Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Kansas City, MO

February 15, 2011Cooper County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Feb 15, 2011, 8:58 PM CST for Cooper County, Missouri. It took effect at Feb 15, 2011, 9:27 PM CST. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2011, 8:58 PM CST (02:58 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2011, 9:27 PM CST
Expired
Feb 17, 2011, 10:20 PM CST
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Cooper County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Petite Saline Creek near Boonville (BONM7).

Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19.5 ft
Major stage
26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06909950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

507 
WGUS43 KEAX 160258
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
858 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-170258-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0001.110216T0327Z-110217T0754Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0327Z.110216T0600Z.110216T0754Z.UU/
858 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   15.9   TUE 08 PM   16.2 EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING

$$

NRR
9 follow-up statements
938 
WGUS83 KEAX 161410
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
810 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-171410-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110218T0900Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110216T1530Z.110217T0000Z.110217T0900Z.NO/
810 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   21.8   WED 07 AM   22.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-171409-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.110216T2100Z-110219T2034Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T2100Z.110218T0000Z.110218T2034Z.NO/
810 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.7 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   22.9   WED 08 AM   24.7 THURSDAY EVENING

$$

MOC053-171409-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T1021Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1800Z.110217T1021Z.UU/
810 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   17.8   WED 07 AM   18.1 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
SAW
766 
WGUS83 KEAX 162131
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
331 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-172131-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110218T0900Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110216T2303Z.110217T0000Z.110217T0900Z.NO/
331 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  3:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   21.3   WED 03 PM   22.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-172130-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110219T2034Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0000Z.110218T2034Z.NO/
331 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  2:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   24.3   WED 03 PM   24.7 THURSDAY EVENING

$$

MOC053-172130-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T1021Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T1021Z.UU/
331 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  2:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   17.9   WED 02 PM   17.7 THIS EVENING

$$
954 
WGUS83 KEAX 170339
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
939 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-180339-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110218T1415Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T0600Z.110217T1415Z.NO/
939 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   22.5   WED 09 PM   23.3 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-180338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110220T1000Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T0600Z.110219T1000Z.NO/
939 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   25.9   WED 09 PM   26.5 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-180338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T1251Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T1251Z.UU/
939 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   17.6   WED 08 PM   17.0 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

$$

NRR
859 
WGUS83 KEAX 170934
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
334 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-180934-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0024Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1200Z.110218T0024Z.NO/
334 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  3:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.4 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.0   THU 03 AM   24.4 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-180933-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110220T1000Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T1200Z.110219T1000Z.NO/
334 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  2:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   26.9   THU 03 AM   27.2 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-180933-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T1651Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T1651Z.UU/
334 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  2:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   17.5   THU 02 AM   17.1 THIS MORNING

$$
230 
WGUS83 KEAX 171439
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
839 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-181439-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0506Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1800Z.110218T0506Z.NO/
839 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.3   THU 08 AM   24.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-195-181438-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0632Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T1800Z.110220T0632Z.NO/
839 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  7:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.2   THU 08 AM   27.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-181438-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110219T0224Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110218T0224Z.UU/
839 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   17.3   THU 07 AM   17.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
846 
WGUS83 KEAX 171758
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1158 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...JOHNSON...LINN...LIVINGSTON...PETTIS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-181758-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1800Z.110218T0453Z.NO/
1158 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.0   THU 11 AM   24.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-195-181757-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0632Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T1800Z.110220T0632Z.NO/
1158 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 11:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.3   THU 12 PM   27.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-181757-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.110217T1756Z-110220T0112Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T0600Z.110219T0112Z.NO/
1158 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   28.0   THU 12 PM   28.4 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-181757-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110219T0033Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110218T0033Z.UU/
1158 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT 11:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   16.5   THU 11 AM   16.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

NRR
428 
WGUS83 KEAX 172027
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CHARITON...COOPER...
JOHNSON...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-182027-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1415Z.110218T0453Z.NO/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  2:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   23.4   THU 02 PM   23.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-182026-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0632Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0000Z.110220T0632Z.NO/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.4   THU 02 PM   27.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC041-121-182026-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.110218T0527Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110218T0527Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   13.8   THU 02 PM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-182026-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.110218T1200Z-110220T0600Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110218T1200Z.110219T0000Z.110219T0600Z.NO/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   23.0   THU 02 PM   24.2 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-182026-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T1200Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   29.1   THU 02 PM   32.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-182026-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T2240Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T2240Z.UU/
227 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   15.8   THU 01 PM   16.2 LATE THIS AFTERNOON

