Alert archive / Wyoming / Flash Flood Watches in 2011

Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Cheyenne, WY

April 13, 2011Carbon County, Wyoming

NWS Cheyenne, WY issued this flash flood watch at Apr 13, 2011, 8:01 AM MDT for Carbon County, Wyoming. It took effect at Apr 13, 2011, 7:02 PM MDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2011, 8:01 AM MDT (14:01 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 13, 2011, 7:02 PM MDT
Expired
Apr 19, 2011, 10:31 AM MDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Cheyenne, WY
Flood severity
None

County Carbon County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 187 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 12:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2011-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2011-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
659 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

902 
WGUS65 KCYS 131401
FFACYS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
801 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM WEAKENS THREATENING BAGGS HIGHWAY 
789...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THE
LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM IS WEAKENING POSING A FLOODING HAZARD
TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-132215-
/O.NEW.KCYS.FF.A.0001.110414T1500Z-110416T1200Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
801 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...
 INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES
  NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...IS FLOWING FULL AND ERODING THE BACK
  SLOPE AND WEAKENING THE STRUCTURE DUE TO THE SEPARATION OF THE
  CORRUGATED METAL PIPE SPILLWAY.

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY
  789...MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE
  BETWEEN CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

CARPENTER
13 follow-up statements
482 
WGUS65 KCYS 132119
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
319 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM HAS WEAKENED THREATENING HIGHWAY
789 NORTH OF BAGGS...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THE
LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM IS WEAKENING POSING A FLOODING HAZARD
TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-142130-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.110414T1500Z-110416T1200Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
319 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
  MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...IS FLOWING FULL AND ERODING THE 
  BACK SLOPE AND WEAKENING THE STRUCTURE DUE TO THE SEPARATION 
  OF THE CORRUGATED METAL PIPE SPILLWAY. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789...
  MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
  CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

CARPENTER
621 
WGUS65 KCYS 140102
FFACYS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
702 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THE
LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...IS WEAKENING
AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A
FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-141800-
/O.EXT.KCYS.FF.A.0001.110414T0102Z-110420T1800Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
702 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES
  NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...IS FLOWING FULL AND ERODING THE BACK
  SLOPE AND WEAKENING THE STRUCTURE DUE TO THE SEPARATION OF THE
  CORRUGATED METAL PIPE SPILLWAY. AS OF LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON 
  THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED WITH REPAIRS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
  THIS WEEK.   

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
  MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
  CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

WEILAND
068 
WGUS65 KCYS 141730
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1130 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THE
LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...IS
WEAKENING AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD
POSE A FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS
HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-151100-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110420T1800Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
1130 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...IS FLOWING FULL AND ERODING THE 
 BACK SLOPE AND WEAKENING THE STRUCTURE DUE TO THE SEPARATION 
 OF THE CORRUGATED METAL PIPE SPILLWAY. AS OF LATE WEDNESDAY 
 AFTERNOON THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED WITH REPAIRS EXPECTED TO 
 BEGIN LATER THIS WEEK. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COX
747 
WGUS65 KCYS 150137
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
737 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THAT 
THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...
WEAKENED ON MONDAY AND EVEN THOUGH THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL REPAIRS ARE
MADE NEXT WEEK. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A FLOODING HAZARD TO
HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-151800-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110420T1800Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
737 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES
  NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER WAS BEING
  PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM EARLIER TODAY. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE
  MADE TO THE DAM NEXT WEEK. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE
  POSSIBILITY OF DAM FAILURE.

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
  MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
  CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

WEILAND
722 
WGUS65 KCYS 151522
FFACYS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
922 AM MDT FRI APR 15 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THAT
THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...
WEAKENED ON MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED RECENTLY...BUT
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL REPAIRS ARE MADE
NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS WILL BE COMPLETED
NEXT FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A FLOODING
HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-160400-
/O.EXT.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
922 AM MDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...APRIL 22.

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES
  NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER WAS BEING
  PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE TO THE DAM
  BY NEXT FRIDAY...APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE
  POSSIBILITY OF DAM FAILURE.

