Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2011
Winter Weather Advisory 8, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 5, 2011, 4:07 AM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 5, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 5, 2011, 4:07 AM EST (09:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 6, 2011, 3:00 AM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1783 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 253 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 289 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
292 WWUS41 KBUF 050907 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 407 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-051715- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T1800Z-110206T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 407 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW YORK. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-051715- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T1800Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 407 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ005>008-051715- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T2100Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN... LOWVILLE 407 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW....WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ TJP
5 follow-up statements
314 WWUS41 KBUF 051510 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1010 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T1800Z-110206T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1010 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW YORK. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET THIS AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T1800Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 1010 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET THIS AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ005>008-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T2100Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN... LOWVILLE 1010 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$
912 WWUS41 KBUF 052037 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 337 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-060445- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 337 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW YORK. * TIMING...THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. GLAZE OF ICE ON UNTREATED SURFACES MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN TIER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-060445- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 337 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES. * TIMING...THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED SURFACES MAINLY SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ005>008-060445- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.110205T2100Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN... LOWVILLE 337 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. * TIMING...TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. A GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE AS WELL ON UNTREATED SURFACES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$
581 WWUS41 KBUF 060140 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 840 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 NYZ007-008-060945- /O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.110206T0140Z-110206T1100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 840 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION INCLUDING JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING. * HAZARDS...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-060700- /O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0700Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 840 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST SUNDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW YORK. * TIMING...THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-060900- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 840 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES. * TIMING...THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ005-006-060945- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 840 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. * TIMING...TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ RSH
818 WWUS41 KBUF 060553 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1253 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-060700- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0700Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1253 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. UNTREATED ROADWAYS MAY CONTINUE TO BE SLICK OVERNIGHT...SO MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION. $$ NYZ007-008-061100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1253 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION INCLUDING JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM THIS MORNING. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-060900- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 1253 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES. * TIMING...ENDING BY DAYBREAK. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ005-006-061100- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 1253 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. * TIMING...TONIGHT. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ APFFEL
139 WWUS41 KBUF 060800 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 300 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 NYZ007-008-060900- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 300 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF THROUGH DAYBREAK...WITH ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH. $$ NYZ005-006-060900- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 300 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. $$ NYZ003-004-013-014-060900- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110206T0900Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 300 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. $$ APFFEL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 5, 3:59 AM EST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 3:59 AM EST, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND REACH WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY THIS
EVENING. THIS WILL CAUSE STEADY SNOW TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS OUR AREA
LATER THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE
FOR AWHILE TONIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE LOW
SLIDES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING THE LOW
WILL BRING IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SNOW ON MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE IN STORE FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.
THE UPPER LOW THAT WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS LOOKS STRONGER AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN INTACT THROUGH AT
LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE ATTENDANT SURFACE
LOW IS FORECAST TO BE STRONGER AND TRACK FARTHER TO THE WEST THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW
ACROSS OUR ENTIRE CWA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
THEREFORE...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TIMES
INDICATED BELOW.
THE FORECAST DETAILS...
THE WELL DEFINED UPPER LOW THAT IS CENTERED ALONG THE
MISSOURI/ARKANSAS BORDER EARLY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO LIFT TO
THE NORTHEAST AND REACH EASTERN OHIO/WESTERN PA BY 00Z.
TONIGHT...THE LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW YORK AND PA DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF THE NIGHT...THEN LIFT OUT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS PA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BEFORE SETTLING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT. THIS
FORECAST TRACK OF THE LOW WILL PLACE OUR CWA WITHIN THE DEFORMATION
ZONE WHERE THE STEADIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO FALL.
STRONG LOW LEVEL THERMAL AND MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL SET UP ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE A 150 KNOT
UPPER LEVEL JET HEADS NORTHEAST ACROSS PA...PLACING MOST OF OUR CWA
IN THE FAVORABLE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT WHERE LIFT IS MAXIMIZED.
EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO BEGIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER DURING THE MID
MORNING...THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOOKS LIKE THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS
TODAY WILL BE OVER WESTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN TIER. THE LATEST
TEMPERATURES PROFILES SUGGEST THAT SOME SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW
CLOSE TO THE PA LINE...BUT WITH THE LAYER OF WARMER ALOFT EXPECTED
TO STAY MAINLY TO OUR EAST...OUR CWA SHOULD SEE MAINLY SNOW FROM
THIS SYSTEM. OF COURSE...THIS COULD CHANGE IF THE MAIN CENTER OF THE
LOW TRACKS FARTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED.
AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN NEW YORK DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF TONIGHT...THE STEADIEST SNOW WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE FINGER
LAKES AND THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS
THIS AREA WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY APPROACHING WARNING CRITERIA
ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. BUT...BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAIN
REGARDING THE PATH OF THE LOW...WILL JUST INDICATE ADVISORY
ACCUMULATIONS FOR NOW.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE NIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS OUT INTO NEW NEW ENGLAND. BEHIND THE
LOW...IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL GET COLD ENOUGH
TO GENERATE ANY RESPONSE FROM LAKE ONTARIO.
DECENT WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TODAY TO WARM TO OR ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 20S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE NORTHWARD FROM THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...LARGELY KEEPING THINGS DRY. THERE IS ONE LINGERING
CONCERN...WITH SREF/GFS/NAM12 ALL SHOWING LINGERING LIGHT QPF. THIS
LARGELY APPEARS SPURIOUS...AS THE HIGHER RES MODELS OFTEN OVERDO
UPSLOPE EFFECTS. THIS SAID...EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO 850 MB TEMPS WILL
DROP TO -9 C...WITH A WESTERLY FLOW IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT. WHILE
THIS NORMALLY WOULD NOT BE COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT...WILL CARRY
CHANCE POPS GIVEN THE LONG FETCH AND ALREADY MOIST ENVIRONMENT EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE SOME UPSLOPE ON THE TUG HILL MAY HELP AS
WELL. OTHERWISE...INVERSION SHOULD LARGELY TRAP MOISTURE AND HOLD IN
CLOUD COVER...RESULTING IN A MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY. STILL...WITH MODEST
TEMPS ALOFT...EXPECT HIGHS TO TOP OUT NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING.
A BROAD UPPER TROF APPROACHES ON SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A WEAK SURFACE
REFLECTION APPROACHES FROM MICHIGAN. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TO THE NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WILL SHARPEN. INITIALLY...SOURCE
OF LIFT IS RATHER VAGUE...WITH BEST FOCUS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STILL TO THE NORTH. SEE SOME PRECIPITATION WITH THE SURFACE
LOW...WHICH WILL ENTER WESTERN NEW YORK ON MONDAY MORNING. MODELS
GENERALLY REFLECT THIS...THOUGH LEAN A BIT TOWARD THE SLOWER
EUROPEAN/NAM OVER THE GGEM/GFS WHICH HAVE A SLIGHTLY EARLIER TIMING.
EXPECT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD BUT GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY
AS THIS LOW CROSSES LAKE ONTARIO. CONSENSUS QPFS IN THE .10 TO .20
RANGE FOR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
PERHAPS THE TRICKIER QUESTION FOR MONDAY IS PRECIPITATION TYPE. TRACK
OF THE LOW IS UNFAVORABLE FOR SNOW. WHILE A MORE DEVELOPED LOW WOULD
DRAG IN WARM AIR ALOFT...THE DIFFUSE LOW STILL SUGGESTS MORE OF A
RAIN VS. SNOW QUESTION. GENERALLY WEAK UPPER DYNAMIC SUGGESTS LOW
WILL TREND TOWARD CLIMO...AND TRACK ACROSS THE LAKES. WITH THIS
TRACK...EXPECT SNOW TO MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES MONDAY. BASED ON THIS
TRACK...CONTINUE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR HIGHS ON
MONDAY...WITH FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MID TO UPPER 30S LIKELY. THROUGH
THIS POINT...ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE OF THE NUISANCE VARIETY.
