Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Detroit, MI

293 
WWUS53 KDTX 090400
SVSDTX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1200 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MIC111-090500-
/O.CON.KDTX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110609T0500Z/
MIDLAND MI-
1200 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND COUNTY
UNTIL 100 AM EDT...

AT 1157 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM BEAVERTON TO OIL CITY TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHEPHERD...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE
DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SANFORD AND EDENVILLE AROUND 1210 AM EDT.
  HOPE AND AVERILL AROUND 1215 AM EDT.
  POSEYVILLE AND MIDLAND AROUND 1220 AM EDT.
  LAPORTE AROUND 1225 AM EDT.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
  SANFORD...            PLEASANT VALLEY...    OIL CITY...
  MIDLAND...            EDENVILLE...          COLEMAN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4382 8460 4382 8437 4383 8436
      4383 8417 4348 8417 4348 8437 4346 8437
      4346 8460 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0401Z 293DEG 41KT 4390 8450 4360 8456
          4341 8484
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

KURIMSKI

490 
WWUS53 KDTX 090413
SVSDTX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1213 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MIC111-090500-
/O.CON.KDTX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110609T0500Z/
MIDLAND MI-
1213 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND COUNTY
UNTIL 100 AM EDT...

AT 1211 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM EDENVILLE TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF
SANFORD TO ALMA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  POSEYVILLE AND MIDLAND AROUND 1220 AM EDT.
  LAPORTE AROUND 1225 AM EDT.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
  SANFORD...            PLEASANT VALLEY...    OIL CITY...
  MIDLAND...            EDENVILLE...          COLEMAN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4382 8460 4382 8437 4383 8436
      4383 8417 4348 8417 4348 8437 4346 8437
      4346 8460 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0413Z 293DEG 41KT 4384 8432 4354 8439
          4335 8467
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

KURIMSKI

821 
WWUS53 KDTX 090424
SVSDTX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1224 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MIC111-090500-
/O.CON.KDTX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110609T0500Z/
MIDLAND MI-
1224 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND COUNTY
UNTIL 100 AM EDT...

AT 1220 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM RHODES TO 7 MILES NORTH OF
MERRILL TO ITHACA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF MIDLAND
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4382 8460 4382 8437 4383 8436
      4383 8417 4348 8417 4348 8437 4346 8437
      4346 8460 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0425Z 293DEG 41KT 4385 8416 4348 8422
          4329 8450
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

KURIMSKI

202 
WWUS53 KDTX 090441
SVSDTX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1241 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MIC111-090500-
/O.CON.KDTX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110609T0500Z/
MIDLAND MI-
1241 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND COUNTY
UNTIL 100 AM EDT...

AT 1238 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF RHODES TO 5
MILES NORTHEAST OF MERRILL TO ITHACA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4382 8460 4382 8437 4383 8436
      4383 8417 4348 8417 4348 8437 4346 8437
      4346 8460 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0441Z 304DEG 22KT 4381 8418 4345 8424
          4326 8452
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

KURIMSKI

680 
WWUS53 KDTX 090454
SVSDTX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1254 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MIC111-090504-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110609T0500Z/
MIDLAND MI-
1254 AM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MIDLAND COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE
WARNED AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT.

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4382 8460 4382 8437 4383 8436
      4383 8417 4348 8417 4348 8437 4346 8437
      4346 8460 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0454Z 304DEG 22KT 4376 8409 4340 8415
          4322 8443

$$

KURIMSKI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
712 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

.AVIATION...

