Alert archive / Wisconsin / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011

Winter Storm Warning 8, NWS Duluth, MN

December 31, 20114 counties in Wisconsin; Pine County, Minnesota

NWS Duluth, MN issued this winter storm warning at Dec 31, 2011, 4:48 AM CST for 4 counties in Wisconsin; Pine County, Minnesota. It took effect at Dec 31, 2011, 4:00 PM CST. It was in force for 20 hr. 22 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2011, 4:48 AM CST (10:48 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 31, 2011, 4:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 1, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Duluth, MN

Counties Pine County, MN, Burnett County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 31, 9:58 PM CSTSNOW 2.54 N Grantsburg, WI
Dec 31, 10:09 PM CSTSNOW 2.41 Sw Hinckley, MN
Dec 31, 10:23 PM CSTSNOW 518 E Hinckley, MN
Dec 31, 10:33 PM CSTSNOW 2.35 Sw Bruno, MN
Dec 31, 10:33 PM CSTSNOW 3.5Danbury, WI
Jan 1, 5:15 AM CSTSNOW 3Sarona, WISNOW DEPTH 5 INCHES.
Jan 1, 5:15 AM CSTSNOW 46 Sw Cable, WIREPORT FROM SEELEY. 8 INCHES SNOW DEPTH.
Jan 1, 5:16 AM CSTSNOW 3.54 N Grantsburg, WI
Jan 1, 7:23 AM CSTSNOW 34 Ne Cloverland, WI
Jan 1, 7:23 AM CSTSNOW 3.96 W Hayward, WI
Jan 1, 7:30 AM CSTSNOW 6Exeland, WIREPORT RELAYED FROM THE NWS MPX OFFICE.
Jan 1, 7:31 AM CSTSNOW 3.5Webb Lake, WI
Jan 1, 7:49 AM CSTSNOW 2.58 S Hayward, WI
Jan 1, 8:08 AM CSTSNOW 3Bennett, WI
Jan 1, 8:28 AM CSTSNOW 0.44 S Bruno, MN
Jan 1, 8:29 AM CSTSNOW 2Askov, MN
Jan 1, 8:41 AM CSTSNOW 2.8Maple, WI
Jan 1, 10:02 AM CSTSNOW 4Winter, WI
Jan 1, 10:08 AM CSTSNOW 3.42 Nw Stone Lake, WI
Jan 1, 10:08 AM CSTSNOW 3.7Ssw Grantsburg, WI
Jan 1, 10:08 AM CSTSNOW 49 Nne Hayward, WI
Jan 1, 10:52 AM CSTSNOW 4Trade Lake, WI

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2011-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2011-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
926 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

898 
WWUS43 KDLH 311048
WSWDLH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
448 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SNOWFALL FOLLOWED BY WINDY AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR NEW
YEARS WEEKEND...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A QUICK
SHOT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWS FOLLOWED BY VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS...MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES... AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

WIZ002>004-311900-
/O.UPG.KDLH.WS.A.0010.120101T0600Z-120103T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0008.120101T0200Z-120103T0000Z/
BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHBURN...ASHLAND...HURLEY
448 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW ARE
  EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY MUCH HEAVIER STORM TOTAL SNOW
  AMOUNTS FROM 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
  BAYFIELD PENINSULA AND THE GOGEBIC RANGE FROM MELLEN TO HURLEY.

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
  NIGHT...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES
  IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE
  CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMITED
  VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR AND
  ALONG HIGHWAY 2. 

* OTHER IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED IN
  OPEN AREAS... AND WET SNOW AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EVENT MAY
  COMPACT AND FREEZE TO ICE ON ROADS. THUS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO
  BECOME HAZARDOUS NEW YEARS EVE NIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND
WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED ARRIVAL
TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED.

&&

$$

MNZ038-WIZ001-006>008-311900-
/O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0008.111231T2200Z-120101T1800Z/
PINE-DOUGLAS-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HINCKLEY...SUPERIOR...GRANTSBURG...
SPOONER...HAYWARD
448 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON CST SUNDAY.

