Alert archive / New Mexico / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011

Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS El Paso, TX

December 1, 2011

NWS El Paso, TX issued this winter storm warning at Dec 1, 2011, 2:26 PM MST. It took effect at Dec 2, 2011, 6:00 AM MST. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2011, 2:26 PM MST (21:26 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 2, 2011, 6:00 AM MST
Expired
Dec 3, 2011, 3:57 AM MST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

405 
WWUS44 KEPZ 012126
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
226 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING COLDER
WEATHER AND A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO...

.COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY WHILE A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS
THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING
HEAVY SNOWS OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS OF THE REGION WITH RAIN
MIXED WITH SNOW ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. SNOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GILAS AND SACRAMENTO'S ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN BECOMING MIXED WITH AND TURNING TO SNOW
OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. 
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 6 TO 12 INCHES ABOVE 7000 FEET BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES BETWEEN 5000
AND 7000 FEET. UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL ACROSS THE DESERT
LOWLANDS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF LAS CRUCES. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL
END BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS MAY
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

NMZ022-021200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.WS.A.0004.111202T0600Z-111204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1300Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SILVER CITY
226 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO NOON MST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO NOON MST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. RAIN OR
  RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
  ON FRIDAY WITH MOSTLY SNOW FALLING ABOVE 7000 FEET. FRIDAY NIGHT
  AND SATURDAY MORNING MOSTLY SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE
  AREA. SNOW WILL DIMINISH LATER SATURDAY MORNING ALTHOUGH A FEW
  SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...BREEZY EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT
  AND FRIDAY MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ABOVE 7000 FEET 6 TO 10 INCHES. 2 TO 5
  INCHES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* SNOW LEVELS...5000 FEET TONIGHT LIFTING TO 6500 FT FRIDAY.
  DROPPING BACK TO 4500 FT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ025-021200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.WS.A.0004.111202T2200Z-111204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1900Z-111204T0100Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
226 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 PM MST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 PM MST SATURDAY. 

* EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE SACRAMENTO 
  MOUNTAINS AND SURROUNDING SLOPES DOWN TO 5000 FT ELEVATION. 

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  AND THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRIMARY WINDOW FOR 
  MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS APPEARS TO BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON 
  THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...INITIALLY WINDY EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT
  BEHIND A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
  BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...EXPECT 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ABOVE 7000
  FEET WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM VERY POOR VISIBILITIES DECREASING BELOW A
  QUARTER MILE OVER SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

ROGASH
4 follow-up statements
842 
WWUS44 KEPZ 020254
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
754 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE RISK OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TO
PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW MORNING...WHILE AN APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL
BRING A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH NEW MEXICO TONIGHT...
BRINGING STRONG EAST WINDS AND RAPIDLY COOLING TEMPERATURES TO
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. BEHIND THE FRONT...EXTENSIVE
CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS AND THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...AND WILL SEEP INTO PARTS OF HUDSPETH
COUNTY. LIGHT DRIZZLE AND HIGH ELEVATION FOG WILL DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE LIGHT ICE GLAZING BY MORNING
WHERE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES...AND OTHER EXPOSED AREAS.

NMZ025-021300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.ZR.Y.0001.111202T0300Z-111202T1900Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1900Z-111204T0100Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
754 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO
6 PM MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON
MST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON
FRIDAY TO 6 PM MST SATURDAY. 

TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG...

* EVENT... LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO
  MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT...WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING AFTER 8
  PM...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST SLOPES. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG
  WILL ALSO OCCUR IN AREAS OF STEEPER AND HIGHER TERRAIN. THE
  THREAT FOR FOG AND DRIZZLE WILL DIMINISH DURING THE LATE MORNING
  HOURS AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO LIFT.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT ICE GLAZING WILL OCCUR...WITH LESS THAN 0.10
  INCH ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. THIS WILL CAUSE BLACK ICE TO DEVELOP
  ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. VISIBILITY
  MAY DROP BELOW 1/4 MILE IN AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...SNOW...

* EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE SACRAMENTO 
  MOUNTAINS AND SURROUNDING SLOPES DOWN TO 5000 FT ELEVATION. 

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP BY MIDDAY
  FRIDAY...BUT THE PRIMARY WINDOW FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
  APPEARS TO BE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY.

