Wind Advisory 3, NWS Duluth, MN

156 
WWUS73 KDLH 011614
NPWDLH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1114 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED AROUND LAKE SUPERIOR...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO MUCH
OF THE NORTHLAND THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOR
THOSE AREAS ADJACENT TO LAKE SUPERIOR. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.

MNZ020-021-037-WIZ001>004-012100-
/O.EXT.KDLH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110601T2100Z/
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TWO HARBORS...GRAND MARAIS...DULUTH...
CLOQUET...SUPERIOR...WASHBURN...ASHLAND...HURLEY
1114 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON.

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF
  NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH
  GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS: OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH BINS...FURNITURE AND 
  CAMPING EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE SECURED WELL. WINDS THIS STRONG 
  MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE 
  VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

MELDE

654 
WWUS73 KDLH 012026
NPWDLH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
326 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

MNZ020-021-021200-
/O.CAN.KDLH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110601T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDLH.FR.Y.0004.110602T0600Z-110602T1200Z/
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TWO HARBORS...GRAND MARAIS
326 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. THE
WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* TEMPERATURES: LOWS WILL FALL TO 30 TO 35 DEGREES...AND BE A BIT
  WARMER CLOSE TO LAKE SUPERIOR.

* IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION SHOULD BE PROTECTED AGAINST 
  FROST AND NEAR-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

MNZ037-WIZ001>004-012130-
/O.CAN.KDLH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110601T2100Z/
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DULUTH...CLOQUET...SUPERIOR...
WASHBURN...ASHLAND...HURLEY
326 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

MNZ011-012-019-021200-
/O.NEW.KDLH.FR.Y.0004.110602T0600Z-110602T1200Z/
NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELY...ISABELLA...HIBBING
326 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. 

* TEMPERATURE: LOWS WILL FALL TO 30 TO 35 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION SHOULD BE PROTECTED AGAINST FROST
  AND NEAR-FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

MELDE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1247 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

.AVIATION...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR UNDER A STRATUS CLOUD DECK...WITH MVFR IN AREAS OF CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHEAST MN TONIGHT. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR
MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. GUSTY WEST WINDS TO 35 KTS
WILL VEER TO NORTHWEST...THEN FINALLY DECREASE LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 926 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011/

UPDATE...
WE WILL ALLOW THE WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE. WE REMOVED THUNDER FROM
ALL OF THE ZONES.

DISCUSSION...
WINDS CONTINUE TO BE BRISK...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE. WITH THE SETTING OF THE SUN...
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG GRADIENT WILL TEND TO LIFT OFF
THE GROUND A LITTLE WITH A LITTLE LESS MOMENTUM MIXING. CLOUDS
WILL INDEED KEEP LOW LEVELS FROM COOLING FAST ENOUGH TO ENTIRELY
SHUT OFF STRONG GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUBSIDE TO A LEVEL WHERE IT IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD.
WINDS SOUTH OF THE IRON RANGE HAVE GUSTED AS MUCH AS 45 TO 50 MPH
FOR SEVERAL HOURS...WITH WINDS IN THE DULUTH AREA GUSTING TO 50
MPH. A WIND INSTRUMENT ON THE BLATNIK BRIDGE...AN ELEVATED AND
EXPOSED STRUCTURE NEAR DULUTH HARBOR...REPORTED SEVERAL GUSTS TO
60 MPH...AND A GUST TO 63 MPH AT 545 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT SHOWERS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT IN MANY AREAS. THE SPREAD OF RAIN IS
BEING IMPEEDED BY HIGH CLOUD BASES AND DRY AIR OVER MOST OF
NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN...BEYOND THE LAKESHORE AND THE UPPER SAINT
CROIX VALLEY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 703 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011/

UPDATE...
INCREASED EMPHASIS ON CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FURTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE
NIGHT...EVEN LEFT ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN ARROWHEAD
OVERNIGHT. WE PUT IN A POSSIBILITY OF A CLAP OF THUNDER TO OUR
NORTH EARLY THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
RECENT ANALYSIS AND GUIDANCE POINTS TO A POCKET OF LEFT-BEHIND
MOISTURE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MANITOBA AND SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO THIS
EVENING...DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S OVER WINNIPEG. WITH
THE STRENGTH OF THE DEEP LOW AND RAPID COOLING ALOFT...LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY SUGGEST AND RADAR ECHOES ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY
DEMONSTRATE PERSISTENT SHOWERS...RAIN IS LOWERING VISIBILITIES
OVER NORTHERN CASS AND BECKER COUNTIES...THE RAIN AREA IS NOT
WEAKENING VERY MUCH OVER THE RED RIVER. WE ANTICIPATE MOST AMOUNTS
LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH HERE. COLD ADVECTION ALOFT...BY ITSELF
IS MAINTAINING GUSTY WINDS...UP TO 40 MPH SOUTH OF THE IRON RANGE
AND 45 TO 50 MPH THROUGH MOST OF THE DULUTH AREA AND AS HIGH AS
55 MPH AT THE BLATNIK BRIDGE WHICH CROSSES THE DULUTH HARBOR
AREA. INTENSE HEATING AND RAPID MOMENTUM TRANSFER IS NOT
OCCURRING WITH THE SETTING SUN. EXPECTED PERSISTENT CLOUDS WILL
PREVENT RADIATIONAL DECOUPLING...KEEPING WINDS UP A LITTLE MORE
THAN WOULD OTHERWISE OCCUR. WE STILL PLAN TO LET THE WIND ADVISORY
EXPIRE AT 1000 PM...BUT IF WINDS DO NOT SOON AND MATERIALLY
SUBSIDE...WE WILL NOT HESITATE TO EXTEND THAT FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

