Red Flag Warning 28, NWS El Paso, TX

870 
WWUS84 KEPZ 130258
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
858 PM MDT TUE APR 12 2011

...DROUGHT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUE TO ELEVATE WILD FIRE
CONCERNS...

.A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEK. ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND LEE TROUGH
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO WILL RESULT IN
20-FOOT WINDS APPROACHING CRITICAL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...AND ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TOMORROW AND THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO ABOUT 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...
WHILE A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. WHILE NO EXTREME WIND
EVENTS ARE EXPECTED...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
WILL NONETHELESS REMAIN CRITICAL.

NMZ110>113-TXZ055-056-131400-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.110413T1800Z-110414T0200Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0025.110414T1800Z-110415T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
858 PM MDT TUE APR 12 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES UNDER 15% AND WINDS OVER 20 MPH
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...056...
110...111...112 AND 113...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES UNDER 15% AND 
WINDS OVER 20 MPH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
055...056...110...111...112 AND 113...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM
MDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111 SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS. FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 112 SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO 
  GRANDE VALLEY. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO 
  MOUNTAINS. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  056 HUDSPETH. 

* WIND TOMORROW...WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT
  LEVEL WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH. 

* WIND THURSDAY...WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT 
  LEVEL WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RH WILL RANGE FROM 5 PERCENT IN THE 
  LOWLANDS TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BOTH 
  DAYS. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

461 
WWUS84 KEPZ 131235
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
635 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...DROUGHT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUE TO ELEVATE WILDFIRE
CONCERNS...

.A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEK. ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND LEE TROUGH
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO WILL RESULT IN
20-FOOT WINDS REACHING CRITICAL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OVER ALL
AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY AND THURSDAY.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO ABOUT 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...WHILE A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. WHILE NO
EXTREME WIND EVENTS ARE EXPECTED...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION WILL NONETHELESS REMAIN CRITICAL.

NMZ110>113-TXZ055-056-132100-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.110413T1800Z-110414T0200Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0025.110414T1800Z-110415T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
635 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055...056...110...111...112 AND 113...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...056...110...111...112 AND 113...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111 SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS. FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 112 SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO 
  GRANDE VALLEY. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO 
  MOUNTAINS. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  056 HUDSPETH. 

* WIND TODAY..WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT 
  LEVEL WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* WIND THURSDAY...WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT 
  LEVEL WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RH WILL RANGE FROM 5 PERCENT IN THE 
  LOWLANDS TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BOTH 
  DAYS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

509 
WWUS84 KEPZ 132020
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
220 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...DROUGHT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUE TO ELEVATE WILDFIRE
CONCERNS...

.A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEK. ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND
A DEEPENING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL RESULT IN 20-FOOT WINDS
REACHING CRITICAL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OVER ALL AREAS OF SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WHILE A VERY DRY AIR
MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. WHILE NO EXTREME WIND EVENTS ARE
EXPECTED...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION WILL
NONETHELESS REMAIN CRITICAL.

NMZ110>113-TXZ055-056-140430-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0025.110414T1800Z-110415T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0029.110414T1700Z-110415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110414T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
220 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...
056...110...111...112 AND 113...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...056...
110...111...112 AND 113...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM
MDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WIND TODAY..WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL 
  WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH. 

* WIND THURSDAY...WEST-NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL
  WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RH WILL RANGE FROM 5 PERCENT IN THE 
  LOWLANDS TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BOTH 
  DAYS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
301 AM MDT TUE APR 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A RETURN TO A DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL BRING WARMING
TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY TO WINDY AFTERNOONS. TEMPERATURES WILL
ONCE AGAIN WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND THROUGH THE WEEK. PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THIS WEEK. WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING OCCASIONALLY BREEZY TO MILDLY WINDY
AFTERNOON CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. WITH DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WORSENING...WILD FIRE CONCERNS REMAINS HIGH...ESPECIALLY ON THE
WINDY AFTERNOONS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A RATHER BENIGN STRETCH OF WEATHER IN STORE FOR THE BORDERLAND AS
THE MODELS SHOW A SHALLOW PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH THE STORM TRACK
DISPLACED WELL NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL MEAN
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER...PLENTY OF CLEAR SKIES...TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORMALS...NO BIG WIND EVENTS...AND CONTINUED
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON BREEZY TO MILDLY WINDY AFTERNOONS.

UPPER RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST AS BROAD AND SHALLOW TROUGHING HAS
DROPPED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. FOR US THIS WILL MEAN A RETURN
OF DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. THIS
PATTERN IS ALSO DRY. THE ENTIRE 7-DAY PACKAGE WILL CONTAIN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO POPS. WINDS WILL RESPOND TO LEE-SIDE
SURFACE TROUGHING TO OUR NE AND E TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
BRING WINDS UP TO SLIGHTLY BREEZY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE SLIGHTLY WINDY WINDOW WEDNESDAY.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES LATE WEDNESDAY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST AS A BROAD LOW-AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE E PACIFIC AND EXTENDS E INTO THE SOUTHWEST DESERTS. THIS
WILL COOL OUR TEMPS A FEW DEGREES TO END THE WEEK...BUT STILL KEEP
THEM ABOVE NORMALS. WINDS WILL SLACKEN WITH A WEAK SURFACE PUSH
FROM THE NW.

THE ABOVE PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL KEEP LOWLAND TEMPS IN THE LOW 80S...WINDS ON THE LIGHTER
SIDE...AND CONDITIONS QUITE DRY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 12/12Z-13/12Z.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EARLY EASTERLY
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BY 18Z TODAY. NEAR BREEZY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON...IN THE 10 TO 20 KNOT RANGE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUES FOR THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE A LOW-END EVENT WITH WIND SPEEDS
BARELY REACHING CRITERIA...AND MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO WORSEN ANDS TODAY'S MINIMUM RH
VALUES SHOULD DROP DOWN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. INCREASING
CONCERNS WILL BE WARMING TEMPERATURES...WITH AFTERNOON MAXES
CLIMBING TO ABOUT 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AREA-WIDE. AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT SHIFTS EAST...A SERIES OF RATHER WEAK
DISTURBANCES ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS WILL
RESULT IN BREEZY TO MILDLY WINDY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEK.

WINDS MAY FLIRT WITH THE LOW-END OF RED FLAG CRITERIA OVER A
LARGER PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS OF THE CWA.
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 83  55  83  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA TX        84  50  83  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              83  52  82  50  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              78  50  79  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              57  37  58  37  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   79  47  81  46  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             69  40  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  80  48  80  49  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               80  47  80  47  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR NMZ113.

TX...NONE.
&&

14-BIRD