Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 52, NWS Detroit, MI

October 14, 2011

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Oct 14, 2011, 4:15 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 14, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 32 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2011, 4:15 AM EDT (08:15 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 14, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 16, 2011, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

948 
WHUS73 KDTX 140815
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE OVER LAKE HURON 
TODAY...CONTINUING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CANADA TONIGHT. THE LOW IS 
EXPECTED TO DEEPEN TO AROUND 987 MB TODAY...AND THEN EVENTUALLY TO 
967 MB OVER JAMES BAY ON SUNDAY. A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL 
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. COLDER 
AIR FILTERING IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL CREATE UNSTABLE 
CONDITIONS OVER THE WATER. LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT STORM 
FORCE WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTH HALF OF LAKE 
HURON BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. FOR ALL REMAINING 
LOCATIONS...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT WITH VARYING EFFECTIVE 
HEADLINE TIMES. THE STRONGEST WINDGUSTS ARE FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER 
THE CENTRAL WATERS OF LAKE HURON APPROXIMATELY AT 12Z SATURDAY WHERE 
WINDSPEEDS MAY REACH 50 KNOTS.

LHZ421-422-441-142015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.111014T1400Z-111015T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0018.111015T0800Z-111016T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-142015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.111014T1400Z-111015T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0018.111015T0800Z-111016T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-142015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.111014T1400Z-111015T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0018.111015T1400Z-111015T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T1200Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-142015-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0018.111015T0800Z-111016T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T0000Z-111016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 48 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 17 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 24 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-142015-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0018.111015T0800Z-111016T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SR.W.0003.111015T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 17 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 24 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
710 
WHUS73 KDTX 150130
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF LAKE HURON WILL PRODUCE AN
INCREASINGLY STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY. COLDER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE LOW WILL ALSO CREATE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE WATERS.
LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT WESTERLY GALES WILL BE PREVALENT
OVER THE GREAT LAKES FROM TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH GUSTS
QUITE POSSIBLY TO STORM FORCE OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON...ESPECIALLY
ON SATURDAY.

LHZ421-422-441-151400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-151400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-151400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 48 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 17 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 24 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-111015T1200Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T1200Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 40 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 52 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 17 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 24 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

DG
563 
WHUS73 KDTX 150739
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.THE SUPPORT FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL NOT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA 
UNTIL THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. A LOCALIZED 
THERMAL TROUGH AND PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE THROUGH 
LOWER MICHIGAN. THE SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN FURTHER TONIGHT REACHING 
965 MB BY SUNDAY MORNING OVER JAMES BAY.  COLDER AIR FILTERING IN ON 
THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL CREATE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE 
WATER. STORM FORCE WESTERLY WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN HALF OF LAKE HURON TODAY...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS AFFECTING 
ALL REMAINING AREA WATERS TODAY. WINDSPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN 
TONIGHT WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINING IN PLACE.

LCZ460-LEZ444-152015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-111015T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T1200Z-111015T2200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-152015-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-152015-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-152015-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-152000-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
339 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 49 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$
577 
WHUS73 KDTX 151030
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.THE SUPPORT FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL NOT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA 
UNTIL THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. A LOCALIZED 
THERMAL TROUGH AND PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE THROUGH 
LOWER MICHIGAN. THE SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN FURTHER TONIGHT REACHING 
965 MB BY SUNDAY MORNING OVER JAMES BAY.  COLDER AIR FILTERING IN ON 
THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL CREATE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE 
WATER. STORM FORCE WESTERLY WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN HALF OF LAKE HURON TODAY...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS AFFECTING 
ALL REMAINING AREA WATERS TODAY. WIND SPEED WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN 
TONIGHT WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINING IN PLACE.

LEZ444-152230-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-111015T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0002.111015T1030Z-111016T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T1030Z-111015T2200Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

* LOW WATER: THE WESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS TODAY WILL CAUSE WATER
  LEVEL TO DROP IN THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE. THE WATER LEVEL
  IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO ABOUT 2 FEET BELOW CHART DATUM THIS
  AFTERNOON...OR 10 TO 12 INCHES BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
  NAVIGATION. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING ALLOWING WATER LEVEL
  TO RISE BACK TO NEAR RECENT AVERAGES BY SUNDAY MORNING. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LCZ460-152200-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-111015T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.111015T1030Z-111015T2200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-152230-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-152230-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-152230-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-152000-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
630 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED
  WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KNOTS.
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