AVIATION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR...FALLING TO MVFR OR POSSIBLY BRIEFLY
HIGH-END IFR IN SOME SHOWERS THIS EVENING. SHOWER COVERAGE SHOULD
DECREASE NOTICABLY AND VFR CONDITIONS BECOME THE RULE LATER
TONIGHT. CLEARING IS ANTICIPATED EARLY WEDNESDAY. WE ALSO
EMPHASIZED GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MUCH
OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH RAPIDLY LATE WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
INTENSE DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE LOCATED NEAR WINNIPEG THIS AFTERNOON
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT..BUT WILL STILL HAVE LARGE IMPACTS ON
OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DESPITE MODEL
FORECASTS TODAY..STRONGER WINDS HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED QUITE AS
STRONG AS EARLIER EXPECTED. STRONGEST WINDS TODAY HAVE ACTUALLY
BEEN OVER ERN ND AND NW MN..SEEMINGLY TIED TO THE STRONGEST GRADIENT
AND PRESSURE RISES. THIS SYSTEM-RELATIVE AREA OF THE CYCLONE WILL
TRANSLATE ACROSS NRN MN TONIGHT..AND WHILE 925/850 MB WINDS WILL
REMAIN ABOVE 40-50 KTS..NOCTURNAL TIMING SHUD RESULT IN ENUF
DECOUPLING TO ALLOW WINDS TO DROP INTO THE 15-30 MPH RANGE BY
AROUND 10 PM. SO.. WE HAVE SHORTENED THE WIND ADVISORY TO END AT
10 PM THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS.

COLD TEMPS ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH LOBE OF
FORCING ROTATING ACROSS NRN MN TONIGHT WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS A FEW BRIEF/WEAK T-STORMS GOING FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH
AREAL COVERAGE GREATEST THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.

STRONG GRADIENT WILL LINGER ON WEDNESDAY AS SYSTEM DEPARTS..SO ONE
MORE RATHER BREEZY DAY IS IN STORE..ALTHOUGH NOT AS WINDY AS
TODAY. CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE ARROWHEAD ARE
EXPECTED TO DEPART EARLY WEDENSDAY MORNING. WEAK RIDGING THEN
BUILDS INTO THE AREA WED NITE/THUR.

HOWEVER..TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS WARM/MOIST ADVECTION
PATTERN QUICKLY REDEVELOPS LATER THURSDAY..AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE BROUGHT SMALL CHANCES FOR
T-STORMS NORTHWARD LATER THURSDAY..BUT LARGE TSTORM COMPLEX IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY WITH NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL
JET. REDEVELOPMENT SEEMS LIKELY ON FRIDAY WITH ROBUST INSTABILITY
AXIS RE-LOADING ACROSS ERN MN/WRN WI DURING THE DAY. WHILE THE
DETAILS ARE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE..THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR IN THE MODEL PROGS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD STRONGLY SUGGESTS
THAT SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE EASTWARD NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN
THIRD OF MINNESOTA EARLY IN THE PERIOD. AS THIS LOW DEPARTS ON
SATURDAY...EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE. TIMING OF THESE RIDGE
RIDERS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THIS FAR OUT...SO WILL KEEP A
DAILY CHANCE OF A SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM FOR THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD FOR THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  67  44  56  49 /  10  10  40  60
INL  63  39  67  53 /  10  10  40  60
BRD  71  51  72  61 /  10  20  40  50
HYR  71  48  69  58 /  10  10  40  50
ASX  68  45  65  53 /  10  10  40  60

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ121-
     140>148.

&&

AVIATION...CANNON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
257 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-011030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
257 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH
SOME GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH... WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING
ACROSS AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 2 IN
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY AROUND 10 PM IN MOST AREAS. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN THROUGH THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION... A FEW BRIEF... WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  WHILE IT IS STILL TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE SPECIFIC DETAILS OF PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF
THUNDERSTORMS... IT APPEAR THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY NIGHT... FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-011030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
257 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS WILL
PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST ON WEDNESDAY... BUT WILL
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG OR SEVERE THURSDAY NIGHT...
FRIDAY... AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

 MILLER

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH