Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1048 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE TODAY...

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL WEAKEN TODAY.
MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS FLORIDA.
ADDITIONAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE COULD EVENTUALLY LIFT NORTHEAST TO
IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS OFF THE
COAST LATE WEEK FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW STRONG SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SPINNING OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA WITH A PRONOUNCED COASTAL
WARM FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST OF THE LOW ROUGHLY ALONG A JESUP-
HUNTER AAF-JAMES ISLAND LINE. AN IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY PWATS RUNNING 160-180 PERCENT OF NORMAL
IS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND EXTENDS OFFSHORE BY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
TODAY AS THE SURFACE LOW MEANDERS SLOWLY TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST AND
A SECONDARY LOW TIGHTENS OVER THE GEORGIA OFFSHORE WATERS IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASING DIFLUENCE ALOFT. A RECENT TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG COAST AS WELL AS PRESSURE FALLS NOTED AT
BUOYS 41004 AND 41008 SUGGEST SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS MAY ALREADY
BE UNDERWAY AND KCLX REFLECTIVITY TRENDS INDICATE THE RAIN SHIELD
IS STEADILY EXPANDING.

EXPECT THE CORE OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS TO GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH
AND BECOME POSITIONED BETWEEN SAVANNAH AND CHARLESTON OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. MAINTAINED CATEGORICAL POPS FOR ALL AREAS...
ALTHOUGH OUR GRIDDED POPS WILL SHOW A LOWERING INTO THE LIKELY
CATEGORY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH AS A DRY SLOT WORKS SLOWLY NORTH.
INCREASED QPF AMOUNTS TO 3-5 INCHES PER GOING TRENDS WITH MUCH OF
COASTAL GEORGIA ALREADY HAVING SEEN BETWEEN 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN
OVERNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL
COUNTIES AS WELL AS A FEW SELECT INLAND COUNTIES ALONG THE
SAVANNAH RIVER AS THIS AREA IS THE MOST PRIMED TO SEE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THAT COULD EXCEED 1-HOUR AND 3-HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED INLAND TO
INCLUDE INLAND COLLETON...DORCHESTER AND INLAND BERKELEY...BUT
PREFER TO SEE HOW THE MESOSCALE PATTERN EVOLVES OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BEFORE COMMITTING TO THIS.

THE COASTAL WARM SECTOR HAS PENETRATED THE COASTAL COUNTIES WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID 70S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER 70S. 0-1KM HELICITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE WITH KCLX SHOWING
SOME PERSISTENT ROTATION WITH CELLS JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST.
THE RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT UP INTO THE
BEAUFORT AND CHARLESTON AREAS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND A NEW
TORNADO WATCH OR AN EXPANSION OF TORNADO WATCH 865 MAY BE NEEDED.
MAINTAINED A MENTION OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS THE TORNADO
WATCH AREA AND THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL COUNTIES. IN ADDITION TO
TORNADOES...ANY CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS COULD EASILY PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS TO 50-55 MPH WHICH COULD CAUSE A FEW TREES AND
POWERLINES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVY RAINS HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN.

AS FOR WINDS...OBSERVATIONS AT THE COAST SUGGEST WINDS SPEEDS ARE
HIGHLY VARIABLE WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING OBSERVED NEAR THE
BEACHES. THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE CONTINUED FOR ALL COASTAL
COUNTIES THROUGH 5 PM...BUT WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH PRIOR TO THEN
ALONG THE NORTH GEORGIA COAST. EXPECT WINDS GENERALLY 20-30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO OR NEAR THE BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA.
MEANWHILE...THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME INDICATION THAT A SECONDARY
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RACE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS MESOSCALE FEATURE CAN
HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE AREA IF IT DOES DEVELOP...BUT THE
TRACK/TIMING IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AS IT HAS YET TO ORGANIZE.
HOWEVER...INCREASED WIND FIELDS AND ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE CAN
ALL BE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WINDY
CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE AREA. THE FORECAST
WILL INDICATE NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD FREQUENT SHOWERS THIS
EVENING...WITH THE COVERAGE DIMINISHING FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT.

