Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Cleveland, OH

694 
WWUS51 KCLE 292224
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
624 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

OHC043-292245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0107.000000T0000Z-110529T2245Z/
ERIE OH-
624 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR ERIE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 621 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF SANDUSKY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...HURON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHWEST OHIO. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4159 8266 4157 8270 4149 8267 4142 8259
      4138 8248 4143 8235 4129 8234 4128 8235
      4129 8284 4145 8286 4148 8282 4146 8276
      4146 8270 4149 8267 4156 8269 4160 8274
      4162 8272 4162 8267
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 261DEG 29KT 4144 8266

$$

MITCHELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT LOCATED ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL PROCEED FURTHER NORTH
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
BOW ECHO COMPLEX TO OUR WEST IS ON A EAST-NORTHEAST TRACK. WATCH
BOX ACROSS OUR WESTERN COUNTIES AND ACROSS THE WESTERN BASIN OF
LAKE ERIE. WILL TAKE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE TOLEDO
AREA...BRUSHING FINDLAY AND CLEVELAND THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE MAY
GET A FEW POP UP SHOWERS/TS ALONG THE LAKE BREEZE FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. OVERNIGHT ALL ACTIVITY WILL BE WELL OUT OF OUR AREA.
MILD/MUGGY TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
RIDGE REALLY BUILDS OVER THE AREA MONDAY AND WILL TAKE TEMPS UP
INTO THE UPPER 80S. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER TOO. STILL
CAN NOT GO PAST 90 LIKE GUIDANCE WANTS FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...BUT WILL BE CLOSE. THESE WILL BE SHY OF ANY RECORDS.
SIXTIES AT NIGHT. ISOLATED OR SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY TURN UP
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT OTHERWISE MAINTAINED THE LOW CHANCE FOR
THE WEAK COLD FRONT TO COME ACROSS TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY AND NOT COOL BEHIND IT. WEDNESDAY HIGHS
WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AND CLEARING OUT AS THE DAY GOES ON.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WILL TRY FOR A DRY LONG TERM FORECAST.  SOME INDICATION BY A COUPLE
OF THE MODELS THAT THERE COULD BE SOME PRECIP EARLY THURSDAY AND
AGAIN ON SUNDAY.  GIVEN UNCERTAINTY WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST DRY FOR
NOW.  BIG CHANGES TO TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD.  IT APPEARS THAT HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GET SET UP OVER THE SE U.S. RESULTING IN WARM AND
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE REGION.  HAVE BUMPED TEMPS AND
DEWPOINTS UP SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK  IT APPEARS RIGHT
NOW THAT SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOWING LINE OF STORMS OVER IL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE
LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY
APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLIGHTLY N OF E AND WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS
NW OH AND LOWER MI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAVE ADJUSTED
THE TAFS TO BETTER REFLECT THIS SCENARIO. WILL HIT THE THUNDER
HARD AT KTOL. WILL ALSO MENTION AT KCLE BUT WILL NOT HIT AS HARD
AS STRONGER STORMS SHOULD BE NORTH OF THE LAKE BY THAT TIME. SOME
QUESTION AS TO WHERE THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE STORMS WILL BE
WILL GO WITH A SMALL MENTION AT KFDY WITH JUST A VICINITY MENTION
AT KMFD AND KYNG. KCAK SHOULD REMAIN DRY. KERI COULD SEE SOME
PRECIP LATER THIS EVENING. BY MIDNIGHT THE WARM FRONT WILL BE WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA WITH THE THREAT FOR PRECIP OVER. S TO SW FLOW
WILL CONTINUE DURING THE PERIOD.

.OUTLOOK...MORNING FOG/HAZE EACH PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
IT WILL NOT BE A GOOD NIGHT FOR BOATING AS A BOWING LINE OF STORMS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE THIS EVENING.  S TO SW FLOW AT UNDER 15
KNOTS WILL THEN CONTINUE TILL A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE LAKE TUESDAY
NIGHT.  AT THAT TIME THE FLOW WILL BECOME WESTERLY.  A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE LAKE ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE FLOW THEN
RETURNING TO THE S OR SW.  THIS FLOW WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD.  OTHER THAN SEVERE WEATHER BOXES NOT EXPECTING
ANY HEADLINES DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...OUDEMAN
NEAR TERM...OUDEMAN
SHORT TERM...OUDEMAN
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
143 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

OHZ009>014-019>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-301745-
ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-HURON-MEDINA-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-
STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
143 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. WITH THE
GROUND SATURATED...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER ONE INCH IN A SHORT TIME
MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

LEZ142-143-162-163-OHZ003-006>008-017-018-301745-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-SENECA-
143 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 395 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-301745-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
143 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

OUDEMAN