River Flood Warning 1, NWS Quad Cities, IA

567 
WGUS83 KDVN 170200
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
800 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE ONGOING SNOWMELT WAS CAUSING MINOR FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE DES MOINES RIVER.  THERE MAY BE SOME ICE JAMS 
ON THE DES MOINES RIVER NEAR KEOSAUQUA THAT ARE ALSO CONTRIBUTING
TO THE HIGH WATER LEVELS.  THE ICE JAMS MAY RESULT IN RAPIDLY
CHANGING RIVER LEVELS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC111-177-171400-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0001.110217T0154Z-000000T0000Z/
/KEQI4.1.ER.110216T2330Z.110217T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  22 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 22.5 FEET THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT  22 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS.

$$

940 
WGUS83 KDVN 171023
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
423 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE ONGOING SNOWMELT WAS CAUSING MINOR FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE DES MOINES RIVER.  THERE MAY BE SOME ICE JAMS 
ON THE DES MOINES RIVER NEAR KEOSAUQUA THAT ARE ALSO CONTRIBUTING
TO THE HIGH WATER LEVELS.  THE ICE JAMS MAY RESULT IN RAPIDLY
CHANGING RIVER LEVELS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC111-177-172223-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KEQI4.1.ER.110216T2330Z.110217T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
423 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  22 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 23.2 FEET TODAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT  22 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS.

$$

808 
WGUS83 KDVN 171649
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1049 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE ONGOING SNOWMELT IS RESULTING IN MINOR FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE DES MOINES...IOWA AND ENGLISH RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-180449-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0002.110218T0000Z-110225T1200Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.110218T0000Z.110219T0600Z.110224T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC103-183-180448-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110220T1200Z/
/KALI4.1.ER.110217T1138Z.110218T0000Z.110219T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.4 FEET THIS EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

IAC111-177-180448-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110224T1800Z/
/KEQI4.1.ER.110216T2330Z.110217T1615Z.110223T0600Z.NO/
1049 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS.

$$

037 
WGUS83 KDVN 180245
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
845 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT SNOW MELT WAS CAUSING SOME MINOR
FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.  

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-181445-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T1200Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.110218T0645Z.110219T1200Z.110224T0000Z.NO/
845 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ERRATIC GAGE READINGS DUE TO ICE IN THE
  RIVER WILL BE POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC103-183-181444-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T1245Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.110217T1138Z.110217T2300Z.110220T0045Z.NO/
845 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 15.4 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ERRATIC GAGE READINGS CAUSED BY ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE
  THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

IAC111-177-181444-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110224T1800Z/
/KEQI4.2.ER.110216T2330Z.110218T0130Z.110223T0600Z.NO/
845 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  22 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ERRATIC GAGE READINGS CAUSED BY ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE
  THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL TO FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  22 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS.

$$

MOC045-180315-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110220T0600Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.110217T1606Z.110217T2215Z.110217T2233Z.NO/
845 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  4:33 PM THURSDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ERRATIC GAGE READINGS CAUSED BY ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE
  THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 10.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.
$$

104 
WGUS83 KDVN 181125
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION WERE CAUSING
SOME MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC045-163-182325-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0005.110218T1822Z-110221T1400Z/
/DEWI4.1.ER.110218T1822Z.110219T0600Z.110220T0200Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  11 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER WAS EXPERIENCING FLUCTUATIONS AROUND
  THE FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING BECAUSE OF
  ICE ACTION.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO 
  11.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT  11 FEET...WATER AFFECTS COUNTY ROAD E63 NORTH OF THE 
  RIVER NEAR TORONTO AND AFFECTS THE LOWEST ROADS IN BUENA VISTA.

$$

IAC095-103-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T1200Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.110218T2010Z.110220T0000Z.110224T0000Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO 
  15.2 FEET SATURDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING. ICE ACTION MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL FLUCTUATIONS FROM THE 
  EXPECTED RIVER STAGE TRENDS.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC103-115-183-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110221T0300Z/
/LNTI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110218T0730Z.110219T1500Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER NEAR LONE TREE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 
  15.5 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...NEAR CREST NOW...WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND THE FLOOD STAGE
  BECAUSE OF ICE ACTION THROUGH TONIGHT. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING ROADS.

$$

IAC103-183-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T1245Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.110217T1138Z.110218T0630Z.110220T0045Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...NEAR CREST NOW. ICE ACTION MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
  FLUCTUATIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

