Small Craft Advisory 7, NWS Caribou, ME

020 
WHUS71 KCAR 221505
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1005 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

ANZ050>052-222100-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110122T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1005 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.

* SEAS: 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MIGNONE

768 
WHUS71 KCAR 221951
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
251 PM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

ANZ050>052-222100-
/O.CAN.KCAR.SC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110122T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
251 PM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$


MIGNONE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
329 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM CANADA WILL PUSH BITTERLY
COLD AIR ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. THE HIGH WILL SETTLE
OVER THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW FROM THE
SOUTHEAST STATES MAY APPROACH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HAVE OPTED TO XTND THE BLOWING SN ADV FOR ZONES 2 AND 6...WHERE
GUSTY WINDS OVR THE PTN OF THE FA NOTED FOR OPEN FARMLANDS WILL
CONT TO RESULT IN LCLZD AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SN INTO MID
MORN. AFTWRDS...SLACKENING WIND GUSTS AND BETTER DAYTIME VSBYS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR THIS PTN OF THE WSW HDLN TO BE DROPPED.

WITH REGARD TO THE WIN CHILL ADV AREA...TEMPS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO
FALL VERY ERLY THIS MORN...BUT LATEST GUIDANCE BRINGS A SURGE OF
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE ADV AREA BY DAYBREAK...SO WE WILL CONT THIS
ADV FOR NOW AND LET THE DAY SHIFT EVALUATE WHETHER TO CANCEL THIS
ADV ERLY IF WIND CHILLS OF -20 OR COLDER DO NOT MATERIALIZE.

OTHERWISE...SFC OBS TO OUR WEST AND COLD CURVE IR SAT IMAGERY
INDICATES CLRG SKIES FOR THE FA TDY. WITH BRISK LLVL COLD ADVCN...
HI TEMPS TDY DESPITE THE SUNSHINE WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE ABV THE
SINGLE DIGITS N AND TEENS S. TNGT...A WEAKENING S/WV AND SFC LOW
TRACKING EWRD FROM THE GREAT LKS MAY SPREAD THIN CLDNSS OVR
NRN/CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA. GIVEN HOW COLD THIS AIR MASS IS...ANY
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN DEPOSITION OF THIN LAYER WATER VAPOR TO
PRODUCE SCT FLURRIES OR ICE CRYSTALS ACROSS NRN/CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION. WITH A RIDGE AXIS XPCTD TO
XPND ACROSS THE FA TNGT...WINDS SHOULD SLACKEN SIG BLO 10 MPH...SO
WE DO NOT SEE THE NEED FOR A WIND CHILL ADV/WARN FOR THIS PD ATTM.
IN FACT...IF CLDS ARE THIN OVRNGT WHICH IS THE NORM WITH ARCTIC
AIR MASSES...AND CLR VERY LATE AS THE GUIDANCE IMPLIES...THERE
COULD BE A WINDOW OF STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING OVR FRESH SN PACK
PARTICULARLY OVR MAJOR NRN/WRN RVR VLYS WITH OVRNGT LOWS WELL INTO
THE -20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
BITTER COLD ARCTIC AIR ADVECTING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WILL
KEEP TEMPS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH AND IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
DOWNEAST. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY LOWS DROPPING TO 30 BELOW IN
THE NORTHWEST AND MID TEENS DOWNEAST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE HIGH MOVING IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST WILL RESULT IN WINDS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT
CREATING FRIGID WIND CHILLS. WINDY AND FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY THOUGH A BIT OF MOISTURE WRAPPING INTO THE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE FAR NORTH ON MONDAY MAY RESULT IN SOME FLURRIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN MONDAY THEN CREST
OVER THE AREA TUESDAY BRINGING VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS. WE
THEN TURN TO A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
NIGHT AND TRACKING UP EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE OPERATIONAL GFS
HAS BEEN CARRYING THE LOW WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AND OUT TO
SEA. HOWEVER...THIS SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER. THE GEM, UKMET, ECMWF
AND MOST OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS OF THE GFS ARE CARRYING THE STORM
NORTH BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACROSS OUR AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. WILL GO LIKELY POPS DOWNEAST AND
CHC NORTH WED NIGHT INTO THU.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MAINLY VFR WITH BRIEF MVFR VSBY WITH BLSN OR SC CLD
DECK FOR NRN SITES ERLY THIS MORN.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: STILL EXPERIENCING GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS OVR OUR WATERS
THIS MORN...SO WE WILL CONT GALES TIL 11Z...XPCTD TO BE FOLLOWED
BY AN SCA ATTM AS WIND GUSTS SHOULD AT LEAST SUBSIDE BLO 34 KT BY
THAT TIME. BOTH WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD CONT TO SUBSIDE BELOW SCA
CRITERIA BY LATE AFTN AND CONT SO INTO TNGT. WITH WINDS INCREASING
AGAIN LATE TNGT TO JUST BLO SCA...WITH ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE THE FIRST
OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT FREEZING SPRAY IS ANTICIPATED OVR OUR
WATERS ATTM.

SHORT TERM: WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH SCA IN GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. BITTER COLD AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL RESULT IN FREEZING
SPRAY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR MEZ002-
     006.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR MEZ001>004-010.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

MEZ002-230900-
NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ001-003-004-010-230900-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ005-011-015>017-029>032-230900-
NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ006-230900-
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-230900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
304 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VJN