River Flood Warning 78, NWS Des Moines, IA

171 
WGUS83 KDMX 270639
FLSDMX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...DES MOINES RIVER...NORTH RIVER...CEDAR 
CREEK...CHARITON RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...BOONE...HAMILTON...
  LUCAS...MADISON...MAHASKA...MARION...WAPELLO...WARREN...WAYNE...
  WEBSTER
  
RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

&&

IAC015-079-187-280639-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110702T1640Z/
/STRI4.1.ER.110622T0845Z.110625T0530Z.110701T1640Z.NO/
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDDAY FRIDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER NEAR STRATFORD...OR FROM THE BOONE RIVER...TO 
  NEAR THE CITY OF BOONE.
* UNTIL MIDDAY FRIDAY.
* AT  1:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.4 FEET THIS EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MIDDAY FRIDAY.


$$

IAC179-280638-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0077.110627T0741Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTMI4.2.ER.110627T0741Z.110628T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT OTTUMWA...OR FROM MIDDLE AVERY CREEK NEAR 
  CHILLICOTHE...TO ELDON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:20 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE
  RISING TO 14.5 FEET TUESDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC121-181-280638-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0078.110628T0029Z-110630T2308Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.110628T0029Z.110629T0000Z.110629T2308Z.NO/
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER NEAR NORWALK...OR FROM THE MADISON-WARREN COUNTY 
  LINE...TO THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 20.0 FEET TUESDAY EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.


$$

IAC123-125-280638-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0079.110627T1102Z-110629T1536Z/
/BSSI4.1.ER.110627T1102Z.110628T0000Z.110628T1536Z.NO/
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR CREEK NEAR BUSSEY...OR FROM THE NORTH CEDAR CREEK...TO 
  THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 22.9 FEET THIS EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

IAC117-185-280638-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0075.110627T1138Z-110629T0900Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.110627T1138Z.110628T0000Z.110628T0900Z.NO/
139 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR CHARITON...OR FROM WOLF CREEK...TO RATHBUN 
  RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 12:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 18.3 FEET THIS EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.


$$

501 
WGUS83 KDMX 270856
FLSDMX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...NORTH RIVER...CEDAR CREEK...THOMPSON 
RIVER...CHARITON RIVER...SOUTH FORK CHARITON RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...APPANOOSE...DECATUR...
  LUCAS...MADISON...MAHASKA...MARION...WARREN...WAYNE
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING 
RIVERS IN IOWA...WEST FORK DES MOINES RIVER...EAST FORK DES MOINES 
RIVER...DES MOINES RIVER...EAST FORK 102 RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...BOONE...EMMET...
  HAMILTON...HUMBOLDT...KOSSUTH...MAHASKA...PALO ALTO...TAYLOR...
  WAPELLO...WEBSTER
  
RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

&&

IAC063-280856-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ESVI4.2.ER.110615T0755Z.110628T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK DES MOINES RIVER AT ESTHERVILLE...OR FROM THE 
  IOWA-MINNESOTA BORDER...TO NEAR WALLINGFORD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 10.6 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

IAC147-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110701T1800Z/
/EMTI4.1.ER.110622T1600Z.110625T0515Z.110630T1800Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK DES MOINES RIVER AT EMMETSBURG...OR FROM NEAR 
  GRAETTINGER...TO CYLINDER CREEK NEAR WEST BEND.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

IAC091-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HBTI4.2.ER.110617T1428Z.110627T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK DES MOINES RIVER AT HUMBOLDT...OR FROM JOE REASONER 
  DAM...TO THE EAST FORK DES MOINES RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 10.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

IAC091-109-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110704T0000Z/
/AGNI4.1.ER.110616T2205Z.110623T2100Z.110703T0000Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST FORK DES MOINES RIVER NEAR ALGONA...OR FROM BUFFALO CREEK 
  NEAR BURT...TO LOTTS CREEK NEAR LIVERMORE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.


$$

IAC015-079-187-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110702T1640Z/
/STRI4.1.ER.110622T0845Z.110625T0530Z.110701T1640Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDDAY FRIDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER NEAR STRATFORD...OR FROM THE BOONE RIVER...TO 
  NEAR THE CITY OF BOONE.
* UNTIL MIDDAY FRIDAY.
* AT  3:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.2 FEET THIS EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MIDDAY FRIDAY.


$$

IAC123-179-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0076.110627T1449Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDYI4.1.ER.110627T1449Z.110628T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER NEAR EDDYVILLE...OR FROM CEDAR CREEK NEAR 
  TRACY...TO MIDDLE AVERY CREEK NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 59.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 61.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE
  RISING TO 64.1 FEET TONIGHT.

$$

IAC179-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTMI4.2.ER.110627T0710Z.110628T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT OTTUMWA...OR FROM MIDDLE AVERY CREEK NEAR 
  CHILLICOTHE...TO ELDON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:20 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 14.5 FEET TUESDAY MORNING...THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