IAC107-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0000Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110219T0000Z.110219T1200Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...SLOW RISE TO 16.4 FEET THIS EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND...SOME 
  COUNTY ROADS AND FARM HOUSES.

$$

IAC111-177-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110224T1800Z/
/KEQI4.2.ER.110216T2330Z.110218T0130Z.110223T0600Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  22 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...AN ICE JAM NEAR KEOSAUQUA APPEARS TO HAVE BROKEN
  UP OVERNIGHT AND ALLOWED FOR SHARPLY FALLING RIVER LEVELS.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO
  22.1 FEET SATURDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. ICE ACTION MAY PRODUCE LARGE DEVIATIONS FROM THE EXPECTED RIVER
  STAGE TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT  22 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS.

$$

IAC111-MOC045-182324-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110222T0000Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.110218T0439Z.110218T0800Z.110220T1200Z.NO/
525 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT ST FRANCISVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  18 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...A PORTION OF AN ICE JAM UPSTREAM NEAR KEOSAUQUA 
  HAS LIKELY BROKE LOOSE AND IS FLOWING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH THE ST FRANCISVILLE
  AREA. THE ICE FLOW AND RUN OFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT IS PRODUCING LARGE 
  RIVER RISES ON THE LOWER DES MOINES RIVER. 
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. ICE ACTION MAY
  PRODUCE LARGE DEVIATIONS FROM THE EXPECTED RIVER STAGE TRENDS
  THROUGH TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT  18 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS OVER THE LOWEST RIVER BANKS.

$$

095 
WGUS83 KDVN 181656
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION WAS CAUSING
SOME FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS WITH LOCALIZED ICE JAMS POSSIBLE.

RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED 24 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THE 
FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC045-163-190456-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0005.110219T0600Z-110221T0600Z/
/DEWI4.1.ER.110219T0600Z.110219T1200Z.110219T1800Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 11.1 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...WATER AFFECTS COUNTY ROAD E63 NORTH OF THE 
  RIVER NEAR TORONTO AND AFFECTS THE LOWEST ROADS IN BUENA VISTA.

$$

IAC095-103-190455-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0800Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.110218T1621Z.110220T0000Z.110223T2000Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.3 FEET SATURDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC103-115-183-190455-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110222T1000Z/
/LNTI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110218T0730Z.110220T2200Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER NEAR LONE TREE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 16.9 FEET TODAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING ROADS.

$$

IAC103-183-190455-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T1245Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.110217T1138Z.110218T0630Z.110220T0045Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.


$$

IAC107-181726-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0000Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110218T1200Z.110218T1407Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY.
* AT 10:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8:07 AM FRIDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 15.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS SOME LOWER AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC057-087-111-190455-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110221T0700Z/
/AGSI4.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110218T1800Z.110219T1900Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 10:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 20.3 FEET TODAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 19 FEET...WATER AFFECTS DRIVEWAYS AND GRAVEL ACCESS 
  ROADS IN AUGUSTA.

$$

IAC111-177-181726-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110224T1800Z/
/KEQI4.2.ER.110216T2330Z.110218T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT KEOSAUQUA.
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 17.3 FEET 
  TUESDAY. 


