Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Detroit, MI

August 1, 2011Lenawee County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 1, 2011, 2:38 PM EDT for Lenawee County, Michigan. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2011, 2:38 PM EDT (18:38 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2011, 3:09 PM EDT
In force
31 min
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Lenawee County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2432 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 118 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2432 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
864 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
7.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 1, 12:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 12:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 4:56 AM EDT, 9 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-020900-
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE
INCH IN DIAMETER. STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WITH STORMS
BECOMING LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE
COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

MIZ047>049-053>055-020900-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH
COVERAGE DECREASING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE DAY. THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO
ONE INCH IN DIAMETER. STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND
30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WITH STORMS LIKELY
TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE
COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

LCZ423-460-LEZ444-020900-
DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE
INCH IN DIAMETER. STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 30 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WITH STORMS LIKELY
TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE
COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-020900-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH
COVERAGE DECREASING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE DAY. THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE
INCH IN DIAMETER. STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 30 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WITH STORMS LIKELY
TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE
COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

LCZ422-LHZ361>363-020900-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON AND
LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WITH STORMS LIKELY
TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HLO

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 1, 12:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 1, 1:39 PM EDT, 59 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 1, 2:30 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 3:23 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw37 min
Aug 1, 3:55 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX96 min
Aug 1, 5:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay, Tuscola35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.