River Flood Warning 9, NWS Detroit, MI

004 
WGUS43 KDTX 271431 CCA
FLWDTX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 
1029 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER NEAR MIDLAND
  SAGINAW RIVER NEAR SAGINAW

.WIDESPREAD PERSISTANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THE 
SAGINAW VALLEY REGION HAS RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL AND APPRECIABLE 
RUNOFF INTO THE AREA RIVERS.  ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL 
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY RIVER LEVELS.  

MIC111-145-272229-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0009.110428T1054Z-110501T0142Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T1054Z.110429T1200Z.110430T1942Z.NO/
1029 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 20.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 26.5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST
  OF 27.0 FEET ON MAR 15 2006.  

$$

MIC017-145-272229-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0712Z-110502T0430Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.110429T0712Z.110430T0000Z.110501T2230Z.NO/
1029 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 13.5 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 18.0 FEET FRIDAY EVENING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST
  OF 19.5 FEET ON APR 30 2009.  

$$

901 
WGUS83 KDTX 272131
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
531 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    SAGINAW RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.WIDESPREAD PERSISTANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS 
THE SAGINAW VALLEY REGION HAS RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL AND APPRECIABLE 
RUNOFF INTO THE AREA RIVERS.  ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL 
TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY RIVER LEVELS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-280531-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.110428T1054Z-110501T0142Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T1054Z.110429T1200Z.110430T1942Z.NO/
531 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 22.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 26.5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-280531-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0712Z-110502T0430Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.110429T0712Z.110430T0000Z.110501T2230Z.NO/
531 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 14.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 18.0 FEET FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

231 
WGUS83 KDTX 280105
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
905 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    SAGINAW RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.WIDESPREAD PERSISTANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS 
THE SAGINAW VALLEY REGION HAS RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL AND APPRECIABLE 
RUNOFF INTO THE AREA RIVERS.  ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL 
TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY RIVER LEVELS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-280905-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.110428T0815Z-110501T0000Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0815Z.110429T1200Z.110430T1800Z.NO/
905 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 22.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW...
  AND CREST AROUND 26.3 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC017-145-280904-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0730Z-110502T0359Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.110429T0730Z.110430T0600Z.110501T2159Z.NO/
905 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 14.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 18.0 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

816 
WGUS83 KDTX 280416
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1216 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    SAGINAW RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.WIDESPREAD PERSISTANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS 
THE SAGINAW VALLEY REGION HAS RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL AND APPRECIABLE 
RUNOFF INTO THE AREA RIVERS.  ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL 
TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY RIVER LEVELS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-281216-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.110428T0451Z-110501T0000Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0451Z.110429T1200Z.110430T1800Z.NO/
1216 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 23.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CREST 
  AROUND 26.3 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC017-145-281216-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0730Z-110502T0200Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.110429T0730Z.110430T1200Z.110501T2000Z.NO/
1216 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE IS 14.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 18.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

141 
WGUS83 KDTX 281145
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
745 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    SAGINAW RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.WIDESPREAD PERSISTENT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS 
THE SAGINAW VALLEY REGION HAS RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL AND APPRECIABLE 
RUNOFF INTO THE AREA RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...AVOID HIGH WATER NEAR THE BANKS OF THESE RIVERS BOTH ON FOOT 
AND IN VEHICLES. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-281945-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1200Z.110430T1800Z.NO/
745 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 24.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 26.3 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-281945-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0730Z-110502T0200Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.110429T0730Z.110430T1200Z.110501T2000Z.NO/
745 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 15.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW...
  AND CREST AROUND 18.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

442 
WGUS83 KDTX 281500
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1100 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.RAINFALL OF UP TO THREE INCHES ACROSS THE BASIN
HAS LED TO THE SIGNIFICANT RISE IN THE RIVER.
NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-282300-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1200Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 25.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 27.9 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

851 
WGUS83 KDTX 282133
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...KEARSLEY CREEK...SAGINAW RIVER...SHIAWASSEE RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

..RAINFALL OF UP TO THREE INCHES OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS CAUSED
THE SIGNIFICANT RISES IN THE RIVERS.  STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS HELPING TO PUSH WATER OUT OF THE SAGINAW
RIVER INTO SAGINAW BAY.  THIS HAS HELPED SLOW THE RISE OF THE SAGINAW
RIVER IN SAGINAW.  AS THE WINDS VEER TO THE NORTH AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT
THE RIVER SHOULD BEGIN RISING MORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC111-145-290533-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1200Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 26.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 27.2 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-290533-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.110429T0354Z-110503T0730Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0354Z.110430T1200Z.110503T0130Z.NO/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 16.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT...
  AND CREST AROUND 20.7 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC145-155-290533-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110429T1645Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.110428T0948Z.110428T1445Z.110429T1045Z.NO/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER AT OWOSSO. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 7.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 7.5 FEET AT 3 PM THURSDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC145-290533-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0600Z.110430T1200Z.NO/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 11.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 12.3 FEET TONIGHT.


