Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 59, NWS Detroit, MI

November 28, 2011

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Nov 28, 2011, 4:26 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 29, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2011, 4:26 PM EST (21:26 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 29, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 30, 2011, 3:34 PM EST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

221 
WHUS73 KDTX 282126
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
426 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...NORTHEAST GALES OVER LAKE HURON BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY LATE TONIGHT 
INTO TUESDAY AS CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE TO NORTHEASTERLY GALES 
OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS 
WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE THE 
NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF STRONG 
WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL FURTHER 
INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE COMMON FOR 
THE WARNED AREA. HIGHER END GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS CANNOT BE RULED 
OUT...ESPECIALLY FROM CENTRAL LAKE HURON INTO SAGINAW BAY. IN 
ADDITION...MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A 
COUPLE OF GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ON AN INFREQUENT AND ISOLATED BASIS. 
EVEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES ON WEDNESDAY....COLD
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS TO REACH LOW END GALE
CRITERIA INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

LHZ422-290930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0024.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
426 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-421-441-442-462-463-290930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0024.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
426 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 19 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 27 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-464-290930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0024.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
426 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 18 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 26 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
350 
WHUS73 KDTX 290219
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
919 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...NORTHEAST GALES OVER LAKE HURON BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY LATE TONIGHT 
INTO TUESDAY AS CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE TO NORTHEASTERLY GALES 
OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS 
WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE THE 
NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF STRONG 
WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL FURTHER 
INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE COMMON FOR 
THE WARNED AREA. HIGHER END GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS CANNOT BE RULED 
OUT...ESPECIALLY FROM CENTRAL LAKE HURON INTO SAGINAW BAY. IN 
ADDITION...MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A 
COUPLE OF GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ON AN INFREQUENT AND ISOLATED BASIS. 
IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL DRIVE WAVES INTO THE 13 TO 16 FOOT RANGE 
ACROSS MUCH OF LAKE HURON...INCLUDING THE OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND 
ALONG THE THUMB FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH. THE NORTHEASTERLY 
FETCH WILL ALSO RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET FOR THE 
REMAINING NEARSHORE ZONES. EVEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES 
ON WEDNESDAY....COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS 
TO REACH LOW END GALE CRITERIA INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE PATTERN WILL 
REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

LHZ422-291430-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
919 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-421-441-442-462-463-291430-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
919 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 19 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 27 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-464-291430-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T2100Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
919 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 18 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 26 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-291430-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0056.111129T1200Z-111130T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
919 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
309 
WHUS73 KDTX 290820
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
320 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...NORTHEAST GALES TO DEVELOP OVER LAKE HURON TODAY...

.THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS
TO AROUND LAKE ERIE. AS A RESULT...NORTHEAST GALES ARE EXPECTED
OVER LAKE HURON BY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST
OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE THE NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE
GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF STRONG WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO
SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL FURTHER INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN
THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE COMMON FOR THE WARNED AREA. HIGHER
END GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY FROM
CENTRAL LAKE HURON INTO SAGINAW BAY. GALES WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY AS WINDS BACK TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST AND COLDER AIR
LEADS TO MORE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND ENHANCED GUST POTENTIAL.


LHZ422-292100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T2100Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
320 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-421-441-442-462-463-292100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
320 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 18 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 26 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-464-292100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
320 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-292100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0056.111129T1200Z-111130T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
320 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
375 
WHUS73 KDTX 291512
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1012 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...NORTHEAST GALES TO DEVELOP OVER LAKE HURON TODAY...

.PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY INCREASE TODAY AS LOW 
PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH TO LAKE ERIE. HENCE...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO 
DETERIORATE AS NORTHEAST GALES DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON BY 
MIDDAY. WILL BRING THE START OF THE GALE WARNINGS FORWARD TO 18Z AS 
GUSTS SHOULD BE REACHING THE 35 KNOT RANGE BY THEN...ESPECIALLY OVER 
THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE. WHILE THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD 
OF MINIMAL GALES FURTHER SOUTH OVER LAKE ST CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE 
ERIE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT WILL LARGELY COVER THE 
SITUATION AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES WITH THE CENTER OF LOW 
PRESSURE IN CLOSER PROXIMITY BY LATE IN THE DAY.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE 
THE NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF 
STRONG WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL 
FURTHER INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE 
COMMON FOR THE WARNED AREA. HIGHER END GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS CANNOT BE 
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY FROM CENTRAL LAKE HURON INTO SAGINAW BAY. IN 
ADDITION...MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A 
COUPLE OF GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ON AN INFREQUENT AND ISOLATED BASIS.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL DRIVE WAVES INTO THE 13 TO 16 FOOT RANGE 
ACROSS MUCH OF LAKE HURON...INCLUDING THE OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND 
ALONG THE THUMB FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH. THE NORTHEASTERLY 
FETCH WILL ALSO RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET FOR THE 
REMAINING NEARSHORE ZONES. EVEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES 
ON WEDNESDAY....COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS 
TO REACH GALE CRITERIA.

