River Flood Warning 114, NWS Quad Cities, IA

224 
WGUS83 KDVN 301528
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

.UPDATED FLOOD INFORMATION FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC045-163-ILC161-195-301558-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-110801T1900Z/
/FLTI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT FULTON LD13.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RECENTLY CRESTED JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 15.8 FEET.
  THE RIVER IS NOW FORECAST TO START FALLING THIS AFTERNOON.
  FORECAST TO FALL TO 14.9 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC045-163-ILC161-195-310727-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-110801T1200Z/
/CMMI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110730T1030Z.110731T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CAMANCHE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  17 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT  17 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING RESIDENCES AT 
  ALBANY.

$$

IAC139-163-ILC161-301558-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-110802T1200Z/
/LECI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT LE CLAIRE LD14.
* AT  6:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET...AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS  11 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 10.9 FEET SUNDAY
  MORNING. 

$$

IAC139-163-ILC161-310727-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-110803T0730Z/
/RCKI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110731T1200Z.110801T1930Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT ROCK ISLAND LD15.
* UNTIL MONDAY.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.8 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LE CLAIRE PARK.

$$

IAC115-139-ILC131-161-310727-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0114.110731T1200Z-110803T0900Z/
/ILNI2.1.ER.110731T1200Z.110731T1800Z.110801T2100Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT ILL. CITY LD16.
* UNTIL MONDAY.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.2 FEET SUNDAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT  13 FEET...WATER AFFECTS RESIDENTS ON SMITHS ISLAND.

$$

IAC115-139-ILC131-161-310727-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0115.110731T0130Z-110803T1800Z/
/MUSI4.1.ER.110731T0130Z.110801T0000Z.110802T0600Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MUSCATINE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 16.9 FEET SUNDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS THE LOWER PORTION OF THE 
  RIVERSIDE PARK PARKING LOT.

$$

301 
WGUS83 KDVN 310139
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
839 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

.UPDATED FLOOD INFORMATION FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC045-163-ILC161-195-310209-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-110801T1200Z/
/CMMI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110730T1030Z.110730T2115Z.NO/
839 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CAMANCHE.
* AT 7:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 4:15 PM SATURDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AT CAMANCHE...
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 14.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC139-163-ILC161-311738-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-110803T0130Z/
/RCKI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110731T1800Z.110801T1330Z.NO/
839 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT ROCK ISLAND LD15.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.4 FEET SUNDAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

IAC115-139-ILC131-161-310209-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-110803T0900Z/
/ILNI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
839 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT ILL. CITY LD16.
* AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 14.7 FEET SUNDAY
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...WATER AFFECTS RESIDENTS ON SMITHS ISLAND.

$$

IAC115-139-ILC131-161-311738-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-110803T1200Z/
/MUSI4.1.ER.110731T1459Z.110801T0000Z.110802T0000Z.NO/
839 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MUSCATINE.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 16.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS THE LOWER PORTION OF THE 
  RIVERSIDE PARK PARKING LOT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
333 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES PROVIDING CLEAR SKIES AND CALM
OR LIGHT WINDS TO MOST OF THE DVN CWA EARLY THIS MORNING. AREAS OF
FOG WAS OCCURRING DUE TO THE EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ALONG
WITH WET GROUND. MEANWHILE...NEARLY STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS
LOCATED IN CENTRAL MO WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. MID CLOUDS NORTH OF THE FRONT
WERE COVERING PORTIONS OF OUR SOUTHERN CWA. CLUSTERS OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED IN PORTIONS OF ND ALONG THE AXIS OF THE
NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AND WEAKER CAP REGION. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
WERE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S IN THE DVN CWA.

..HAASE..

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
FORECAST FOCUS ON AREAS OF FOG LATE AT NIGHT OTHERWISE QUIET WEATHER.

