Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2011

Winter Weather Advisory 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 2, 201116 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 2, 2011, 4:12 AM EST for 16 counties in New York. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 2, 2011, 4:12 AM EST (09:12 UTC)
Expired
Feb 3, 2011, 2:51 AM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-02-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-02-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

341 
WWUS41 KBUF 020912
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
412 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.110202T0912Z-110202T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
412 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

* HAZARDS...OCCASIONAL SNOW...MIXING WITH SLEET AT TIMES THIS
  MORNING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES...GREATEST
  NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING...CAUSING SOME BLOWING
  AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. CONDITIONS
  WILL IMPROVE LATER THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH ROADS WILL REMAIN
  SLIPPERY WITH PERIODS OF LIGHTER SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED.
SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF
THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK
EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND
WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&



$$

NYZ012-085-021715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.110202T0912Z-110202T2300Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
412 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

* HAZARDS...MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS
  MORNING...CHANGING TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES. ICE
  ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...BECOMING WEST
  THIS AFTERNOON. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED.
SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF
THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK
EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND
WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&



$$

NYZ019>021-021715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.110202T0912Z-110202T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
412 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

* HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATING AROUND AN
  INCH. ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND
  GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  SNOW EXPECTED. 

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. POWER
  OUTAGES POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&



$$

NYZ006>008-021715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
412 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT. 

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 5 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE. 

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH CAUSING
  EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING.
  CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH ROADS WILL
  REMAIN SLIPPERY WITH PERIODS OF SOMEWHAT LIGHTER SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF
YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
919 
WWUS41 KBUF 021422
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
922 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ006>008-022300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
922 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE AND 2 TO 4
  ADDITIONAL INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-022300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110202T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
922 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CHANGE BACK TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW...AND LESS THAN A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING WEST 15
  TO 30 MPH SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-085-022300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110202T2300Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
922 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO
  INCREASE MARKEDLY THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
  SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW...AND LESS THAN A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. ISOLATED 
  POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019>021-022300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110202T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
922 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO
  INCREASE MARKEDLY THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
  SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW...AND LESS THAN A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

JJR
922 
WWUS41 KBUF 021729
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1229 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-030300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1229 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON FROM BUFFALO AND BATAVIA SOUTHWARD...RESULTING
  IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER FURTHER
  NORTH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-030300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1229 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH
  WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LESS THAN A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OF ICE ACROSS AREAS EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY.

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-030315-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1229 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH 
  WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE AND 2 TO 4 
  ADDITIONAL INCHES OF SNOW. 

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$
894 
WWUS41 KBUF 022006
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ004-005-030500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
306 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES.

* WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
306 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...WESTERN SOUTHERN
  TIER...GENESEE VALLEY...AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FINGER
  LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 ADDITIONAL INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVIA...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH
  BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH
  BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. BLOWING
  SNOW FURTHER REDUCING VISIBILITIES SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-030500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
306 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

JJR
830 
WWUS41 KBUF 030244
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ007-008-030345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
944 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW HAS DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT.

$$

NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-030345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
944 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR LESS...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ004>006-030900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
944 PM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...LIGHT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO MORE LOCALIZED
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY DRIVING AND LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/SFM
719 
WWUS41 KBUF 030751
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
251 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011


NYZ004>006-030900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110203T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
251 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS MORNING.
THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS. 


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 2, 3:24 AM EST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 3:24 AM EST, 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT BROUGHT A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT WILL CROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TODAY...THEN MERGE A SECOND LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT. THIS PATH OF THE STORM WILL RESULT IN LESSER
SNOWFALL TOTALS TODAY...BUT THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL STILL MAKE
FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND BRING A RETURN TO DRIER AND QUIETER
WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SIGNIFICANT UPDATES NEEDED FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