IAC121-181-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0078.110628T0949Z-110630T1636Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.110628T0949Z.110629T0000Z.110629T1636Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER NEAR NORWALK...OR FROM THE MADISON-WARREN COUNTY 
  LINE...TO THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* UNTIL MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND 
  CONTINUE RISING TO 19.1 FEET TUESDAY EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.


$$

IAC123-125-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0079.110627T1046Z-110629T1536Z/
/BSSI4.1.ER.110627T1046Z.110628T0000Z.110628T1536Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR CREEK NEAR BUSSEY...OR FROM THE NORTH CEDAR CREEK...TO 
  THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 22.9 FEET THIS EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

IAC173-280855-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110628T1533Z/
/BDFI4.2.ER.110627T0640Z.110627T1200Z.110627T1533Z.NR/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST FORK 102 RIVER AT BEDFORD...OR FROM 8 1/2 MILES UPSTREAM 
  OF CONWAY...TO THE 102 RIVER IN MISSOURI.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT  2:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 22.6 FEET THIS MORNING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THIS MORNING.


$$

IAC053-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0080.110627T1130Z-110630T1353Z/
/DVSI4.2.ER.110627T1130Z.110628T1800Z.110629T1353Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE THOMPSON RIVER AT DAVIS CITY...OR FROM THE CITY OF GRAND 
  RIVER...TO THE IOWA-MISSOURI BORDER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 12.6 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC117-185-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0075.110627T1500Z-110629T1800Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.110627T1500Z.110628T0600Z.110628T1800Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR CHARITON...OR FROM WOLF CREEK...TO RATHBUN 
  RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 18.6 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

IAC007-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-110628T2144Z/
/MOLI4.1.ER.110627T0600Z.110627T1200Z.110627T2144Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR MOULTON...OR FROM RATHBUN DAM...TO SHOAL 
  CREEK NEAR LIVONIA...MISSOURI.
* UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 35.5 FEET THIS MORNING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


$$

IAC007-185-280855-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0083.110627T0922Z-110629T0216Z/
/PRMI4.1.ER.110627T0922Z.110627T1800Z.110628T0216Z.NO/
356 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK CHARITON RIVER NEAR PROMISE CITY...OR FROM JACKSON 
  CREEK NEAR CORYDON...TO RATHBUN RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING.
* AT  2:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE
  RISING TO 21.0 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
  EVENING.


$$

815 
WGUS83 KDMX 271602
FLSDMX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1102 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...NORTH RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...MADISON...WARREN
  
RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

&&

IAC121-181-271632-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-110630T1636Z/
/NRWI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER NEAR NORWALK...OR FROM THE MADISON-WARREN COUNTY 
  LINE...TO THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 17.2 FEET 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
650 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...UPDATED FOR THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
ACTIVE NIGHT IN STORE FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL IA AS SHORTWAVE PASSES OUT
OF THE ROCKIES AND THROUGH THE PLAINS.  WILL SEE STRONG WAA/THETA-E
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AS 850MB FLOW INTENSIFIES AHEAD OF
THE SYSTEM.  INITIAL THOUGHT IS THAT DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE INSTABILITY AXIS AND WILL BE FED BY THE STRONG THETA-E
ADVECTION.  THIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.  CONCERN OF BOTH SEVERE AND
HYDRO POTENTIAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY AND WILL DISCUSS THE HYDRO
SITUATION BELOW.  AS FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL...HAIL AND WIND REMAIN THE
HIGHEST POTENTIAL THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH SOME
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT THIS EVENING IN THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER.  MAIN
CONCERN FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IS NEAR SURFACE INSTABILITY WHICH
WAS NON-EXISTENT ON THE 18Z KOAX.  MAY HAVE ENOUGH TIME IN THE
SOUTHWEST FOR THE WARM FRONT TO APPROACH AND LEAD TO SOME SURFACE
BASED CONVECTION...BUT TIME WILL BE SHORT AND LIKELY LIMITED TO THE
EVENING HOURS.  OTHERWISE...PROGRESSIVE MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
NOW IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA IS EXPECTED TO TRAVEL ALONG THE
INSTABILITY GRADIENT THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
INTO WESTERN AND SOUTHERN IA.  SOME ADDITIONAL CONVECTION FARTHER
NORTH IS ALSO EXPECTED BUT LIKELY NOT AS INTENSE DUE TO LOWER
INSTABILITY.  SOME ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AFTER THIS
PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT LOCATION AND TIMING WILL BE DIFFICULT TO
DETERMINE DUE TO THE INITIAL SYSTEMS PASSING THROUGH.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPERATURES/HEAT INDICES IN THE DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MATURE MCS IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN IOWA BY 12Z TOMORROW MORNING. THIS SHOULD BE
QUICK TO MOVE OUT AS PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE SLIDES ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WAVE WILL DRY OUT
THE MID LEVELS...AND EXPECT CLOUDS TO MIX OUT FROM THE NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS COULD LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FOG TUESDAY
MORNING. BUT GIVEN THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE AND HIGH SUN
ANGLE...CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION FOG IN THE GRIDS AS A SOLE
RESULT OF RADIATIONAL COOLING. AFTER A PICTURE PERFECT DAY ON
TUESDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH.
THEREFORE HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THURSDAY THOUGH SUNDAY...H850 TEMPS WILL WARM FROM 20C 00Z
THURSDAY....TO UPPER 20S BY 00Z FRIDAY. THIS WARM LAYER WILL
SUPPRESS ANY CONVECTION DESPITE SBCAPES RANGING FROM 4000-5000J/KG.
THURS/FRI AFTERNOON TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER
90S...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S. THIS OPPRESSIVE AIRMASS MAY
RESULT EXCESSIVE HEAT PRODUCTS BEING ISSUED AS EVENT NEARS. THE
STORM TRACK SHIFTS NORTHWARD WITH A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS INTO CANADA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL SWING A DYING COLD FRONT
THOUGH THE CWA FRIDAY EVENING WHICH WILL STALL OUT ACROSS SOUTHERN
IOWA. LEE SIDE TROUGHING ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL TRY TO BRING
THIS BOUNDARY NORTH AS A WARM FRONT...SO HAVE SLIGHT POPS ACROSS THE
SOUTH ON SATURDAY...AND INCREASING IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE
TO THE THETA_E ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET.