//DISCUSSION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE ALTHOUGH A FRONTAL
PASSAGE OVERNIGHT WILL DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH MAY DROP CRITERIA INTO MVFR IF THEY HAPPEN TO PASS OVER A TAF
SITE. WITH MBS/FNT IN THE PATH OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAKING
THEIR WAY IN FROM WESTERN MICHIGAN WILL INCLUDE SHOWERS AT THESE TAF
SITES DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE TAFS...HOWEVER WILL LEAVE OUT
THUNDER AS THIS ACTIVITY IS WEAKENING AS IT MOVES EAST. FOR THE REST
OF THE TAF SITES AND THE REST OF THE NIGHT THE COVERAGE AND TIMING
ARE TOO UNCERTAIN TO INCLUDE FOR THE OTHER SITES AT THIS POINT.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE THIS EVENING AND
BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR DTW...A FEW CONCERNS TOO KEEP IN MIND OVER THE NEXT 30 HOURS.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH THIS
EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE IN
COVERAGE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT THE MOMENT. A WIND SHIFT FROM SW
TO NE WILL OCCUR AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* MODERATE CONFIDENCE CEILINGS WILL FALL BETWEEN 3000 AND 5000 FEET
  THURSDAY MORNING AND LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* LOW CONFIDING IN MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES FROM WIDELY
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* MODERATE CONFIDENCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  THURSDAY MORNING BUT LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 328 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS THE THREAT FOR CONVECTION THIS EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE ALONG A PREFRONTAL
TROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING RESULTING IN SOME WIND/HAIL REPORTS AS
THEY TRAINED FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MI. DESPITE
OUTFLOW TRIGGERING NUMEROUS UPDRAFTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS ACTIVITY CAPPING REMAINED SUFFICIENT TO PREVENT ANY SOUTHWARD
DEVELOPMENT INTO OUR CWA. THE QUESTION HEADING INTO THE EVENING IS
THE DEGREE OF ORGANIZATION AND POTENTIAL SEVERE THREAT ASSOCIATED
WITH COLD FRONTAL CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTN.
HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE CONFIRMS CURRENT THINKING THAT ONGOING
CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST WILL INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
DIRECTLY UPSTREAM...POTENTIALLY REDUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS
FURTHER NORTH AND EAST. DESPITE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME...THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS
CONVECTION SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY ELEVATED IN A WEAKLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
PROFILES...RESULTING IN A MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THREAT AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE WIND GUSTS OVER 60MPH WHEREVER CONVECTION CAN
BECOME SFC BASED. DRY AIR IN THE MID AND LOWER LEVELS MAY ALSO
SUPPORT A FEW BOWING SEGMENTS. THE AREA SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE MOST
ACTIVE WX BY AROUND 06Z. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
AREAS...IT LOOKS LIKE ONE MORE WARM NIGHT FOR SE MI AS THE FRONT
SAGS SOUTHWARD TOWARD DETROIT AND THE I-94 CORRIDOR BY MORNING.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM UPPER MICHIGAN INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS FAR SE MI THURSDAY MORNING
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES.
OVERALL...THE SOUTHWARD PUSH TO THE SURFACE FRONT SHOULD SLOW AS THE
FRONT BECOMES ORIENTED NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE FLOW ALOFT. THE DEGREE
OF HEATING AND DAYTIME DESTABILIZATION ON THURSDAY WILL RELY BOTH ON
THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND COVERAGE OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THURS MORNING. AN EARLY MORNING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER
THE REGION WOULD LIKELY SEND RAIN COOLED OUTFLOW SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA...THEREBY ELIMINATING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION AFTER 12Z
THURS. IF THIS DOES NOT OCCUR HOWEVER...THERE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
CONVECTION ACROSS AT LEAST THE SOUTH HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
WITHIN THE RESIDUAL MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. IT IS FOR THIS
REASON THAT SPC HAS KEPT A SLIGHT RISK FORE SEVERE WX FOR METRO
DETROIT AND POINTS SOUTH ON THURS. OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION INDICATE A SHALLOW LAYER OF COLD AIR
NORTH OF THE SFC FRONT. THIS AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD SE MI ON
THURS...CAUSING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA TO SEE THEIR HIGH TEMPS IN THE MORNING. MODEL
SOUNDINGS ACTUALLY INDICATE PORTIONS OF THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND THUMB
REMAINING STUCK IN THE 50S THURS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE LAKE HURON
MARINE MODIFICATION UNDER THE NORTHERLY FLOW.

THE COOL AIR SHOULD FULLY ENGULF SE MI BY THURS NIGHT HAS THE HIGH
BUILDS NORTH OF LAKE HURON. THE 12Z MODEL SUITE REMAIN IN STRONG
AGREEMENT ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS OVER IOWA THURS NIGHT ON THE
NOSE OF STRONG 850MB INFLOW. THE REMNANTS OF THIS MCS WILL LIKELY
TRACK INTO WESTERN LOWER MI FRI MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS.
AS THIS MCS ADVANCES INTO LOWER MI...THE LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT
IT WILL OUTRUN THE BETTER INSTABILITY AND THUS SHOULD WEAKEN FAIRLY
RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE STATE. THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS HOWEVER FORECAST TO TRACK INTO THE DAKOTAS/NRN
MN ON FRIDAY. IN RESPONSE...SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSPORT
THE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS BACK INTO SE MI LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE OVERALL COVERAGE AND LOCATION OF POTENTIAL
CONVECTION LATE FRIDAY WILL LIKELY DEPEND ON THE ORIENTATION AND
LOCATION OF OUTFLOW FROM THE EARLIER MCS. THERE DOES APPEAR THE
POTENTIAL FOR MCS DEVELOPMENT OVER LOWER MI FRI NIGHT.

THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN SHOWING THE UPPER
LOW LIFTING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND. MODELS
HAVE ALSO TRENDED A LITTLE FASTER BRINGING SOME DRIER MID LEVEL AIR
INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS HOWEVER CONTINUE TO
SHOW SOME RESIDUAL INSTABILITY TO WARRANT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS
ON SATURDAY. IF A FRIDAY NIGHT MCS DOES DEVELOP OVER LOWER MI...
SUBSIDENCE IN ITS WAKE MAY SUPPORT REMOVAL OF SAT POPS. THE PASSAGE
OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE FORECAST
AREA BY SUNDAY. 850MB TEMPS ON SUNDAY ARE ACTUALLY FORECAST TO DROP
TO +6 TO +8C. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR QUITE A BIT
OF DAYTIME CU. THESE FACTORS SHOULD SUPPORT FAIRLY COOL TEMPS ON SUN
/HIGHS UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S/.

THE MEDIUM RANGE SUITE ARE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT IN INDICATING
A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN CONTROL ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL
WARRANT A DRY FORECAST WITH TEMPS NEAR EARLY JUNE AVERAGES.

MARINE...

WINDS WILL TURN NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 20 KTS BY MORNING. ALTHOUGH SOME LOCATIONS OVER LAKE HURON MAY
SEE OCCASIONAL GUSTS APPROACHING SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA...EXPECTED
COVERAGE AND DURATION IS SUCH THAT NO ADVISORIES ARE ANTICIPATED.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF LAKE HURON...AS WELL AS LAKE ST CLAIR AND THE MI WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...HEAT ADVISORY...MIZ047-MIZ048-MIZ049-MIZ053-MIZ054-MIZ055-MIZ060-
     MIZ061-MIZ062-MIZ063-MIZ068-MIZ069-MIZ070-MIZ075-MIZ076-MIZ082-
     MIZ083...UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.

LAKE HURON...NONE.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.

&&

AVIATION.....KURIMSKI
SHORT TERM...JVC
LONG TERM....RK/SC
MARINE.......JVC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1128 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

MIZ049-054-055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-091000-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-
OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
1128 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
THAT THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER. STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS
THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY
ON FRIDAY. ENERGY MOVING ALONG THE STALLED FRONT WILL CAUSE
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH INTO MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT WITH A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DISPATCHERS PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-091000-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-
1128 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 448 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH
ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND HAIL TO 1.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS MICHIGAN.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY
ON FRIDAY. ENERGY MOVING ALONG THE STALLED FRONT WILL CAUSE
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH INTO MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT WITH A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS OCCURRED.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-091000-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1128 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 448 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM FOR THE
SAGINAW BAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS A COLD FRONT
SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH
AND HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS MICHIGAN. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE FROM LAKE ST CLAIR SOUTH TO LAKE ERIE.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY
ON FRIDAY. ENERGY MOVING ALONG THE STALLED FRONT WILL CAUSE
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH INTO MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT WITH A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS OCCURRED.

KEC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1100 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

MIZ047-048-090345-
BAY MI-MIDLAND MI-
1100 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MIDLAND AND NORTHERN BAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

AT 1057 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HOCKADAY TO COLEMAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
EDENVILLE AROUND 1105 PM EDT.
HOPE...AVERILL AND SANFORD AROUND 1110 PM EDT.
BOMBAY AROUND 1115 PM EDT.
MOUNT FOREST AND BENTLEY AROUND 1125 PM EDT.
WILLARD AND CRUMP AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
PINCONNING AND LINWOOD AROUND 1140 PM EDT.
BAY CITY STATE RECREATION AREA AND KAWKAWLIN AROUND 1145 PM EDT.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

KURIMSKI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1131 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

MIZ048-090430-
BAY MI-
1131 PM EDT WED JUN 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BAY COUNTY UNTIL
1230 AM EDT...

AT 1126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BENTLEY TO
BEAVERTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
BENTLEY AROUND 1145 PM EDT.
MOUNT FOREST AROUND 1155 PM EDT.
PINCONNING AROUND 1220 AM EDT.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

KURIMSKI