Severe Thunderstorm Warning 179, NWS Cleveland, OH

075 
WWUS51 KCLE 111814
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
214 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

OHC075-169-111845-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-110711T1845Z/
HOLMES OH-WAYNE OH-
214 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EDT
FOR WAYNE AND HOLMES COUNTIES...

AT 211 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CRESTON TO KILLBUCK...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A HISTORY OR PRODUCING DAMAGE.  IF YOU ARE 
IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. 

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...RITTMAN...
MILLERSBURG...FREDERICKSBURG...APPLE CREEK...BERLIN...ORRVILLE...
MARSHALLVILLE...DOYLESTOWN...FARMERSTOWN AND WALNUT CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN OHIO.

&&

LAT...LON 4046 8217 4058 8217 4058 8221 4065 8221
      4067 8220 4067 8213 4069 8211 4099 8211
      4099 8165 4065 8165 4046 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 270DEG 30KT 4101 8187 4051 8198

$$

KUBINA

171 
WWUS51 KCLE 111845
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
245 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

OHC075-169-111856-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-110711T1845Z/
HOLMES OH-WAYNE OH-
245 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WAYNE AND HOLMES COUNTIES
EXPIRES AT 245 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4046 8217 4058 8217 4058 8221 4065 8221
      4067 8220 4067 8213 4069 8211 4099 8211
      4099 8165 4065 8165 4046 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 270DEG 30KT 4101 8186 4051 8197

$$

KUBINA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
100 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA ON TUESDAY. COOLER AND DRIER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
NOT SURE WE NEED IT ALL THE WAY TO EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO BUT WE
WANTED TO BE CAUTIOUS UNTIL WE ARE SURE WHAT THE LAKE MICHIGAN
DERECHO IS GOING TO DO. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE SMALL CLUSTER
OF STORMS ENTERING NORTHWEST OHIO COULD ALSO TURN INTO A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX AND MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD BOWLING GREEN AND
MANSFIELD EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO NOT SURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN
WHEN THE DERECHO CATCHES UP TO THE FIRST CLUSTER OF STORMS. THE
CAP WILL BE BROKEN AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE AND
MID LEVEL COOLING OCCURS. THE STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY HAVE RAPID
PROPAGATION OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF CLOUDS/STORMS
ACROSS NOW OHIO. HAVE TRIMMED BACK HIGHS ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO TO
AROUND 90. WILL STICK WITH 90 AND LOWER 90S MOST ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. WELL THAT IS
IF YOU WANT TO CALL IT A COLD FRONT. THICKNESS PATTERN DOES NOT EVEN
RELAX AT ALL BEHIND THE FRONT. WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TRIES TO BUILD
EAST INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING BUT THEN FLATTENS OUT.  THIS
MEANS TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL STILL BE WARM BUT NOT AS WARM AS
TODAY. LOOKING UPPER 80S MOST AREAS AND AROUND 90 IN THE WEST.

THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH THE
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND THEN SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION AND BECOMES
A DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

HOWEVER...A QUICK SHOT OF UPPER LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION
TAKES PLACE TUESDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE. THIS ACTIVITY COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. ALL OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY
WITH FAIR WEATHER RESUMING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
CLOSER TO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD BRING IN A BIT
MORE COOL AIR ADVECTION TO THE AREA. STILL LOOKING AT HIGHS IN THE
MIDDLE 80S IN THE WEST AND AROUND 80 EAST AND UPPER 70S ALONG THE
LAKE SHORE. A BIT OF A WARMUP TAKES PLACE BY ABOUT 2 OR 3 DEGREES BY
THURSDAY AS SUBSIDENCE OCCURS UNDER HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE LONG TERM IS NOT REAL CLEAR. THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE PERIOD BUT DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TO THE NORTH WITH AN INVERTED TROF ACROSS THE
EASTERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PA FRIDAY BUT WEAKENING BY SUNDAY
ACCORDING TO THE GFS...THE 00Z ECMWF IS MORE PESSIMISTIC. AT THIS
TIME DID NOT MAKE MAJOR CHANGES SINCE CONFIDENCE IS NOT REAL HIGH.
USED A BLEND OF HPC AND 00Z MOS GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AFFECTING THE WEST PART OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO DIVE SE SO NOT SURE IF TSRA WILL OCCUR AT CLE...ERI AND YNG. SOME
OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.
THE THREAT FOR TSRA WILL TAPER OFF TONIGHT NW TO SE AS THE FIRST IN
A SERIES OF WEAK COLD FRONTS MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO FLUSH OUT THE MOISTURE LATE TONIGHT SO LOOKS LIKE A GOOD
CHANCE FOR FAIRLY WIDESPREAD FOG TO DEVELOP. SOME IFR STRATUS COULD
DEVELOP BUT NOT SURE SO WILL ONLY HINT AT WITH MENTION OF SCT IFR
LEVEL CLOUDS.

CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE BY 14 TO 15Z TUE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT AND THEN HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE LAKE FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
THE THREAT FOR A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE LOW WITH THE MAIN
THREAT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A NORTH AND
NORTHEAST FLOW. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE
MAINLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH 2 TO 4 FOOT WAVES AT THE MOST...BUT THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED. SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THUNDERSTORMS CROSS THE LAKE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...KIELTYKA
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...KIELTYKA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1037 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

LEZ142>146-162>166-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
121445-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
1037 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 627 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT. TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL
OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-147>149-167>169-PAZ001>003-121445-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-
ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
1037 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1256 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOLLAND                 41.62N 83.71W
07/11/2011                   LUCAS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 65 MPH WITH LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN. ALSO
            FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
105 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1248 PM     DOWNBURST        TOLEDO                  41.66N 83.58W
07/11/2011                   LUCAS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED 63 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
131 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BALLVILLE               41.33N 83.14W
07/11/2011                   SANDUSKY           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5 LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ALOMG WITH UNUSUAL FLOODING.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
143 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0129 PM     HAIL             SANDUSKY                41.46N 82.71W
07/11/2011  E0.50 INCH       ERIE               OH   PUBLIC

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
144 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0128 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               40.76N 82.53W
07/11/2011                   RICHLAND           OH   PUBLIC

            LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
145 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0127 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               40.76N 82.53W
07/11/2011                   RICHLAND           OH   PUBLIC

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.

&&

LEE