Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flood Watches in 2011
Flood Watch 3, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flood watch at Mar 4, 2011, 3:33 AM EST for 33 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Mar 5, 2011, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 4, 2011, 3:33 AM EST (08:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 5, 2011, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 7, 2011, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Flood severity
- None
All 33 counties
Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Warren County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2365 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
597 WGUS61 KCTP 040833 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 333 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN MAY BEGIN LATE TODAY IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL NOT BEGIN UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND LAST INTO SUNDAY. OVER AN INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL AND THE MELTING OF SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-024-033-050845- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T1700Z-110307T0000Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 333 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK... MCKEAN...NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...POTTER... SOMERSET AND WARREN. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A CONSTANT MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND SOME SNOW REMAINS ON THE GROUND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-050845- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T2300Z-110307T0000Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 333 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON... HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN LYCOMING... NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...TIOGA AND UNION. * FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A CONSTANT MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ DANGELO
8 follow-up statements
656 WGUS61 KCTP 041947 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 247 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN MAY BEGIN LATE TODAY IN THE NORTHWEST... BUT THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL NOT BEGIN UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND LAST INTO SUNDAY. OVER AN INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL AND THE MELTING OF SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-024-033-052000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T1700Z-110307T0000Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 247 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK...MCKEAN... NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...POTTER...SOMERSET AND WARREN. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A CONSTANT MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND SOME SNOW REMAINS ON THE GROUND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-052000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T2300Z-110307T0000Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 247 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN LYCOMING... NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...TIOGA AND UNION. * FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A CONSTANT MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GARTNER/MARTIN
971 WGUS61 KCTP 050835 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 335 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE LATER TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATER TODAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL LATE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. PAZ036-056>059-063>066-060845- /O.EXB.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110306T0700Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 335 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN... FRANKLIN...LANCASTER...LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * A STEADY MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-024-033-060845- /O.EXT.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T1700Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 335 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK...MCKEAN... NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...POTTER...SOMERSET AND WARREN. * FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * RAIN WILL GET HEAVIER THROUGH TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND SOME SNOW REMAINS ON THE GROUND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. THIS RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL WATER FROM MELTING SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-060845- /O.EXT.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T2300Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 335 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN LYCOMING... NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...TIOGA AND UNION. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ DANGELO/STEINBUGL
804 WGUS61 KCTP 052010 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 310 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA ON SUNDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE CENTRAL RIDGE AND VALLEY REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...DEVELOPING ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY EARLY SUNDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL LATE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO HEAVY WET SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BEGINNING AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-024-033-061900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 310 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK...MCKEAN... NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...POTTER...SOMERSET AND WARREN. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * RAIN WILL GET HEAVIER THROUGH TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY...BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND SOME SNOW REMAINS ON THE GROUND OVER NORTH- CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. THIS RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL WATER FROM MELTING SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-062000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110305T2300Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 310 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN LYCOMING... NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...TIOGA AND UNION. * FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * A STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND WET SNOW AS EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGHOUT THE VALLEY NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ036-056>059-063>066-062000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.110306T0700Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 310 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...LANCASTER... LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * FROM 2 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * A STEADY...MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY NIGHT. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LAMBERT
