River Flood Warning 180, NWS Cleveland, OH

132 
WGUS81 KCLE 221045
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
545 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE
  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-221845-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0180.111222T1400Z-111223T1400Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111222T1400Z.111222T1800Z.111223T0800Z.NO/
545 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 9.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC101-221844-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-111223T0120Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.111222T1022Z.111222T1200Z.111222T1920Z.NO/
545 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE.
* AT  5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC075-169-221844-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0179.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.111222T1127Z.111223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
545 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK.
* AT  5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING 
  COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED.

$$

OHC155-221844-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0181.000000T0000Z-111222T1900Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111222T0446Z.111222T1000Z.111222T1300Z.UU/
545 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT  5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY LATE
  THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY.
* AT 11.0 FEET...BARCLAY-MESSERLY ROAD AND MCCONNELL EAST ROADS WILL 
  BE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. 
* AT 9.5 FEET...BARCLEY MESSERLY ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN 
  BRACEVILLE FLOODS. OTHER PORTIONS OF EAGLE CREEK ROAD WILL BE 
  THREATENED. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE.  FLOODING THREATENS BARCLEY MESSERLY 
  ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN BRACEVILLE. 


$$

439 
WGUS81 KCLE 221752
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1252 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE
  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-230152-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-111223T2000Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111222T1140Z.111223T0000Z.111223T1400Z.NO/
1252 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC101-221822-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-111223T0120Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.111222T1200Z.111222T1230Z.NO/
1252 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE.
* AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  FALLING THROUGH TONIGHT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.5 FEET BY FRIDAY
  MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE
  RIVER.

$$

OHC075-169-230152-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0179.000000T0000Z-111223T0600Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.111222T1800Z.111222T1800Z.111223T0000Z.NO/
1252 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK.
* AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST BUT WILL REMAIN AROUND 15 FEET
  THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
  FALL TONIGHT.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF WATER STREET IN THE VILLAGE
  OF KILLBUCK ARE FLOODED. FLOODED ROADS INCLUDE COUNTY ROAD 621...
  STATE ROUTE 16 AND 60 NORTH...AS WELL AS LOCAL LOW LYING ROADS.
  HOLMES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS INUNDATED. 
* AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING
  COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED.

$$

OHC155-230152-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0181.000000T0000Z-111223T1726Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111222T0446Z.111222T1800Z.111223T1126Z.UU/
1252 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 11.0 FEET...BARCLAY-MESSERLY ROAD AND MCCONNELL EAST ROADS WILL
  BE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. 
* AT 9.5 FEET...BARCLEY MESSERLY ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN
  BRACEVILLE FLOODS. OTHER PORTIONS OF EAGLE CREEK ROAD WILL BE
  THREATENED.

$$

888 
WGUS81 KCLE 230151
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
851 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-230951-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-111223T2000Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111222T1140Z.111222T2330Z.111223T1400Z.NO/
851 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC075-169-230950-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0179.000000T0000Z-111224T0600Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.111223T1200Z.111223T1800Z.111224T0000Z.NO/
851 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING 
  COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED.
  

$$

OHC155-230950-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0181.000000T0000Z-111223T1002Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111222T0446Z.111222T1430Z.111223T0402Z.UU/
851 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MORNING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...BARCLEY MESSERLY ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN 
  BRACEVILLE FLOODS. OTHER PORTIONS OF EAGLE CREEK ROAD WILL BE 
  THREATENED. 

$$

250 
WGUS81 KCLE 230927
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
427 AM EST FRI DEC 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-230957-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-111223T2000Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111222T1140Z.111222T2330Z.111223T0452Z.NO/
427 AM EST FRI DEC 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:52 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.7 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC075-169-231726-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0179.000000T0000Z-111224T1253Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.111223T1800Z.111224T0653Z.NO/
427 AM EST FRI DEC 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING 
  COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED.
  

$$

OHC155-230957-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0181.000000T0000Z-111223T1002Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111222T0446Z.111222T1430Z.111223T0315Z.UU/
427 AM EST FRI DEC 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:15 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* AT 9.0 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE.  FLOODING THREATENS BARCLEY MESSERLY 
  ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN BRACEVILLE. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
917 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT LIFTED NORTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE THIS MORNING. A COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO MAINE BY LATE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
FRONT NOW EAST OF THE AREA. ALL THAT IS LEFT IS SOME PATCHY
DRIZZLY CONDTIONS WITH STRATUS. SO REPLACE CHANCE POPS WITH
DRIZZLE...EXCEPT IN THE SNOWBELT WHERE LEFT 30 POPS GOING.