* TIMING: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEW
  YEARS MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 5 TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
  MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY.
  VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE.

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN
  REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND SOME DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGERS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED ARRIVAL
TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED.

&&

$$

MNZ020-021-034>037-311900-
/O.NEW.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.111231T2200Z-120101T1600Z/
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-CROW WING-
NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TWO HARBORS...GRAND MARAIS...BRAINERD...
HILL CITY...AITKIN...DULUTH...CLOQUET
448 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY.

* TIMING: SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO NEW YEARS DAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
  FROM BARNUM TO DULUTH AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR.

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY.
  VISIBILITY IS LIKELY TO BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT
  IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$

WIZ009-311900-
/O.NEW.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.120101T0200Z-120101T2100Z/
PRICE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPS
448 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 PM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO ALL
SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM CST
SUNDAY.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS
  RAIN OR A WINTRY MIX. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW
  OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST INTO NEW YEARS DAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 5 INCH STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY
  EVENING.

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY.
  VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES IN
  OPEN AREAS AFTER PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SNOW.

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT
  IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$
 MILLER/BERDES
2 follow-up statements
974 
WWUS43 KDLH 311740
WSWDLH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1140 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SNOWFALL FOLLOWED BY WINDY AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR
NEW YEARS WEEKEND...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A QUICK
SHOT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWS FOLLOWED BY VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS...MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES... AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

MNZ038-WIZ001-006>008-010145-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.W.0008.111231T2200Z-120101T1800Z/
PINE-DOUGLAS-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HINCKLEY...SUPERIOR...GRANTSBURG...
SPOONER...HAYWARD
1140 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO NOON CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY THIS EVENING THE SNOW MAY BEGIN AS A
  MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR
  BETWEEN 6PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 5 TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER 
  AMOUNTS.

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE. 

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT 
  IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND SOME DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGERS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED
ARRIVAL TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME
STRANDED.

&&

$$

WIZ002>004-010145-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.W.0008.120101T0200Z-120103T0000Z/
BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHBURN...ASHLAND...HURLEY
1140 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST MONDAY. 

* TIMING: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO
  INCREASE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW 
  ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY MUCH HEAVIER STORM TOTAL SNOW 
  AMOUNTS FROM 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE 
  BAYFIELD PENINSULA AND THE GOGEBIC RANGE FROM MELLEN TO 
  HURLEY. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... 
  REDUCING VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMITED VISIBILITY... 
  ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR AND ALONG HIGHWAY 
  2. 

* OTHER IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED IN 
  OPEN AREAS... AND WET SNOW AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EVENT MAY 
  COMPACT AND FREEZE TO ICE ON ROADS. THUS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED 
  TO BECOME HAZARDOUS NEW YEARS EVE NIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED
ARRIVAL TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME
STRANDED.

&&

$$

MNZ020-021-034>037-010145-
/O.CON.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.111231T2200Z-120101T1600Z/
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-CROW WING-
NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TWO HARBORS...GRAND MARAIS...BRAINERD...
HILL CITY...AITKIN...DULUTH...CLOQUET
1140 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: A COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON..AND CHANGE TO SNOW BY EARLY EVENING.
  SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY BETWEEN 5PM AND 8PM NEAR THE
  BRAINERD LAKES REGION...AND BETWEEN 6PM AND 9PM AROUND THE TWIN
  PORTS AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. SNOW SHOULD
  DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS 
  FROM BARNUM TO DULUTH AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE 
  SUPERIOR. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY IS LIKELY TO BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT 
  TIMES. 

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL 
  RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$

WIZ009-010145-
/O.CON.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.120101T0200Z-120101T2100Z/
PRICE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPS
1140 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS 
  RAIN OR A WINTRY MIX. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW 
  OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST INTO NEW YEARS DAY AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 5 INCH STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES IN 
  OPEN AREAS AFTER PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SNOW. 

