Alert archive / Maine / Flood Watches in 2011
Flood Watch 2, NWS Caribou, ME
NWS Caribou, ME issued this flood watch at Mar 10, 2011, 3:04 PM EST for 5 counties in Maine. It took effect at Mar 11, 2011, 5:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2011, 3:04 PM EST (20:04 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 11, 2011, 5:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2011, 9:52 AM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Caribou, ME
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Aroostook County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Washington County, ME
The radar
The Caribou radar (KCBW), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 705 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 300 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 415 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
128 WGUS61 KCAR 102004 FFACAR URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 304 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOWMELT TO BRING POTENTIAL FLOODING... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOWMELT FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-110415- /O.NEW.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT- INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK- COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 304 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT... NORTHERN PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS...NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK... COASTAL WASHINGTON...INTERIOR HANCOCK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO OVER ONE INCH IN THE CENTRAL HIGHLAND AND DOWNEAST REGION BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS CAUSING MOVEMENT OF ICE AND POSSIBLY ICE JAMS MAY RESULT IN SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS TO REACH NEAR FLOOD STAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MCB/JAH
8 follow-up statements
279 WGUS61 KCAR 110209 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 909 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOWMELT TO BRING POTENTIAL FLOODING... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOWMELT FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-111015- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT- INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK- COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 909 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * PISCATAQUIS...PENOBSCOT...HANCOCK...WASHINGTON AND SOUTHERN AROOSTOOK. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO OVER ONE INCH IN THE CENTRAL HIGHLAND AND DOWNEAST REGION BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS TO REACH NEAR FLOOD STAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ FOSTER
180 WGUS61 KCAR 110832 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 332 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOW MELT TO BRING POSSIBLE FLOODING FROM NORTH CENTRAL MAINE SOUTHWARD TO THE DOWNEAST MAINE COAST... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOW MELT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-111800- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT- INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK- COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 332 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * PISCATAQUIS...PENOBSCOT...HANCOCK...WASHINGTON AND SOUTHERN AROOSTOOK. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES OVER EAST CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST MAINE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING TO SOME LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS TO REACH NEAR FLOOD STAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ VJN
121 WGUS61 KCAR 111402 AAA FFACAR FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 902 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOW MELT TO BRING POSSIBLE FLOODING FROM NORTH CENTRAL MAINE SOUTHWARD TO THE DOWNEAST MAINE COAST... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOW MELT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-112215- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT- INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK- COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 902 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT...NORTHERN PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS...NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK... COASTAL WASHINGTON...INTERIOR HANCOCK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO A RANGE OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES OVER EAST CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST MAINE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING TO SOME LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN INCLUDE THE MATTWAMKEAG RIVER...THE PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER- FOXCROFT...THE KENDUSGKEAG STREAM IN BANGOR AND THE PENOBSCOT RIVER. THESE RIVERS AND STREAMS HAS ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET THICK. SOME SMALLER STREAMS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE BRANCH STREAM IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY HAVE REPORTED ICE JAMS AND ARE RUNNING HIGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ HEWITT
644 WGUS61 KCAR 111517 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1017 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOW MELT TO BRING POSSIBLE FLOODING FROM NORTH CENTRAL MAINE SOUTHWARD TO THE DOWNEAST MAINE COAST... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOW MELT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-031-032-112330- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 1017 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS... NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO A RANGE OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING TO SOME LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN INCLUDE THE MATTWAMKEAG RIVER...THE PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER- FOXCROFT. THESE RIVERS HAVE ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET THICK. SOME SMALLER STREAMS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE BRANCH STREAM IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY HAVE REPORTED ICE JAMS AND ARE RUNNING HIGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MEZ015>017-029-030-112330- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN... AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND... DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY... PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT... MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD 1017 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON AND INTERIOR HANCOCK. * FROM 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TO A RANGE OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES OVER EAST CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST MAINE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING TO SOME LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN INCLUDE THE KENDUSGKEAG STREAM IN BANGOR AND THE PENOBSCOT RIVER. THESE WATERSHEDS HAVE ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET THICK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ HEWITT/HILL