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
  MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
  CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

WEILAND
647 
WGUS65 KCYS 152340
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
540 PM MDT FRI APR 15 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES THAT
THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...WEAKENED
ON MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED RECENTLY...BUT THERE IS
STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL REPAIRS ARE MADE NEXT WEEK.
LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS WILL BE COMPLETED NEXT FRIDAY
APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY
789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-161700-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
540 PM MDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
NEXT WEEK...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM BY NEXT FRIDAY...APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE 
 REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TT
206 
WGUS65 KCYS 161422
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
822 AM MDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES
THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...
WEAKENED ON MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED RECENTLY...BUT
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL REPAIRS ARE MADE
NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS WILL BE COMPLETED
NEXT FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A FLOODING
HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-171200-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
822 AM MDT SAT APR 16 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM BY NEXT FRIDAY...APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE 
 REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
166 
WGUS65 KCYS 162349
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
549 PM MDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES
THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF 
BAGGS...WEAKENED LAST MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED
RECENTLY...BUT THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL
REPAIRS ARE MADE NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS
WILL BE COMPLETED NEXT FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE
A FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-171700-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
549 PM MDT SAT APR 16 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM BY NEXT FRIDAY...APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE 
 REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TT
126 
WGUS65 KCYS 170936
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
336 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT THE RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE ADVISES
THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS...
WEAKENED LAST MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED RECENTLY...BUT
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL REPAIRS ARE MADE
NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS WILL BE COMPLETED
FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A FLOODING HAZARD TO
HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-180000-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
336 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES
  NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER WAS BEING
  PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE TO THE DAM
  FRIDAY APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF
  A DAM FAILURE.

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789...MAKING
  THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN CRESTON
  JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

JAMSKI
370 
WGUS65 KCYS 171639
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1039 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT THE RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE
ADVISES THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF
BAGGS...WEAKENED LAST MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED
RECENTLY...BUT THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL
REPAIRS ARE MADE NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS
WILL BE COMPLETED FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A
FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-181300-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
1039 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM FRIDAY APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE 
 POSSIBILITY OF A DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789...
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
035 
WGUS65 KCYS 180001
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
601 PM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT THE RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE
ADVISES THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF
BAGGS...WEAKENED LAST MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED
RECENTLY...BUT THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL
REPAIRS ARE MADE NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS
WILL BE COMPLETED FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A
FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-181800-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
601 PM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM FRIDAY APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE 
 POSSIBILITY OF A DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


TT
928 
WGUS65 KCYS 181650
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1050 AM MDT MON APR 18 2011

...LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM TO THE NORTH OF BAGGS HAS WEAKENED
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FAIL...

.THE BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT AT THE RAWLINS FIELD OFFICE
ADVISES THAT THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 MILES NORTH OF
BAGGS...WEAKENED LAST MONDAY. THE DAM HAS BEEN STABILIZED
RECENTLY...BUT THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR FAILURE UNTIL
REPAIRS ARE MADE NEXT WEEK. LATEST INFORMATION IS THAT REPAIRS
WILL BE COMPLETED FRIDAY APRIL 22. THE DAM FAILURE WOULD POSE A
FLOODING HAZARD TO HIGHWAY 789...KNOWN AS THE BAGGS HIGHWAY.

WYZ111-191315-
/O.CON.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
1050 AM MDT MON APR 18 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREA...SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE SPILLWAY PIPE OF THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM...13 
 MILES NORTH OF BAGGS WYOMING...HAS BEEN STABILIZED AND WATER 
 WAS BEING PUMPED OUT OF THE DAM. COMPLETE REPAIRS WILL BE MADE 
 TO THE DAM FRIDAY APRIL 22. UNTIL THEN...THERE REMAINS THE 
 POSSIBILITY OF A DAM FAILURE. 

* FAILURE OF THE DAM COULD POTENTIALLY SUBMERGE HIGHWAY 789... 
 MAKING THE ROAD IMPASSABLE WITH NO ALTERNATIVE ROUTE BETWEEN 
 CRESTON JUNCTION WYOMING AND CRAIG COLORADO AVAILABLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
752 
WGUS65 KCYS 191631
FFACYS

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1031 AM MDT TUE APR 19 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED...


