE OF SOME CONCERN TODAY. EXPECT TO
SEE READINGS WELL INTO THE 90S WITH HEAT INDICES REACHING 105 OR
BETTER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA. WILL LEAVE HEAT
ADVISORY IN PLACE...THOUGH SOME AREAS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MAY NOT
MEET CRITERIA...NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO DROP AT THIS TIME. COOLER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS BACK TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD. EXTENDED PROGS
SHOWING THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERING SOMEWHERE
ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
A FEW WAVES DEVELOPING AND MOVING ALONG IT. WILL KEEP POPS
GENERALLY IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW WITH SEVERAL MODEL RUNS
YET TO GO. COOLER TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD WITH READINGS NEAR
NORMAL.

CLIMATE...

RECORDS FOR 07-13

               MAX TEMPERATURE         MIN TEMPERATURE
  STATION      HIGH        LOW         HIGH        LOW
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN     103 1980     73 1999     77 1980     58 1918
                1925
   KATL     105 1980     74 1999     79 1980     59 1898
                                        1879
   KCSG     103 1980     77 1999     78 1991     62 1963
   KMCN     108 1980     68 1898     79 1980     61 1898

RECORDS FOR 07-14

               MAX TEMPERATURE         MIN TEMPERATURE
  STATION      HIGH        LOW         HIGH        LOW
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN     101 1966     74 1940     79 1980     61 1967
                1954
                1932
   KATL      98 1954     75 1967     81 1980     59 1976
                1938        1940                    1967
                                                    1897
   KCSG     102 1977     82 1999     79 1981     64 1953
                1966        1967
                            1964

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN FOR THE TAFS.
OTHERWISE GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SOME MVFR VSBYS
DUE TO HAZE AND FOG LATE TONIGHT. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY WNW 5-10 KTS
THIS AFTERNOON THEN LIGHT/VARIABLE TONIGHT. BDL

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS AND WINDS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS.
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING ATL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          98  75  93  72 /  30  30  50  40
ATLANTA         95  77  93  74 /  30  30  40  30
BLAIRSVILLE     90  71  85  71 /  40  30  50  40
CARTERSVILLE    94  72  93  73 /  40  30  40  30
COLUMBUS        97  76  95  77 /  30  30  40  30
GAINESVILLE     95  75  91  73 /  40  30  50  40
MACON           97  76  94  75 /  30  30  40  30
ROME            94  72  93  73 /  40  30  40  30
PEACHTREE CITY  96  74  92  74 /  30  30  40  30
VIDALIA         96  78  95  76 /  30  30  50  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...BUTTS...
CARROLL...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...
COWETA...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DEKALB...DODGE...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...
EMANUEL...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GLASCOCK...GREENE...
GWINNETT...HALL...HANCOCK...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...
HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...
LAMAR...LAURENS...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MERIWETHER...
MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...NORTH
FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PEACH...PIKE...POLK...
PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...
STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TROUP...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKES...WILKINSON.

&&

33

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 10:15 AM EDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1015 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-141000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1015 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
DANGEROUSLY HOT CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA. A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH A HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
DANGEROUSLY HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM ROME TO GAINESVILLE. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S
ALMOST EVERYWHERE...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS POSSIBLY OVER 100. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL REACH OVER 105...CREATING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
MEANWHILE...THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CREATE AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH CAPES OF 1500 TO 3000. THIS ALONG WITH THE
SURFACE TROUGH IN PLACE WILL ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO SUMMIT REPORTS OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER.

BDL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:01 PM EDT, 43 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
301 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

GAZ013-014-021-022-131930-
301 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN PICKENS...
CHEROKEE...DAWSON AND FORSYTH COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 259 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HOLLIS LATHEM RESERVOIR...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS PICKENS...CHEROKEE...DAWSON AND FORSYTH COUNTIES THROUGH 330
PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE FAUSETT
LAKE...DAWSONVILLE...MCKEE...JUNO...REAVIS MOUNTAIN...HOLLIS LATHEM
RESERVOIR...LAKE TAMARACK...MARBLEHILL...HIGHTOWER...SILVER CITY...
DOUGHERTY...FREE HOME...LATHEMTOWN...DUCKTOWN AND HOLBROOK. BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3428 8397 3420 8432 3453 8441 3456 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 326DEG 19KT 3435 8420

Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:05 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
305 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

GAZ036-037-047-049-131930-
305 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN WALTON...
OCONEE...MORGAN AND CLARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 303 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER EASTVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WALTON...OCONEE...MORGAN AND CLARKE COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM
EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE BEECHWOOD
HILLS...STATE BOTANICAL GARDEN OF GEORGIA...WHITEHALL...ATHENS...
EASTVILLE...BOGART...WATKINSVILLE...ROSE HILL...FARMINGTON...NORTH
HIGH SHOALS...BISHOP AND BOSTWICK. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3376 8329 3371 8355 3394 8358 3397 8354
      3400 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 349DEG 6KT 3389 8346

Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:20 PM EDT, 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
320 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

GAZ038-131945-
320 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN OGLETHORPE
COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 316 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SANDY CROSS...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS OGLETHORPE COUNTY THROUGH 345 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE POINT PETER...SMITHONIA...SANDY CROSS...
VESTA...ARNOLDSVILLE...CRAWFORD...STEPHENS...LEXINGTON AND HUTCHINGS.
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3385 8293 3385 8295 3378 8299 3377 8297
      3375 8298 3376 8322 3398 8323 3403 8311
      3401 8305 3403 8303 3404 8298 3393 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 348DEG 13KT 3396 8310

Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:23 PM EDT, 21 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:28 PM EDT, 16 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:44 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 13, 2:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa	46 min
Jul 13, 2:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pickens	28 min
Jul 13, 2:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Oconee	24 min
Jul 13, 2:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Sumter	26 min
Jul 13, 2:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	35 min
Jul 13, 2:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Murray, Whitfield	49 min
Jul 13, 3:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dawson	29 min
Jul 13, 3:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Oconee	25 min
Jul 13, 3:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Oglethorpe	25 min
Jul 13, 3:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Forsyth	37 min
Jul 13, 3:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	32 min
Jul 13, 3:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Muscogee	17 min
Jul 13, 3:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Oglethorpe	30 min
Jul 13, 4:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkes	47 min
Jul 13, 4:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Floyd	43 min
Jul 13, 5:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fayette	36 min
Jul 13, 5:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lamar	48 min
Jul 13, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Morgan, Putnam	47 min
Jul 13, 6:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton	27 min
Jul 13, 6:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Talbot	51 min
Jul 13, 6:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Talbot, Taylor	47 min
Jul 13, 6:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Newton	23 min
Jul 13, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Newton	36 min
Jul 13, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Butts, Henry	46 min
Jul 13, 6:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock	43 min
Jul 13, 6:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp	29 min
Jul 13, 6:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens	23 min
Jul 13, 7:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Meriwether	43 min
Jul 13, 7:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dodge	26 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.