Small Craft Advisory 35, NWS Cleveland, OH

512 
WHUS71 KCLE 220124
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
924 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

LEZ142>149-220930-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-110822T2000Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
924 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BUILD
  WAVES TO 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MIDDAY MONDAY. BY
  LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

467 
WHUS71 KCLE 220803
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

LEZ142>149-221615-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-110822T2000Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
403 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  PRODUCE WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET THIS MORNING. WINDS AND WAVES ARE
  EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

815 
WHUS71 KCLE 221326
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
926 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

LEZ142>149-222000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-110822T2000Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
926 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
122 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD EAST INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST BY MONDAY EVENING AND
THEN TO THE EAST COAST BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WITH SEVERAL WATERSPOUT REPORTS ALONG THE LAKESHORE.
EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. WITH DEEP WIND SHEAR NEAR 40 KNOTS SOME
STORM ORGANIZATION IS EXPECTED. CURRENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST LOOKS
REASONABLE. WILL INCREASE POPS OVER THE SE 1/2 OF THE AREA TO
60-80%.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO THE REGION WITH COOLER AIR...THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS THAT WILL DEVELOP
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR THE NORTHEAST. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY MONDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES FIRMLY
ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION.

THE HIGH WILL BE THE DOMINATING WEATHER FEATURE TUESDAY. ONCE
AGAIN...THIS ONE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE FORECAST AREA IS
RETURNED BACK TO THE WARM SECTOR. IN THE WARM SECTOR...A SURGE OF
MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE AREA AS WELL AND HENCE THE THREAT FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA
HAS THE BEST CHANCE TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE THE EAST REMAINS DRY.

SLOW PROGRESS IN FORWARD MOTION CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MOISTURE
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. STILL DECIDED TO KEEP THE
PRECIPITATION THREAT IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. THE DEEPER
MOISTURE AND THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FINALLY
ENCOMPASSES THE ENTIRE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP THE CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GOING FOR THAT PERIOD.

GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO WARM FROM THE 70S MONDAY TO THE UPPER 70S
TO LOWER 80S TUESDAY AND INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S BY WEDNESDAY.
NIGHT TIME LOWS WILL SEE THE SAME GRADUAL CLIMB THROUGH THE PERIOD.
CHILLY TEMPERATURES TO START OFF THE DAY IN THE EAST IN THE LOWER
50S MONDAY MORNING AND MIDDLE 50S ELSEWHERE. AS CENTER OF HIGH
REACHES THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING...LOWS FROM GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING WILL BE IN THE LOWER 50S MOST AREAS AND MID 50S WEST.
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL SEE A NICE SURGE OF TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
60S MOST AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA ON THU...WITH NE FLOW
DEVELOPING ON THE BACKSIDE. HAVE KEPT POPS FOR THU WITH FRONT...AND
ADDED POPS FOR MAINLY LAKESHORE FOR BACKSIDE MOISTURE FROM THE LAKE.
OVERALL CAA FROM FRONT NOT NOTABLE...WITH TEMPS AT OR JUST BELOW
NORMAL IN THE 70S. HIGH PRES BUILDING IN BEHIND IT WILL KEEP THE WX
RELATIVELY QUIET...THEN ALL EYES TURN TO THE FUTURE TRACK OF IRENE
WHICH MODELS ARE STILL TRYING TO GET A HANDLE ON. AT THIS POINT WILL
NOT FOLLOW GFS/ECMWF UNTIL NHC TRACK SUGGEST ANY POTENTIAL RAIN TO
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WHILE THE COLD FRONT IS FROM CLE TO IND AND PUSHING EAST IT HAS
NOT CLEARED THE SHOWER/TS THREAT COMPLETELY FROM THE WEST.
UPSTREAM SHOWERS ARE FORMING ACROSS MI. HAVE CONTINUED A VCSH IN
TAFS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FOR THIS DIURNALLY...BUT UPPER
TROUGH SUPPORTED ACTIVITY. FURTHER EAST SCATTERED
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MVFR CEILINGS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL IMPROVE AFTER THE FRONTS
PASSAGE. IFR POSSIBLE WITHIN THE STORMS THEMSELVES. LATER TONIGHT
HAVE CONTINUED A VCSH IN THE ERI TAF. STILL HAVE A TROUGH TO COME
THROUGH AND WITH COLD AIR ALOFT...MAY STILL BE ABLE TO KICK OFF
SHOWERS AIDED BY THE LAKE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST
MONDAY...BUT GRADIENT STILL TIGHT ACROSS THE EAST HALF AND
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STAY UP SOME. ELSEWHERE NOT SURE OF THE BR/FG
THREAT TOWARD MORNING. DRIER AIR IS SUPPOSE TO WORK IN...BUT AS
SLOW AS THINGS HAVE BEEN MOVING...DECIDED TO PUT IN SOME EARLY
MORNING MVFR VSBYS.

OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
COLD FRONT APPROACH THE WATERS THIS MORNING...WITH SCT TSRA
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS LACKING A STRONG ENOUGH
CAA SURGE TO TRIGGER SCA CONDITIONS. FOR SUNDAY WILL SEE WINDS 15KT
OR LESS AND WAVES 1-3FT. OVERNIGHT INTO MON COULD SEE A PICK UP OUT
OF THE NW TO 15-20KT MAINLY OVER E PORTIONS...BUT THIS WILL LIKELY
BE BRIEF. HIGH PRES BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL KEEP BOATING
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE WITH WAVES 3FT OR LESS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT
WILL BE LATE WED/THU.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LOMBARDY
NEAR TERM...REL
SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...JAMISON
AVIATION...OUDEMAN
MARINE...JAMISON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
351 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-220800-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
351 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS
MORNING. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LOMBARDY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

OHZ011-012-211530-
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR EASTERN CUYAHOGA AND SOUTHWESTERN
LAKE COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM EDT...

AT 1100 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CLEVELAND...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH. HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

SCHULER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1207 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

PAZ001-002-211645-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1207 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR ERIE COUNTY UNTIL 1245 PM EDT...

AT 1206 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ERIE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS
THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY
WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL.

SCHULER