TODAY...WILL MONITOR FOG TRENDS EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA ALONG WITH CALM WINDS AND
WET GROUND...AREAS OF FOG HAVE DEVELOPED SINCE MIDNIGHT. WILL
MENTION FOG IN THE GRIDS UNTIL 7 OR 8 AM BUT NOT EXPECTING
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG AND FOR NOW WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES. IN
OUR SOUTHERN CWA WITH SOME CLOUD COVER HAVE MENTIONED ONLY PATCHY
FOG. CLOUDS IN OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY...ELSEWHERE
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED. MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS IN THE MID 80S TO 90. HEAT INDEX VALUES TO
RISE INTO THE 90S THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...AGAIN HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND CALM TO
LIGHT WINDS TO THE CWA. POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND HAVE MENTIONED IN THE GRIDS. MIN TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S.

..HAASE..

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
OVERVIEW...MAIN FORECAST FOCUS IN THE LONGER RANGE IS THE EXTENT OF
THE HEAT BUILDUP INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN THE EFFECTS OF COLD
FRONT FROM MID TO LATE WEEK.

MODELS...BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT RUN-TO-RUN WITH
THE OVERALL FEATURES.  THE GFS HAS BEEN SLOWER WITH THE SURFACE
FRONT AND THE LATEST ECMWF HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY...POSSIBLY TRENDING
TOWARD  THE GFS.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER RIDGE...BELIEVE
THAT THE SLOWER TIMING IS MORE REALISTIC AND THUS HAVE FAVORED THE
GFS THIS MORNING FOR TIMING THE FRONT TUESDAY.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NEARLY STAGNANT 597MB UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS WILL
DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH MID WEEK...FORCING THE TRACK OF THE
NORTHERN STREAM TO TRAVERSE ND/MN/MI. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...A
FAIRLY WEAK RIDGE WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY. WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF CLOUDS...TEMPS WILL EASILY CLIMB INTO THE 90S AREAWIDE BY
TUESDAY. GIVEN CROPS AT PEAK EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND RECENT
RAINFALL...DEW POINTS SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.  POOLING
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY ALSO EXACERBATE THE HUMIDITY
TUESDAY...ADDING FUEL TO THE FIRE SO TO SPEAK.  HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA /HEAT INDEX AT OR OVER 100/ LOOKS EASILY ATTAINABLE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. BIGGER QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER HEAT WARNING CRITERIA
/HEAT INDEX 105+ AND MIN HEAT INDEX OVER 75/ MAY BE REACHED.  AT
THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WILL BE MOST AT RISK WITH
WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPS AND HIGHER DEW POINTS...BUT THESE DETAILS
WILL SHOULD BECOME CLEARER IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

WITH THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER TIMING AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FROPA LOOKS ON
TRACK FOR TUESDAY EVENING.  DUE TO THE CAP...EXPECT INITIAL PRECIP
TO BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY...RIDGE FLATTENS MID WEEK AND THE ENERGY TRACK
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHERN INDIANA. MUCH LESS
CONFIDENCE EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO THE DETAILS OF THE SURFACE
FEATURES FROM WEDNESDAY ON.  HAVE KEPT LOW POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..33..

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR FOG...LOCALLY IFR CONDS IN DENSE FOG UNTIL ABOUT 13Z
OTHERWISE VFR TODAY AND THIS EVENING. EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THERE
WILL BE ONCE AGAIN AREAS OF MVFR FOG...LOCALLY IFR IN DENSE FOG.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDS MUCH OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 KNOTS TODAY THEN VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 KNOTS OR CALM TONIGHT.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS ON SUNDAY.

..HAASE..

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

HAASE/33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
354 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-301015-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
354 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A SIGOURNEY IOWA TO PRINCETON ILLINOIS.
OTHER THAN A HEAVY DOWNPOUR...NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

PATCHY DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE-HALF MILE OR LESS WILL
BURN OFF EARLY THIS MORNING.

THE MISSISSIPPI AND OTHER RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING. PLEASE
SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
AREA WIDE AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION.  IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE WHETHER THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE.

IN ADDITION TO THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. BY SUNDAY...THE HEAT INDEX
IS EXPECTED TO NEAR 100 DEGREES AND BY NEXT TUESDAY TO APPROACH 105
DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.