$$

MIC049-290533-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0014.110428T2128Z-110430T2100Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.110428T1752Z.110429T1215Z.110430T1500Z.NR/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  KEARSLEY CREEK NEAR DAVISON. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 10.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 10,5 FEET FRIDAY
  MORNING.


$$

MIC145-290533-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.110429T0430Z-110501T0959Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.110429T0430Z.110430T0000Z.110501T0359Z.NO/
533 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE IS 16.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT...
  AND CREST AROUND 17.9 FEET FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

425 
WGUS83 KDTX 290439
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...SAGINAW RIVER...SHIAWASSEE RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE 
RIVER

.RAINFALL OF UP TO THREE INCHES OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS CAUSED
THE SIGNIFICANT RISES IN THE RIVERS.  STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY
HELPED TO PUSH WATER OUT OF THE SAGINAW RIVER INTO SAGINAW BAY WHICH 
SLOWED THE RISE OF THE SAGINAW RIVER IN SAGINAW. THE RIVER IS NOW RISING 
AS WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND VEER TO THE NORTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-291239-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.110429T0427Z-110501T1030Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.110428T2348Z.110429T1800Z.110501T0430Z.NO/
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 17.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 18.3 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC111-145-291239-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1200Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 27.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 27.8 FEET THIS MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-291239-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1200Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0226Z.110430T1200Z.110503T0600Z.NO/
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 17.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY YESTERDAY LATE EVENING...
  AND CREST AROUND 20.8 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MIC145-155-291239-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110429T1442Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.110428T0948Z.110428T1445Z.110429T0842Z.NO/
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER AT OWOSSO. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 7.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 7.5 FEET AT 4 PM THURSDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.


$$

MIC145-291239-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1912Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0600Z.110430T1312Z.NO/
1239 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 12.2 FEET AND IS NEARLY STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AT CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING AND GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TOMORROW MORNING.


$$
KEC/JVC

252 
WGUS83 KDTX 291049
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
649 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...SAGINAW RIVER...SHIAWASSEE RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE 
RIVER

.RAINFALL OF UP TO THREE INCHES OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS CAUSED
THE SIGNIFICANT RISES IN THE RIVERS.  STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY
HELPED TO PUSH WATER OUT OF THE SAGINAW RIVER INTO SAGINAW BAY WHICH 
SLOWED THE RISE OF THE SAGINAW RIVER IN SAGINAW. THE RIVER IS NOW RISING 
AS WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND VEER TO THE NORTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-291849-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110501T1030Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.110428T2348Z.110429T1800Z.110501T0430Z.NO/
649 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 18.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING AND GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC111-145-291849-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1200Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
649 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 27.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING AND GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

MIC017-145-291849-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1200Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1200Z.110503T0600Z.NO/
649 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 17.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 20.8 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.

$$

MIC145-291849-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1912Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0715Z.110430T1312Z.NO/
649 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 6 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 12.3 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AT CREST AND SHOULD FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE MORNING.

$$

871 
WGUS83 KDTX 291422
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...SHIAWASSEE RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-292222-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110502T0000Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.110428T2348Z.110430T0600Z.110501T1800Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 18.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 19.7 FEET TONIGHT.


$$

MIC111-145-292221-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T1545Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1800Z.110501T0945Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 27.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 27.7 FEET AT 8 AM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-292221-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1500Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1800Z.110503T0900Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 18.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 20.1 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC091-115-292221-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.110429T1417Z-110502T0429Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110430T0600Z.110501T2229Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 683.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 684.7 FEET TONIGHT.


$$

MIC145-292221-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0715Z.110430T1200Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 12.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 12.2 FEET AT 7 AM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

503 
WGUS83 KDTX 292109
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...SHIAWASSEE RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-157-300509-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110501T0651Z/
/VSSM4.2.ER.110429T1530Z.110430T0600Z.110501T0051Z.NO/
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER AT VASSAR. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 14.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 15.2 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.


