Alert archive / Montana / Red Flag Warnings in 2011
Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Billings, MT
NWS Billings, MT issued this red flag warning at Sep 30, 2011, 4:04 AM MDT for 17 counties in Montana; 4 counties in Wyoming. It took effect at Oct 1, 2011, 10:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 11 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 30, 2011, 4:04 AM MDT (10:04 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 1, 2011, 10:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- Oct 1, 2011, 9:11 PM MDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Billings, MT
All 21 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Madison County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Big Horn County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Washakie County, WY
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 6:25 PM MDT | TSTM WND DMG | 10 S Roundup, MT | LARGE 10 X 20 FT HORSE SHED DESTROYED BY WINDS. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 279 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2467 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
734
WWUS85 KBYZ 301004
RFWBYZ
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
MTZ124-125-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
WEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125
* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ123-126-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE
DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET ...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE
AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126
* LOCATION...FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET.
THE WARNING DOES NOT INCLUDE GALLATIN COUNTY PORTIONS OF FIRE
ZONE 123.
* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND
A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL
OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
131...132...133
IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284
* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY ALONG WITH A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT
TO MAKE CONDITIONS DANGEROUS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
* COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST.
* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO
THE NORTHWEST ONCE THE FRONT GOES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM WITH LITTLE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY EVENING.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TO MID 90S WHICH WILL BE AROUND RECORD
LEVELS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS6 follow-up statements
045
WWUS85 KBYZ 301054 CCA
RFWBYZ
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
MTZ124-125-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
WEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125
* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ123-126-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.COR.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.COR.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE
DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET ...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE
AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126
* LOCATION...FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET.
* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND
A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL
OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
131...132...133
IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284
* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY ALONG WITH A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT
TO MAKE CONDITIONS DANGEROUS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
* COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST.
* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO
THE NORTHWEST ONCE THE FRONT GOES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM WITH LITTLE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY EVENING.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TO MID 90S WHICH WILL BE AROUND RECORD
LEVELS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS460
WWUS85 KBYZ 302108
RFWBYZ
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
MTZ124-125-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125
* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ123-126-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6
THOUSAND FEET...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126
* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH
GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF
NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
131...132...133
IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284
* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS150
WWUS85 KBYZ 010305
RFWBYZ
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
MTZ124-125-011515-
/O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR SATURDAY
FROM 10 AM TO MIDNIGHT REMAINS IN EFFECT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125
* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ123-126-011515-
/O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR SATURDAY
FROM 10 AM TO MIDNIGHT REMAINS IN EFFECT.
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126
* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH
GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS BOTH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-011515-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...
PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL
WYOMING...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
131...132...133
IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284
* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM LATE SATURDAY.
* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS452
WWUS85 KBYZ 010944
RFWBYZ
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
344 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011
MTZ124-125-127>133-WYZ274-284-012200-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
344 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125...127...128
129...130...131...132
133
IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284
* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 13
PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...RECORD SETTING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
MTZ123-126-012200-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
344 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE
DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126
* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY.
THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
* HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.
* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS127 WWUS85 KBYZ 012059 RFWBYZ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT 259 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011 MTZ124-125-127>133-WYZ274-284-020600- /O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-111002T0600Z/ WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY- GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY- CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA- NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES- NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY- SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY- BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST- 259 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING... * AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125...127...128 129...130...131...132...133 IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284 * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS. * WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 PERCENT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ MTZ123-126-020600- /O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-111002T0600Z/ GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST- BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST- 259 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA... * AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126 * IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. * WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 12 PERCENT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
566 WWUS85 KBYZ 020311 RFWBYZ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT 911 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011 MTZ123>133-WYZ274-284-020415- /O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-111002T0600Z/ GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY- STILLWATER COUNTY- BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST- GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY- CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA- NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES- NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY- SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY- BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST- 911 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER MEETING RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA. $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 30, 3:23 AM MDT, 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 3:23 AM MDT, 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
323 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011
.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR TDY AND SAT...
IT SEEMS FITTING THAT SEPTEMBER WILL END WARM AND DRY. THE MONTH
WILL END AS THE THIRD DRIEST SEPTEMBER ON RECORD AT BILLINGS WITH
ONLY .12 INCHES OF RAINFALL. HIGHS WILL RISE TO NEAR RECORD
LEVELS AGAIN TODAY TO CAP OFF A MONTH OF VERY WARM READINGS OF
LATE. THIS HOT AND DRY WEATHER HAS LEFT CONDITIONS EXTREMELY DRY
IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO A RANGE OF 8 TO
13 PERCENT AND CREATE DANGEROUSLY DRY CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
SATURDAY WILL BE EVEN A LITTLE DRIER AS HIGHS RISE TO THE LOWER
90S...WHICH IS EXTREMELY RARE IN OCTOBER. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
WILL FORM OVER NORTHERN MONTANA AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST AND
THIS WILL CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE. RED FLAG FOR THE WEST
LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE TODAY AND WILL UPGRADE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
CURRENTLY IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY TO A RED FLAG AS WELL. SATURDAY
WILL LIKELY BE MORE CRITICAL THAN TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO NORTHERN ZONES SATURDAY EVENING AND GET WASHED OUT.