THE 08Z OBSERVATIONS AND THE ONE HOUR SNOW DEPTH ALGORITHM SHOW THAT
MIXED PCPN HAS ALREADY REACHED THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...IMPLYING THAT
THE WARMER AIR ALOFT HAS SURGED EVEN FARTHER TO THE NORTH THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER
CENTRAL INDIANA. THE 3 HOUR PRESSURE CHANGE PLOT SUGGESTS THAT THE
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND REACH WESTERN NEW
YORK BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS PATH OF THE LOW WILL KEEP
THE DEFORMATION ZONE AND STEADIER SNOW MAINLY TO OUR NORTHWEST.
AT THE SAME TIME...THE WELL DEFINED DRY SLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL BE WORKING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. BASED
ON THESE TRENDS...THE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...WE HAVE DECIDED TO DOWNGRADE THE
WINTER STORM WARNING TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALL AREAS
SOUTH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. STILL LOOKS LIKE THE WARMER AIR ALOFT
WILL HAVE A HARDER TIME REACHING THE NORTH COUNTRY WHICH WILL STAY
ON THE COLDER SIDE OF THE MAIN STORM CENTER. THEREFORE...WILL LEAVE
UP THE WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES...BUT WILL LOWER TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

AS THE SURFACE LOW HEADS INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW WILL GENERATE MORE SNOW SHOWERS WITH A COUPLE INCHES
OF NEW SNOW EXPECTED.

BECAUSE THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE TRACKING ACROSS OUR CWA...THE WINDS
WILL BE SHIFTING DIRECTION AND WILL NOT BE AS STRONG. THIS SHOULD
HELP TO LESSEN THE IMPACT FROM BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

TONIGHT...THE SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MERGE WITH THE
SECONDARY LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THIS
WILL ALLOW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST.

TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THIS MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES
TO MOVE TOWARD WESTERN NEW YORK. AREA TEMPERATURES WILL THEN HOLD
STEADY OR FALL SLOWLY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION
SETTING UP BEHIND THE LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL SUPPORT EXPANSIVE SFC HIGH PRESSURE THAT
WILL EXTEND FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST.
THE SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED FROM THE CONFLUENT FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH
A DEEPENING DRY AIRMASS TO ALLOW FOR THE RETURN OF SUNSHINE TO THE
REGION BY MIDDAY THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH SOME WEAK LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS COULD BE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES.

THIS WILL MAINLY BE THE CASE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE AN OPEN
LAKE AND A LONGER 310 FETCH WILL HELP LAKE SNOW SHOWERS ACCUMULATE
AN INCH OR LESS FROM ROCHESTER TO NEAR SYRACUSE. H85 TEMPS OF -12C
WILL BARELY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE INDUCED CONVECTION...SO THE
ACTIVITY WILL CERTAINLY NOT BE VERY IMPRESSIVE. AS THE SFC HIGH
BUILDS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY
THURSDAY...THE WINDS WILL BACK TO THE WEST AND LIFT ANY LIGHT LAKE
SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES NORTH ACROSS THE TUG TO THE NORTH COUNTRY.

TEMPS THURSDAY WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO
BASICALLY REACH THE LOW TO MID 20S. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER MUCH
OF LEWIS COUNTY WHERE TEMPS SHOULD NOT CLIMB OUT OF THE TEENS.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES THURSDAY NIGHT...SO FAIR WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER OUR REGION.

ON FRIDAY...A CLOSED LOW OVER WEST TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO OPEN UP AND
LIFT OUT ACROSS ARKANSAS. A TRANSITORY DOWNSTREAM RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES IN THE PROCESS...
AND THIS SHOULD SUPPLY OUR REGION WITH ONE OF THE SUNNIER DAYS IN
RECENT MEMORY.

THE RELATIVELY NICE WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED THOUGH AS THE POTENT
SHORTWAVE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL QUICKLY LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL SPAWN A
COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY...WITH RICH MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH TOWARDS OUR
REGION. LIGHT SNOW COULD LIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER BY
DAYBREAK...BUT THE REGION IN GENERAL SHOULD STAY PCPN FREE.

FOR SATURDAY...THE SHORTWAVE WILL LIFT ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA WHILE THE
SFC REFLECTION WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST. WHILE THE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL DYNAMICS IN THIS SCENARIO WILL BE WELL TO OUR
EAST...A 150 KT H25 JET RACING ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL
PLACE OUR REGION UNDER AN AREA OF IMPRESSIVE JET INDUCED LIFT (LEFT
FRONT EXIT REGION). HAVE THUS RAISED POPS ACROSS THE REGION TO
LIKELY FOR ALL AREAS...WITH HIGH LIKELY EAST OF A ROC TO DSV LINE.

