Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 42, NWS Detroit, MI

April 15, 2011

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Apr 15, 2011, 10:27 AM EDT. It took effect at Apr 15, 2011, 4:14 PM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2011, 10:27 AM EDT (14:27 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 15, 2011, 4:14 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 16, 2011, 4:11 AM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

998 
WHUS73 KDTX 151427
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY WITH GALES IN THE NORTHERN
HALF OF LAKE HURON TONIGHT...

.THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY PRESENT. EASTERLY WINDS AND THE
RESULTANT WAVES WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD
THE AREA...CAUSING TREACHEROUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL BOATS AND
ULTIMATELY RESULTING IN GALES DEVELOPING BY LATE THIS EVENING AND
PERSISTING OVERNIGHT FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON. ALTHOUGH
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS ON SATURDAY EVENING...COLD
AIR WILL BEGIN TO SURGE INTO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY WHICH WILL
RENEW GALE FORCE WINDS FOR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

LHZ361>363-160230-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0010.110416T0000Z-110418T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110416T0000Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-160230-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-160230-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-160230-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-160230-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1027 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
573 
WHUS73 KDTX 152014
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALES TONIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...

.CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUPPORT GALE OR NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 
ALREADY OCCURING OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON AS WELL AS A LAND-BASED 
OBSERVATION SUGGESTING GALES OVER THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE. 
IN ADDITION...OBS OF WIND GUSTS OVER LAKE MICHIGAN INCREASE 
CONFIDENCE THAT GALE FORCE WIND FIELD HAS HEALTHY SPATIAL 
CONTINUITY. THUS...GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL ZONES. WAVE 
RESPONSE WILL BE IMPRESSIVE AS WELL WITH HEIGHTS AROUND 8-10 FT AND 
12-14 FEET OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON. AFTER A LULL ON SATURDAY 
EVENING...STRONG WINDS WILLR RESUME BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH COLD 
ADVECTION LEADING TO HEALTHIER MIXING/MOMENTUM TRANSFER AND A 
RENEWAL OF GALES OVER NORTHERN AREAS.

LCZ460-LEZ444-160800-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110415T2014Z-110416T0800Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441>443-160815-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110415T2014Z-110416T1800Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-160800-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110417T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110415T2014Z-110416T0800Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-160815-
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110415T2014Z-110416T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-160815-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0042.110415T2014Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
414 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
845 
WHUS73 KDTX 160358
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...ANOTHER ROUND OF GALES EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.EASTERLY GALES HAVE EASED OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON THROUGH
WESTERN LAKE ERIE WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE CONTINUED DIMINISHING TREND THERE. AFTER A LULL ON SATURDAY
EVENING...STRONG WINDS WILL RESUME BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT
WITH A RENEWAL OF GALES...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MARINE AREAS. 

LHZ422-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.110416T0358Z-110417T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0400Z-110418T0000Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT TONIGHT HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.110416T0358Z-110417T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0400Z-110418T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT TONIGHT HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT SATURDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY.


REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.110416T0358Z-110417T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0400Z-110418T0000Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT TONIGHT HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT SATURDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT SATURDAY.


REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0400Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. THE GALE WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT TONIGHT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.  

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT SUNDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT SUNDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.110416T0358Z-110416T1600Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-161600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110416T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.110416T0358Z-110416T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT TONIGHT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT FRIDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-161600-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
1158 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
414 
WHUS73 KDTX 160811
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...A POWERFULL SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION...

.AVAILABLE OBSERVATIONS ARE REALLY SUGGESTING A VERY STRONG STABLE 
LAYER OVER THE GREAT LAKES...ESPECIALLY LAKE HURON. THE STRONGEST 
WIND GUSTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS HAVE BEEN STATIONS ON LAND OR 
THOSE WHOSE ANEMOMETER HEIGHTS ARE OVER 10 METERS. THE TWO BUOYS 
OVER GEORGIAN BAY AND THE OB SITE OFF THE COAST OF MANITOULIN ISLAND 
HAVE ALL HAD GUSTS LESS THAN 30 KNOTS. STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM AIR 
ADVECTION THIS MORNING WILL ONLY STRENGTHEN THE STABLE LAYER OVER 
THE LAKES. THUS FEEL FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 
GALE FORCE TODAY. 

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL HOWEVER RAPIDLY DEEPENING AS IT LIFTS 
NORTHEAST OF THE STRAITS TONIGHT AND WILL BRING VERY COLD AIR ACROSS 
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS AIRMASS IS ACTUALLY COLD ENOUGH TO LEAD 
TO UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKES AND SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS 
LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. A GALE WARNING MAY ALSO 
NEED TO BE CONSIDERED ON LAKES ST CLAIR AND ERIE.