$$

IAC111-MOC045-181726-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110222T0000Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.110218T0439Z.110218T0800Z.110218T1224Z.NO/
1056 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT ST FRANCISVILLE.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6:24 AM FRIDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 15.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
310 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND WEB CAMS HAVE INDICATED THAT THE DENSE FOG
HAS NARROWED DOWN TO AN AXIS FROM TIPTON AND MONTICELLO...NORTHEAST
THROUGH DUBUQUE AND FREEPORT...WHERE VISIBILITIES REMAINED 1/4SM AT
MID AFTERNOON. THIS IS LIKELY THE PORTION OF FORECAST AREA WITH
DEEPEST SNOW COVER. ELSEWHERE...JUST AS THE FOG WAS LIFTING ACROSS
EASTERN IA...A SURGE OF STRATUS WAS SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...
ROUGHLY ASSOCIATED WITH MODEL MOISTURE AROUND 925 MB...PUSHING N-NE
FROM WESTERN MO INTO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF EASTERN IA. TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON HAVE VARIED WIDELY...RANGING FROM THE MID 30S WHERE
FOG HAS HUNG ON IN THE NORTH AND NW...TO THE MID 50S WHERE CONDITIONS
CLEARED OUT THIS MORNING ACROSS W CENTRAL IL. OTHERWISE...LARGER
SCALE FEATURES DOMINATED BY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND UNSEASONABLY WARM
SURFACE TO 850 MB LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW FOCUSING GULF MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO THE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MID MS VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
INITIAL CONCERN IS THE COVERAGE AND MAGNITUDE OF FOG FORMATION
TONIGHT...THEN POTENTIAL FOR RECORD TEMPERATURES THURSDAY.
CONCEPTUALLY...A WEAKLY BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...ALONG
WITH WARM ADVECTION DRAWING IN SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND EVEN
LOW 50S OVER THE COLD DAMP SNOW COVERED...OR RECENTLY SNOW COVERED
GROUND WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR FOG FORMATION. THIS HAS BEEN THE CASE
THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS E CENTRAL IA INTO FAR NW IL...LIKELY OVER THE
DEEPEST SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...A COMPLICATING FACTOR WILL BE A 40 TO 50
KT LOW LEVEL JET AND STRONG WARM ADVECTION FLOW AT 850 MB THAT
DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING TO POTENTIALLY ENHANCE LOW LEVEL
MIXING. MODELS SHOW THE SURFACE WINDS BACKED SLIGHTLY SE IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING VEERED MORE SOUTHERLY AND INCREASING TO 10
TO 20 KTS PARALLEL TO STRONGER 925 WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SO FAR
TODAY...MODELS HAVE HAD A POOR HANDLE ON LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...
APPEARING TO CONDENSE THE APPROACHING HIGHER SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO
THE AREA WHERE MODELS HAVE THE NOW RAPIDLY DIMINISHING SNOW COVER.

BASED ON A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST OF HOW THE ONGOING FOG...AND
REDEVELOPING FOG...WILL REACT TO THE ADVANCING STRATUS AND EVENTUAL
STRENGTHENING OF THE SURFACE WINDS...NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH AT THIS
POINT TO GO OUT WITH A DENSE FOG ADVISORY. OF COURSE THE CURRENT
AREA OF FOG IN E CENTRAL IA...IF IT HAS NOT CLEARED BY SUNSET...WILL
LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO RETURN TO BELOW 1/4SM...FOLLOWED BY THE REST
OF THE CWA PRIMARILY NORTH OF I-80 WHERE SNOWPACK REMAINS. WHAT IS
KNOWN IS THAT SOUNDINGS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR DRIZZLE TONIGHT WITH A
DEEP SATURATED LAYER UP THROUGH 850 MB...TOPPED BY A DRY MID LAYER
AND WEAK MID LEVEL FORCING FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
OVERNIGHT. WILL KEEP WIDESPREAD FOG AND DRIZZLE WORDING GOING WITH
MENTION OF DENSE FOG ACROSS THE NORTH. CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN
ALSO KEPT IN PLACE...BUT BASED ON SOUNDINGS...THIS MAY BE MORE OF A
MEASURABLE HEAVY DRIZZLE VERSUS LIGHT RAIN.

THURSDAY...MAIN QUESTION WILL BE IF AND WHEN AREAS CAN BREAK OUT OF
THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG AS STRONG PRE-FRONTAL SW FLOW DEVELOPS. WILL
CONTINUE TO BANK ON THE SW WINDS TO CAUSE MOST AREAS TO BREAK OUT
OF THE GRUNGE BY AFTERNOON AND STEER TOWARD RECORD OR NEAR RECORD
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S NORTH TO MID 60S SOUTH. ALSO...DEPENDING ON HOW
FAST TEMPERATURES DROP IN THE EVENING...MAY BE ABLE TO BREAK THE
RECORD WARM MINS AT DBQ AND MLI. LOWS TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE AT
MIDNIGHT WITH FORECAST TRENDED WITH RISING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. THE SPECIFIC RECORDS ARE GIVEN IN THE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW.  ..SHEETS

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...
...A MAINLY MODERATE SNOW/RAIN EVENT LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY MAIN
FORECAST ISSUE...