ON TUE...MESOSCALE DETAILS WILL AGAIN INFLUENCE THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN WITH SIGNIFICANT MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING IN PLACE
AND DEEP MOISTURE PROFILES FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE
DAY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA. A MID LAYER DRY SLOT COULD PUNCH
INTO GEORGIA ALLOWING FROM SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY. WE PLAYED WIDESPREAD RAINS WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF EARLY TSTMS IN OUR SOUTH CAROLINA ZONES AND
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS A FEW TSTMS IN SE GEORGIA WITH POPS
GRADUATED HIGHER FROM S TO N. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE NOT NEARLY
AS STRONG BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER
ONLY IF THE COASTAL FRONT CAN REMAIN INLAND AND MODELS DO NOT
SEEM TO HAVE A GOOD GRIP ON IT/S LOCATION OR PROGRESSION AT THIS
POINT.

SURFACE LOW PRES WAVES ALONG THE COASTAL FRONT APPEAR TO PULL AWAY
WED NIGHT AND THU AND DURING THESE PERIODS WE HAVE TRIMMED
BACK POPS TO MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCES. A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE
WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WNW ON THU BUT DEEPER LAYERED W FLOW
SHOULD KEEP ANY PRECIP COMING IN FROM THE W GENERALLY SPARSE.

LAKE WINDS...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR
LAKE MOULTRIE DUE TO THE STRONG GRADIENT WINDS IN PLACE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THU NIGHT. POST-FRONT
NOT TOO MUCH COOL AIR BEHIND THE FRONT BUT CERTAINLY A DRIER AIR
MASS ACCOMPANYING SURFACE HIGH PRES BUILDING IN FROM THE W.
THE COMBINATION OF DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND WARMING 850 MB TEMPS
OVER THE WEEKEND LED US TO INCREASE MAX TEMPS INTO THE LOWER
80S MANY AREAS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO CLIMO
WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY DETERIORATE AT THE TERMINALS
AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVERSPREADS THE AREA AHEAD OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA. FREQUENT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT INLAND
THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES. GRADIENT WINDS WILL
REMAIN RATHER STRONG THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE
SITUATED NORTH OF THE REGION AND THE LOW TO THE SOUTH. WIND GUSTS
WILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25-30 KT AT THE TERMINALS...ESPECIALLY FROM
MID-MORNING THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON...BUT GUSTS UPWARDS OF
45-50 KT ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS WHICH WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO
TIME. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN THROUGH MID-
MORNING IF WIND GUSTS ARE LESS FREQUENT. CONDITIONS WILL BE
PREDOMINATELY MVFR OR IFR AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...THERE COULD BE SOME WIDESPREAD
MVFR/IFR PERIODIC MVFR CONDITIONS MAY LINGER INTO WED...BUT EXPECT
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS BY THU.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS REMAIN FOR ALL LEGS. AN UNEXPECTED TIGHTENING OF
PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS PUSHED
WINDS INTO SOLID GALE TERRITORY. SHOULD SEE A SHARP CUT OFF IN
WINDS ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON...SO THE GALE
WARNING MAY NEED TO BE CANCELLED EARLY. IN THE MEANTIME...
HAVE RAISED WINDS INTO SOLID GALE TERRITORY AND RAISED GUSTS TO
JUST BELOW STORM FORCE. HAVE ALREADY SEE BUOYS 41004...41008 AND
FBIS1 REPORT WINDS OVER 40 KT. SEAS WILL REMAIN IMPRESSIVE WITH
9-13 NEARSHORE WATERS AND 15-20 FT OFFSHORE WATERS. WAVES IN THE
CHARLESTON HARBOR WILL BE 2-3 FT...EXCEPT 3-4 FT NEAR THE HARBOR
ENTRANCE.

A LOW CONFIDENCE MARINE FORECAST GIVEN THE SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS
CONCERNING THE COASTAL FRONT AND RIPPLES OF LOW PRES EXPECTED TO
RIDE ALONG IT INTO EARLY WED. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ON TUE
MAY BE LOWERED FROM S TO N INTO MID WEEK AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS
AND SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE W
THU AND PASS OFF THE COAST THU NIGHT. WINDS AFTER MID WEEK WILL
HAVE OFFSHORE COMPONENTS AND SURGES LIKELY TO BE BEYOND 20 NM
AND PROBABLY BELOW SCA LEVELS.