&&

.AVIATION...27/00Z
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT...LIFTING SOUTH TO NORTH. ACTIVITY WILL BE EXPANSIVE THROUGH
12Z THEN GRADUALLY END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HVY RAINFALL COULD DROP VSBYS TO 1SM AT
TIMES ALONG WITH IFR CIGS. STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KTS AND
LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SWINGS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. CIGS WILL SCT TO VFR
DURING THIS TIME.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WILL SEE STRONG THETA-E ADVECTION INTO THE STATE TONIGHT AS SYSTEM
PULLS OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS. INSTABILITY GRADIENT
IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHERN IA THIS EVENING WITH THUNDERSTORMS
TRACKING NEAR THIS AREA.  GIVEN THE HEAVY RAINFALL YESTERDAY AND
PWATS APPROACHING 2 INCHES ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED HIGH RAINFALL
RATES AND AMOUNTS...HAVE GONE WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WHERE GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY BELOW 2
INCHES AND MANY AREAS CLOSE TO AN INCH. CERTAINLY WONT TAKE MUCH
PRECIPITATION FOR RENEWED HYDRO ISSUES INCLUDING RIVER FLOODING AS
WELL.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR ADAIR-ADAMS-
APPANOOSE-AUDUBON-BOONE-CARROLL-CASS-CLARKE-CRAWFORD-DALLAS-
DAVIS-DECATUR-GREENE-GUTHRIE-JASPER-LUCAS-MADISON-MAHASKA-MARION-
MONROE-POLK-POWESHIEK-RINGGOLD-STORY-TAYLOR-UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN-
WAYNE.

&&

SHORT TERM/HYDROLOGY...COGIL
LONG TERM...BEITLICH
AVIATION...DONAVON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
858 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

IAZ033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-280200-
SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-
CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-
JASPER-POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-
UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
858 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FROM GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 80 MPH.
AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
MAY OCCUR AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING BUT THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

IAZ004-005-015-024-280200-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-PALO ALTO-HUMBOLDT-
858 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FROM QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH.
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE UPPER DES
MOINES RIVER BASIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING BUT THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

IAZ006-007-016-017-023-025>028-280200-
WINNEBAGO-WORTH-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-POCAHONTAS-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-
BUTLER-BREMER-
858 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FROM QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH.
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING BUT THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
825 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 WSW DOW CITY          41.90N 95.63W
06/26/2011  E60 MPH          CRAWFORD           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
835 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     TSTM WND GST     ODEBOLT                 42.31N 95.25W
06/26/2011  E60 MPH          SAC                IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
852 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     TSTM WND GST     CARROLL                 42.07N 94.86W
06/26/2011  M60 MPH          CARROLL            IA   MESONET

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
858 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DOW CITY                41.93N 95.49W
06/26/2011                   CRAWFORD           IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
859 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0833 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DENISON                 42.02N 95.35W
06/26/2011                   CRAWFORD           IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN DENISON AND 2 MILES WEST OF TOWN

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
902 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TEMPLETON               41.92N 94.94W
06/26/2011                   CARROLL            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN. NICKLE HAIL

&&

AW