SOME CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM CLEVELAND TO MANSFIELD. THE
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE BORDERLINE PRODUCING SOME POSSIBLE GUSTY
WINDS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE WARMER AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. TEMPERATURES SHOT UP INTO THE LOWER 60S JUST AHEAD OF THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HELPING TO DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE
SLIGHTLY.

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT ALLOWING COOLER AND
DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. I EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO
END FROM WEST TO EAST RATHER QUICKLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION.  MODELS ALSO SUGGEST DRIER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION BY 06Z HELPING TO END THE PRECIPITATION THREAT.

COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACE OVERNIGHT BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
TOO STRONG. ONLY LOOKING AT LOWS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO
AROUND 40 DEGREES. 850 MB TEMPERATURES DIP TO BETWEEN -1 AND -2
DEGREES BY SUNRISE TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A SHORT PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL
SOUTHERN STREAM STORM SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
STATES ACROSS VIRGINIA. THIS SYSTEM WILL THROW BACK MOISTURE INTO
THE FORECAST AREA BY MID MORNING THURSDAY AND LAST INTO FRIDAY. AS
THE STORM MOVES INTO THE REGION...COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN TO
TAKE PLACE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE COLD AIR WILL CHANGE SOME OF THE
PRECIPITATION OVER TO SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN THE
EXTREME EAST. I THINK SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS.

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PULL OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD EAST INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THIS
WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO PREVENT PRECIPITATION AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
QUICKLY SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS
FEATURE WILL SPREAD SOME SNOW INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY DISSIPATES AS MOISTURE BECOMES
LIMITED. YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA BY
SATURDAY NIGHT FORCING POSSIBLY ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION INTO
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...REST OF THE FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY FOR
CHRISTMAS EVE.

TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD IN
THE UPPER 30S FOR HIGHS. HOWEVER...LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE 30S
THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN BACK TO THE 20S THROUGH THE REST OF THE
PERIOD AS SLIGHT COLD AIR ADVECTION RETURNS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BEGINS TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WHILE DIGGING TROUGH
DEVELOPS IN THE EAST THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. PATTERN IS STILL
ACTIVELY PROGRESSIVE SO IT APPEARS WE WILL NOT STAY VERY COLD OR
VERY WARM FOR A LENGTHY PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON
CHRISTMAS DAY. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A SPRINKLE DURING THE DAY
BUT HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40. BY SUNDAY NIGHT THERE
MAY BE JUST ENOUGH COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO PRODUCE A
FEW SNOW SHOWERS FOR EXTREME NE OHIO INTO NW PA. ANY ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE LIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BE IN CONTROL ON MONDAY WITH
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. MODELS ARE THEN UNCERTAIN FOR
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHOWERS ARE EXITING THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FROPA THAT HAS
MOVED INTO PA. GUSTY WINDS AREA NOW SUBSIDING OVER NORTHWEST OHIO
AND THESE CALMING CONDITIONS WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD. LOWER CLOUDS
WITH MVFR CIGS OF 1500-2500 ARE ALSO SPREADING EASTWARD AND WILL
AFFECT ALL TAFS IN THE AREA BY 02Z. EVEN LOWER IFR CIGS BELOW 1000
FEET ARE EXPECTED MAINLY AFTER 05-08Z OVER INLAND LOCATIONS ALONG
WITH MVFR VSBY OF 4SM OR SO. SOME GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT CAN BE
EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY NEAR TOL AND FDY AFTER
16Z.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN MAINLY NE OH/NW PA SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY AND THE ENTIRE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH NORTHEAST AWAY FROM
THE LAKE THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LAKE THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT WITH BOTH WINDS
AND WAVES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE LAKE THURSDAY
ALLOWING FOR QUIETER CONDITIONS. A TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE LAKE
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK MOVING LOW PRESSURE WHICH MAY BRIEFLY
KICK UP WINDS AND WAVES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD BACK OVER THE LAKE SATURDAY...BUT THEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ146>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LOMBARDY
NEAR TERM...LOMBARDY
SHORT TERM...DJB/LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...MULLEN
AVIATION...REL
MARINE...MULLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
334 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-222045-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
334 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-222045-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
334 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LOMBARDY