ON MONDAY NIGHT...A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO DROP
SOUTHWARD FROM THE UPPER LAKES...CATCHING UP TO THE WEAK SURFACE
LOW. THIS WILL ENERGIZE THE LOW AS IT EXITS EAST...BUT PERHAPS MORE
IMPORTANTLY WILL PUSH A SHARP COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS FOCUS WILL LIKELY BRING A ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS TO MOST
AS IT USHERS IN MUCH COOLER AIR. A MIX WITH RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT THE
ONSET...THOUGH COLDER AIR MOVING IN SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE THINGS
OVER TO SNOW WITH TIME. THE 00Z EUROPEAN IS BY FAR MOST AGGRESSIVE
WITH THIS...BUT FEEL IT IS OVERDOING LAKE MOISTURE A BIT. THIS
SAID...WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION
WITH THIS BOUNDARY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE AS LAKE
EFFECT DEVELOPS OFF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT MORE ON THIS LATER.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
850 MB TEMPS WILL PLUNGE TO -14C TO -18C BY TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
TO ROUGHLY -20C DURING THE COURSE OF TUESDAY. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
DECENT LAKE EFFECT SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO ON TUESDAY. THESE LAKE
SNOWS WILL THEN LIFT NORTH INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY AND WEAKEN TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE TO LOW LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING TO OUR
SOUTH...AND CONSEQUENT DRYING/BACKING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.
MEANWHILE...THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE MUCH MORE
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THAT WILL TEND TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH WITH
TIME.
GIVEN THE MUCH COLDER AIRMASS THAT WILL BE WORKING INTO OUR
AREA...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY RETURN TO WELL BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS...THEN WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MIDWEEK. MORE
SPECIFICALLY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE TEENS ON
TUESDAY...WITH BLUSTERY WINDS RESULTING IN SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. TUESDAY NIGHT ACTUALLY HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BE QUITE COLD DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER/WIND THAT
WILL BE PRESENT... WITH ONLY SLIGHT MODERATION FROM TUESDAY'S HIGHS
THEN EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY.
ALL THE ABOVE SAID...THE MORE INTERESTING PORTION OF THIS PERIOD COULD
POTENTIALLY BE ITS LATTER HALF...WHEN MOST OF THE MAJOR GUIDANCE
PACKAGES SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF YET ANOTHER COASTAL LOW...THOUGH
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A RATHER LARGE MODEL SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO
ITS POTENTIAL STRENGTH AND TRACK. 00Z RUNS OF THE GGEM/EUROPEAN/GFS
ARE NOT PHASING AS THEY WERE LAST NIGHT...RESULTING IN A MUCH WEAKER
LOW WITH A MORE EASTERLY TRACK. AT THIS RANGE...EXPECT MODELS TO
CONTINUE TO BOUNCE BETWEEN SOLUTIONS. FROM A CLIMATOLOGY
STANDPOINT...IF SHROTWAVES DO PHASE AND A LOW DOES DEVELOP...IT
WOULD MOST LIKELY TRACK SOMEWHERE NEAR CAPE COD...WITH ITS IMPACT
MORE LIKELY TO BE EAST OF OUR CWA. NO CHANGES MADE BASED ON 00Z
RUNS...WITH CHANCE POPS STILL IN ORDER FOR THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION WILL SEE A VEIL OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVING
FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THEN LOWERING TO A MID DECK AROUND AFTER
10Z...BUT STILL VFR. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON THEN A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO CENTRAL PA BY 00Z SUNDAY WILL BRING
QUICKLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TO LIFR IN MODERATE SNOW AND LOW
CEILINGS 22Z-23Z IN THE WEST AND AFTER 00Z FOR KART. LIFR WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING FOR MOST LOCALES...EVEN INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
.OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.
&&
.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD NEW YORK STATE TODAY...THEN
SETTLE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT. A WEAKENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW WILL ALLOW WIND AND WAVES TO
SUBSIDE TODAY. LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK
UP...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. MORE SIGNIFICANT WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
LOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AFTER ANOTHER LOW CROSSES THE LOWER
LAKES.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NYZ005>008.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NYZ003-004-013-014.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL/JJR
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...APFFEL/TJPHazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 4:59 AM EST, 23 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 459 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-051000- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 459 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BITTERLY COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY...DROPPING WIND CHILLS WELL BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-051000- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 459 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. GALES ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 3:46 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 23 hr |
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2011Every winter weather advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.