BT
572 
WHUS73 KDTX 151951
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIE DOWN ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.STRONG WINDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NEARSHORE AND OPEN WATERS LATE 
THIS AFTERNOON. WITH GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUING ACROSS LAKE ST. 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE WILL EXTEND THE GALE WARNINGS OVER THESE 
AREAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A FEW SITES OVER NORTHERN LAKE 
HURON CONTINUE TO GUST AT OR ABOVE 50 KNOTS SO WILL ALSO CONTINUE 
THE STORM WARNING FOR THESE AREAS THIS EVENING. THE SURFACE LOW 
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND VERY GUSTY WINDS 
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES 
TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING WINDS DOWN BELOW GALE FORCE CRITERIA BY 
LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. AS WINDS DIE DOWN BELOW GALE 
FORCE TONIGHT...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED OVER THE LAKE 
HURON AND SAGINAW BAY NEARSHORE AREAS WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 
TO 30 KNOTS.

THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WINDS AT 25 TO 30 
KNOTS OVER THE LAKE HURON AND SAGINAW BAY NEARSHORE AREAS SUNDAY AND 
SUNDAY NIGHT AS A TROUGH SITS OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THE 
PASSAGE OF ANOTHER THERMAL TROUGH ON MONDAY WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS 
TO 30 KNOTS OVER ALL NEARSHORE AREAS...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS 
POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. GIVEN THE HEADLINES 
ALREADY UP WILL FORGO ANY GALE WATCH HEADLINES FOR MONDAY AT THIS 
TIME.

A LOOSER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BRING WINDS BELOW 20 KNOTS OVER ALL 
NEARSHORE AND OPEN WATER ZONES BY TUESDAY.

LHZ363-160800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111015T2000Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-160800-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-160400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0400Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-160100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-160100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-160100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-160800-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI
893 
WHUS73 KDTX 160055
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY EASE OVERNIGHT FOR MOST AREAS...

.STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS
EVENING OVER MOST OF THE AREA...BUT THEN DECREASE OVERNIGHT FOR
MUCH OF SOUTHERN LAKE HURON ON SOUTH TO WESTERN LAKE ERIE. THE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS OVER NORTHERN
LAKE HURON INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH RELATIVELY HIGH WINDS THEN 
PERSISTING FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.


LHZ361-362-160800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-160800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0038.111016T0055Z-111016T0800Z/
/O.CAN.KDTX.LO.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-161300-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0038.111016T0055Z-111017T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 32
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LHZ442-443-160800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0038.111016T0055Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-160200-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LHZ363-160800-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
855 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
229 
WHUS73 KDTX 160808
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY EASE OVERNIGHT FOR MOST AREAS...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER JAMES BAY IS NOW DOWN TO ABOUT 
965MB THIS MORNING. THIS LOW WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY DURING 
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HRS...KEEPING A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PLACE OVER THE 
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. GALE WARNINGS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR NORTHERN 
LAKE HURON TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SIGNIFICANT WOBBLE IS FORECASTED TO 
TAKE PLACE WITHIN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ON MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE A 
COMPACT GRADIENT REFLECTION WHICH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA. MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS BECOMING MORE BULLISH IN TERMS OF WINDSPEEDS THAT WILL 
INCREASE AGAIN DURING THAT TIMEFRAME. WILL NEED TO MONITOR...BUT 
ADDITIONAL GALE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS LAKE 
HURON. OTHERWISE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SAGINAW 
BAY AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR 
BEACH.

LHZ361>363-162015-
/O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0053.111016T0808Z-111017T2000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT SUNDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ442-443-160915-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111016T0800Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LHZ421-422-441-162015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111017T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 14, 3:56 AM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 3:56 AM EDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
356 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

.SHORT TERM...THIS MORNING AND TODAY

TWO AREAS OF ORGANIZED HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
NORTHWARD THIS MORNING IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.
THE MOST PERTINENT ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY ALIGNED NORTH TO SOUTH
IMMEDIATELY WEST OF THE CWA...WHILE THE SECOND AREA IS NOW ZIPPING
STRAIGHT NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON.  THE
PRECIPITATION TO THE WEST/UPSTREAM IS BEING FORCED BY RESIDUAL
FRONTOGENESIS AND FRONTAL DYNAMICS ALOFT...ASSOCIATED WITH AN
OCCLUDING WARM FRONTAL SLOPE. THIS FORCING IS ADVERTISED BY VARIOUS
MODEL SOLUTIONS TO SEVERELY WEAKEN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE PIVOTING
TO THE NORTHEAST. THE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EARLIER NOTED TO BE
TRAVELING ALONG PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON IS BEING FORCED BY ADVECTION
OF A MIDLEVEL PV ANOMALY/MOISTURE THAT IS BEING INGESTED INTO A
DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW. IT IS AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE THAT THE
MODELS REALLY PINPOINT THE CENTER OF THE MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND
FAVOR CYCLOGENESIS FOR TODAY. THUS...IT APPEARS THE HIGHEST
MAGNITUDE OF UVVS/ASCENT TIED TO THE DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS ALREADY MOVING OUT OF TOWN.