259 WGUS61 KCTP 060903 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT... .A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING BEFORE PUSHING TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL FOR THE WHOLE STORM...WITH MOST LOCATIONS GETTING AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. AS THE RAIN TURNS TO SNOW OVER THE NORTH AND WEST...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY. SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN IN THE EAST INTO THE NIGHT. PAZ004-061015- /O.CAN.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN- 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR WARREN COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE RAIN HAS TURNED TO A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND SHOULD BECOME ALL SNOW THIS MORNING...ENDING THE THREAT FOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. $$ PAZ037-041-042-061900- /O.EXT.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...NORTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN AND TIOGA. * UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * FLOODING IS POSSIBLE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL. MOST LOCATIONS WILL END UP WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN BEFORE A CHANGE TO SNOW OCCURS AROUND OR AFTER NOON. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ005-006-010>012-017-018-024-033-061900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK...MCKEAN...NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...POTTER AND SOMERSET. * UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...BUT A CHANGE TO MIXED PRECIPITATION AND EVENTUALLY TO SNOW WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL END UP BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES. THIS RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL WATER FROM MELTING SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ036-056>059-063>066-070900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...LANCASTER... LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * LIGHT RAINFALL WILL BECOME HEAVIER THROUGH THE DAY. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF EARLY TONIGHT. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-045-046-049>053-070300- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 403 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER... SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING AND UNION. * THROUGH THIS EVENING. * THE STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL GET HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY BEFORE THE RAIN MIXES WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND EVENTUALLY TURNS TO SNOW. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL REACH ONE TO TWO INCHES BY LATE AFTERNOON. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ DANGELO
148 WGUS61 KCTP 061559 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1059 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT... .A COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EAST AND STALL OUT OVER THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RIDES NORTHEAST ALONG IT FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL NEAR...AND TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL FROM THIS STORM...WITH MOST LOCATIONS GETTING AROUND ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. AS THE RAIN TURNS TO SNOW OVER THE NORTH AND WEST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL DIMINISH. SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THROUGHOUT THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY INTO THE NIGHT. PAZ005-006-010>012-017-018-024-033-037-041-042-061900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T1900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 1059 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CAMBRIA...CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...ELK...MCKEAN... NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN LYCOMING... POTTER...SOMERSET...SULLIVAN AND TIOGA. * UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * MIXED PRECIPITATION...AND SOME AREAS OF RAIN....WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL END UP BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES. THIS RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL WATER FROM MELTING SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ036-056>059-063>066-070900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 1059 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...LANCASTER... LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * A STEADY SOAKING...AND AT TIMES HEAVY...RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. A STORM TOTAL OF BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF EARLY TONIGHT. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-045-046-049>053-070300- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 1059 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER... SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING AND UNION. * UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * STEADY RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY MIXING WITH SLEET...AND EVENTUALLY TURNING TO MAINLY SNOW THIS EVENING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL REACH ONE TO TWO INCHES BY LATE TODAY. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LAMBERT/ROSS
793 WGUS61 KCTP 061939 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 239 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT... .A STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN VIRGINIA IS RESPONSIBLE FOR A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN IN THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING WITH MOST AREAS SEEING BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN BEFORE THE STORM WINDS DOWN AS A PERIOD OF WET SNOW. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND EVEN SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS. PAZ036-056>059-063>066-070900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 239 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...LANCASTER... LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THE EVENING. A STORM TOTAL OF BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF EARLY TONIGHT. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL... AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-045-046-049>053-070300- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 239 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...COLUMBIA...FULTON...HUNTINGDON... JUNIATA...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHUMBERLAND...SNYDER... SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING AND UNION. * UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES...BEFORE GRADUALLY MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL REACH ONE TO TWO INCHES BY LATE TODAY. STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AND THIS RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LA CORTE