LHZ361-362-162015-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110418T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0300Z-110418T1000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ363-162015-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110418T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-162015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110416T1600Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  24 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-162015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110416T2000Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 9 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-162015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0043.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-162015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110416T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. THE 
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 17 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-162015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110416T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.110417T0300Z-110418T0000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
411 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. THE 
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 3 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 15, 7:03 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 7:03 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
703 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

.AVIATION...

TRENDS IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS HAVE
ALREADY BEEN TOWARD STRENGTHENING EASTERLY WINDS. THE COMBINATION OF
AN INCREASING EASTERLY GRADIENT TODAY AND AFTERNOON MIXING SHOULD
PROVIDE SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR
ABOVE 30 KNOTS. THERE IS FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE ON THE SPEED AND
DIRECTION OF THE FORECAST WINDS. THE GRADIENT WILL ACTUALLY INCREASE
TONIGHT AS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST ENOUGH OF A MIXED LAYER WILL
REMAIN TO MAINTAIN FAIRLY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
AMPLE DRY AIR WILL AT LEAST KEEP CEILINGS VFR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HOWEVER BRING A SURGE OF
MOISTURE INTO SE MI THIS EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW RAIN TO SPREAD
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 00Z AND WILL LEAD TO
LOWERING CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 339 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A DEEP UPPER LOW IS CLEARLY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE DATA OVER KANSAS.
THE 00Z MODEL SUITE HAVE A REASONABLE HANDLE ON THIS SYSTEM AND ALL
INDICATE IT LIFTING INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT ON THE
NOSE OF A STRONG UPPER JET CORE NOW DIVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. THE 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. THE EASTERLY GRADIENT WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS MISSOURI AND
THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE STATE. ALTHOUGH WARM AIR ADVECTION IN THE 900-800MB LAYER WILL
LIMIT MIXING DEPTHS SOMEWHAT...MODEL SOUNDINGS ALL INDICATE 30-35
KNOTS DOWN TO 2K FT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A RATHER WINDY DAY WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS EXPECTED TO REACH AT LEAST 35 MPH. THE LIMITED MIXING
DEPTHS SHOULD KEEP MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW 50S...WITH COOLER READINGS
NEAR THE GREAT LAKES /ESPECIALLY THE THUMB/ UNDER THE STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW.

AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE IS STILL FORECAST TO LIFT INTO SE MI LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW. MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE PRECIPITABLE WATER RISING TO 1.1 INCHES OVERNIGHT
AS A 50-70KT LOW LEVEL JET TRANSPORTS GULF MOISTURE INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. SYSTEM RELATIVE ASCENT ALONG THE 300K ISENTROPIC
SURFACE IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE STRONG...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT. THIS
COUPLED WITH DEEP LAYER FRONTOGENESIS AND HIGHLY DIFFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO WARRANT CATEGORICAL RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT. THE
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LIFT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
THE EASTERLY WINDS WILL SUPPLY VERY DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN A LOT OF VIRGA OR SPRINKLES FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL MOISTURE SURGE.
THE DEGREE OF MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL HOWEVER EVENTUALLY OFFSET THE
DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE.

LONG TERM...

STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL UNRAVEL AND OPEN
UP...MERGING WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH...DELIVERING ANOTHER COLD
BLAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY
ARE TRICKY AS SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTH THROUGH LAKE MICHIGAN.
HOWEVER...LOOKS LIKE WE WILL BE DEALING WITH AN OCCLUSION AND BACKED
LOW LEVEL FLOW OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST FOR PART OF THE DAY WITH PERIODS
OF RAIN...LIKELY PREVENTING THE POTENTIAL OF 60+ DEGREES THE AIRMASS
WOULD SUPPORT (BASED ON 850 MB TEMPS). WILL HOLD MAXES IN THE
50S...BLEND OF NAM/MAV.

LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL ARRIVE IN ERNEST LATE IN THE DAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH 850 MB TEMPS FALLING INTO THE NEGATIVE LOW TO
MID SINGLE NUMBERS ON SUNDAY. LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY BE STEEP
ENOUGH TO GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS...AND WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS
DESCENDING TO THE SURFACE BY SUNDAY MORNING...THAT MEANS PRECIP TYPE
COULD BE SNOW...ASSUMING WE GET THE EQL HEIGHTS SUFFICIENTLY HIGH
ENOUGH TO TAP ICE NUCLEI. REGARDLESS...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
LOW DUE TO LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE.

