Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Duluth, MN

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1240 PM CDT SUN JUL 17 2011

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-181030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
1240 PM CDT SUN JUL 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AFTER 3 PM. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS. THE AREA MOST
AT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF US HIGHWAY
2...OR SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WALKER MINNESOTA... TO DULUTH... TO
IRONWOOD MICHIGAN. IF SOME OF THE STORMS CAN ORGANIZE INTO FAST
MOVING LINES OR CLUSTERS...THEY COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF EXTREME WIND
DAMAGE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE A SECONDARY THREAT.

GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS
ACROSS THE REGION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL...AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS...AND THOSE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR WEATHER INFORMATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE LIKELY TO EXCEED 100 DEGREES OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING THE RISK OF HEAT RELATED ILLNESS.
HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT...AND YOU CAN REFERENCE
THOSE PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHLAND. FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA SHOULD
REMAIN DRY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2.

SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE MONDAY OVER NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN AND WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT OVER FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK...POSSIBLY
THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING.

LSZ121-140>148-181030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
1240 PM CDT SUN JUL 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY IN
THE NEARSHORE WATERS ADJACENT WISCONSIN...AND FROM DULUTH TO TWO
HARBORS. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS.

THERE MAY BE SOME AREAS OF DENSE FOG OVER THE LAKE WITH VISIBILITIES
UNDER ONE MILE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF
LAKE SUPERIOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN ALL AREAS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE QUITE STRONG AT
TIMES.

AL/DJM

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)