* WINDS...INITIALLY WINDY EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH THROUGH
  FRIDAY MORNING BEHIND A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. WINDS DIMINISHING
  TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...EXPECT 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ABOVE 7000 
  FEET WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM VERY POOR VISIBILITIES DECREASING BELOW 
  A QUARTER MILE OVER SOME AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ022-021300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1300Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SILVER CITY
754 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO
NOON MST SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO NOON
MST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. RAIN 
  OR RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER 
  ELEVATIONS ON FRIDAY WITH MOSTLY SNOW FALLING ABOVE 7000 FEET. 
  FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING MOSTLY SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS 
  THE ENTIRE AREA. SNOW WILL DIMINISH LATER SATURDAY MORNING 
  ALTHOUGH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...BREEZY EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH 
  TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ABOVE 7000 FEET 6 TO 10 INCHES. 2 TO 5 
  INCHES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* SNOW LEVELS...5000 FEET TONIGHT LIFTING TO 6500 FT FRIDAY. 
  DROPPING BACK TO 4500 FT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY 
  MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN AREAS OF
  STEEPER TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

TXZ056-021300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.ZR.Y.0001.111202T1000Z-111202T1600Z/
HUDSPETH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIERRA BLANCA...DELL CITY
754 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
9 AM MST FRIDAY. 

* EVENT: EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD COVER OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW
  MEXICO WILL SEEP INTO PARTS OF HUDSPETH COUNTY OVERNIGHT... AS
  COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. AREAS OF
  DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...CAUSING LIGHT ICE GLAZING IN
  AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING.

* AREAS AFFECTED... NOT ALL OF HUDSPETH COUNTY WILL SEE DRIZZLE OR
  FREEZING TEMPERATURES. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE OVER HIGHER
  TERRAIN AREAS ALONG HIGHWAY 62-180...AND ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
  FROM NEAR SIERRA BLANCA EAST TO VAN HORN.

* TIMING: DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN
  MIDNIGHT AND DAWN...WITH THE THREAT DIMINISHING AFTER 9 AM AS
  TEMPERATURES RISE.  

* IMPACT: LIGHT ICE GLAZING WILL OCCUR OVER EXPOSED AREAS...
  INCLUDING BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

HARDIMAN
519 
WWUS44 KEPZ 021240
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
540 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...A STRONG UPPER STORM/COLD FRONT COMBO WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX
OF PRECIPITATION TO THE BORDERLAND THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

.A VERY POTENT BACKDOOR COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH NEW MEXICO AND
FAR WEST TEXAS LAST NIGHT. VERY STRONG EAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT
MUCH COOLER CANADIAN AIR AND RAPIDLY COOLING TEMPERATURES TO THE
BORDERLAND. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE DEVELOPED BEHIND THE FRONT
OVER OTERO AND HUDSPETH COUNTIES ALLOWING FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE
AND FOG DEVELOPMENT. TO THE WEST A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC
STORM SYSTEM LURKS OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO TRACK EAST TOWARD NEW MEXICO BY MID DAY TODAY. AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL SHIFT EAST AND BEGIN
TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS RUNNING OVER
COLD AIR ALREADY IN PLACE GIVING RISE TO LOW SNOW LEVELS ACROSS
THE REGION. HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER AREA MOUNTAINS. MAINLY
OVER THE GILA REGION TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND OVER THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY DROP TO THE DESERT/VALLEY
ELEVATIONS AND ALLOW FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS OVER SOME NORTHERN
LOWLAND LOCATIONS. THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION MID DAY
SATURDAY WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. 


NMZ025-022330-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1900Z-111204T0100Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-111202T1900Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
540 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
MST SATURDAY...

THIS MORNING...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG...

* EVENT... LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WITH
  FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST SLOPES. AREAS
  OF FREEZING FOG WILL ALSO OCCUR IN AREAS OF STEEPER AND HIGHER
  TERRAIN. THE THREAT FOR FOG AND DRIZZLE WILL DIMINISH DURING THE
  LATE MORNING HOURS AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO LIFT.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT ICE GLAZING WILL OCCUR...WITH LESS THAN 0.10 
  INCH ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. THIS WILL CAUSE BLACK ICE TO 
  DEVELOP ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. 
  VISIBILITY MAY DROP BELOW 1/4 MILE IN AREAS OF FREEZING FOG. 

FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...SNOW...

* EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE SACRAMENTO 
  MOUNTAINS AND SURROUNDING SLOPES DOWN TO 5000 FT ELEVATION. 

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP BY MIDDAY BUT THE
  PRIMARY WINDOW FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BE THIS EVENING
  THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY.

* WINDS...INITIALLY WINDY EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE
  MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...EXPECT 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ABOVE 7000 
  FEET WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM VERY POOR VISIBILITIES DECREASING BELOW 
  A QUARTER MILE OVER SOME AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ022-022330-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.111202T1300Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SILVER CITY
540 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
SATURDAY...

* TIMING...A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS
  MORNING. RAIN OR RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
  LOWER ELEVATIONS ON BY MID MORNING WITH MOSTLY SNOW FALLING
  ABOVE 7000 FEET. TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING MOSTLY SNOW WILL
  FALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. SNOW WILL DIMINISH LATER SATURDAY
  MORNING ALTHOUGH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...BREEZY EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH 
  TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ABOVE 7000 FEET 3 TO 6 INCHES. 2 TO 4 
  INCHES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* SNOW LEVELS...5000 FEET TONIGHT LIFTING TO 6500 FT FRIDAY. 
  DROPPING BACK TO 4000 FT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY 
  MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF 
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN AREAS OF 
  STEEPER TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ023-024-031-032-022330-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WW.Y.0005.111203T0100Z-111203T1800Z/
SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-SOUTHERN DESERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...ALAMOGORDO...
DEMING...LAS CRUCES
540 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST SATURDAY.

* TIMING...RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO TURN OVER TO
  A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN TURN
  COMPLETELY TO SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT. SHOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. MOST SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH LATE SATURDAY MORNING ALTHOUGH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE
  POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...BREEZY EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
  MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON AND THEN TURNING
  WEST TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...GENERALLY 1-2 INCHES. HOWEVER PORTIONS OF
  EASTERN SIERRA COUNTY EAST OF TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...NORTHERN
  LUNA...DONA ANA...AND OTERO COUNTIES COULD SEE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF
  SNOW.

* SNOW LEVELS...5000 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN DROPPING TO 4000
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN AREAS OF
  STEEPER TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

TXZ056-021600-
/O.CON.KEPZ.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-111202T1600Z/
HUDSPETH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIERRA BLANCA...DELL CITY
540 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS
MORNING...

* EVENT: EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD COVER OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW
  MEXICO WILL SEEP INTO PARTS OF HUDSPETH COUNTY OVERNIGHT...AS
  COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. AREAS OF
  DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP...CAUSING LIGHT ICE GLAZING IN AREAS WHERE
  TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING.

* AREAS AFFECTED... NOT ALL OF HUDSPETH COUNTY WILL SEE DRIZZLE 
  OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE OVER 
  HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ALONG HIGHWAY 62-180...AND ALONG THE I- 
  10 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR SIERRA BLANCA EAST TO VAN HORN. 

* TIMING: DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
  BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAWN...WITH THE THREAT DIMINISHING AFTER 
  9 AM AS TEMPERATURES RISE. 

* IMPACT: LIGHT ICE GLAZING WILL OCCUR OVER EXPOSED AREAS... 
  INCLUDING BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

BIRD
341 
WWUS44 KEPZ 022151
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
251 PM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOWS TO SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...

.A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS NEW MEXICO WHILE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO THE REGION
AT LOW LEVELS. THIS STORM WILL BRING HEAVY SNOWS OVER THE HIGHER
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW WILL FALL
ACROSS THE LOWLANDS THIS EVENING WITH MOSTLY SNOW FALLING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL OCCUR OVER THE
HIGHER MOUNTAINS WITH 1 TO 5 INCHES FALLING ELSEWHERE. THE SNOW
WILL END ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS BY SUNRISE SATURDAY WITH MOST
MOUNTAIN SNOWS ENDING BY NOON.



NMZ025-031300-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111204T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WS.W.0005.111203T0100Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
251 PM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MST SATURDAY.

* EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
  AND SURROUNDING SLOPES.

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY
  THROUGH THE EVENING. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL FALL EARLY
  SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE SNOW DECREASING AND ENDING AFTER
  SUNRISE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...EXPECT 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ABOVE 7000 
  FEET WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM VERY POOR VISIBILITIES DECREASING BELOW 
  A QUARTER MILE OVER SOME AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ023-031300-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.WW.Y.0005.111203T0100Z-111203T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111203T1300Z/
SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES
251 PM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 6 AM MST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...RAIN AND SNOW FALLING THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY SNOW
  FALLING AFTER 8 PM. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH AND END AROUND
  SUNRISE SATURDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...GENERALLY 2-4 INCHES OVER THE LOWLANDS WITH
  4 TO 6 INCHES ON THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ022-031300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SILVER CITY
251 PM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST SATURDAY.

* WINDS...WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ABOVE 7000 FEET 5 TO 10 INCHES. 2 TO 5
  INCHES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A QUARTER
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ024-031-032-031300-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.WW.Y.0005.111203T0100Z-111203T1300Z/
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...DEMING...LAS CRUCES
251 PM MST FRI DEC 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MST SATURDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM MST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO TURN OVER TO
  A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN TURN
  COMPLETELY TO SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT. MOST SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH AND END AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING
  WESTERLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...GENERALLY 1-2 INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER
  ELEVATIONS WITH 3 TO 4 INCHES ON THE MOUNTAINS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING WILL OCCUR FROM SLIPPERY OR SNOW
  COVERED ROADS AND FROM LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITIES UNDER A HALF
  MILE IN HEAVIER SNOWS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

ROGASH
821 
WWUS44 KEPZ 031057
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
357 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES CANCELLED FOR NEW MEXICO...


NMZ023-031200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111203T1300Z/
SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES
357 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. 



$$

NMZ022-031200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SILVER CITY
357 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. 



$$

NMZ025-031200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-111203T1900Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
357 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. 



$$

NMZ024-031-032-031200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-111203T1300Z/
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...DEMING...LAS CRUCES
357 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 1, 4:10 AM MST, 10 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 4:10 AM MST, 10 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
410 AM MST THU DEC 1 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER FAIR WEATHER DAY ACROSS THE BORDERLAND TODAY WITH MILD
TEMPERATURES AND A MIX OF SUN AND HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. LATE
THIS AFTERNOON A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY FROM THE EAST AND PUSH WEST THROUGH THE EVENING. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND SOME BLOWING DUST. EARLY
FRIDAY A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST
AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW OVER THE MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH MAINLY COLD RAIN AND POSSIBLY A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
TO THE LOWLANDS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO EXIT WITH ADDITIONAL
MOUNTAIN SNOW POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. BY MONDAY THE SYSTEM WILL
BE GONE WITH DRY AND CHILLY CONDITIONS REMAINING FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NEAR TERM WEATHER FORECAST REMAINS CLEAR CUT AND FAIR FOR TODAY.
OUR AREA REMAINS AHEAD OF A COUPLE OF APPROACHING WEATHER FEATURES
WHICH WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT OUR REGION BEGINNING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TODAY ANOTHER MILD DAY WITH TEMPERATURES A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WINDS SOUTHERLY..SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY. A
BIT BREEZY OVER WEST ZONES IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE TROUGHING AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LOW.

THIS AFTERNOON A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT AS A COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS
BEGINS TO PUSH THROUGH THE SACS AND INTO THE TULAROSA BASIN. THE
CURRENT POSITION AS OF 3AM LOOKS TO BE NEAR RATON, NM. THE ARRIVAL
INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY LOOKS TO BE 3-5PM. THE SURFACE PRESSURE
PUSHING THE FRONT IS STRONG WITH A TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN IT AND A
TROUGH TO OUR WEST. THUS EXPECTING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TO
PROVIDE FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION WITH
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY REMAINING IN THE 40S AND 50S.

ALOFT TO OUR WEST A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC LOW HAS DROPPED
SOUTH TO LAS VEGAS, NV. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO MOVE OUR
WAY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOME FAVORABLE DYNAMICS/
INSTABILITY OVER AREAS NEAR THE AZ/NM BORDER ON THE FRONT SIDE OF
THE LARGE STORM SYSTEM. EXPECTING SOME PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING HOURS IN THE FAR WEST. WITH COLD
AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO BE
AROUND 6000FT. FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE SYSTEM IS PROGED TO TRACK EAST
ACROSS AZ. THIS WILL SHIFT/SWEEP THE FOCUS OF PCPN EASTWARD ACROSS
OUR CWFA FRIDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING.

THE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON A UNIFIED SOLUTION ALLOWING
BETTER CONFIDENCE ON THE THE RESULTANT WEATHER EFFECTS AND TIMING.
SOUTHERN LOWLANDS LOOK TO STAY TOO WARM TO GET ANYTHING BUT COLD
RAIN. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE IF THE PCPN LINGERS INTO SAT
AFTN/EVE WHEN COLDER CONDITIONS ARRIVE. ALSO THE AREAS WITH THE
BEST CHANCE TO GET LOWLAND SNOW WOULD BE OVER SIERRA COUNTY AND
NORTHERN OTERO COUNTY. AS IT LOOKS NOW: FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE
5000FT IT APPEARS THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PROVIDE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL. EXPECTING 6-10" ABOVE 7.5KFT ELE...2-4" 6-7.5KFT ELE...
AND 1-2" 5-6KFT ELE. FLURRIES WITH DUSTINGS POSSIBLE BELOW 5KT
ELE.