RIP CURRENTS...THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA
BEACHES TODAY DUE TO STRONG ONSHORE WINDS...LARGE SWELLS IMPACTING THE
COAST AND AN INCREASED LUNAR INFLUENCE. AN ELEVATED RISK FOR RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK GIVEN A
CONTINUED STRONG ONSHORE FETCH.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH SURF...BREAKER HEIGHT MATRIX DATA BASED ON SPECTRAL
BREAKDOWNS FROM BUOYS 41004 AND 41008 SUGGEST BREAKER HEIGHTS IN
THE SURF ZONE ARE RUNNING 4-6 FT ALONG THE SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST TO 5-8 FT ALONG NORTH COASTAL GEORGIA. THE HIGH SURF
ADVISORY WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

COASTAL FLOODING...TIDAL ANOMALIES WERE RUNNING 1.0 TO 1.2 FEET
ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS DURING THE PREVIOUS HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THESE
TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...IF NOT INCREASE
SOME...INTO THIS MORNING/S HIGH TIDE CYCLE GIVEN THE STRONG
NORTHEAST/EAST FETCH THAT IS IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...CURRENT TIDAL DEPARTURES AND ONGOING TIDAL LOADING IN THE
MARSHES UP AND DOWN THE COAST SUGGEST SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN A NUMBER OF PLACES THIS MORNING. IT SHOULD
ALSO BE NOTED THAT THE TIDAL LOADING WILL ACTUALLY RESULT IN THE
HIGHEST TIDE LEVELS ANYWHERE FROM 30 TO 60 MINUTES PAST THE
FORECAST TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ANOTHER COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED FOR THIS EVENING/S HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW MAY RESULT IN SHALLOW SALT WATER
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GAZ101-116>119-
     138>141.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ117-119-139-
     141.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR GAZ117-119-139-
     141.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SCZ047>052.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ048>051.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR SCZ048>051.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ330-352-354-
     374.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR AMZ350.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

GAZ117-119-139-141-110945-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 865 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

RIP CURRENTS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL FLOODING...SHALLOW SALT WATER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

SCZ048>051-110945-
BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

RIP CURRENTS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL FLOODING...SHALLOW SALT WATER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SCZ045-110945-
INLAND BERKELEY-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
LAKE MOULTRIE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

HEAVY RAIN...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ087-088-099-100-114-115-SCZ040-042>044-110945-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-TATTNALL-EVANS-ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-
INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ116-118-138-140-110945-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 865 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

GAZ137-110945-
LONG-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 865 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

HEAVY RAIN...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH
TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THE
REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

GAZ101-SCZ047-110945-
EFFINGHAM-INLAND JASPER-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

AMZ330-352-374-110945-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ350-110945-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ354-110945-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 865 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

SCZ052-110945-
TIDAL BERKELEY-
534 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

COASTAL FLOODING...SHALLOW SALT WATER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
521 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

SCZ048>050-101000-
BEAUFORT-CHARLESTON-COASTAL COLLETON-
521 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHARLESTON...COLLETON
AND BEAUFORT COUNTIES THROUGH 600 AM EDT...

