Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Caribou, ME

656 
WWUS51 KCAR 091752
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
152 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MEC021-091815-
/O.CON.KCAR.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110609T1815Z/
PISCATAQUIS ME-
152 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...

AT 148 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BARNARD...OR 10 MILES WEST OF BROWNVILLE JUNCTION...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WILLIAMSBURG...DOVER-FOXCROFT...SEBEC...BROWNVILLE...ATKINSON...
MILO...LAKE VIEW AND MEDFORD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4551 6934 4544 6885 4528 6881 4522 6890
      4516 6893 4510 6925 4531 6958
TIME...MOT...LOC 1752Z 300DEG 38KT 4531 6920

$$

WALKER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1220 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE: UPDATE GRIDS/ZFP TO INCLUDE SEVERE TSTM WATCH 450 THROUGH
8 PM EDT. THINGS LOOK TO BE ON TRACK FOR SEVERE STORMS TO GO BY
18Z OR SO ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AREAS DOWN INTO THE
DOWNEAST REGIONS. MAIN THREAT DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL.

RADAR SHOWING ENHANCED ECHOES ACROSS THE WESTERN MAINE MOVING
EAST. VISIBLE SATL IMAGERY INDICATED PLENTY OF BREAKS ALLOWING FOR
HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL FAVOR POTENTIAL
FOR FLASH FLOODING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURRED OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
FOCUS NOW TURNS TO POTENTIAL 2ND ROUND FOR TODAY W/ LOW PRES
CENTERED JUST NNW OF THE FA W/ ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING SW
ACROSS SW QUEBEC AND ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS FRONT IS
FCST TO MOVE SEWRD TODAY AND ENTER FAR NW AREAS LATER THIS AM THEN
MOVE SE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FA THRU THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE
EXITING OFF THE DOWNEAST COAST THIS EVENING. VERY WARM AND MOIST
AIR IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT SHOULD COMBINE W/ STRONG FRONTAL
FORCING TO GIVE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS FOR OUR REGION. INHIBITING FACTORS INCLUDE THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO NW AREAS DURING THE AM
LIMITING THE HEATING AND INSTABILITY AVAILABLE. MANY AREAS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA ALSO RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
FROM LAST EVENING THRU ERLY THIS AM WHICH WILL HAVE STABILIZED THE
LOWER LEVELS AND MAY MAKE IT TUF FOR THE ATMOS TO RELOAD BY THE
TIME THE NEXT ROUND IS READY TO COMMENCE. THIS SUGGEST THAT THE
BEST THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TODAY WILL BE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE FA. CURRENTLY SPC HAS THE ENTIRE FA IN
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE...

WILL ALSO NEED TO MONITOR FLASH FLOOD THREAT CLOSELY TODAY AS SOME
AREAS RECEIVED OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN FORM THE 1ST ROUND OF
CONVECTION EARLIER TONIGHT...

THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE FA TODAY IS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE
FULL THERMAL POTENTIAL OF THE AIRMASS W/ THE COLD FRONT NOT
EXPECTED TO CROSS THIS AREA UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WILL HAVE
FCST HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 AWAY FROM THE COAST
TAPERING BACK TO THE MID 70S FAR NW WHERE THE EARLY ONSET OF
PRECIP AND FROPA SHOULD KEEP HIGH TEMPS CONSIDERABLY LOWER THAN
AREAS FURTHER S AND E TODAY.

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE FA FROM NW TO SE
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT...
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA AND SETTLE OVER NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OFF SHORE
SATURDAY EVENING. AS A RESULT EXPECT PLEASANT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
ONLY CONCERN WILL BE LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT AS CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. SOME
AREAS....ESPECIALLY THE USUAL COLD SPOTS IN THE ALLAGASH...COULD
DROP INTO THE MID 30S. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN SETS UP FOR THE LONG TERM. A WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE STATE SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND WEAKEN AS ANOTHER SINKS
SOUTH FROM QUEBEC SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS SECOND LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE
REGION THROUGH MID WEEK...KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER AROUND THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT EXPECT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK...GENERALLY IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S.
&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDS TODAY W/ MVFR TO IFR THIS AM GIVING WAY
TO VFR W/ PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN ANY SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VFR CONDS
DEVELOP ALL TAF SITES BY THIS EVENING AND PREVAIL THRU TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...THEN
MVFR IN OFF AND ON SHOWERS FROM 06Z SUNDAY ON AS UPPER LOW PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT TO ADVERTISE AREAS OF FOG OVER THE WATERS W/
WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE UNTIL COLD FROPA THIS EVENING.
WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BLO SCA LEVELS THRU TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WATERS WILL KEEP WINDS AND
WAVES WELL BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO 10-20 KT AND 3-5 FT BY MIDWEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...HEWITT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1211 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-101615-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
1211 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS OR
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN CARIBOU.

ANZ050>052-101615-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1211 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS OR
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN CARIBOU.

HEWITT