LHZ421-422-300330-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T1500Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1012 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-464-300330-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1012 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-441-442-462-463-300330-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.111129T1800Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1012 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-300300-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-111130T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1012 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EST 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
897 
WHUS73 KDTX 292037
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
337 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...NORTHEAST GALES TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.NORTHEAST GALES WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON ARE SHOWING 
WIND GUSTS ALREADY REACHING UP TO 35 KNOTS AND GUSTS OVER LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE AROUND 30 KNOTS. WHILE THERE MAY BE A 
BRIEF PERIOD OF MINIMAL GALES OVER LAKE ST CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE 
ERIE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT WILL LARGELY COVER THE 
SITUATION AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES AS THE CENTER OF LOW 
PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE 
THE NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF 
STRONG WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL 
FURTHER INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE 
COMMON FOR THE WARNED AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH UP TO 45 
KNOTS OVERNIGHT. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO FORCE WAVES ACROSS LAKE 
HURON AND THE NEARSHORE ZONES INTO THE 13 TO 16 FOOT RANGE. EVEN AS 
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES ON WEDNESDAY....COLD NORTHWESTERLY 
FLOW WILL STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS TO REACH GALE CRITERIA.

LHZ443-464-300845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
337 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-300845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
337 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-441-442-462-463-300845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
337 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-300300-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-111130T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
337 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RK
856 
WHUS73 KDTX 300310
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...CONTINUED STRONG NORTH WINDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.NORTHEAST GALES WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON ARE SHOWING 
WIND GUSTS ALREADY REACHING UP TO 35 KNOTS AND GUSTS OVER LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE AROUND 30 KNOTS. WHILE THERE MAY BE A 
BRIEF PERIOD OF MINIMAL GALES OVER LAKE ST CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE 
ERIE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT WILL LARGELY COVER THE 
SITUATION AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES AS THE CENTER OF LOW 
PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE 
THE NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF 
STRONG WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL 
FURTHER INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE 
COMMON FOR THE WARNED AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH UP TO 45 
KNOTS OVERNIGHT. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO FORCE WAVES ACROSS LAKE 
HURON AND THE NEARSHORE ZONES INTO THE 13 TO 16 FOOT RANGE. EVEN AS 
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES ON WEDNESDAY....COLD NORTHWESTERLY 
FLOW WILL STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS TO REACH GALE CRITERIA.

LCZ460-LEZ444-300415-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-111130T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LHZ443-464-301515-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-301500-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-441-442-462-463-301515-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
645 
WHUS73 KDTX 300845
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...NORTHWEST GALES TO CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF LAKE HURON...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES WILL CONTINUE
INTO TODAY AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION AND INCREASES THE
LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY OVER THE RELATIVELY MILD LAKE WATERS. EXPECT
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE MARKEDLY LATE IN THE DAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION.

LHZ421-422-300945-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
345 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LHZ443-464-302045-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
345 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-441-442-462-463-302045-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
345 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
866 
WHUS73 KDTX 300900
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...NORTHWEST GALES TO CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF LAKE HURON...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES WILL CONTINUE
INTO TODAY AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION AND INCREASES THE
LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY OVER THE RELATIVELY MILD LAKE WATERS. EXPECT
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE MARKEDLY LATE IN THE DAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION.

LHZ443-464-302100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
400 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-441-442-462-463-302100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
400 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-302100-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0057.111130T0900Z-111130T2100Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
400 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
026 
WHUS73 KDTX 302034
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
334 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...

.A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS IS ADVANCING INTO WESTERN MICHIGAN. THIS 
IS ALLOWING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO 
LEAD TO A RAPID DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AND WAVE HEIGHTS THIS 
EVENING. 