AT 521 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ISLE OF PALMS TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KIAWAH
ISLAND...MOVING WEST AT 60 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BEARS BLUFF...BEAUFORT...BENNETTS POINT...CALAWASSIE ISLAND...CHARLES
TOWNE LANDING...CHARLESTON NAVAL COMPLEX...DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...
EDISTO BEACH...EDISTO ISLAND...FOLLY BEACH...FORT JOHNSON...FORT
SUMTER...FRIPP ISLAND...HOLLYWOOD...ISLE OF PALMS...JAMES ISLAND...
JAMES ISLAND COUNTY PARK...JOHNS ISLAND...KIAWAH ISLAND...LADYS
ISLAND...LEMON ISLAND...MAYBANK BRIDGE...MEGGETT...MOUNT PLEASANT...
NORTH CHARLESTON...PARRIS ISLAND...PORT ROYAL...ROCKVILLE...ROSE
HILL...SEABROOK ISLAND...SHADOWMOSS...SHELL POINT...SULLIVANS
ISLAND...WADMALAW ISLAND...WEST ASHLEY AND YONGES ISLAND...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
STRONG WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH.
BE READY TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IN CASE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3275 7986 3268 7988 3260 7999 3255 8020
      3247 8035 3243 8035 3245 8037 3249 8036
      3246 8040 3248 8047 3243 8046 3241 8042
      3231 8044 3225 8061 3228 8095 3288 8005
      3285 7994 3280 7993 3284 7989 3281 7972
TIME...MOT...LOC 0921Z 082DEG 50KT 3269 7973 3246 8000

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
546 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

GAZ116-117-119-138>141-101030-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-INLAND
BRYAN-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
546 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...STRONG SHOWERS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF LIBERTY...BRYAN...
CHATHAM AND MCINTOSH COUNTIES THROUGH 630 AM EDT...

AT 545 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG SHOWER...15 MILES EAST OF ST. CATHERINES ISLAND...MOVING
WEST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BELFAST...HALFMOON LANDING...HARRIS NECK...JONES...KELLER...
RETREAT...SHELLMAN BLUFF...SOUTH NEWPORT...ST. CATHERINES ISLAND AND
SUNBURY...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
STRONG WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...
FUNNEL CLOUDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH.
BE READY TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IN CASE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3157 8152 3191 8132 3178 8106 3176 8107
      3172 8113 3163 8112 3156 8115 3155 8117
      3152 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 0945Z 105DEG 33KT 3159 8096

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
644 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

GAZ116>119-138>141-101130-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-INLAND
BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
644 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...STRONG SHOWERS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF LIBERTY...BRYAN...
CHATHAM AND MCINTOSH COUNTIES THROUGH 730 AM EDT...

AT 641 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM ST. CATHERINES SOUND TO 17
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST. CATHERINES SOUND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BELFAST...FORT MCALLISTER...HALFMOON LANDING...HARRIS NECK...
KELLER...OSSABAW SOUND...SOUTH NEWPORT...ST. CATHERINES ISLAND AND
SUNBURY...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
STRONG WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...
FUNNEL CLOUDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON TOLL FREE AT
1-888-383-2024 IF YOU OBSERVE SEVERE WEATHER SUCH AS HAIL...DOWNED
TREES...LIMBS AND POWER LINES. REPORTS CAN ALSO BE SENT BY EMAIL TO
CHS.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR THROUGH TWITTER USING #WXREPORT.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8148 3199 8117 3184 8101 3183 8103
      3181 8103 3176 8107 3172 8113 3163 8112
      3154 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 120DEG 40KT 3158 8090

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
918 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NE FLEMINGTON         31.87N  81.55W
10/10/2011                   LIBERTY            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON POWERLINE ON OLD HINES ROAD. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100989

BDC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1113 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

GAZ137-140-141-101600-
COASTAL MCINTOSH-INLAND MCINTOSH-LONG-
1113 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF LONG AND MCINTOSH
COUNTIES THROUGH NOON EDT...

AT 1113 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG SHOWER...9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAPELO ISLAND...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BLACKBEARD ISLAND...CARNIGAN...COX...CRESCENT...DARIEN...EULONIA...
JONES...MERIDIAN...PINE HARBOR...RIDGEVILLE...SAPELO ISLAND...
SHELLMAN BLUFF...TIBET...TOWNSEND...VALONA AND WOLF ISLAND...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
STRONG WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...
FUNNEL CLOUDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES SUDDENLY...SOMETIMES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. BE ALERT
FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY
IF SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH.
BE READY TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IN CASE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3131 8139 3129 8140 3136 8154 3143 8161
      3147 8162 3151 8166 3155 8167 3169 8154
      3152 8118 3140 8125 3137 8124 3137 8127
      3134 8127 3132 8125 3130 8126 3129 8130
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 116DEG 24KT 3140 8116