$$

MIC111-145-300509-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T1545Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1545Z.110501T0945Z.NO/
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 27.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 27.8 FEET AT 8 AM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC017-145-300509-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1500Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1800Z.110503T0900Z.NO/
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 19.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 20.1 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MIC091-115-300509-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110501T2000Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110430T0600Z.110501T1400Z.NO/
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 684.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING LATER TONIGHT AND GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC145-300509-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1513Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0715Z.110430T0913Z.NO/
509 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 11.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 11.7 FEET AT 1 PM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.


$$

674 
WGUS83 KDTX 300243
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...HURON RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...
SHIAWASSEE RIVER...TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-157-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110501T0224Z/
/VSSM4.2.ER.110429T1530Z.110430T0600Z.110430T2024Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER AT VASSAR. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 14.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AT CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING AND GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC145-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110502T0600Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.110428T2348Z.110430T0600Z.110502T0000Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 20.0 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST TONIGHT AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALL ON SATURDAY.  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

MIC111-145-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T1415Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1545Z.110501T0815Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 27.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL.  THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC017-145-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1330Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1800Z.110503T0730Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 19.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 20.0 FEET TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

MIC091-115-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110501T2200Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110430T1200Z.110501T1600Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 684.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AT CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN 
  FALLING.  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

MIC115-301043-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0018.110430T1342Z-110502T1629Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.110430T1342Z.110501T0600Z.110502T1029Z.NR/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT DUNDEE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS ESTIMATED AT 647.3 FEET AND SLOWLY 
  RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 650.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 651.2 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC115-301043-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0019.110501T0000Z-110502T0600Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.110501T0000Z.110501T1200Z.110502T0000Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT MONROE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 8.4 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING...
  AND CREST AROUND 9.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

MIC093-301042-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0020.110501T0000Z-110507T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.110501T0000Z.110502T0000Z.110506T1800Z.NR/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  HURON RIVER NEAR HAMBURG.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING...
  AND CREST AROUND 6.8 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

MIC145-301042-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110430T1424Z/
/FRGM4.1.ER.110428T1310Z.110429T0715Z.110430T0824Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SHIAWASSEE RIVER NEAR FERGUS.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE IS 10.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 10.7 FEET AT 9 PM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.

$$

190 
WGUS83 KDTX 300847
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...HURON RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC145-157-301647-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110501T0131Z/
/VSSM4.1.ER.110429T1530Z.110430T0050Z.110430T1931Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER AT VASSAR. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 14.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 14.6 FEET AT 9 PM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC145-301646-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110502T0600Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.110428T2348Z.110430T0500Z.110502T0000Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.2 FEET AND 
HOLDING STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 20.2 FEET AT 2 AM SATURDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

MIC111-145-301646-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T1415Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1545Z.110501T0815Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 26.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 27.7 FEET AT 10 AM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.


$$

MIC017-145-301646-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T1330Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1800Z.110503T0730Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 19.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 20.0 FEET THIS 
  AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC091-115-301646-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110501T2200Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110430T1200Z.110501T1600Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE IS 684.25 FEET AND 
  SLOWLY RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AROUND 683.0 FEET THIS MORNING
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MIC115-301646-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0018.110430T1959Z-110502T1629Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.110430T1959Z.110501T0600Z.110502T1029Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT DUNDEE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 648.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 650.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
  AND CREST AROUND 651.1 FEET TONIGHT.


$$

MIC115-301646-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0019.110501T0000Z-110502T0600Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.110501T0000Z.110501T1200Z.110502T0000Z.NO/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT MONROE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 8.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT...
  AND CREST AROUND 9.1 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MIC093-301646-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0020.110430T1531Z-110507T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.110430T1531Z.110502T0000Z.110506T1800Z.NR/
447 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  HURON RIVER NEAR HAMBURG.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING...
  AND CREST AROUND 6.8 FEET TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

247 
WGUS83 KDTX 301621
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...HURON RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC093-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMGM4.2.ER.110430T1330Z.110502T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  HURON RIVER NEAR HAMBURG.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 7.0 FEET MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC111-145-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0645Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1545Z.110501T0045Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 25.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 27.6 FEET AT 3 PM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.


$$

MIC017-145-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T2159Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110430T1800Z.110503T1559Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 19.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 20.0 FEET AT 9 AM SATURDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC091-115-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110429T1925Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 683.6 FEET AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 684.0 FEET AT 3 PM FRIDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.


$$

MIC115-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0018.110430T2247Z-110502T0200Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.110430T2247Z.110501T0600Z.110501T2000Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT DUNDEE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 648.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 650.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING...
  AND CREST AROUND 650.3 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.