$$

NRR
503 
WGUS83 KEAX 172156
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...JOHNSON...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...
SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-182156-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1415Z.110218T0453Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   23.1   THU 03 PM   23.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0632Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T2145Z.110220T0632Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.5   THU 04 PM   27.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC041-121-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.110218T0527Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110218T0527Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   14.7   THU 04 PM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.110218T1200Z-110220T0600Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110218T1200Z.110219T0000Z.110219T0600Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   23.3   THU 03 PM   24.2 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T1200Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   30.1   THU 04 PM   32.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0007.110218T0430Z-110221T0000Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0430Z.110219T0600Z.110220T0000Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   19.6   THU 03 PM   21.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T2240Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T2240Z.UU/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   15.1   THU 03 PM   16.2 LATE THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-182155-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.110217T2207Z-110219T0200Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2207Z.110218T0000Z.110218T0200Z.UU/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   15.9   THU 03 PM   16.1 THIS EVENING

$$

NRR
603 
WGUS83 KEAX 180420
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
LINN...LIVINGSTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-180450-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1415Z.110218T0040Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6:40 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.8 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   20.8   THU 10 PM   21.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0949Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0345Z.110220T0949Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.7   THU 10 PM   27.7 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0005.110218T0418Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110217T2249Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   15.6   THU 10 PM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.110218T0418Z-110221T0240Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1800Z.110220T0240Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   25.5   THU 10 PM   26.0 EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-190419-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T1200Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   31.7   THU 10 PM   32.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.110218T0418Z-110221T0000Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110219T0600Z.110220T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   20.1   THU 09 PM   21.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-180450-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T2240Z/
/BONM7.1.SM.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T1857Z.UU/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:57 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 11.8 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   12.8   THU 09 PM   13.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110219T0815Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T0400Z.110218T0815Z.UU/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.5   THU 10 PM   16.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 15, 5:48 PM CST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 5:48 PM CST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
548 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
/340 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-THURSDAY)...

WEAK SHORTWAVE PRESENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE CWA WILL TAKE ASSOCIATED
SHOWERS OUT OF THE ERN ZONES WITHIN THE HOUR. MEANWHILE...THE RETURN
OF QUALITY GULF MOISTURE HAS BEEN A SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHALLENGE
TODAY AND REALLY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MOISTURE DEPTH STILL
REMAINS TOO SHALLOW TO CLEAR THE HIGHER OZARKS TERRAIN. THIS
DEFICIENCY...COUPLED WITH DEEP SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...HAS LEFT AN ERODED STRATUS DECK THAT IS NOW CONFINED TO A
NARROW 50 MILE WIDE BAND ALONG THE OK/AR BORDER INTO THE SE KS FLINT
HILLS. DRY AIR WAS ALSO ARRIVING FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH A WEAK WIND
SHIFT BOUNDARY DRAPED THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.

WHILE THE INITIAL DEWPOINT SURGE WILL BE LIMITED IN QUALITY AND
AREAL EXTENT...STILL EXPECT THAT LOW STRATUS SHOULD BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING THIS EVENING ALTHOUGH WE
CERTAINLY MAY SEE SOME CLEARING INITIALLY ACROSS NW MO/ERN KS IN THE
INTERIM. PROSPECTS FOR DENSE ADVECTION FOG REMAIN HIGH WITH SREF
PROBABILITIES IN THE 70 TO 80 PERCENT RANGE...BUT THIS MAY ALSO PLAY
OUT AS A LOW STRATUS/DRIZZLE SCENARIO AS WELL GIVEN THE MOISTURE
QUALITY AND DEPTH AND THE SNOW PACK ALL BUT GONE IN MOST AREAS.

AS THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY OFF THE WESTERN SEABOARD BUILDS INTO
THE ROCKIES...PERSISTENT LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD LEAD TO
BROAD LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...PROMOTING
A STRENGTHENING FETCH OF CROSS-GULF AIR INTO THE REGION. PERSISTENT
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO NUDGE TOWARD 60
DEGREES EVEN AMIDST PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER AND SOME DRIZZLE. THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHERE LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO BE WARMER THAN ANY TEMPERATURE REACHED DURING THE ENTIRE
MONTH OF JANUARY...BOTTOMING OUT ONLY IN THE MID 50S.

HOW LONG CLOUDS WILL HANG ON THURSDAY REMAINS THE MOST CHALLENGING
ASPECT OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...WITH THE POTENTIAL REALIZATION
OF 70 DEGREE READINGS IF SUNSHINE AND DEEPER MIXING CAN OCCUR. THE
WARM START WILL CERTAINLY HELP...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME CONCERN THAT
ONLY MODEST GAINS INTO THE LOW-MID 60S MAY ALSO BE AN EQUAL
POSSIBILITY GIVEN THE PERSISTENT FEED OF GULF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY.