WYZ111-191745-
/O.CAN.KCYS.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-110423T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAGGS...DIXON
1031 AM MDT TUE APR 19 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE CARBON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER THIS MORNING
REPORTED THAT REPAIRS TO THE LITTLE ROBBER DETENTION DAM HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED ENOUGH TO AVERT ANY DAM FAILURE POSSIBILITY. THUS THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cheyenne, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 13, 3:33 AM MDT, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 3:33 AM MDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
333 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING OVERHEAD EARLY THIS MORNING WAS HAVING VERY
MINIMAL IMPACT. IN FACT...IR IMAGERY SHOWS WARMING CLOUD-TOPS
SINCE AROUND MIDNIGHT. LINGERING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
POSSIBILITY THIS MORNING HOWEVER...AS AN AREA OF WEAK ISENTROPIC
LIFT PERSISTS ALONG 295K MAINLY NORTH OF A WHEATLAND TO ALLIANCE
LINE. THE COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED SO WOULD EXPECT MOST PLACES TO
REMAIN DRY. MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE IDEA OF A 6 TO
9 HOUR BREAK IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS. SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR OVR MUCH
OF WRN CO...UT...AND EVEN INTO ERN NEVADA AT THIS HOUR. SO...WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF MUCH OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY FROM LATE
THIS MORNING THRU MID/LATE THIS AFTERNOON. NEGATIVELY TILTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT BASIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO WRN
COLORADO BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. AS A RESULT...FLOW WILL BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THE CWA. MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THE GFS THE QUICKEST BRINGING CONVECTION IN BY
LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE..THE NAM WAS SLOWER DELAYING CONVECTIVE
INITIATION UNTIL AFTER 6P. PREFER THE SLOWER NAM...BUT HAVE KEPT
COVERAGE ISOLATED ALONG AND WEST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE MAINLY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON TO GIVE SOME WIGGLE ROOM FOR THE QUICKER GFS.
LIFTED INDICES WILL BE BETWEEN 0 AND -2C LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN
CARBON COUNTY. THIS WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING. WOULD EXPECT
CONVECTION TO BECOME ELEVATED AND BE ABLE TO BE SUSTAINED WELL
INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS...SO KEPT THUNDER IN UNTIL AT LEAST
MIDNIGHT. WOULD NOT BE AT ALL SURPRISED IF ITS NEEDED LONGER. LOW
FREEZING LEVELS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF GRAUPEL
AND/OR SMALL HAIL WITH THE HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS THIS
EVENING. SNOW LEVELS WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 9000 OR 10000 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL FALL ONCE AGAIN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS LATE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SO...PRECIP WILL REMAIN LIQUID THRU
MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY...BUT WILL MIX WITH SNOW BY LATE THIS
EVENING AND TRANSITION TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE NEGATIVELY
TILTED TROUGH WILL CONTINUE INTO SE COLORADO BY EARLY THURSDAY AND
CLOSE OFF OVER WRN KANSAS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 00Z MODEL SUITES
HAVE CONTINUED THE SLOWER/WETTER TREND WITH THIS SYSTEM. AS THE
UPPER LOW CLOSES AND STACKS...ITS PROGRESSION WILL SLOW TO A
CRAWL. AS THIS OCCURS AN IMPRESSIVE AREA OF DIVERGENCE DEVELOPS
WITHIN DIFFLUENT H3 FLOW. THIS WILL MOVE OVER TOP OF AN AREA OF
STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WHICH WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE SET-UP
FOR PRECIPITATION THURSDAY. HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE PRECIP
CHANCES ACROSS THE BOARD FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IF TEMPS
ARE ABLE TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH...AREAS OF THE NRN PANHANDLE COULD
SURPASS ADVISORY CRITERIA SNOW AMOUNTS. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS OF AT LEAST 15 TO 25 MPH AND PERHAPS HIGHER TO
CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS PERIOD WILL NEED
TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS ANY DEVIATION IN LOW POSITION WOULD
HAVE RESIDUAL CONSEQUENCES ON THE OUTCOME. THE UPPER LOW WILL
WOBBLE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO ERN KANSAS
FRIDAY MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL WORK IN
FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SO...FOR TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS...HAVE 3 TO 7 INCHES IN THE SNOWIES/SIERRA
MADRES/LARAMIE RANGE...WITH PERHAPS 1 TO 3 INCHES IN ADJACENT
LOWER ELEVATIONS. KEPT HIER AMOUNTS GOING IN THE WRN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE...WHERE 2 TO 5 INCHES FO SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. H7
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO AROUND -8C ON THURSDAY AND WHEN COMBINED
WITH THICK CLOUDS WILL ONLY YIELD UPPER 30S/LOW 40S FOR HIGHS.
SOME MODERATION BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL OCCUR EACH DAY THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON SAT AS THICKNESS VALUES
INCREASE OVER THE CWA. A DISTURBANCE ALONG WITH MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WEST OF THE LARAMIE
RANGE SAT. WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE ALOFT OVER THE FORECAST AREA FROM
SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT AND THIS WILL PROVIDE A STEADY STREAM
OF MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC. SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME AND THIS WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FROM SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. PRECIP
AMOUNTS DURING THIS TIME SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT. ON MON...THE UPPER
