River Flood Warning 141, NWS Cleveland, OH

963 
WGUS81 KCLE 211050
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
  BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY
  MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-211850-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111020T1412Z.111021T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* AT  6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT RESIDENTS ALONG RIVERSIDE DRIVE 
  AND THE EASTERN END OF ERIE STREET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CHERRY AND EAST WATER STREET
  FLOOD. 
* AT 11.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF ERIE STREET FLOOD. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC093-211850-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0132.000000T0000Z-111022T0448Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.111020T0505Z.111020T1600Z.111021T2248Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER IN
  ELYRIA.  FORD ROAD MAY BE CLOSED FOR HIGH WATER.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-211850-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-111022T1054Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.111021T0749Z.111021T1800Z.111022T0454Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE.
* AT  5:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 8.5 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER LEVELS WILL OVERRUN THE BANKS ALONG THE 
  METROPARK SOUTH OF PAINESVILLE. VROOMAN ROAD WILL BE THREATENED. 

$$

OHC063-211850-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-111022T0023Z/
/FDYO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.111021T1200Z.111021T1823Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER IMPACTS RIVER STREET AND APPLE ALLEY ON THE 
  WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY...BLANCHARD STREET BETWEEN SANDUSKY AND MAIN 
  CROSS...AND SEVERAL STREETS SOUTH OF CLINTON COURT NEAR RIVERSIDE 
  PARK.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING IMPACTS AREAS NEAR RIVERSIDE PARK AND EAST 
  MAIN CROSS STREET IN THE CITY OF FINDLAY.
* AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES EAST MAIN CROSS STREET NEAR LYE CREEK.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ON LOW LYING ROADS ALONG THE RIVER 
  WEST OF FINDLAY...INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 140.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER COVERS LOW LYING PORTIONS OF SOUTH RIVER ROAD 
  AND HOWARD STREET ON THE WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY.


$$

OHC095-173-211850-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0140.111021T1800Z-111023T0000Z/
/WTVO1.1.ER.111021T1800Z.111022T0000Z.111022T1800Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-211850-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0137.000000T0000Z-111022T1633Z/
/LARO1.2.ER.111020T1330Z.111021T0415Z.111022T1033Z.NO/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER AT BANKFULL IN VILLAGE OF LA RUE. FLOODWATERS 
  WILL SPREAD TO EAST VINE STREET.
* AT 12.5 FEET...RIVER AT BANKFULL IN VILLAGE OF LA RUE. LOW LYING 
  ROADS AND AGRICULTURAL LANDS FLOODED. 
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC155-211656-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-111021T1656Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111020T1601Z.111021T0130Z.111021T1056Z.UU/
650 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...BARCLAY-MESSERLY ROAD AND MCCONNELL EAST ROADS WILL 
  BE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. 
* AT 9.5 FEET...BARCLEY MESSERLY ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN 
  BRACEVILLE FLOODS. OTHER PORTIONS OF EAGLE CREEK ROAD WILL BE 
  THREATENED. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE.  FLOODING THREATENS BARCLEY MESSERLY 
  ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN BRACEVILLE. 


$$

615 
WGUS81 KCLE 211829
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
  BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY
  MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR PROSPECT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC123-143-173-220229-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-111023T0636Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.111020T1412Z.111021T1730Z.111023T0036Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER AT WOODVILLE.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WAS CRESTING AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CHERRY AND EAST WATER STREET
  FLOOD. 
* AT 11.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF ERIE STREET FLOOD. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN TRAIL MARKER PARK.

$$

OHC093-211859-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0132.000000T0000Z-111022T0448Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.111020T0505Z.111020T1600Z.111021T1515Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA.
* AT  1:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:15 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.0 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-220228-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-111023T0730Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.111021T0749Z.111022T0000Z.111023T0130Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL AND SHOULD FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 8.5 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER LEVELS WILL OVERRUN THE BANKS ALONG THE 
  METROPARK SOUTH OF PAINESVILLE. VROOMAN ROAD WILL BE THREATENED. 

$$

OHC063-220228-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-111022T0600Z/
/FDYO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.111021T1430Z.111022T0000Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER IMPACTS RIVER STREET AND APPLE ALLEY ON THE 
  WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY...BLANCHARD STREET BETWEEN SANDUSKY AND MAIN 
  CROSS...AND SEVERAL STREETS SOUTH OF CLINTON COURT NEAR RIVERSIDE 
  PARK.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING IMPACTS AREAS NEAR RIVERSIDE PARK AND EAST 
  MAIN CROSS STREET IN THE CITY OF FINDLAY.
* AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES EAST MAIN CROSS STREET NEAR LYE CREEK.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ON LOW LYING ROADS ALONG THE RIVER 
  WEST OF FINDLAY...INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 140.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER COVERS LOW LYING PORTIONS OF SOUTH RIVER ROAD 
  AND HOWARD STREET ON THE WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY.