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL 
  RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$
174 
WWUS43 KDLH 312200
WSWDLH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
400 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SNOWFALL FOLLOWED BY WINDY AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR
NEW YEARS WEEKEND...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A QUICK
SHOT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWS FOLLOWED BY VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS...MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES... AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS IN NORTHERN WISCONSIN.

MNZ038-WIZ001-006>008-010600-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120101T1800Z/
PINE-DOUGLAS-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HINCKLEY...SUPERIOR...GRANTSBURG...
SPOONER...HAYWARD
400 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BEGIN AS A 
  MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR 
  BETWEEN 6PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 5 TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER 
  AMOUNTS. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE. 

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT 
  IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND SOME DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGERS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED
ARRIVAL TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME
STRANDED.

&&

$$

WIZ002>004-010600-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.W.0008.120101T0200Z-120103T0000Z/
BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHBURN...ASHLAND...HURLEY
400 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST MONDAY. 

* TIMING: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IS 
  EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW 
  ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY MUCH HEAVIER STORM TOTAL SNOW 
  AMOUNTS FROM 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE 
  BAYFIELD PENINSULA AND THE GOGEBIC RANGE FROM MELLEN TO 
  HURLEY. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... 
  REDUCING VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW AND SEVERELY LIMITED VISIBILITY... 
  ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR AND ALONG HIGHWAY 
  2. 

* OTHER IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED IN 
  OPEN AREAS... AND WET SNOW AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EVENT MAY 
  COMPACT AND FREEZE TO ICE ON ROADS. THUS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED 
  TO BECOME HAZARDOUS NEW YEARS EVE NIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AND DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW AND ICE COVERED
ROADS...AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. DELAY
TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. KEEP A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE... INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND EXPECTED
ARRIVAL TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU BECOME
STRANDED.

&&

$$

MNZ020-021-034>037-010600-
/O.CON.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120101T1600Z/
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-CROW WING-
NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TWO HARBORS...GRAND MARAIS...BRAINERD...
HILL CITY...AITKIN...DULUTH...CLOQUET
400 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST
SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: A COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON..AND CHANGE TO SNOW BY EARLY
  EVENING. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY BETWEEN 5PM AND 8PM
  NEAR THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION...AND BETWEEN 6PM AND 9PM AROUND
  THE TWIN PORTS AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. SNOW
  SHOULD DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS 
  FROM BARNUM TO DULUTH AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE 
  SUPERIOR. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY IS LIKELY TO BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT 
  TIMES. 

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL 
  RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$

WIZ009-010600-
/O.CON.KDLH.WW.Y.0044.120101T0200Z-120101T2100Z/
PRICE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPS
400 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS 
  RAIN OR A WINTRY MIX. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW 
  OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST INTO NEW YEARS DAY AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 5 INCH STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS AND VISIBILITY: NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. 
  VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES IN 
  OPEN AREAS AFTER PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SNOW. 

* MAIN IMPACT: FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL 
  RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY...SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED TO THE WIND. ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...SO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 31, 4:12 AM CST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 4:12 AM CST, 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
412 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2011

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH NEW YEARS DAY...
COMPLICATED AND RAPIDLY EVOLVING WEATHER SCENARIO EXPECTED TO PLAY
OUT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONITE AS STRENGTHENING TROF
CROSSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EMERGES ON TO THE PLAINS. GULF
MOISTURE IS CUT OFF FROM THIS SYSTEM..BUT ITS RAPID
MOVEMENT/AMPLIFICATION AND ASSOCIATED INTENSE FORCING FOR ASCENT
STILL EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM
ACROSS PARTS OF THE DLH CWA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING INTO NEW YEARS DAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED IN A 5-7 HOUR PERIOD TONIGHT..DEVELOPING SOMEWHERE ALONG
THE I35 CORRIDOR AND PROGRESSING EAST. KMPX RADAR ALSO SUGGESTS
SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TODAY FROM LOW LEVEL STRATUS
DECK AS WARM ADVECTION AND LOW LEVEL ASCENT SLOWLY INCREASES.