LHZ362-363-441>443-462>464-302145-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
334 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LHZ421-422-302145-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-111130T2100Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
334 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 28, 4:06 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 4:06 PM EST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ROBUST MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS
WELL UNDERWAY AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LOW OVER THE APPALACHIANS AS SEEN
ON SATELLITE PRODUCTS THIS AFTERNOON. PWAT VALUES WILL EASILY REACH
1"-1.25" BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT (2+ STD DEVIATION). THE RAIN SHIELD OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THE TROWAL
AIRSTREAM MATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DEEPENING LOW MATURES. AS THE
DEFORMATION ZONE BECOMES INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED...SYSTEM RELATIVE
FGEN PROGS (295K) SUGGEST AN OPTIMAL SUPERPOSITION OF LARGE AND
MESOSCALE FORCING WILL BE IN PLACE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-69 BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ASCENT WILL ONLY INCREASE WITH TIME AS A SHORTWAVE
EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLY FLOW TO OUR NORTH WILL ENCROACH ON THE
AMPLIFYING DOWNSTREAM RIDGE RESULTING IN AN INTENSIFICATION OF THE
UPPER JET NEAR THE HUDSON BAY AND A COINCIDENT STRENGTHENING OF
RIGHT ENTRANCE SUPPORT ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA LATE TONIGHT. UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC AGEOSTROPHIC WIND VECTORS ACROSS THE JET CORE ARE
PROGGED TO BECOME LARGE IN MAGNITUDE BY EARLY MORNING...WHICH JUST
INCREASES CONFIDENCE THAT RIGHT ENTRANCE SUPPORT WILL BECOME
SIGNIFICANT. A CROSS-SECTION ANALYSIS THROUGH THE TROWAL REGION
SUPPORTS THE IDEA OF PRECIPITATION RATES INCREASING WITH TIME AS A
COUPLED JET/FRONT CIRCULATION DEVELOPS AND STRONG ASCENT REALLY GETS
GOING LATE TONIGHT. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR MORE CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-69 THROUGH 12Z WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. DRIER AIR AND MESOSCALE FORCING FOR DECENT IN THE LOW
LEVELS SHOULD RESULT IN A FAIRLY PRONOUNCED PRECIP GRADIENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE SAGINAW VALLEY AS THE EARLY STAGES OF THIS EVENT
TAKE SHAPE OVER THE CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY

MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A STRONG AND VERY MOIST STORM LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE CENTER OF THE LOW...CURRENTLY OVER TN/KY AND
IS FORECAST TO TRACK NNE OVER LAKE ERIE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS...STRONG WINDS...AND POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATION SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF SE MI.

STARTING WITH MOISTURE/SNOWFALL...MODELS HAVE CONSISTENTLY BEEN
ADVERTISING THE STORM TO BRING UPWARDS OF 2 INCHES OF PRECIP FOR
ALMOST THE ENTIRE CWA BETWEEN 00Z TUESDAY AND 12Z WEDNESDAY. FAIRLY
CONFIDENT PRECIP TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 1.5-2.5 INCHES AT THIS
POINT. THOUGH FALLING HEAVY AT TIMES...IT LOOKS TO BE A MORE OF A
STEADY BUT MODERATE RAINFALL FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD MENTIONED.
STRONG WAA PRODUCING A DEEP WARM LAYER TO NEARLY 7KFT WILL KEEP THE
PRECIP ALL RAIN THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THE NE FLOW OFF LAKE HURON
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS CLOSER TO THE
SHORELINES...BUT LOOKING AT CURRENT OBS OVER THE LAKE...WATER TEMPS
ARE 45F WITH AIR TEMPS ONLY REACHING 38F...SO NOT SURE NOW FAR
INLAND THE WARM MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE WILL REACH. A TRANSITION TO A
RAIN SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY EVENING AS TEMPS DROP DIURNALLY
AND CAA INCREASES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM THE NE TO NW AROUND 06Z WEDNESDAY WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO ALL SNOW
IN FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN CWA VS THE RAIN/SNOW MIX HANGING ON
TO THE SE. HAVE INCREASED SNOWFALL TOTALS SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE COOLER AIRMASS ADVERTISED BY ALL THE MODELS. 1-3 INCHES AROUND
THE SAGINAW VALLEY WITH AROUND 1 INCH FOR MOST OTHER LOCATIONS SEEMS
REASONABLE AT THE MOMENT CONSIDERING SOIL TEMPS IN THE LOW 40S...A
VERY WET GROUND AND PONDING OF WATER TO OVERCOME...AND HIGH PRECIP
RATES. ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SE MI DUE TO THE HIGH AMOUNT
OF PRECIP ADVERTISED AND THE SOILS CURRENTLY SATURATED FROM RECENT
RAINFALL.

AS FOR WINDS...THE GFS/NAM/UKMET ALL SHOW A LLJ AROUND 55KTS
DEVELOPING AT 925MB TUESDAY EVENING...MORE SO ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE CWA AND LAKE HURON. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW MIXING HEIGHTS
UP TO 2KFT WHICH WOULD POTENTIALLY MIX DOWN 50KT WINDS. WILL GO WITH
A GALE WARNING OVER LAKE HURON AND INCREASE WINDS OVER LAND TO
ACCOUNT FOR FUNNELING DOWN SAGINAW BAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED FOR COUNTIES BORDERING LAKE HURON BUT WILL HOLD OFF AND
MONITOR PROGRESS AT THIS POINT.