747 WGUS61 KCAR 112116 AAB FFACAR FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 416 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...RAIN AND SNOW MELT TO BRING POSSIBLE FLOODING FROM NORTH CENTRAL MAINE SOUTHWARD TO THE DOWNEAST MAINE COAST... .RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SNOW MELT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT IN ICE JAMS. MEZ004>006-010-011-031-032-120530- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 416 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS... NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE THE REGION. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WILL BRING RISES TO RIVERS AND STREAMS. THESE RISES MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. PONDING OF WATER CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN INCLUDE THE MATTWAMKEAG RIVER...THE PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER-FOXCROFT. THESE RIVERS STILL HAD A GOOD DEAL OF ICE AND SNOW IN THEM WITH ICE THICKNESSES OF 1 TO 2 FEET THICK. SOME SMALLER STREAMS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE BRANCH STREAM IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY ARE RUNNING HIGH AND JAMMED WITH ICE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MEZ015>017-029-030-120530- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.110311T2200Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN... AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND... DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY... PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT... MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD 416 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON AND INTERIOR HANCOCK. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SHARP RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS. THIS MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN INCLUDE THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM IN BANGOR AND THE PENOBSCOT RIVER. THESE WATERSHEDS HAVE ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET THICK. ICED HAS JAMMED UP ON THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM FROM DOWNTOWN BANGOR BACK TO HARLOW STREET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ HEWITT
345 WGUS61 KCAR 120158 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 858 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 MEZ004>006-010-011-031-032-121000- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 858 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * PISCATAQUIS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S MAY CAUSE RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE. THESE RISES MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. PONDING OF WATER CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN ARE THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AND THE PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER-FOXCROFT. THESE RIVERS STILL HAVE A GOOD AMOUNT OF ICE AND SNOW IN THEM WITH ICE THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. SOME SMALLER STREAMS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE BRANCH STREAM IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY ARE RUNNING HIGH AND ARE ALSO JAMMED WITH ICE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MEZ015>017-029-030-121000- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN... AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND... DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY... PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT... MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD 858 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT...WASHINGTON AND HANCOCK. * THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO ONE AND HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT MAY CAUSE SHARP RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS. THESE SHARP RISES MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN ARE THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM IN BANGOR AND THE PENOBSCOT RIVER. THESE WATERSHEDS HAVE ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. ALSO, ICE HAS JAMMED UP ON THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM FROM DOWNTOWN BANGOR BACK TO HARLOW STREET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ FOSTER
632 WGUS61 KCAR 120750 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 250 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 MEZ004>006-010-011-031-032-121500- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 250 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * PISCATAQUIS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING * RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING FROM A HALF INCH ACROSS NORTHERN CENTRAL MAINE TO AROUND AN INCH OVER EAST CENTRAL AREAS HAVE FALLEN WITH THIS RAIN EVENT. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S MAY CAUSE RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE. THESE RISES MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. SOME PONDING OF WATER CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN ARE THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AND THE PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER-FOXCROFT. THESE RIVERS STILL HAVE A GOOD AMOUNT OF ICE AND SNOW IN THEM WITH ICE THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. SOME SMALLER STREAMS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE BRANCH STREAM IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY ARE RUNNING HIGH AND ARE ALSO JAMMED WITH ICE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MEZ015>017-029-030-121500- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN... AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND... DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY... PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT... MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD 250 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * WASHINGTON...HANCOCK AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. * UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING * RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING FROM 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER DOWNEAST MAINE WITH THIS RAIN EVENT. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND ADDITIONAL SNOW MELT MAY CAUSE SHARP RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS. THESE SHARP RISES MAY CAUSE ICE TO MOVE AND JAM WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING. * AREAS OF MAIN CONCERN ARE THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM IN BANGOR AND THE PENOBSCOT RIVER. THESE WATERSHEDS HAVE ICE IN THEM WITH A THICKNESS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. ALSO...ICE HAS JAMMED UP ON THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM FROM DOWNTOWN BANGOR BACK TO HARLOW STREET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ VJN
847 WGUS61 KCAR 121452 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 952 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-121600- /O.CAN.KCAR.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT- INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK- COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE... CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 952 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAIN IS MOVING OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COOL LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ MCB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Caribou, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 10, 2:48 PM EST, 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 2:48 PM EST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
248 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES NORTH INTO QUEBEC
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY THEN CONTINUE TO LABRADOR ON SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL FOLLOW THE SYSTEM SUNDAY THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
CHALLENGES ARE HEADLINES AND ACCUMULATIONS.
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED ENHANCED PRECIP MOVING ENE. THIS IS
MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW. REPORTS COMING IN AROUND THE REGION SO
FAR HAVE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH INTO
THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. DOT REPORTS INDICATED MOST OF THE SNOW
FALLING SINCE 11 AM HAS BEEN LIGHT AND MELTING W/LITTLE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION. GFS AND THE RUC PICKED UP ON THE LATEST AREA OF
SNOW/RAIN AS DEPICTED ON THE RADAR. THIS AREA IS FCST TO LIFT NE
THIS EVENING AND DISSIPATE BY 06Z AS IT PUSHES INTO THE RIDGE
E OF THE CWA. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR
LESS.
NOW FOR THE MORE INTERESTING PART OF FCST. WAA CONTINUES
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST RUC AND GFS SOUNDINGS SHOWED A WARM LAYER
GOING ABV 0C FROM 925-850 W/TEMPERATURES RIGHT AT THE SFC BLO OC.
THIS WOULD LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP MAINLY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWA FROM ABOUT 06Z-12Z. A DRY WEDGE NOTED
ON THE SOUNDINGS INDICATES THE PROSPECT FOR FZDZ RATHER THAN FZRA.