OVERVIEW...INITIALIZATION AVERAGE WITH CONTINUED BL TOO MOIST ISSUES
ALL SOLUTIONS WITH HI-RES ECMWF LEAST WORSE.  VERIFICATION AT 18Z
SUPPORTS A 70/30 MIX OF HI-RES ECMWF WITH REMAINING INPUTS FROM
UKMET/GFS/GEM-NH.  THIS SUPPORTS A DECENT WINTER WEATHER EVENT OVER
PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MINOR CHANGES MADE.  WEAK COLD FRONT
TO PASS WITH LIMITED FORCING MAY SPAWN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THURSDAY
NIGHT.  THEN...FAIR AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO
SUNDAY.  SOME GUSTY WNW WINDS UP TO 25+ MPH FRIDAY.  LATE
REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR TO ARRIVE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT MAY
ALLOW FOR A SPOTTY RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS...LIMITED FORCING ATTM
SUGGESTS ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT. SOME CONCERN THOUGH LEADING VORT
MAX MAY REQUIRE UPPING POPS FOR LATER SHIFTS SUNDAY.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...MODERATE STRENGTH UPPER WAVE TO PASS ON MONDAY
BEHIND A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR THAT MOVES IN SUNDAY. THIS IS
KEY AS WILL ADD ENOUGH COLD AIR FOR SNOW TO BREAK OUT AS SFC LOW
PASSES ACROSS MISSOURI ALONG THIS FRONT BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  POOR RUN TO
RUN PHASING VARIANCE STILL INDICATED FOR TIMING AND LOCATIONS
IMPACTED. SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING TOOLS DO SUGGEST AN ADVISORY SNOW
EVENT IS INDICATED WITH ISOLATED 6+ INCHES BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE. ENERGY VARIANCE TECHNIQUES SUPPORT THE TIMING AND LOCATIONS
FOR SNOW SHOULD BE CLARIFIED THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BLEND OF LOCAL
TOOLS DO SUGGEST AS OF THIS AFTERNOON THE BEST SNOW AMOUNTS TO OCCUR
ALONG AND ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-80 ATTM WITH A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW
ALONG/SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34. NE TO N WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ALSO
SUGGESTED WITH TEMPS AOB 32F IN SNOW OVER NORTH 1/2 OF AREA. MAY MAKE
MINOR UPDATES TO HWO PRODUCT ON BEING A BIT MORE SPECIFIC ON RISKS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...FAIR AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN.  ANY SNOW TOTALS WILL IMPACT TEMPERATURES
AND TOO EARLY TO TRY AND ACCOUNT FOR PROPERLY.  PASS TO LATER SHIFTS
TO RECONSIDER. MODERATE ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS LIMITED
FORCING FOR PRECIPITATION.  ..NICHOLS..

&&

.AVIATION...
BIG QUESTION WILL BE DETAILS AND TIMING OF RETURN OF LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AT ALL TAF SITES. LIFR AND VLIFR
CONDITIONS THAT HAVE LINGERED AT CID AND DBQ NOW LOOK LIKELY TO
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WELL INTO THURSDAY
AS STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS DRIVE WARM MOIST AIR OVER THE
COLD DAMP SURFACE CONDITIONS RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD FOG AND
DRIZZLE. AMOUNT OF FOG AT BRL AND MLI IS MORE QUESTIONABLE DUE TO
LESS SNOW COVER AT THESE SITES AND CLEARING THAT TOOK PLACE DURING
THE DAY. FOR NOW...HAVE FORECASTS AT THESE SITES TRENDED TO GO BACK
TO IFR AROUND SUNSET AND REMAIN IN THIS CATEGORY THROUGH THU
MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS COULD POTENTIALLY BOTTOM OUT IN LIFR
AS WELL. AT ALL SITES...DEVELOPING STRONG WINDS ABOVE 1000 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS...AND HAVE
THESE INCLUDED IN THE FORECASTS.    ..SHEETS..
&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY FEB 17...

BURLINGTON...... 61 SET IN 1994 AND PREVIOUS YEARS
CEDAR RAPIDS.... 66 SET IN 1981
DUBUQUE......... 61 SET IN 1981
MOLINE.......... 62 SET IN 1981

RECORD WARM LOWS FOR THURSDAY FEB 17...

DUBUQUE......36 SET IN 1890
MOLINE.......41 SET IN 1961

RECORD WARM LOWS FOR BURLINGTON AND CEDAR RAPIDS NOT AVAILABLE.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

SHEETS/NICHOLS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
637 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-171115-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
637 AM CST WED FEB 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING MAINLY ALONG AND
WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL NOON.

DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS EVENING OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK FOR FLOODING ON TRIBUTARY RIVERS
DUE TO THE SNOW MELT RUNOFF...AND POTENTIAL FOR BREAK UP ICE JAMS.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
WHILE OTHER LOCATIONS MAY HAVE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THIS FAR
OUT THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE RAIN AND SNOW LINE AND AMOUNTS ARE
STILL TO BE DETERMINED. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ANY
HEAVIER RAINFALL WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA RIVERS
...ESPECIALLY WHEN ADDING TO THE RUNOFF FROM THIS WEEKS SNOW MELT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.