THIS STORM WILL BE SLOW TO FULLY EXIT THE REGION. BUT THE BEST
DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE WILL SHIFT EAST BY MID MORNING SATURDAY.
THUS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE A
SHARP DECREASE IN PCPN AS THE AREA OF FORCING CONTRACTS NORTH.
THUS AFTER SATURDAY MORNING EXPECT MAINLY THE AREA MOUNTAINS TO
SEE ANY FURTHER PCPN.

FURTHER OUT...MONDAY ONWARD WILL SEE A GENERALLY DRY DEEP
NORTHERLY FLOW PATTERN INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL KEEP THE
REGION DRY...BUT TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 01/12Z-02/12Z.
STRONG PACIFIC UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
THIS EVENING...THOUGH THE MAIN EFFECTS OF THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT
AFFECT OUR AREA UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS...WITH INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDS TOMORROW MORNING.

MEANWHILE... A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD WILL MOVE WEST OF THE SACRAMENTO
AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AFTER 18Z THURSDAY.  SCATTERED LOWER CLOUDS
WILL DEVELOP WITH UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE SACRAMENTOS AND SLOWLY
INCREASING UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONT...LIKELY REACHING
AWW CRITERIA AT ELP DURING THE EVENING.  EXPECT STRONG GUSTS OVER 40
KNOTS ALONG WEST-FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHILE A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THURSDAY EVENING.  EAST WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT COULD GUST OVER 40 MPH THURSDAY NIGHT ALONG WEST-FACING
MOUNTAIN SLOPES.  MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE INTO WESTERN NM ON FRIDAY....MOVING EAST OF THE AREA ON
SATURDAY.  WITH COOLER AIR IN PLACE... SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP
BELOW 6000 FEET...AND EVEN LOWER AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES
SATURDAY MORNING.  SIGNIFICANT MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED...
ESPECIALLY IN THE GILA REGION...WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE
EVEN IN THE LOWER DESERTS.  MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN MAX TEMPS MAY BE STUCK BELOW
50 EVEN IN THE LOWLANDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 66  39  53  37  54 /   0  10  30  60  20
SIERRA BLANCA TX        63  36  48  33  52 /   0  10  30  50  20
LAS CRUCES              65  37  51  31  52 /   0  10  40  60  20
ALAMOGORDO              62  32  47  28  47 /   0  20  40  70  20
CLOUDCROFT              43  23  31  22  32 /  10  30  40  90  30
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   61  30  48  29  47 /   0  10  40  50  20
SILVER CITY             58  30  43  26  42 /  10  30  60  50  30
DEMING                  66  36  51  32  51 /   0  10  40  50  20
LORDSBURG               65  35  52  33  51 /   0  30  50  50  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM MST FRIDAY FOR
     NMZ024-025-032.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR NMZ022.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR NMZ025.

TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM MST FRIDAY FOR
     TXZ055-056.

&&

14-BIRD
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 1, 7:37 AM MST, 6 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
737 AM MST THU DEC 1 2011

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-021445-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
737 AM MST THU DEC 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MUCH OF TODAY WILL BE NICE WITH MILD TEMPERATURES. LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING STARTS A TRANSITION TO A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED AND
POTENTIALLY IMPACTING WEATHER. FIRST A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND PUSH INTO
THE RIO GRANDE BY SUNSET. THIS FEATURE WILL ARRIVE WITH 25-35 MPH
OR STRONGER WINDS AND POSSIBLY SOME BLOWING DUST. A WIND ADVISORY
BEGINS AT 4PM AND EXTENDS OVERNIGHT THROUGH 4AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY MORNING A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE TOWARDS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS FEATURE WILL
PROVIDE SOME INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICS WHICH WILL GIVE RISE TO
INCREASING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OVERNIGHT. SNOW MOUNTAINS AND COLD RAIN BELOW 6000 FT. FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WITH INCREASING RAIN AND
SNOW CHANCES ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AS THE UPPER SYSTEM TRACKS
OVER THE AREA.

SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO UNDER 5000FT ON SATURDAY AND ANY
PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS SATURDAY NIGHT ON THE STORMS BACKSIDE
SHOULD FALL AS NOW AT ALL LOCATION. AS MUCH AS 5-10 INCHES OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE OVER AREA MOUNTAINS...WITH TRACE TO LIGHT LOWLAND
ACCUMULATIONS.

THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY. THE REST OF THE
PERIOD WILL BE FAIR AND CHILLY AS RIDGING ALOFT WORKS BACK OVER
THE SOUTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

BIRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 3:44 AM MSTWind AdvisoryEPZ24 hr
Dec 1, 5:33 AM MSTWinter Storm WatchEPZ9 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.