FOR THE MAIN EVENT THE VARIOUS DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS AND
ENSEMBLES HAVE SEEMINGLY CONVERGED TOWARD THE SOLUTION SUGGESTED
BY THE NAM/SREF/GEM IN EARLIER RUNS. THIS BRINGS A BAND OF MAINLY
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NRN MN TODAY..WITH RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE
TO PERHAPS HEAVY SNOW SOMEWHERE ALONG OR JUST WEST OF THE I35
CORRIDOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING..WITH THIS THEN EVOLVING
INTO THE MAIN PRECIP BAND ACROSS NW WI AND EXTREME ERN MN
OVERNIGHT. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS IS A 3-6 HOUR WINDOW OF VERY
STRONG FRONTOGENESIS FORCING FROM ROUGHLY THE MSP AREA NNEWD TO WRN
LK SUPERIOR. THUS..EVEN THOUGH WINDOW FOR PRECIP WILL BE PERHAPS
SHORTER THAN MANY WINTER STORMS..PRECIP RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
QUITE HEAVY FOR A 3-5 HOUR WINDOW. STILL..WE MUST EMPHASIZE THAT
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE
HEAVIEST SNOW. LONG WAVE PATTERN IS FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT TROF
AMPLIFICATION..AND THIS HAS BEEN DEPICTED BY MODEL RUNS TRENDING
SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND STRONGER WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN OVER THE
PAST DAY OR SO.

AFTER CONSIDERABLE COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING WFOS/HPC..WE
HAVE HOISTED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF NW WISCONSIN EXCEPT
FOR PRICE COUNTY..AND ALSO PINE COUNTY IN ERN MN WITH WINTER WX
ADVISORIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE WARNING. SNOW AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 6 INCHES IN THE WARNING AREA WITH SOME LOCAL
HIGHER AMOUNTS..AND WITH SUCH STRONG FGEN AND INSTABILITY INVOLVED
FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING..A NARROW BAND OF 8+ IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION. SNOW RATIOS ARE LIKELY TO START OUT RATHER HEAVY AND
WET..BUT THEN TRANSITION TO MORE DENDRITES AND HIGHER RATIOS AS
ARCTIC AIR BEGINS TO FILTER IN LATER TONIGHT. AS SUCH..SLUSHY OR
WET SNOW ACCUMS ARE LIKELY TO COMPACT ON ROADS AND THEN
FREEZE..FOLLOWED BY BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS TONIGHT AND NEW
YEARS DAY. THE TWIN PORTS WILL BE ON THE NW EDGE OF THE HEAVIER
SNOW AREA..SO LIKE A FEW STORMS LAST YEAR..A VERY SLIGHT DEVIATION
IN THE STORMS PATH TO THE NW OR SE COULD RESULT IN BIG CHANGES TO
SNOW ACCUMS IN THE POPULATION CENTER.

BIG STORY ON NEW YEARS WILL BE THE STRONG NW WINDS ON THE BACK
SIDE OF DEPARTING LOW..MUCH COLDER TEMPS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
REALLY CRANKING UP ON THE SOUTH SHORE IN NW WI. WINDS FROM 20-25
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 ARE EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS..AND NW GALES CAN
BE EXPECTED OVER THE WATERS OF WRN LAKE SUPERIOR. HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE
BAYFIELD PENINSULA AND GOGEBIC RANGE..AND IT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISING TO SEE SOME STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UPWARDS OF A
FOOT AND A HALF BY MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THESE AREAS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WILL START OUT COLD AND WINDY WITH A
STRONG LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION PRODUCING
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS OUR CWA. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
AFFECT THE NORTHLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE WEST SIDE OF A DEPARTING SFC LOW.
THE NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH THE COLD TEMPS WILL CREATE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. WITH THIS LAKE
EFFECT SNOW BEING A CONTINUATION OF THE SYNOPTICALLY FORCED SNOW
FROM THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM...HAVE OPTED TO KEEP WARNING GOING
FOR BAYFIELD...ASHLAND AND IRON COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE GOGEBIC RANGE ARE EXPECTED
TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 9 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
BAYFIELD PENINSULA. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS MAINLY DRY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER A CLIPPER
SYSTEM FROM SCNTL CANADA WILL DIG SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO
OUR NRN AND ERN ZONES. A WARM UP IS THEN PROGGED BY THE ECMWF AND
GFS AS BOTH BUILD A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY ANOTHER POLAR COLD FRONT IS
PROGGED TO TRACK SEWD ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
A MIXED BAG OF FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY BEING SEEN ACROSS
THE NORTHLAND LATE THIS EVENING. THERE IS AN AREA OF LOW IFR CIGS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE ARROWHEAD AND OVER WRN LAKE SUPERIOR. THERE
ARE TWO HOLES OF CLEAR SKIES...ONE JUST SOUTH OF INL TO HIB...THE
OTHER EAST OF HYR TO AROUND PBH. FROM DLH TO BRD THERE IS AN MVFR
DECK CURRENTLY ADVANCING TO THE NORTH. AT THE SAME TIME AN AREA OF
HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM ARE QUICKLY MOVING IN
FROM THE W/NW. CIGS WILL BE UP AND DOWN TONIGHT BETWEEN
IFR/MVFR/VFR DUE TO THE LACK OF CONTINUITY IN SKY CONDITIONS. WILL
BE VERY DIFFICULT TO GET A HANDLE ON. WENT WITH LOW-END MVFR
CIGS...AND A FEW TEMPOS FOR IFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE
LIFR/IFR VSBYS/CIGS TO THE WEST/SW...THERE IS SOME CONCERN ABOUT
CONDITIONS DETERIORATING QUICKLY. VERY LITTLE IMPROVEMENT TOMORROW
MORNING BEFORE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES IN AND DEVELOPS SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION. LLWS MAY BE A PROBLEM BTWN 16-22Z
TOMORROW AHEAD OF THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS. WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE
NW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SAT WITH BLSN POSSIBLE.

&&

.POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  32  21  22   2 /  80 100  60  10
INL  27  19  19  -4 /  80  70  30  20
BRD  33  21  22   3 /  60  80  30  10
HYR  33  23  24   5 /  50 100  60  30
ASX  32  25  25   9 /  40 100  80  50

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM CST
     SUNDAY FOR MNZ020-021-034>037.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON CST SUNDAY
     FOR MNZ038.

WI...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON CST SUNDAY
     FOR WIZ001-006>008.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM CST
     SUNDAY FOR WIZ009.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST MONDAY
     FOR WIZ002>004.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY
     FOR LSZ121-140>148.

     GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR LSZ121-
     140>148.

&&

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...BERDES
AVIATION...TENTINGER
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 10:05 PM CST, 6 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1005 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2011

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-311130-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
1005 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE BORDERLAND SATURDAY
MORNING...BECOMING WIDESPREAD AND MORE INTENSE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NEW YEAR. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
CAN BE EXPECTED SOUTH OF LINE FROM CASS LAKE TO SIREN. HIGHER
AMOUNTS...3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THIS LINE.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AROUND THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION SATURDAY
MORNING.

WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND ALSO CAUSE AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW...MAKING TRAVEL CONDITIONS POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SNOWBELT REGION OF
NORTHERN WISCONSIN IN ASHLAND AND IRON COUNTIES LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER
MESSAGE FOR MORE DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-311130-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
1005 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...REACHING GALE FORCE AT TIMES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE NEAR SHORE WATERS
IN WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. A GALE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. CHECK THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER FORECAST FOR
DETAILS.

GRANING/TENTINGER

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)

The office that day

Everything else NWS Duluth, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 4:48 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryDLHAitkin, Carlton, Cook, Crow Wing, Lake, Saint Louis29 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2011Winter Storm Warnings in Minnesota, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.