River Flood Warning 41, NWS Kansas City, MO

036 
WGUS83 KEAX 230213
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...CHARITON...HOWARD...
LAFAYETTE...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-240213-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0040.110423T1800Z-110425T2000Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.110423T1800Z.110424T0600Z.110424T2000Z.NO/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.9 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   21.2   FRI 09 PM   28.9 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

KSC043-MOC003-021-240212-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110421T0113Z.110424T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   17.2   FRI 08 PM   17.8 SATURDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-107-195-240212-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0041.110424T0000Z-110425T1800Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.110424T0000Z.110424T0000Z.110424T1800Z.NO/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  WAVERLY         20   19.6   FRI 08 PM   20.0 SATURDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-195-240212-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110427T1500Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110424T0000Z.110426T1500Z.NO/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.3 
  FEET SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS OUTSIDE OF LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  MIAMI           18                      19.3 SATURDAY EVENING

$$

MOC041-089-195-240212-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0043.110424T0200Z-110426T1800Z/
/GLZM7.1.ER.110424T0200Z.110424T1200Z.110425T1800Z.UU/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  GLASGOW         25   22.6   FRI 08 PM   25.3 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-240212-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-110424T1448Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.110422T2115Z.110423T0600Z.110423T1448Z.UU/
913 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.4   FRI 09 PM   18.2 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

265 
WGUS83 KEAX 230716
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
HOWARD...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...CHARITON...LAFAYETTE...
LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-240716-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0040.110423T1800Z-110425T2000Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.110423T1800Z.110424T0600Z.110424T2000Z.NO/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 28.9 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   23.6   SAT  2 AM   28.9 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

KSC043-MOC003-021-240715-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110421T0113Z.110424T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   17.4   SAT  1 AM   17.8 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-107-195-240715-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0041.110424T0000Z-110425T1800Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.110424T0000Z.110424T0000Z.110424T1800Z.NO/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  WAVERLY         20   19.5   SAT  1 AM   20.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-195-240715-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110427T1500Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110424T0000Z.110426T1500Z.NO/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.3 
  FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS OUTSIDE OF LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  MIAMI           18                      19.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC041-089-195-240715-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0043.110423T2300Z-110425T1800Z/
/GLZM7.1.ER.110423T2300Z.110424T0600Z.110424T1800Z.UU/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  GLASGOW         25   23.0   SAT  1 AM   25.3 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-240715-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-110424T1300Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.110422T2115Z.110423T0700Z.110423T1300Z.UU/
216 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.9   SAT  2 AM   16.4 THIS MORNING

$$

718 
WGUS83 KEAX 231445
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON
  MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
HOWARD...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...RAY...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT BOONVILLE 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...HOWARD...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DONIPHAN AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...CHARITON...LINN...LIVINGSTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-241445-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0040.110423T1800Z-110426T0000Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.110423T1800Z.110424T0600Z.110425T0000Z.NO/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 29.2 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   25.4   SAT 09 AM   29.2 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

KSC043-MOC003-021-241444-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.110421T0113Z.110424T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.6 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   17.2   SAT 09 AM   17.6 EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON

$$

MOC095-107-177-231515-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-110426T0900Z/
/NAPM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 16.4 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.3 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   16.4   SAT 08 AM   16.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-107-195-231515-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110425T1800Z/
/WVYM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.6 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 19.3 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  WAVERLY         20   19.3   SAT 09 AM   19.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-195-241444-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110426T0600Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110423T1800Z.110425T0600Z.NO/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 18.7 
  FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 18.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS OUTSIDE OF LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  MIAMI           18     N/A              18.7 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC041-089-195-231515-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-110425T1800Z/
/GLZM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  24.8 FEET THIS EVENING. 

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  GLASGOW         25   23.5   SAT 09 AM   24.8 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-089-241444-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0045.110424T0112Z-110426T0600Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.110424T0112Z.110424T1200Z.110425T0600Z.NO/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT BOONVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  BOONVILLE       21   20.0   SAT 09 AM   21.6 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-241444-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-110424T1518Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.110422T2115Z.110423T1200Z.110423T1518Z.UU/
945 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   17.0   SAT 09 AM   14.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
358 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT RANGE (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...

FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS...CONVECTION IS STARTING TO
BUBBLE ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN WEST CENTRAL/CENTRAL
MISSOURI. STORMS HAVE BEEN TRYING TO PERK UP ALONG THAT ADVANCING
BOUNDARY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS NOW...BUT HAVE BEEN FIGHTING THE CAP
EVIDENT IN THE SPECIAL 20Z SOUNDING FROM THE SPRINGFIELD WEATHER
OFFICE. THE CURRENT POSITION OF THE STORMS...AND SPEED WITH WHICH THE
FRONT IS ADVANCING EAST...INDICATE THAT ONLY AREAS IN PETTIES...
COOPER...AND HOWARD COUNTIES ARE UNDER ANY THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THAT THREAT SHOULD COME TO
AN END AROUND 22Z /5 PM/ AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES EAST. TILL THEN...ANY
STORMS IN THIS AREA COULD HAVE ALL MANNER OF SEVERE WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH THEM.

BY THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THE COLD FRONT GETTING DRAGGED ALONG BY
THE SURFACE LOW...CURRENTLY MOVING EAST ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI...WILL HAVE SWEPT THROUGH THE REGION AND PUSHED ANY STORM
ACTIVITY THAT IS OCCURRING WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST.

AS THE FRONT SETTLES INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT...THIS WILL
ALLOW A WEAK SURFACE HIGH TO NOSE INTO THE THE NORTHERN HALF OF
MISSOURI. CLOUD COVER SHOULD START TO ERODE AS THIS OCCURS
OVERNIGHT...AND FOR SATURDAY THIS SHOULD KEEP MUCH OF THE FOCUS FOR
MORE STORMS SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA THOUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
TOWARDS THE AFTERNOON HOURS A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES WILL BEGIN INFLUENCING OUR REGION OF THE COUNTY...PUTTING
SOME PRESSURE ON THE FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI TO MOVE NORTH.
WITH THE SURFACE HIGH UP NORTH...THOUGHTS ARE THE FRONT WONT MAKE
MUCH PROGRESS IN SHIFTING IN OUR DIRECTION OWING TO THE WEAK SURFACE
HIGH...BUT THAT WE MIGHT SEE SOME SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS THE
AFTERNOON HOURS NONE THE LESS AS MID-LEVEL WINDS BACK ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND THE ELEVATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINS SHIFTING
BACK TO THE NORTH. BETTER POTENTIAL FOR THE RETURN OF STORMS WILL
ARRIVE SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TROUGH MOVES A LITTLE
CLOSER...HELPING FOCUS A NOCTURNAL JET ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP A COMPLEX
OF STORMS WHICH WOULD THEN TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI.

BY SUNDAY...THE HIGHER END POTENTIALS FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
REGION WILL HAVE SPREAD BACK TO THE NORTH ENOUGH TO ENCOMPASS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST REGION AS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DESPITE THE HIGH END POPS ACROSS OUR
REGION...MANY OF THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FOCUS THE HIGHEST
PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI WHERE THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STILL BE WALLOWING. GIVEN THAT ANY
CONVECTION FROM SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL HAVE A
MAJOR INFLUENCE ON THE FRONTS POSITION /AND ANY RESULTING
CONVECTION/ HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE HIGHER END POPS GOING FOR MUCH OF
THE FORECAST REGION THROUGH SUNDAY AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

WITH THERE STILL BEING THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI...THERE IS
STILL ALSO PRESENT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR EXTENSIVE RIVER AND
SMALL STREAM FLOODING. HOWEVER...WITH THE BREAK PRECIPITATION THAT
WE WILL GET DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND THE UNCERTAINTY OF WHERE
THE FRONT AND RESULTING HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR...HAVE OPTED NOT TO
ISSUE ANY FLOOD WATCHES AT THIS TIME.

CUTTER

MEDIUM RANGE (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING SINKS INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. FOR
MONDAY...FOCUS WILL BE ON A SET OF SURFACE LOWS OVER IL AND OK WITH
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING BETWEEN THEM OVER MO. WITH A DECENT
LOW TO MID LEVEL JET AND A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW USHERING PLENTY OF
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...COULD SEE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. AS THIS
SURFACE LOW PROGRESSES TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY...COULD SEE A
BRIEF DRY PERIOD DURING THE DAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM REACHES THE
AREA. WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG A BIT
FURTHER SOUTH INTO OK ON TUESDAY. THIS DEEPER TROUGH WILL HELP KEEP
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...RESULTING IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES
PRIMARILY FOCUSED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
MISSOURI. ONCE THIS SYSTEM PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SETS UP OVER
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY
SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK AS
THOSE TWO WAVES MOVE THROUGH...BUT SHOULD BE WARMING UP TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE BY THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

ACH

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF...LIFR/IFR CIGS CONTINUE TO ENVELOPE ALL THREE
TERMINAL SITES...WITH PERIODIC IFR/MVFR VSBYS DUE TO SHRA AND MIST.
BASED ON REGIONAL RADAR LOOP...EXPECT SHRA THREAT TO END BY 19-20
UTC AS AXIS OF BETTER ISENTROPIC FORCING MOVES EAST OF THE TERMINAL
SITES.  ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE AND APRIL INSOLATION WILL COMBINE TO
BREAK IFR STRATUS DECK BY MID-AFTERNOON...WITH HRRR AND NAM GUIDANCE
SUPPORTING THIS SCENARIO...AND EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR BY 00 UTC.

A SURFACE LOW WILL PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF TERMINALS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE NORTHEAST TO WEST IN ITS
WAKE.  WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 12KTS WHILE CLOUDS ARE IN
PLACE...BUT MAY SEE SUSTAIN SPEEDS RISE TO BETWEEN 12-15KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20KTS BY LATE AFTERNOON.

SF

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

WFO EAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
102 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-231230-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
102 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REFORM ALONG AN EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT. AREAS EAST OF A
MACON TO MARSHALL TO BUTLER LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
OF THESE STORMS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL END WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERAL MORE UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL TRACK THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AND BRING PERIODIC
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME. IN ADDITION...A WARM FRONT OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI
WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND ANCHOR REPEATED BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH COULD RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS COMBINED WITH RAINFALL
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS EAST OF A
MACON TO MARSHALL TO BUTLER LINE.

CUTTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
408 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

MOZ045-046-222145-
COOPER MO-PETTIS MO-
408 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COOPER AND EASTERN PETTIS
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 406 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SMITHTON...OR 6 MILES EAST OF SEDALIA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BOONVILLE...OTTERVILLE...PILOT GROVE...BUNCETON...CLIFTON CITY AND
  PRAIRIE HOME.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 99 AND 106.

LAT...LON 3869 9262 3868 9266 3869 9306 3859 9307
      3855 9325 3869 9329 3898 9274 3898 9271
      3882 9255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 242DEG 49KT 3868 9309

ACH/DD