$$

MIC115-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0019.110501T1200Z-110502T0000Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.110501T1200Z.110501T1200Z.110501T1800Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT MONROE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 8.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AT FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MIC145-010021-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110501T1715Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.110428T2348Z.110430T0500Z.110501T1115Z.NO/
1221 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 19.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 20.2 FEET AT 1 AM SATURDAY
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

623 
WGUS83 KDTX 302318
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    CASS RIVER...HURON RIVER...RIVER RAISIN...SAGINAW RIVER...
TITTABAWASSEE RIVER

.RAIN IS EXPECTECTED OVERNIGHT HOWEVER...AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT
AND SHOULD NOT EFFECT THE RIVER LEVELS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

MIC093-010718-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMGM4.2.ER.110430T1330Z.110502T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  HURON RIVER NEAR HAMBURG.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 6 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 7.0 FEET MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

MIC017-145-010717-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110503T2159Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.110429T0235Z.110501T0000Z.110503T1559Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  SAGINAW RIVER AT SAGINAW. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 20.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEARING CREST AND SHOULD BEGIN
  FALLING OVERNIGHT.

$$

MIC091-115-010600-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110501T0600Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.110429T0701Z.110429T1925Z.110501T0000Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT BLISSFIELD. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 683.1 AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 683.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* THE RIVER CRESTED AT 684.0 THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.


$$

MIC115-010717-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110502T0200Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.110430T2326Z.110501T0600Z.110501T2000Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT DUNDEE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 650 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 650.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND 650.3 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.


$$

MIC115-010717-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0019.110501T1200Z-110502T0000Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.110501T1200Z.110501T1200Z.110501T1800Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  RIVER RAISIN AT MONROE. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 8.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST IS TO CREST AROUND FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

MIC145-010717-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110501T1303Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.110428T2348Z.110430T0500Z.110501T0703Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  CASS RIVER FROM FRANKENMUTH DOWNSTREAM TO BRIDGEPORT. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 18.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY.

$$

MIC111-145-302348-
/O.CAN.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T0645Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.110428T0520Z.110429T1545Z.110430T2127Z.NO/
718 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  TITTABAWASSEE RIVER AT MIDLAND.. 
* FROM NOW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE IS 24.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
752 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

.AVIATION...

THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION OF THE DAY IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION
AT PRESS TIME. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A GENERAL MVFR PATTERN OF
SHOWERS AND WEAKER THUNDERSTORMS, BUT STILL CAPABLE OF A HEAVY
DOWNPOUR, THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
INDIANA AND INTO CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. IT DOES LOOK LIKE THE
SURFACE LOW WILL PASS WEST OF MBS MEANING WINDS VEERING TO
SOUTHWEST AT ALL TERMINAL SITES BY LATE AFTERNOON AND THEN VEERING
MORE TOWARD NORTHWEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS
EVENING. A RESPECTABLE BREAK IN THE SHOWER PATTERN REMAINS ON
TRACK FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE THE NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS A NEW SURGE OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION FOR
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO OUR EAST
THROUGH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY SUNRISE THURSDAY
MORNING WITH A PERIOD OF IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ON THE WESTERN FLANK THAT WILL PASS THROUGH SE MICHIGAN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 355 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

SHORT TERM... TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXCEPT FOR THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND NORTHERN THUMB, MOST OF SE
MICHIGAN ESCAPED MEANINGFUL CONVECTION YESTERDAY. THAT WILL CHANGE
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE HELP OF TWO MOISTURE LADEN LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS. THE FIRST WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO SE MICHIGAN DURING THE MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. AFTER A
SHORT BREAK, THE SECOND WILL SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER CAN'T BE
RULED OUT IN THE MOST INTENSE STORMS, EVENTS IN THIS PATTERN WILL
MORE LIKELY INVOLVE HEAVY RAINFALL. THAT BEING SAID, IT ALSO LOOKS
LIKE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS THAT HEADLINES FOR
POTENTIAL FLOODING WOULD BE BETTER ISSUED IF NECESSARY AFTER
EVALUATION OF DAYTIME RAINFALL ALONG WITH REFINEMENT OF EXPECTATIONS
ON THE SYSTEM FOR TONIGHT.

SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE COMPLEXITY OF THE PATTERN FROM LOW
PRESSURE OVER UPPER MICHIGAN EXTENDING ALL THE WAY SOUTH INTO TEXAS.
IN BETWEEN IS A WAVE THAT WILL MOVE FROM INDIANA THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN TODAY ALONG THE WEST FLANK OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS
THAT IS MARKED BY A BOUNDARY STRONG ENOUGH TO SHOW UP IN EARLY
MORNING RADAR DATA. THERE IS SOME EMBELLISHMENT DUE TO CONVECTION IN
THE EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE WAVE AS IT MOVES THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN
BUT THIS JUST MEANS THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE CONVECTION WITH EASE DUE
TO VERTICAL MOTION UNDER THE STRONGLY COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE ON
THE DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS. ADDITIONAL SURFACE
PRESSURE FALLS ARE THEN LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS MCV
CHARACTERISTICS WITH TIME ALLOWING SOME FEEDBACK INTO ADDITIONAL
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IN THE
NEIGHBORHOOD OF 1.5 INCH PW AND 850 MB DEWPOINT AROUND 10C WILL THEN
MAKE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM.

MORE VIGOROUS CONVECTION ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE RAINFALL PATTERN
DURING THE MORNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
INDICATED IN MODEL ANALYSIS FIELDS TO BE ROUGHLY 7 C/KM IN THE 700
TO 500 MB LAYER WITH 850 MB LI NEAR -2C. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
WILL OTHERWISE BE LIMITED BY A LACK OF SURFACE BASED CAPE THROUGH
THE DAY AND A TREND TOWARD DEEP MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH SE MICHIGAN. A MODIFIED AFTERNOON MODEL
SOUNDING WITH A SURFACE PARCEL OF 67/57 ONLY YIELDS CAPE AROUND 200
J/KG.

THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT INDICATING A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TIMING ON THE NEXT WAVE
IS THEN SET FROM ABOUT MID EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN SHORT WAVE
ALOFT WITH A STRONGER MID LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS HELPS MODEL
DEPICTIONS EXHIBIT SOME SUBTLE HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNATURE/SHARS
CHARACTERISTICS, AT LEAST IN TERMS OF A MID LEVEL TROWAL AXIS.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY AND THERE IS SOME
QUESTION IN THE MODEL AGREEMENT ON A TRACK TO OUR EAST VERSUS
OVERHEAD OR TO OUR WEST. REGARDLESS OF THE TRACK, ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED IN SE MICHIGAN WITH
FLOODING POTENTIAL STRONGLY DEPENDENT ON REFINEMENT ON THE TRACK OF
THIS WAVE AND ON HOW THINGS TURN OUT DURING THE DAY WITH THE FIRST
SYSTEM.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH ONTARIO
THURSDAY...LEAVING THE AREA IN CYCLONIC FLOW. MOISTURE WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM...IN ADDITION TO SOME MOISTURE
CONTRIBUTION FROM GREAT LAKES...WILL GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS
DURING THE DAY AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN BELOW 800MB. BREEZY CONDITIONS
AND COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL AND WELL BELOW
NORMAL...NOT ALLOWING FOR TOO MUCH RECOVERY FROM MORNING LOWS. UPPER
LOW THAT HAD STALLED OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL SHEAR OUT AS
IT DROPS DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES LATE ON THURSDAY. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A WEAK KINK IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE
PATTERN OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...WITH A VERY WEAK TROUGH AXIS SHOWN
BY GFS/EURO PUSHING ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN IN THE EVENING. THIS
SHOULD HELP KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS GOING INTO THE EVENING...BEFORE
THE SHORTWAVE TRACKS INTO PENNSYLVANIA AND DRIER AIR ADVECTS INTO
MICHIGAN FROM THE WEST.

GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS CONTINUES WITH A RIDGE BUILDING INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SHOULD FINALLY BRING SOME
DRIER WEATHER TO THE AREA WHILE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND
BACK UP INTO THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60.

UPPER TROUGH BUILDING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL DROP INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. ON FRIDAY. ENERGY WITHIN THIS TROUGH NOW LOOKS TO SPLIT
PER LATEST GFS/EURO/GEM/UKMET WITH ONE CHUNK RIDING THROUGH THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. AND THE OTHER DROPPING DOWN INITIALLY
TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY CARVE AN ELONGATED
TROUGH OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY BY SATURDAY...WITH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NOW EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES DOWN
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. CURRENT CONSENSUS IS FOR THE UPPER TROUGH
AND FRONT TO PROGRESS SLOWLY EAST OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CREEPING ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY AS SMALLER WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE UP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY.
GFS AND EURO DIFFER WITH WHICH WAVES THEY AMPLIFY SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...LENDING A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST AS THE GFS
NOW SPINS UP A PRETTY HEALTHY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT TRACKS
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. CURRENT FORECAST
HIGHLIGHTS PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...BUT COULD SEE POTENTIALLY NEEDING POPS MONDAY AS WELL IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH THE REGION...OR
SPIN UP LOWS TO OUR SOUTH LIKE THE 00Z GFS.