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO ENERGETIC PSEUDO
ZONAL FLOW OVER THE CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE THE FLOW BUCKLES
AND AMPLIFIES BY MID WEEK. DIFFICULT TO TIME SHORTWAVES...BUT
GFS/CANADIAN INDICATING PV FILAMENT RACING EAST SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
925-850 MB FGEN NEAR THE OHIO BORDER...WORTHY OF CHANCE POPS SOUTH
OF M-59 CORRIDOR. WITH NORTHWEST CONFLUENT FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
ADVERTISED TO BUILD IN ON MONDAY (PER GFS)...WAS TEMPTED TO PULL THE
POPS FROM THE NORTH HALF OF THE CWA...AS LOW LEVEL FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH...OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. HOWEVER...THE 00Z
EUROPEAN SHOWED A STRONGER SHORTWAVE QUICKLY RACING EAST THROUGH THE
STRAIGHTS ON MONDAY...AND THUS THE 850 MB FGEN WAS FARTHER
NORTH...DRAPED ALONG THE I-69 CORRIDOR DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. MUCH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN RAIN CHANCES AS WE HEAD INTO
TUESDAY....AS INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW AND RAPID CYCLOGENESIS OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL ALLOW WARM FRONT TO LIFT NORTH...WITH PLENTY
OF GULF MOISTURE BEING TAPPED. RAIN APPEARS LIKELY FOR BOTH TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY (ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS AS SHOWALTER INDEX
DROPS WELL BELOW ZERO) BEFORE WE DRY OUT FOR THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. AT THIS
TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL STRUGGLE TO RAMP
UP TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS CLOSELY AS WIND
FIELDS ARE VERY STRONG (50+ KNOTS 850-700 MB).

MARINE...

THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALREADY INDICATE WINDS NEARING SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS. THE EASTERLY GRADIENT WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO MISSOURI AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED NORTHEAST OF LAKE HURON. UNDER THESE
INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS...WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO TREACHEROUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL BOATS. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO VEER TO
SOUTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO LAKE
MICHIGAN. PLAN TO MAINTAIN THE GALE WATCH THAT IS IN EFFECT NORTH OF
ALABASTER FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW NEUTRAL
CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE LAKE TONIGHT...THEN BECOMING STABLE BY
SATURDAY MORNING AS WARMER LOW LEVEL AIR ADVECTS OVER THE LAKE. THIS
RAISES SOME CONCERNS AS TO WHETHER OR NOT GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES
WILL IMPACT THE OPEN WATERS...SO PLAN TO HOLD OFF ON THE ISSUANCE OF
A GALE WARNING AT THIS TIME. THERMAL PROFILES MAY BE MORE SUPPORTIVE
OF GALES NORTH OF THUNDER BAY...WITH CONDITIONS MORE SUPPORTIVE OF
30 KNOT GUSTS TO THE SOUTH. SO AT THIS TIME...THERE IS FAIRLY HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT A GALE WARNING WILL BE NEEDED NORTH OF PRESQUE
ISLE...WITH MEDIUM TO LOW CONFIDENCE ON ONE BEING NEEDED FARTHER
SOUTH.

THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN A BIT SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW
PASSES THROUGH THE STRAITS. COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL HOWEVER BOOST INSTABILITY OVER THE LAKE AND MAY AGAIN
LEAD TO GALE FORCE WINDS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NORTH OF
THUNDER BAY.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.

LAKE HURON...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT
     HURON INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY...UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY.

     GALE WATCH...LHZ361-LHZ362-LHZ363...FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY.

MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY.

&&

AVIATION.....SC
SHORT TERM...SC
LONG TERM....SF
MARINE.......SC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 4:03 AM EDT, 6 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
403 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-160815-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
403 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-160815-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
403 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. REFER TO THE MARINE FORECASTS
FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY. REFER TO THE MARINE
FORECASTS FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LHZ361>363-160815-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
403 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT. REFER TO THE MARINE FORECAST FOR
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT. REFER TO THE MARINE FORECAST FOR
DETAILS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LHZ462>464-160815-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
403 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SF

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 10:05 PM EDTGale WatchDTX12 hr
Apr 15, 12:01 PM EDTCoastal Flood WarningDTXMonroe103 min
Apr 15, 1:44 PM EDTLakeshore Flood WarningDTXMonroe14 hr
Apr 15, 1:44 PM EDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryDTXWayne14 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.