Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 57, NWS Kansas City, MO

May 13, 2011Jackson County, Lafayette County, Ray County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at May 13, 2011, 7:15 AM CDT for Jackson County, Lafayette County, Ray County, Missouri. It took effect at May 15, 2011, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2011, 7:15 AM CDT (12:15 UTC)
In effect from
May 15, 2011, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 14, 2011, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Jackson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Ray County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Missouri River at Napoleon (NAPM7).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06894650, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

763 
WGUS43 KEAX 131215
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
715 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...
RAY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC095-107-177-141215-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110513T2320Z-110517T1800Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110513T2320Z.110514T1800Z.110516T1800Z.UU/
715 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   15.7   FRI 06 AM   18.2 EARLY SATURDAY 
                                          AFTERNOON

$$

MJ
7 follow-up statements
767 
WGUS83 KEAX 131226
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
726 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN AND 
IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...PLATTE...RAY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-141226-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
726 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.9   FRI 06 AM   20.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-141225-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110516T0359Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.110513T0700Z.110514T0000Z.110515T0359Z.NO/
726 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:34 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   20.2   THU 12 PM   23.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC095-107-177-141225-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110513T2320Z-110517T1800Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110513T2320Z.110514T1800Z.110516T1800Z.UU/
726 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   15.7   FRI 06 AM   18.2 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC021-141225-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.110513T1632Z-110515T0900Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.110513T1632Z.110514T0000Z.110514T0900Z.NO/
726 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   17.9   FRI 06 AM   21.3 THIS EVENING

$$
766 
WGUS83 KEAX 131302
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAM...
 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN AND 
IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...PLATTE...RAY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-141302-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.9   FRI 07 AM   20.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-141301-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110516T0359Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.110513T0700Z.110514T0000Z.110515T0359Z.NO/
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:34 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   20.2   THU 12 PM   23.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC095-107-177-141301-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110513T2320Z-110517T1800Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110513T2320Z.110514T1800Z.110516T1800Z.UU/
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   15.8   FRI 07 AM   18.2 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC021-141301-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.110513T1616Z-110515T0909Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.110513T1616Z.110514T0000Z.110514T0909Z.NO/
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   18.7   FRI 07 AM   21.3 THIS EVENING

$$
244 
WGUS83 KEAX 131500
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1000 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON AND IN 
MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...PLATTE...RAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAM...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-141500-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.8   FRI 09 AM   19.1 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-141459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110516T1715Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.110513T1520Z.110513T1800Z.110515T1715Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11:34 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   20.2   THU 12 PM   22.2 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC095-107-177-141459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110515T1800Z-110517T1559Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110515T1800Z.110516T0600Z.110516T1559Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.3 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.0   FRI 09 AM   17.3 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-141459-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.110513T1500Z-110515T0909Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.110513T1449Z.110514T0000Z.110514T0909Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   19.9   FRI 09 AM   21.3 THIS EVENING

$$
176 
WGUS83 KEAX 140224
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON AND IN 
MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...PLATTE

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...COOPER...
JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...RAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-150224-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.4   FRI  8 PM   19.0 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-140254-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110516T1715Z/
/ATCK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON.
* AT 8:17 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 21.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 21.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   21.5   FRI  8 PM   21.8 EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON

$$

MOC095-107-177-150223-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110515T2100Z-110517T2000Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110515T2100Z.110516T0600Z.110516T2000Z.UU/
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.6   FRI  8 PM   17.2 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-150223-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110515T0925Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.110513T1439Z.110513T2230Z.110514T0925Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   21.0   FRI  8 PM   21.2 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-150223-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0058.110514T0723Z-110515T1509Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110514T0723Z.110514T1200Z.110514T1509Z.UU/
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   14.6   FRI  8 PM   17.0 SATURDAY MORNING

$$
734 
WGUS83 KEAX 140933
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
433 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...COOPER...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE AND RAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-150933-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
433 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.3   SAT 03 AM   19.0 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC095-107-177-150932-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110515T2100Z-110517T2000Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110515T2100Z.110516T0600Z.110516T2000Z.UU/
433 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.5   SAT 03 AM   17.2 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-141003-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110515T0925Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.110513T1439Z.110513T2230Z.110514T0440Z.NO/
433 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT  3:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:40 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.5 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   18.1   SAT 03 AM   17.0 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-150932-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110515T1509Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110514T0836Z.110514T1200Z.110514T1509Z.UU/
433 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   16.0   SAT 03 AM   17.0 THIS MORNING

$$
642 
WGUS83 KEAX 141424
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JACKSON...
LAFAYETTE...RAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-151424-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.3   SAT  8 AM   18.4 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC095-107-177-151423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0057.110516T0000Z-110517T0000Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110516T0000Z.110516T0000Z.110516T0000Z.UU/
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  EVENING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.5   SAT  8 AM   17.0 SUNDAY EVENING

$$

MOC053-151423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110515T1537Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110514T0835Z.110514T1330Z.110514T1537Z.UU/
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   16.5   SAT  8 AM   15.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
969 
WGUS83 KEAX 150315
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1015 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...
RAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-160315-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110512T0945Z.110513T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.3   SAT 09 PM   18.5 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC095-107-177-150345-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110517T0000Z/
/NAPM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1015 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* AT  9:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  16.7 FEET SUNDAY EVENING. 


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.5   SAT 09 PM   16.7 SUNDAY EVENING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 13, 6:48 AM CDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 6:48 AM CDT, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
648 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

TIGHTLY WOUND CYCLONE CHURNING ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION PERSISTING WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
AIR MASS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI. BAND OF SHOWERS/RAIN HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED WITHIN CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE
UPPER LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS NORTHWARD INTO
CENTRAL/EASTERN NEBRASKA. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION
EASTWARD INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY DAYBREAK THEN INTO THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL BY TONIGHT. EXAMINING POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR
TODAY...EXPECT PERIODS OF DRIZZLE/SHOWERS AS PERIODIC COLUMN
SATURATION TAKES PLACE. OVERALL...NOT EXPECTING A HIGH QPF EVENT
WITH MORE SCATTERED LIGHT ACTIVITY THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...CANNOT
RULE OUT A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH 100-500 J/KG MUCAPE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD CORE UPPER LOW. TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY WILL
BE A LITTLE TRICKY AS THE EASTERN COUNTIES WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM
SECTOR EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE CAA REGIME OVERTAKES THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. WHILE THE EASTERN COUNTIES MAY DIURNALLY WARM THROUGH
MIDDAY...MANY AREAS ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY REACH
THE DAYTIME HIGH THIS MORNING WITH FALLING/STEADY TEMPS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION EASTWARD AS UPPER RIDGE AXIS PUSHES
OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC. AS THIS OCCURS...SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH WILL
SLIDE SOUTH OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA AND INTO THE MIDWEST THIS
WEEKEND...PHASING WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP RAIN CHANCES GOING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK...DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN US WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. THIS SHOULD BRING ABOUT A GRADUAL
MODIFICATION OF TEMPS BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL...ALBEIT STILL LOOKING
TO BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS. THE UPPER RIDGE MAY
BREAK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AS PACIFIC
ENERGY PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN US. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS RETURN FLOW OFF THE
GULF FINALLY REESTABLISHES.

DEROCHE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...WRAP AROUND SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER NORTHEAST KS AND NORTHWEST MO WILL ROTATE CYCLONICALLY SSW
AROUND A DEEP UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER OVER EASTERN KS. WILL NEED TO
WAIT FOR THE UPPER LOW TO PASS TO THE EAST OF THE TERMINALS FOR A
CHANCE OF ANY OF THIS PRECIPITATION TO AFFECT THE TERMINALS.
CONFIDENCE ON TIMING IS NOT PARTICULARLY GOOD DUE TO CURRENT TRACK
OF CONVECTION SO VICINITY IS THE BEST ROUTE AND AMEND AS NECESSARY.
RAIN CHANCES SHOULD END BY LATE AFTERNOON AS CEILINGS LIFT.

OTHERWISE...LOW END MVFR STRATUS HAS OR WILL SOON OVERSPREAD ALL 3
TERMINALS WITH CEILINGS SLOWLY IMPROVING TO VFR BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY NNW WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
BEFORE DIMINISHING.

MJ

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 5:30 AM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
530 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-141030-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
530 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
TODAY...HOWEVER SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN BY THE LATTER HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DEROCHE

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 6:57 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
657 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     HAIL             5 E BROWNINGTON         38.25N 93.63W
05/12/2011  E1.50 INCH       HENRY              MO   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF 1.5 INCH HAIL AT MOUNT ZION...TIME OF
            REPORT ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0834 PM     TSTM WND GST     MACON                   39.74N 92.47W
05/12/2011  E65.00 MPH       MACON              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            60 TO 65 MPH WINDS ESTIMATED IN THE EASTERN SIDE OF MACON

0834 PM     HAIL             MACON                   39.74N 92.47W
05/12/2011  E0.75 INCH       MACON              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0836 PM     HAIL             3 NE MACON              39.77N 92.43W
05/12/2011  E1.00 INCH       MACON              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0920 PM     HAIL             6 E KIRKSVILLE          40.19N 92.47W
05/12/2011  E0.88 INCH       ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL ALONG WITH APPROXIMATELY 50MPH
            WINDS.

1138 PM     HAIL             4 SW COWGILL            39.52N 93.98W
05/12/2011  E0.88 INCH       RAY                MO   PUBLIC

&&

MJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 7:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXRandolph47 min
May 12, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon, Randolph42 min
May 12, 8:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXAdair28 min
May 12, 9:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXAdair47 min
May 12, 9:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXAdair, Schuyler48 min
May 12, 10:22 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXBuchanan, Platte23 hr
May 12, 10:22 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXBuchanan30 hr
May 12, 11:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXCaldwell23 min
May 13, 12:38 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXHarrison, Mercer3 hr
May 13, 4:12 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXCooper5 hr
May 13, 5:19 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCooper20 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.