MARINE...

TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE SET TO AFFECT LAKE HURON AND LOWER
MICHIGAN IN QUICK SUCCESSION TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR NOW, THE MAIN
CONCERN WITH THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL,
WITH LINGERING QUESTIONS ON THE SPEED AND DIRECTION OF THE WIND.
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH REGARD TO THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
EACH SURFACE LOW, AND CHANGES IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE AN
EFFECT ON THE RESULTANT WINDS. THE LATEST EXPECTATION IS FOR THE
FIRST SYSTEM TO TRACK THROUGH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY FOLLOWED
BY THE SECOND SYSTEM THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND EAST OF LAKE HURON
TONIGHT. ALSO FOR NOW, WIND SPEED AND WAVE ACTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO
MEET ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR SMALL CRAFT UNTIL POSSIBLY THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY AS STRONGER WESTERLY WIND BRINGS COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...NONE.
LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.

&&

AVIATION.....BT
SHORT TERM...BT
LONG TERM....HLO
MARINE.......BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-280845-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT OTHER SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS OF RAIN...THAT COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...ALONG
WITH HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. STORM MOTION
WILL BE NORTH AT 40 MPH.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE
MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AND WILL BRING A PATTERN OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH IT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN LOCATIONS THAT SEE REPEATED COVERAGE OF STORMS. A
BREAK IN ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM ARRIVES WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EQUALLY CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDED
TOGETHER...THE TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TODAY AND TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING OF PRONE AREAS AND TO RISES IN CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE
REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT PLANNED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT
SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL MEASUREMENTS ARE REQUESTED.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-280845-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS OVER LAKE HURON AND SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY AND
TONIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT OTHER
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN ALONG WITH HALF INCH HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS. STORM MOTION WILL BE NORTH AT 35 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS
GUSTY WINDS DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD
FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IN NOT PLANNED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LHZ361>363-280845-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH PORTIONS OF LAKE
HURON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT OTHER SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS OF RAIN ALONG WITH HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 35
KNOTS. STORM MOTION WILL BE NORTH AT 35 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

BT/HLO

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
454 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

MIZ082-271000-
LENAWEE-
454 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 452 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTH OF MORENCI...MOVING NORTH AT 60
MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS NEAR 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MORENCI BY 510 AM EDT...
  HUDSON BY 515 AM EDT...
  CLAYTON BY 520 AM EDT...
  ADDISON BY 525 AM EDT...
  CEMENT CITY AND ONSTED BY 530 AM EDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

BT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
543 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

MIZ068-075-271045-
LIVINGSTON-WASHTENAW-
543 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 541 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MANCHESTER...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS NEAR 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DEXTER AND CHELSEA BY 555 AM EDT...
  PINCKNEY AND HAMBURG BY 605 AM EDT...
  BRIGHTON BY 615 AM EDT...
  HOWELL BY 620 AM EDT...
  OAK GROVE AND HARTLAND BY 625 AM EDT...
  COHOCTAH BY 630 AM EDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

BT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
605 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

MIZ083-271100-
MONROE-
605 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 602 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTH OF
TEMPERANCE TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TEMPERANCE TO 36 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF TEMPERANCE...MOVING NORTH AT 60 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAMBERTVILLE BY 615 AM EDT...
  TEMPERANCE AND LUNA PIER BY 620 AM EDT...
  IDA BY 625 AM EDT...
  DUNDEE AND MONROE BY 630 AM EDT...
  MAYBEE BY 635 AM EDT...
  CARLETON BY 640 AM EDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.

BT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
620 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

MIZ060-061-271100-
GENESEE-SHIAWASSEE-
620 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 618 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTH OF
PERRY TO 22 MILES SOUTH OF DURAND...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MORRICE AND PERRY BY 635 AM EDT...
  GAINES AND DURAND BY 640 AM EDT...
  SWARTZ CREEK BY 645 AM EDT...
  OWOSSO AND LENNON BY 650 AM EDT...
  HENDERSON AND NEW LOTHROP BY 655 AM EDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

OROW