USING THE PRECIP FROM THICKNESS TOOL YIELDED SNOW/SLEET GOING TO
FREEZING PRECIP W/SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE. DECIDED TO PUSH
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FURTHER E AND SE COVERING CAR-PQI
REGION DOWN THROUGH HUL-MLT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FURTHER S...PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY BUT GIVEN
THE LOW LYING AREAS IN NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND CENTRAL PENOBSCOT
COUNTIES...DECISION WAS TO INCLUDE THEM INTO THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK ONLY A FEW DEGREES THIS
EVENING AND THEN BEGIN TO RISE GOING ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE
DOWNEAST AND COAST BY EARLY MORNING. FURTHER AND POINTS TO THE E
UP INTO NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE
FOR A TIME TO PUSH ABOVE 0C GIVEN THE COLD AIR WEDGED IN PLUS COLD
ROAD SURFACES WILL LEAD TO RAIN FREEZING FOR A TIME ON CONTACT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL CARRY AN OCCLUDING FRONT INTO
THE REGION LATER FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM SOUTHEAST WIND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL WARM THE TEMP THROUGH THE 30S AND INTO THE
40S ON FRIDAY. RAIN WITH THE FRONT...MOST OF WHICH WILL FALL LATE
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...SHOULD AVERAGE AROUND A HALF TO
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OVER THE NORTH AND A LITTLE OVER THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH DOWNEAST. THE SNOWPACK DOWNEAST IS RIPE AND
SATURATED. MELTING SNOW FROM THE WARM MOIST WIND OVER THE SNOWPACK
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL SHOULD RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE RUNOFF. A
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN AREAS FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW LYING FLOODING. RISES ON RIVERS MAY RESULT
IN ICE JAM RELATED FLOODING. THE OCCLUSION AND LINE OF RAIN SHOULD
MOVE EAST OF THE REGION LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WEDGE OF DRIER AIR
MOVES IN WITH MODERATE COOLING. SOME MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE
LOW MAY THEN MOVE IN LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY MUCH COLDER AIR.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. EXPECT
BLUSTERY AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY...AND THEN MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE CHANCE FOR
SOME SNOW SHOWERS NORTH AND RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR W/TEMPO IFR ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES(KCAR/KPQI/KHUL) FOR LIGHT SNOW. FURTHER SOUTH FOR KBGR AND
KBHB...MVFR WILL DROP BACK TO IFR AFT 03Z.
SHORT TERM: IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN RAIN AND FOG FRIDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE TO MVFR LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND REMAIN MVFR THROUGH SATURDAY...POSSIBLY LOWERING TO MVFR
AT TIMES OVER THE NORTH IN LOWER CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA IN PLACE. HAD TO BRING SEAS UP AS LATEST OBS HAVE
HEIGHTS AT 6-7 FT OVER THE OUTER WATERS. INTRACOASTAL SHOWING 4-5
FT. EXPECTING WIND TO COME UP AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. 15-20 KT
W/GUSTS AT 25 KTS LOOKS GOOD OVERNIGHT. NAM SWAN GUIDANCE WAS
MATCHING UP WELL W/WAVE HEIGHTS AND FOLLOWED THIS GUIDANCE
W/BRINGING SEAS UP TO 6-9 FT BY 12Z FRIDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM: A GALE WARNING IS UP FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT AHEAD OF
AN OCCLUDING FRONT FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. AN SCA WILL LIKELY
FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND. &&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR MEZ002-005-006.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST FRIDAY FOR MEZ001-003-
004-010.
FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR MEZ011-031-032.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
NEAR TERM...HEWITT
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT
MARINE...HEWITT/BLOOMERHazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 5:48 AM EST, 9 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 548 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 MEZ001-003-004-010-111100- NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- 548 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS OR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE SPOTTER HOTLINE. ANZ050>052-111100- COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 548 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT AND WAVES 3 TO 7 FT ARE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS OR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE SPOTTER HOTLINE. MEZ002-005-006-011-015>017-029>032-111100- NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK- CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- 548 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW TO FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MAINE...MIXING WITH RAIN DOWNEAST AND ALONG THE COAST. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE TO AROUND AN INCH. TONIGHT...A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE A TRACE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY... ESPECIALLY OVER DOWNEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION. PRIOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS FROM THE LAST MAJOR STORM SYSTEM HAVE SATURATED WHATS LEFT OF THE SNOW PACK TO THE POINT WHERE ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCOMPANIED BY MILD TEMPERATURES COULD CAUSE MELTING OF THE REMAINING SNOW PACK. THIS IN TURN... COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS DOWNEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY THIS WEEKEND...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL OF ICE FLOWS AND JAMS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS LATE THIS WEEK FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WATCHES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS OR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE SPOTTER HOTLINE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Caribou, ME issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2:57 AM EST | Gale Watch | CAR | 12 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:32 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset, Washington | 30 hr |
| Mar 10, 3:00 PM EST | Gale Warning | CAR | 19 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.