218 WGUS61 KCTP 070215 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 915 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT... .A STORM NEAR THE DEL MARVA PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD OVERNIGHT. RAIN WILL GRADUALLY WIND DOWN AND CHANGE TO WET SNOW AS THE STORM BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY. PAZ019-025>028-034-035-045-046-049>053-070315- /O.CAN.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 915 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOW OVER THE AREA. RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP STREAMS AND CREEKS RUNNING HIGH...BUT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS DIMINISHING. $$ PAZ036-056>059-063>066-070900- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 915 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...LANCASTER... LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. * RAIN WILL CONTINUE...GRADUALLY MIXING WITH THEN CHANGING TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATER THIS EVENING. A STORM TOTAL OF BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AND REGIONAL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMAL LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. * FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
961 WGUS61 KCTP 070851 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 351 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011 PAZ036-056>059-063>066-071000- /O.EXP.KCTP.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T0900Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK- LANCASTER- 351 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND THE RUN OFF HAS DECREASED...AND THE SMALLER STREAMS HAVE RECEDED. SOME OF THE LARGER WATERWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THIS MORNING...BUT NO NEW FLOODING IS EXPECTED. HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 4, 1:07 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 1:07 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 107 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS... A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL KEEP FAIR AND DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THIS EVENING. A COMPLEX SLOW- MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR LATER MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AS COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... STRONG SFC HIGH DRIFTING EAST OF THE REGION WITH INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER PA OVERNIGHT. AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE DRY...BUT THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF ENOUGH SATURATION OCCURRING IN THE OVERRUNNING OVER NORTHWEST PA TO PRODUCE A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE PREDAWN HOURS. OTHERWISE...LITTLE ELSE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER OVERNIGHT. TEMP TRENDS IN GOOD SHAPE AS WELL. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... WARM FRONT LIFTING THROUGH THE LOWER GRT LKS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A DEVELOPING AREA OF PRECIP TONIGHT FROM N ILLINOIS TO PERHAPS NW PA. BULK OF ENSEMBLE AND OPER MDL DATA SUPPORTS CHC POPS OVR THE NW MTNS TOWARDS DAWN. MDL SOUNDINGS AND ENSEMBLE PTYPE ALGORITHMS BOTH SUGGEST EITHER SNOW OR A SNOW/ICE MIX IF PRECIP MAKES IT INTO THE AREA BY 12Z FRI. HOWEVER...GIVEN VERY DRY LOW LEVELS /SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS/ PCPN WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME MAKING TOO MUCH INROAD INTO NW PA BEFORE TEMPS RISE ABOVE FREEZING. WARM ADV PATTERN WILL PERSIST AND INCREASE IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE DAY...SPREADING CLOUDS AND INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS EASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA. AGAIN GIVEN DRY LOW LEVELS...EXPECT RAIN SHOWERS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER FRI AFTN FOR MUCH OF SERN CWA. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... STILL MEANINGFUL MDL DIFFS CONTINUE THE PD WITH THE 00Z EC FASTER WITH THE FROPA ON SUNDAY...BUT NOT AS MUCH QPF FOR CENTRAL PA. NOW THE 12Z EC SLOWER AGAIN...CLOSER TO THE GFS AND NAM MODELS. EITHER WAY...LOOKING AT A SOAKING RAIN FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY EVENING...WITH AMTS BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 INCHES. HAVE ABOUT 1.5 INCHES OF QPF IN THE GRIDS AT THE CURRENT TIME. PCPN TYPE WILL BE MAINLY RAIN. PERHAPS A MIX LATER TONIGHT... AND MAY END AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW LATE SUNDAY. THERE COULD BE A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT NOT LOOKING LIKE WIDESPREAD THUNDER...AS WAS THE CASE WITH THE LAST SYSTEM. MORE COLD TEMPS FOR MONDAY INTO TUE...AS COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC ON TUE. ANOTHER STORM IS FCST TO TRACK TO THE NW OF PA ON NEXT THU... MORE RAIN. BULK OF THIS RAIN WOULD BE LIKELY ON THU. NW FLOW BEHIND THIS WOULD GIVE US A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THU NIGHT...EARLY FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING MAJOR. OVERALL...DID NOT MAKE A LOT OF CHANGES TO THE PACKAGE. && .AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... BKN-OVC MULTI-LAYERED MID AND HIGH CLOUDS /FL150-250/ WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AND THICKEN THROUGH TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND AND SFC WARM FRONT LIFTS NEWD ACRS THE UPPER OH VLY. ESE-SE WINDS WILL INCREASE BY THE AFTN AS THE RIDGE AXIS SLIDES OFF THE COAST AND PRES GRAD TIGHTENS-UP FROM WEST TO EAST. DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE AND THE CONTINUED LACK OF LOW LEVEL MSTR WILL KEEP MOST AIRFIELDS DRY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACRS NW PA INVOF BFD TERMINAL WHERE SOME LGT RAINS WILL LKLY MOVE IN BY LATE AFTN OR EARLY EVE. DEPENDING ON WHEN PRECIP ARRIVES..A BRIEF PD OF FROZEN OR FREEZING PRECIP WILL BE LOW PROBABILITY DUE TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING/WET BULB EFFECTS. VFR CONDS WILL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 05/00Z. 40-50KT SSWLY LLJ WILL RESULT IN LLWS ACRS ALL TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT. INCREASING LL MSTR AND SELY UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CIGS /015-030/ ACRS CENTRAL AND ERN SXNS PER SREF DATA. OUTLOOK... SAT...MVFR/IFR. PDS OF LGT RAIN WEST..SHOWERS EAST. SUN...MVFR/IFR. WDSPRD RAIN...HVY AT TIMES. RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEST TO EAST. MON...RAIN/SNOW PSBL CENTRAL AND EAST. MON NGT-TUE...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...MARTIN/STEINBUGL NEAR TERM...DEVOIR/GARTNER SHORT TERM...GARTNER/MARTIN/STEINBUGL LONG TERM...MARTIN AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 3, 5:31 AM EST, 22 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 531 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011 PAZ012-018-019-025>028-034>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-041045- NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON- MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 531 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ004>006-010-011-017-024-033-037-041045- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-TIOGA- 531 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A VERY LIGHT WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A VERY LIGHT WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MS
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 7:32 AM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | CTP | Cameron, Elk, McKean, Warren | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Every flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.