FLOW WILL BECOME SW AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS TO THE WEST. THIS
UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE CWA MON NIGHT WITH THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ALSO MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME.
A 700 MB CLOSED LOW WILL ALSO BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA MON NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM APPEARS THAT IT WILL BE MUCH STRONGER THAN THE WEAK
DISTURBANCES EARLIER IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...AND SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN RAIN MON EVENING...BUT WILL LIKELY
CHANGE TO SNOW EARLY TUES MORNING BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO RAIN BY
TUES AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE FROM 4 TO 7 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR SAT AND SUN...AROUND NORMAL ON MON...AND A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAFS
AREAS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR MAINLY EAST OF THE LARAMIE
RANGE THIS MORNING DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY AND LOWER CIGS. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA. AREA OF
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA TONIGHT DUE TO RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS REDUCING VSBYS AND CIGS. SOME BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT
INTO THUR MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH INTO THE DISTRICT BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES DROP
TONIGHT SUCH THAT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL MIX WITH AND TURN
TO SNOW. MOST AREAS CAN EXPECT AT LEAST SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW
WITH THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL PULL AWAY FROM
THE AREA ON FRIDAY...GRADUALLY ENDING PRECIPITATION CHANCES FROM
WEST TO EAST. COOL TEMPERATURES AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL KEEP
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HIGH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH
THIS SYSTEM LOOKS THE STRONGEST IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...
ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RIVER LEVELS ON THE NORTH PLATTE DOWNSTREAM OF GUERNSEY RESERVOIR
WILL REMAIN NEAR STEADY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTER THAT
TIME...ADDITIONAL LIQUID PRECIPITATION OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH WILL
CAUSE WATER LEVELS IN RIVERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE PANHANDLE TO RISE
SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY. THE STAGES AT THE
GAGE SITES AT HENRY AND MITCHELL WILL REMAIN IN THE ACTION STAGE
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM/FIRE WEATHER...HAHN
LONG TERM/AVIATION...KMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 5:26 AM MDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
526 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101>119-141130-
DAWES-BOX BUTTE-SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-CHEYENNE-
NORTH SIOUX-SOUTH SIOUX-CONVERSE COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-
NIOBRARA COUNTY-NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-
FERRIS/SEMINOE/SHIRLEY MOUNTAINS-SHIRLEY BASIN-
CENTRAL LARAMIE RANGE AND SOUTHWEST PLATTE COUNTY-
EAST PLATTE COUNTY-GOSHEN COUNTY-CENTRAL CARBON COUNTY-
NORTH SNOWY RANGE FOOTHILLS-SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-
SIERRA MADRE RANGE-UPPER NORTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN-SNOWY RANGE-
LARAMIE VALLEY-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS-
CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY-EAST LARAMIE COUNTY-
526 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE...EAST CENTRAL WYOMING...SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING AND
SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE
AREA BY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO OCCUR
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES IN THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE REST OF
THE AREA WILL SEE ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC...AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHEYENNE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 13, 4:48 AM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
448 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

WYZ116-131200-
SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE
448 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...FOG TO PERSIST THROUGH MID-MORNING OVER SOUTHERN LARAMIE RANGE...

AN AREA OF FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LARAMIE RANGE
THROUGH 9 AM. THE FOG WAS THICKEST BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 323 AND
330 ON INTERSTATE 80. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ONE
HALF MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING INTERSTATE 80 OR HAPPY
JACK ROAD BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE ARE ENCOURAGED TO USE LOW
BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION.
THE FOG IS WILL LIFT BY AROUND 9 AM.

HAHN
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 6:35 AM MDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
635 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

WYZ116-131500-
SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE
635 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

...FOG TO PERSIST THROUGH MID-MORNING OVER SOUTHERN LARAMIE RANGE...

AN AREA OF FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LARAMIE RANGE
THROUGH 9 AM. THE FOG WAS THICKEST BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 325 AND
330 ON INTERSTATE 80. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ONE
HALF MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING INTERSTATE 80 OR HAPPY
JACK ROAD BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE ARE ENCOURAGED TO USE LOW
BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION.
THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY AROUND 9 AM.

HAHN

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Wyoming, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.