BOOKBINDER

MEDIUM RANGE (FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND ACROSS
THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES...AS TROUGHING ON THE WEST COAST CONTINUES
TO RESULT IN POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES ACROSS OUR REGION. MID-RANGE
MODELS STILL FORECAST A SURFACE HIGH OOZING FROM CANADA DOWN INTO
THE PLAINS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT WITHOUT THE CROSS POLAR FLOW
AND HUDSON BAY LOW LOADING UP THE COLD AIR IN THE CANADIAN PLAINS...
LOOKS LIKE THE MAJORITY OF THE COLD AIR WITH THIS HIGH WILL BE
SHUNTED INTO THE GREAT LAKES. AS A RESULT...HAVE KEPT THE GOING
FORECAST TEMPERATURES WELL WITHIN THE RANGE OF GUIDANCE NUMBERS PUT
FORTH BY THE VARIOUS MODELS...WITH A SLIGHT HEDGE TOWARDS THE HIGHER
END OF THE SCALE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BEGINNING OF NEXT WORK WEEK IS
MUCH MORE CONTENTIOUS AS QUESTIONS ABOUND AS TO THE FRONTAL TIMING
AND AMOUNT OF COLD AIR THAT WILL SWING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. AT THIS
TIME...HAVE KEPT TRENDING TEMPERATURES FOR THE EARLY WORK WEEK
TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES.

LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION...AS THE SURFACE HIGH
OOZES SOUTH FROM CANADA LATE THIS WORK WEEK...IT WILL PUSH THE
MOISTURE OUT OF OUR REGION...BUT THAT MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK AS
THE HIGH QUICKLY MOVES EAST AND THE GULF OPENS BACK UP AS THE WEST
CONUS TROUGH EJECTS A SHORTWAVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST FLOW. MODELS ARE
STILL SPREAD ACROSS A LARGE RANGE AS TO THE TIMING OF THE
SHORTWAVE...WITH THE GFS BEING THE FASTEST AND GEM THE SLOWEST IN
THE CURRENT ITERATION OF MODEL RUNS. DESPITE TIMING ISSUES...
MOISTURE RETURN AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT LOOK TO PEG SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR PRECIPITABLE
ACTIVITY...THOUGH WHERE THAT FOCUS WILL BE IS STILL HARD TO PICK.
HAVE KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS /50 PERCENT/ IN SUNDAY AS A
RESULT...THOUGH SHOWERS MIGHT BEGIN TO BREAK OUT AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE HELP OF THE NOCTURNAL JET ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY...INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE OVER MATCHED BY WIND
SHEAR THROUGH MUCH OF THE POTENTIAL TIME FRAME WHERE ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED...BUT IT STILL MIGHT BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH MIGHT TREND TOWARDS BEGINNING RATHER STRONG GIVEN THE WIND
FIELD. IF SOME OF THE MID-RANGE MODELS VERIFY WITH A WARM FRONT
STRADDLING THE REGION...THE STRONG STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHER.

CUTTER

&&

.AVIATION...

SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE A GRADUAL CLEARING OF THE CIG OVER THE KC
SITES EARLY THIS EVENING WITH KSTJ ALREADY CLEAR. EXPECT IT TO STAY
THAT WAY THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. HOWEVER WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING AND RELATIVE HIGH DEW POINTS...SHOULD SEE FOG
REDEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING. FOR NOW WILL KEEP IT IN THE MVFR
CAT...BUT WILL NOT BE SURPRISED IF DENSE FOG DEVELOPS IN SOME
LOCATIONS. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE TAF SITES LATE
TONIGHT...BRINGING LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS /IFR-LIFR/ AND POSSIBLY
DRIZZLE. EXPECT LOWEST CIGS/VSBY/DRIZZLE WITH THE INITIAL SURGE OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ISENTROPIC LIFT...SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
CIGS/VSBY SLIGHTLY BY MIDDAY TOMORROW.

NRR

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 6:36 PM CST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
636 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
636 PM CST TUE FEB 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE...IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...AND MAY BECOME WIDESPREAD AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DENSE FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
IMPROVE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...FOG MAY REFORM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NRR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 10:07 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryEAXAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell and 26 more16 hr
Feb 16, 3:35 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXJohnson, Pettis43 hr
Feb 16, 6:05 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXCooper, Saline5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.