Alert archive / Montana / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Billings, MT

September 29, 20117 counties in Montana

NWS Billings, MT issued this red flag warning at Sep 29, 2011, 3:05 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana. It took effect at Sep 30, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2011, 3:05 PM MDT (21:05 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 30, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Sep 30, 2011, 9:05 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Billings, MT

Counties Carbon County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Madison County, MT, Park County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Wheatland County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -63 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2099 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

266 
WWUS85 KBYZ 292105
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
305 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

MTZ124-125-301200-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
305 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A POSSIBLE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND INCREASED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125

* IMPACTS...HOT DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...12 TO 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S.

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY...RECORD SETTING HIGH TEMPERATURES
  WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DISTRICT WITH
  RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS. WEST TO
  SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY OVER MOST OF THE AREA.
  A COLD FRONT WITH A POTENTIALLY STRONG WIND SHIFT MAY ARRIVE
  LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
  INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE DISTRICT.
  THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
  SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MTZ123-126-301200-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS 
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND
BELOW 6000 FEET...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT...AND INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET. THE
  WARNING DOES NOT INCLUDE GALLATIN COUNTY PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONE 123.

* IMPACTS...HOT DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.  

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...12 TO 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S.

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY...INCLUDES ALL PORTIONS OF ZONES 123
  AND 126. RECORD SETTING HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DISTRICT WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE
  SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
  TO BE GUSTY OVER MOST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WITH A
  POTENTIALLY STRONG WIND SHIFT MAY ARRIVE LATE SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
  SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE DISTRICT. THIS
  WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS SATURDAY
  INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-301200-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT...AND INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130 
                                            131...132...133
                  IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284

* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH AN
  APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
  BRING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TO THE DISTRICT
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* COLD FRONT...MAY ARRIVE AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH
  A STRONG WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WEST.
  SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH OVER EASTERN ZONES. STRONG WIND SHIFT
  POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. 

* THUNDERSTORMS...INCREASING CHANCES FOR HIGH BASED MAINLY DRY
  STORMS WEST OF A ROUNDUP TO BILLINGS TO SHERIDAN WYOMING LINE
  SATURDAY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...85 TO 95 DEGREES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
4 follow-up statements
734 
WWUS85 KBYZ 301004
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

MTZ124-125-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY 
WEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125

* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
  AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ123-126-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE 
DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET ...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE
AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET. 
  THE WARNING DOES NOT INCLUDE GALLATIN COUNTY PORTIONS OF FIRE 
  ZONE 123. 

* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
  AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-302200-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
404 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND 
A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL 
OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS 
OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
                                            131...132...133 
                  IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284

* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
  PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
  DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
  THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY ALONG WITH A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT
  TO MAKE CONDITIONS DANGEROUS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

* COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
  SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST.

* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO
  THE NORTHWEST ONCE THE FRONT GOES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORM WITH LITTLE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TO MID 90S WHICH WILL BE AROUND RECORD
  LEVELS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
045 
WWUS85 KBYZ 301054 CCA
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

MTZ124-125-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY 
WEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125

* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
  AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ123-126-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.COR.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.COR.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.110930T1800Z-111001T0300Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE 
DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET ...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND A CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE
AND BELOW 6 THOUSAND FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6000 FEET.

* IMPACTS...HOT AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY
  AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
  WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 80S TODAY AND NEAR 90 SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-302245-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT AND 
A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL 
OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS 
OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
                                            131...132...133 
                  IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284

* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
  PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
  DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
  THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY ALONG WITH A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT
  TO MAKE CONDITIONS DANGEROUS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

* COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
  SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST.

* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO
  THE NORTHWEST ONCE THE FRONT GOES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORM WITH LITTLE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 80S TO MID 90S WHICH WILL BE AROUND RECORD
  LEVELS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
460 
WWUS85 KBYZ 302108
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

MTZ124-125-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR 
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125

* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
  SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WEST
  TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
  EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
  LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ123-126-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND BELOW 6 
THOUSAND FEET...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR 
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126

* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE REMAIN OVER THE AREA
  THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH
  GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-010915-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR 
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PARTS OF 
NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
                                            131...132...133
                  IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284

* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
  PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
  DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
  THUNDERSTORM LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
150 
WWUS85 KBYZ 010305
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

MTZ124-125-011515-
/O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-STILLWATER COUNTY-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR SATURDAY
FROM 10 AM TO MIDNIGHT REMAINS IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...124...125

* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
  SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WEST
  TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
  EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
  LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ123-126-011515-
/O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111001T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-
BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MONTANA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR SATURDAY
FROM 10 AM TO MIDNIGHT REMAINS IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...123...126

* IMPACTS...HOT AND VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE REMAIN OVER THE AREA
  THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH
  GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE
  CONDITIONS BOTH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY. ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MTZ127>133-WYZ274-284-011515-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0009.111001T1600Z-111002T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIG HORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIG HORN NATIONAL FOREST-
905 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT
TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...ALL OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA...
PARTS OF NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL
WYOMING...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN MONTANA...FIRE ZONES...127...128...129...130
                                            131...132...133
                  IN WYOMING...FIRE ZONES...274...284

* IMPACTS...RECORD SETTING HEAT WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE 8 TO 14
  PERCENT RANGE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO CREATE
  DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF A
  THUNDERSTORM LATE SATURDAY.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 29, 9:30 AM MDT, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 9:30 AM MDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
930 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR TDY AND FRI...

MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AND WINDS TODAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA TODAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR
SEASONAL LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. BUMPED UP TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES OVER WESTERN ZONES WHERE INFLUENCE OF BUILDING UPPER RIDGE
WILL BE GREATEST. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE CANADIAN HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST AND
THERMAL LOW TO THE WEST...UNDER THE DEVELOPING RIDGE...INCREASES
THROUGH THE DAY. COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS IN THE 20S. A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY OTHERWISE SUNNY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE TODAY.

STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE STATE FOR THE
WEEKEND...BRINGING SUMMER LIKE TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
FIRE DANGERS. WILL BE CONTEMPLATING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
SATURDAY WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. CHAMBERS

.LONG TERM...VALID FOR SAT...SUN...MON...TUE...WED...

DID NOT MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES TO THE CURRENT EXTENDED PACKAGE AS
MODELS OVERALL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING OVER
THE DAKOTAS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST
DAY IN THE EXTENDED AS 850MB TEMPERATURES SOAR TO AROUND 27C
WHICH WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S FOR MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE PLAINS. HOWEVER...SOME CLOUDS
MAY BE AROUND WHICH COULD HINDER HIGH TEMPERATURES A BIT GIVEN
MUCH LOWER SUN ANGLE. IN ANY CASE...STILL LOOKING AT POSSIBLE
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.

A LARGE TROUGH AND UPPER LOW APPROACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO CONTINUE OVER OUR FORECAST
AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
OVER THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS.
MODELS BRING SEVERAL WAVES OF ENERGY ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR THE RIDGE TO GET FLATTENED AND
RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS
TAKE THE ABOVE MENTIONED PACIFIC COAST LOW AND CUT IT OFF THE
MAIN FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AREA BY LATE IN THE PERIOD
LEAVING A SPLIT FLOW ALOFT ACROSS OUR AREA. HAVE INTRODUCED CLIMO
POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH ADJUSTMENTS LIKELY AS
MODELS FINE TUNE THIS LOW. HOOLEY

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES FROM EASTERN MT INTO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS. THE WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS TODAY. SCHULTZ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    TDY FRI     SAT     SUN     MON     TUE     WED
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 070 047/085 056/092 054/081 050/077 050/075 050/077
    0/U 00/U    01/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    11/B
LVM 073 043/087 051/091 048/078 042/075 043/072 043/076
    0/U 00/N    01/N    12/T    21/B    21/B    12/W
HDN 071 044/087 053/095 051/084 048/080 048/078 047/080
    0/U 00/U    01/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    11/B
MLS 067 043/082 052/093 053/080 048/077 048/076 047/078
    0/U 00/U    00/U    11/B    11/B    21/B    11/B
4BQ 066 041/082 048/093 050/084 051/077 050/077 046/078
    0/U 00/U    00/U    01/U    11/B    21/B    11/B
BHK 062 038/075 046/089 050/082 047/073 047/076 047/075
    0/U 00/U    00/U    11/U    11/B    21/B    11/B
SHR 068 040/085 049/091 048/083 045/077 044/076 044/078
    0/U 00/U    00/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    11/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 29, 4:20 AM MDT, 10 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
420 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

MTZ028>042-056>058-063>068-WYZ098-099-301030-
SOUTHERN WHEATLAND-MUSSELSHELL-TREASURE-NORTHERN ROSEBUD-CUSTER-
FALLON-NORTHERN STILLWATER-YELLOWSTONE-POWDER RIVER-CARTER-
SOUTHERN BIG HORN-EASTERN CARBON-NORTHERN PARK-
NORTHERN SWEET GRASS-GOLDEN VALLEY-RED LODGE FOOTHILLS-
NORTHERN BIG HORN-SOUTHERN ROSEBUD-JUDITH GAP-PARADISE VALLEY-
LIVINGSTON AREA-BEARTOOTH FOOTHILLS-ABSAROKA/BEARTOOTH MOUNTAINS-
CRAZY MOUNTAINS-NORTHEAST BIG HORN MOUNTAINS-SHERIDAN FOOTHILLS-
420 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTH
CENTRAL WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER TODAY AND
TONIGHT IS LOW

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ANOTHER PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY AND
PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY A COMBINATION OF RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY IN THE TEENS ALONG WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON
WINDS MAY COMBINE TO CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE
WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY POSSIBLE. PEOPLE ENGAGED IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE ENGAGING IN OFF ROAD TRAVEL...WILL
NEED TO USE CAUTION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Billings, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 3:05 PM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZBig Horn, Carbon, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Gallatin and 11 more14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Montana, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.