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING WITH THE RIDGE MOVING EAST WILL SEND
SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND ENERGY INTO THE AREA FOR A CHANCE OF
CONVECTION. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO KEPT POPS LOW AND WOULD
EXPECT MAINLY SPRINKLES. LIGHTNING CHANCE NOT SIGNIFICANT BUT
COULD HAVE ENHANCED WIND GUSTS WITH SHOWERS THAT TRY TO FORM. TWH
.LONG TERM...VALID FOR SUN...MON...TUE...WED...THU...
CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK ON TRACK. NEW MODEL DATA HAS
NOT DIVERGED MUCH FROM LAST NIGHT AT THIS TIME AS BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF BRING A PATTERN CHANGE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A
COOL FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY BUT WILL
ONLY COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR SUNDAY AS READINGS WILL BE IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...A LARGE TROUGH AND UPPER LOW
APPROACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO
CONTINUE OVER OUR FORECAST AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE
RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ACROSS THE DAKOTAS ALLOWING FOR
A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO PREVAIL OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. WITHIN
THIS FLOW...A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE OVER THE FORECAST
AREA SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS. MODELS BRING THE BULK OF THE TROUGH AND ENERGY ACROSS
OUR AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
IS NOT CLOSING OFF THE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LIKE IN PAST
MODEL RUNS. HOWEVER...IT DOES SHIFT IT FURTHER NORTH ACROSS
EASTERN MONTANA WHEREAS THE GFS KEEPS THE TROUGH MORE OPEN. THERE
IS STILL A FAIR AMOUNT OF DISAGREEMENT IN THE MODELS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND...AND AS A RESULT...DID NOT MAKE ANY
BIG CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AND WILL KEEP HIGH CHANCE POPS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. HOOLEY
&&
.AVIATION...
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL WITH NO AVIATION HAZARDS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KLVM AREA AND FOOTHILLS OF
THE BEARTOOTH/ABSAROKA RANGE. HOOLEY
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...
TDY SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 088 056/092 057/085 051/081 055/076 053/073 047/067
0/U 00/U 21/B 21/B 11/B 11/B 22/W
LVM 091 051/090 051/081 045/079 047/074 044/071 041/066
0/N 01/N 22/T 21/B 21/B 12/W 33/W
HDN 091 053/096 053/088 050/083 052/079 050/082 045/071
0/U 00/U 21/B 11/B 11/B 11/B 22/W
MLS 086 051/095 053/085 050/081 052/080 050/078 046/068
0/U 00/U 01/B 11/B 11/B 11/B 12/W
4BQ 087 048/094 051/088 050/082 052/079 048/078 047/069
0/U 00/U 00/U 11/B 11/B 11/B 12/W
BHK 080 045/092 048/085 047/076 048/076 047/076 046/066
0/U 00/U 00/U 11/B 11/B 11/B 12/W
SHR 089 048/093 048/087 046/083 048/079 046/077 043/068
0/U 00/U 21/B 11/B 11/B 11/B 23/W
&&
.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING BELOW 6000 FEET FOR ZONES 123-126.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT SATURDAY NIGHT BELOW 6000 FEET FOR ZONES 123-126.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR ZONES 124-125.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES 124-125-127>133.
WY...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES 274-284.
&&
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGSHazardous weather outlook, Sep 29, 9:13 PM MDT, 6 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT 913 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011 MTZ028>042-056>058-063>068-WYZ098-099-010315- SOUTHERN WHEATLAND-MUSSELSHELL-TREASURE-NORTHERN ROSEBUD-CUSTER- FALLON-NORTHERN STILLWATER-YELLOWSTONE-POWDER RIVER-CARTER- SOUTHERN BIG HORN-EASTERN CARBON-NORTHERN PARK- NORTHERN SWEET GRASS-GOLDEN VALLEY-RED LODGE FOOTHILLS- NORTHERN BIG HORN-SOUTHERN ROSEBUD-JUDITH GAP-PARADISE VALLEY- LIVINGSTON AREA-BEARTOOTH FOOTHILLS-ABSAROKA/BEARTOOTH MOUNTAINS- CRAZY MOUNTAINS-NORTHEAST BIG HORN MOUNTAINS-SHERIDAN FOOTHILLS- 913 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER TONIGHT IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CRITICAL OVER WESTERN AREAS FRIDAY...AND FOR THE ENTIRE REGION ON SATURDAY AS UNUSUALLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS. PEOPLE ENGAGED IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE TRAVELING OFF ROAD...SHOULD USE CAUTION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Montana, 2011Red Flag Warnings in Wyoming, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.