$$

OHC095-173-220228-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0140.000000T0000Z-111023T0000Z/
/WTVO1.1.ER.111022T1200Z.111022T1200Z.111022T1800Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-220228-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0137.000000T0000Z-111022T1840Z/
/LARO1.2.ER.111020T1330Z.111021T0415Z.111022T1240Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 12.5 FEET...RIVER AT BANKFULL IN VILLAGE OF LA RUE. LOW LYING 
  ROADS AND AGRICULTURAL LANDS FLOODED. 
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC101-220228-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0142.111022T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.111022T0000Z.111023T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR PROSPECT.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 9.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGHWAY 203 INACCESSIBLE NORTH OF PROSPECT. FLOODING
  OCCURS NEAR ELM STREET IN NORTHERN PARTS OF PROSPECT. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES LOW PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 203 NORTH OF 
  PROSPECT.

$$

OHC155-211859-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-111021T1927Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.111020T1601Z.111021T0130Z.111021T1621Z.UU/
229 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EAGLE CREEK AT PHALANX STATION.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:21 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.5 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...BARCLEY MESSERLY ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN 
  BRACEVILLE FLOODS. OTHER PORTIONS OF EAGLE CREEK ROAD WILL BE 
  THREATENED. 
* AT 9.0 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE.  FLOODING THREATENS BARCLEY MESSERLY 
  ROAD SOUTH OF THE WARREN AIRPORT IN BRACEVILLE. 

$$

539 
WGUS81 KCLE 212205
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
605 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC085-212235-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-111023T0730Z/
/PNVO1.N.ER.111021T0749Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
605 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE.
* AT  5:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE
  A SLOW FALL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER LEVELS WILL OVERRUN THE BANKS ALONG THE 
  METROPARK SOUTH OF PAINESVILLE. VROOMAN ROAD WILL BE THREATENED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST
TODAY AND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION TODAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE FOR TODAY AND SHOWERS WILL ALSO
OCCUR...MAINLY LAKE EFFECT DRIVEN WITH THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PA. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
WITH THE LOW CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST EXPECT SOME CLEARING TO TAKE PLACE OVERNIGHT. MOST
CONFIFENT ABOUT THE CLEARING IN THE WEST WITH CCLOUDS LIKELY
HANGING TIGHT ALONG THE NORTHEAST LAKESHORE COUNTIES. EXPECT
CLEARING INTO MFD AREA TOWARDS MORNING WITH CAK AND ESPECIALLY YNG
REMAINING CLOUDY THROUGH DAYBREAK. WITH THE CLEARING IN THE WEST
EXPECT FROST TO DEVELOP AS TEMPS LIKELY DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER
30S. EXPECT SKIES TO BE PC SATURDAY WITH THE HIGH CLOSE BY. SUNDAY
THE HIGH BEGINS TO MOVE EAST AND A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. WILL LIKELY SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS THROUGH THE
DAY AND DID BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE TOL AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WILL NEED CHANCE POPS AS THE
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SATURDAY HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE 60S
AFTER ANOTHER FROSTY MORNING. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WE SHOULD REACH
THE LOW TO MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES DURING THE PERIOD AS THE WET PATTERN CONTINUES.
THE GFS AND THE ECMWF DIFFER ON THE SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
REGION LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF TRACKS THE LOW FARTHER
NORTH AND LIFTS A WARM FRONT ACROSS LAKE ERIE WHILE THE GFS KEEPS IT
NEAR THE LAKE SHORE. THIS DIFFERENCE ADDS UNCERTAINTY TO THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST IN THE NORTH. LATER IN THE PERIOD BOTH MODEL
HAVE THE SAME GENERAL PATTERN OF A PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE CROSSING
THE AREA WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO STREAM OFF OF LAKE ERIE FROM
JUST NORTH OF CALE TO ERIE. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO PERSIST INTO THE
MORNING AT LEAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DECREASE TOWARD SUNSET LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST AS
THE RIDGE LINE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. COGS SHOULD SHOW A
GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT DURING THE DAY ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST.

OUTLOOK...NON-FR WILL LINGER ACROSS NE OH/NW PA FOR FRI NIGHT INTO
SAT. NON-FR CONDITIONS MAY REDEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY WITH
A FEW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
ROUGH CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ON THE LAKE WILL GRADUALLY CALM DOWN
TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER WESTERN QUEBEC WEAKENS AND MOVES
FARTHER AWAY FROM LAKE ERIE. WINDS ARE IN THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
THIS MORNING AND SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 4 AM SATURDAY MORNING. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE LAKE OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL
WEAKEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND ALLOW THE LAKE TO CALM DOWN.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LAKE MONDAY AND INCREASE WINDS SLIGHTLY
AROUND FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
INTO LAKE ERIE ON TUESDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR OHZ003-
     006>008-017-018-027-028-036-037.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...REL
AVIATION...REL
MARINE...REL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
556 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

OHZ009>014-019>023-029>033-038-047-089-PAZ001>003-221000-
ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-HURON-MEDINA-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
556 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-028-036-037-221000-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-SENECA-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-
MORROW-
556 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-221000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
556 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.