THURSDAY STARTS OFF DRY WITH A SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE
DAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE AND JUST CHANCE POPS
HAVE BEEN INSERTED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER RIDGE WILL BE IN
PLACE FOR SATURDAY...THEN THE UPPER LEVELS TURN CHAOTIC FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. 500MB HEIGHT FALLS OCCUR LATE SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY
SEVERAL SHORTWAVES AND PV ANOMALIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO A SMALL
CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW EACH DAY STARTING SUNDAY. A LONGWAVE TROUGH
THEN LOOKS TO ENTER THE REGION...PROVIDING A STEEP TEMPERATURE DROP
AND MODERATE PRECIPITATION PAST THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY LATE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY AS CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE TO NORTHEASTERLY GALES
OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON WHERE THE
NORTHEASTERLY FETCH IS THE GREATEST. THIS PREFERRED REGION OF STRONG
WINDS WILL EXTEND INTO SAGINAW BAY WHERE FUNNELING WILL FURTHER
INCREASE WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WILL BE COMMON FOR
THE WARNED AREA. HIGHER END GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY FROM CENTRAL LAKE HURON INTO SAGINAW BAY. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A
COUPLE OF GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ON AN INFREQUENT AND ISOLATED BASIS.
IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL DRIVE WAVES INTO THE 13 TO 16 FOOT RANGE
ACROSS MUCH OF LAKE HURON...INCLUDING THE OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND
ALONG THE THUMB FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH. THE NORTHEASTERLY
FETCH WILL ALSO RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET FOR THE
REMAINING NEARSHORE ZONES. EVEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES
ON WEDNESDAY....COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY STILL ALLOW FOR GUSTS
TO REACH LOW END GALE CRITERIA INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE PATTERN WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 1104 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011

//DISCUSSION...

MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON AND WIDESPREAD FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AS STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY DEEPER MOISTURE AND RAIN SPREADING
NORTHWARD LATER TODAY AS THE LARGE SHIELD OF RAIN OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY LIFTS INTO SE MICHIGAN. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR
OVERNIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM DEEPENS AND RAIN INCREASES IN INTENSITY.
RAIN...MAINLY MODERATE IN INTENSITY...MAY BECOME HEAVY FOR BRIEF
PERIODS RESULTING IN TEMPORARY REDUCTION TO LIFR. WINDS WILL REMAIN
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST BUT WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 25
KTS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HIGHER GUSTS ARE PROBABLE AT
MBS GIVEN THE FAVORABLE LOCATION DOWNSTREAM OF SAGINAW BAY.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE CEILINGS WILL REMAIN BELOW 5000 FT THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.

* LOW CONFIDENCE THAT VISIBILITY WILL INTERMITTENTLY FALL BELOW
  1/2 MILE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...FLOOD WATCH...MIZ047-MIZ048-MIZ049-MIZ053-MIZ054-MIZ055-MIZ060-
     MIZ061-MIZ062-MIZ063-MIZ068-MIZ069-MIZ070-MIZ075-MIZ076-MIZ082-
     MIZ083...UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY.

LAKE HURON...
     GALE WARNING...LHZ362-LHZ363-LHZ421-LHZ422-LHZ441-LHZ442-LHZ443-
     LHZ462-LHZ463-LHZ464...FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM WEDNESDAY.

     FLOOD WATCH...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR
     BEACH...UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...JVC
LONG TERM....DRK/MM
MARINE.......JVC
AVIATION.....JVC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 28, 3:53 PM EST, 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

MIZ049-054-055-061>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-
MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
353 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT STARTING TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

COLDER AIR WILL WRAP INTO THIS SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS TO DEPART LATE
ON TUESDAY. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR AREAS WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 23 BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW
ON TUESDAY NIGHT WHERE CURRENT INFORMATION SUGGESTS SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AROUND AN INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AREAS
EAST OF HIGHWAY 23 WILL BE SLOWER TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND AND
ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF NEW SNOWFALL. THERE
IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW QUICKLY THE COLDER AIR
WILL WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM...SO FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE
REFINED AS NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361-292100-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
353 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS
TOWARD THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE
NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-292100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-
353 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT STARTING TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

COLDER AIR WILL WRAP INTO THIS SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS TO DEPART LATE
ON TUESDAY. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT. CURRENT
INFORMATION SUGGESTS THAT SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING HOW QUICKLY THE COLDER AIR WILL WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM...SO
FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE REFINED AS NEW INFORMATION IS
RECEIVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441>443-462>464-292100-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
353 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LIFTS
TOWADR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. GALE WARNINGS
ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

JVC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 12:53 PM ESTFlood WatchDTXBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more21 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.