QUITE AN UNUSUAL FLOW PATTERN FOR A BAROCLINIC EVENT/DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE...A VERY SHEARED OUT LOOK FROM THE START AND ONE THAT IS
NOT SEEN VERY OFTEN. NEVERTHELESS...VERY IMPRESSIVE AND OMINOUS +120
KNOT UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK WILL SNAKE INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY/APPALACHIANS BY THIS EVENING. THE JET CONFIGURATION WILL TAKE
ON A FAVORABLE CURL AND ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO DEEPEN NEAR
LAKE HURON BY 12Z AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ONTARIO TODAY.
WITH THE ODD ORIENTATION OF THE SYSTEM ON THE WHOLE...BASIC
CONCEPTUAL MODELS FOR TIMING ARE NOT IN PLAY AND COLD/DRIER AIR WILL
ALREADY BE FILTERING INTO THE CWA AT 12Z THIS MORNING. THE TIGHTEST
LOW LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT/COLD FRONTAL FEATURE APPEARS TO BE ALONG
A LINE FROM MIDLAND COUNTY TO DETROIT AT 12Z...AND THROUGH THE TIP
OF THE THUMB AT 15Z. STRONG ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE WILL THEN RESULT AS
THE FRONT CLEARS...PUTTING THE SQUEEZE ON THE MOISTURE THAT REMAINS
IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT SATURATION
WILL EXIST THROUGHOUT THE LOWEST 10-15 KFT...WITH STEEPER 900-700MB
LAPSE RATES ARRIVING IN TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON. THUS...OFF AND ON
LIGHT RAIN SHOWER AND/OR BOUTS OF DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF DRY AIR ADVECTION IS
PROGGED TO TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA AFTER 21Z.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE AND SHOULD ALLOW CONDITIONS
TO DRY OUT FOR THE EARLY EVENING.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR SOMETIME THIS MORNING BEFORE STEADILY
LOSING STEAM AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. READINGS SHOULD
BEGIN IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S WITH THE MERCURY DROPPING INTO THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY DINNER TIME. HIGHER IMPACT WEATHER TODAY
WILL ALSO INCLUDE STRONG WESTERLIES THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
INTO THE 28 TO 33 MPH RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM... TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY

A SOUTH TO NORTH GRADIENT IN SHOWER COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CLOSES OFF IN THE UPPER LEVELS
OVER LAKE HURON. THIS WILL TRANSITION FORCING FOR VERTICAL MOTION
INTO MORE OF AN OCCLUSION PHASE AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEEPEN
OVER THE LAKE AND INTO NORTHERN ONTARIO. THE RESULT WILL BE
STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE WHICH
WILL PULL THE MOISTURE AXIS AROUND THE NORTHWEST FLANK OF THE
SYSTEM AND BACK INTO SE MICHIGAN, MAINLY THROUGH THE SAGINAW
VALLEY AND THUMB. MODEL PLAN VIEWS AND CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE THE
700 MB THETA-E RIDGE WRAPPING AROUND THE UPPER LOW DURING THE
NIGHT WITH GOOD SYSTEM RELATIVE ISENTROPIC LIFT IN A LOW STABILITY
ENVIRONMENT. THERE ARE SOME HINTS OF TROWAL TYPE DYNAMICS WITH
PLENTIFUL MOISTURE SUPPLY WHICH LENDS CONFIDENCE TO MODEL QPF IN
THE 0.1 TO 0.25 INCH RANGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING OVER THE REGION AFTER SUNRISE
SATURDAY MORNING, BUT THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WIND THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THE LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS COLLECTIVELY DEEPEN THE SURFACE LOW
NEAR JAMES BAY TO NEAR 970 MB DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL
SUPPORT STRONG GRADIENT WIND OVER SE MICHIGAN, ESPECIALLY DURING
PEAK SURFACE HEATING. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SURFACE WIND GUSTS
AROUND NEAR 40 MPH LIKELY WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE
TRI CITIES AND NORTHERN THUMB. THIS IS WHERE THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL
TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED EARLY IN THE DAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO LAKE
HURON AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PIVOT NORTHWARD TOWARD
HUDSON BAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IN THAT AREA DEPENDING ON
THE TIMING OF SURFACE HEATING AND DEPARTURE OF THE COLD AIR, BOTH
OF WHICH WILL BE REFINED IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF FORECAST CYCLES.

JUST AS THE WIND IS DYING OFF SATURDAY NIGHT, ATTENTION WILL HAVE TO
TURN TOWARD THE NEXT SHORT WAVE DUE IN OUR AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SUPPORTED PRIMARILY BY THE UPPER JET
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA, BUT THE
MODELS ARE INDICATING SOME PREDICTABILITY PROBLEMS WITH THE STRENGTH
OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION. THE NAM IS MOST GUILTY OF EMBELLISHMENT,
LIKELY DUE TO CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTIONS ON THE NORTH FLANK OF THE
SYSTEM. GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE UPPER JET AND THE RELATIVELY
WEAK LOW LEVEL BAROCLINICITY, PREFER A WEAKER SOLUTION ON THE
SURFACE FEATURES AND MORE OF A BROAD BANDED STRUCTURE TO THE
PRECIPITATION FIELD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MONDAY LOOKS DRY WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER. NO
SURPRISE THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEIGHT FALLS WILL THEN GET UNDERWAY
FOR THE MID WEEK PERIOD AS THE LONG WAVE PATTERN RETROGRADES OVER
THE GREAT LAKES. AN UNSETTLED PRECIPITATION PATTERN AND NORTHWEST
LOW LEVEL FLOW DURING THIS TIME SUPPORTS OUR GOING FORECAST WITH
HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH THE LOWER 50S.

&&

.MARINE...

A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE OVER LAKE HURON
TODAY...CONTINUING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CANADA TONIGHT. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEEPEN TO AROUND 987 MB TODAY...AND THEN EVENTUALLY TO
967 MB OVER JAMES BAY ON SUNDAY. A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. COLDER
AIR FILTERING IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL CREATE UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS OVER THE WATER. LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT STORM
FORCE WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTH HALF OF LAKE
HURON BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. FOR ALL REMAINING
LOCATIONS...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT WITH VARYING EFFECTIVE
HEADLINE TIMES. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER
THE CENTRAL WATERS OF LAKE HURON APPROXIMATELY AT 12Z SATURDAY WHERE
WIND SPEEDS MAY REACH 50 KNOTS.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 133 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

//DISCUSSION...

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PIVOTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. CIGS WILL BE A BIT CHAOTIC AS LOW
LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS ABRUPTLY FROM SOUTHEAST TO WEST/SOUTHWEST LATE AT
NIGHT...BUT GENERALLY BOUNCE BETWEEN IFR/MVFR. SHORTWAVE EVOLVES
INTO UPPER LOW OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
MORE PREVALENT FOR FNT/MBS...WHERE RELATIVELY HIGH RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. FURTHER SOUTH...SHOWERS WILL BE OF THE
HIT/MISS VARIETY ONCE THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS PIVOTS THROUGH EARLY IN
THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS SYSTEM GATHERS STRENGTH TO THE NORTH OF
THE AREA...WESTERLY WINDS AROUND ITS BASE WILL BECOME GUSTY FRIDAY
WITH WIND GUSTS INTO THE 25-30 KNOT RANGE EXPECTED DURING PERIOD OF
BEST MIXING IN THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE CEILINGS WILL BE BELOW 5000 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY.

* LOW CONFIDENCE WIND GUSTS WILL REACH 30 KNOTS FROM 260-270 BY
MIDDAY FRIDAY.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MI...NONE.

LAKE HURON...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT
     HURON INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY...FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM FRIDAY.

     GALE WARNING...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT HURON
     INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY...FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM SATURDAY.

     STORM WARNING...LHZ361-LHZ362-LHZ363...FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM
     SATURDAY.

     GALE WARNING...LHZ462-LHZ463-LHZ464...FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM
     SATURDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM SATURDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM SATURDAY.

MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM SATURDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM SATURDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM....BT
MARINE.......CB
AVIATION.....CB

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 3:25 PM EDT, 12 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
325 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-141930-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
325 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-141930-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
325 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR ALL NEARSHORE MARINE AREAS INCLUDING LAKE SAINT CLAIR AND
THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS A STRONG SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
AREA. THEREFORE...A GALE WATCH IS EFFECT FOR ALL MARINE AREAS
FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST
MARINE FORECASTS AND MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

JVC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 4:15 AM EDTStorm WarningDTX41 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.