Small Craft Advisory 36, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1024 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...ISSUED MWWCRP AND HAVE INCREASED WINDS ALONG COASTAL
COUNTIES THIS MORNING AS WELL AS MARINE ZONES AS MOMENTUM TRANSFER
OF STRONGER WINDS IN LOWER LEVELS OF ATMOSPHERE IS GREATER THAN
GUIDANCE INDICATED. EXPECT WINDS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
INTENSITY BY AFTERNOON. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED HAZE FOR PORTIONS OF
WEBB COUNTY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS SMOKE AND PARTICULATES FROM
WILDFIRES IN OLD MEX HAVE BECOME TRAPPED IN ATMOSPHERE. NO OTHER
CHANGES MADE TO FORECAST PACKAGE.
&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON DUE TO STRONG
ENE WINDS ACROSS THE BAYS AND OPEN WATERS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH
IN INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE EXTENSION OF ADVISORY.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY. COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS
SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND ARE BRIEFLY HITTING RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA AS OF WRITING BUT AM ANTICIPATING WINDS TO DIMINISH BY
EARLY AFTERNOON THUS NEGATING ISSUANCE OF RED FLAG WARNING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO 10 TO 25
PERCENT ACROSS ALL OF S TX THIS AFTERNOON WITH AFTERNOON WINDS
GENERALLY BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    84  58  83  70  84  /   0   0   0  10  10
VICTORIA          85  51  84  68  82  /   0   0   0  10  10
LAREDO            92  64  95  71  96  /   0   0   0  10  10
ALICE             86  53  87  68  89  /   0   0   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          83  67  81  71  77  /   0   0   0  10  10
COTULLA           89  55  93  67  93  /   0   0   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        84  53  86  70  88  /   0   0   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  65  80  72  77  /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS...
     BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     OUT 20 NM.

&&

HART...SYNOPTIC UPDATE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
957 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-171500-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
957 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR ALL
MARINE AREAS DUE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

AN ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE
TODAY AS VERY LOW RH VALUES COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY DUE TO LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST TEXAS. AS A RESULT...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAYS AND SOUTHERN
NEARSHORE WATERS ON SUNDAY.

UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TUESDAY AND FRIDAY. IN RESPONSE...ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER
THE WATERS AND POSSIBLY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

RH/AK/WC