THE SHORTWAVE WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY SATURDAY NIGHT...SO THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW FALL WILL TAPER OFF TO SCT SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THIS
PERIOD...BUT MERCURY READINGS WILL LIKELY TAKE ANOTHER PLUNGE BY MID
WEEK IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT. SOME DETAILS...

AS THE EAST COAST SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TO THE EAST SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...A SECOND SHORTWAVE WILL SWEEP ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THIS
FEATURE COULD GENERATE SOME SCT -SHSN ACROSS OUR REGION...WITH SOME
WEAK (H85 TEMPS ARND -8C) LAKE ENHANCEMENT POSSIBLE EAST OF LK
ONTARIO.

A QUICK BREAK WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AS A DEVELOPING
COMPLEX STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.

MODELS VARY ON THE TIMING OF THIS NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM...BUT A
MODEL CONSENSUS BRINGS SNOW ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SNOW HAS SPREAD RAPIDLY ACROSS WESTERN NY AS OF 06Z WITH THE
LEADING EDGE OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. IT WILL REACH KART BY 08Z. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES FOR A FEW HOURS...BUT THERE IS A SHARP
DRY SLOT WHICH WILL RACE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND
REDUCE THE RATE OF PRECIPITATION....BY AROUND 10Z AT BUF/IAG/JHW
AND 11-12Z AT ROC. WILL CARRY 1/4SM +SN UNTIL THEN. IN
ADDITION...THE SNOW HAS CHANGED TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER AND THIS CHANGEOVER MAY BRIEFLY REACH KBUF
AROUND 09-10Z.

LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL PREVAIL TODAY AFTER THE BURST
OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION END...WITH IFR CIGS AND MVFR VSBYS. ANOTHER
BATCH OF WRAPAROUND SNOW MAY LOWER CONDITIONS FOR AWHILE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY...IMPROVING TO VFR.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. SATURDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL HEAD NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TODAY...THEN MERGE WITH A SECONDARY LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT. THIS PATH OF THE LOW WILL RESULT IN
WEAKER WINDS THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. THEREFORE...ALL THE GALES HAVE
BEEN DROPPED. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NEARSHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042-
         043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
         LOZ044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH/THOMAS
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...TJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 4:05 AM EST, 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ006>008-030915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
405 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-030915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
405 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-030915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
405 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-030915-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
405 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 1, 10:25 PM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1025 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-020600-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1025 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...SNOW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LATE THIS EVENING...

MODERATE SNOW WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD THE NIAGARA FRONTIER FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A HALF INCH TO AN INCH PER HOUR BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT. SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN AT TIMES WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND
BATAVIA. ROADS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO ARRIVE DURING THE 1 AM TO 7
AM TIME FRAME WHEN SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR. THIS WILL RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY.
SOME SLEET MAY OCCASIONALLY MIX IN AT TIMES SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND
BATAVIA...WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE CLOSER TO CATTARAUGUS
CREEK.

NYZ019>021-020600-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1025 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING...

A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDNIGHT HOUR. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET CLOSE TO THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE...AND MORE
SNOW AND SLEET FARTHER NORTH. SNOWFALL RATES MAY APPROACH 1 INCH
PER HOUR IN LOCATIONS WHERE PRECIPITATION IS FALLING AS MOSTLY
SNOW. ICING AMOUNTS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH THROUGH MIDNIGHT
ARE POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE STATE LINE.

ROADS WILL BE VERY SLIPPERY AND TREACHEROUS DUE TO THE COMBINATION
OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WINTER
DRIVING CONDITIONS.

NYZ003>005-013-014-020600-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1025 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...SNOW WILL RAPIDLY OVERSPREAD THE GREATER ROCHESTER AREA...

SNOW WILL QUICKLY SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND REACH
THE ROCHESTER AREA BY AROUND 11 PM. SNOWFALL RATES WILL INCREASE
TO A HALF INCH TO AN INCH PER HOUR BY MIDNIGHT...WITH ROAD
CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO ARRIVE DURING THE 2 AM TO
8 AM TIME FRAME WHEN SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR. THIS WILL RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. SOME
SLEET MAY OCCASIONALLY MIX IN AT TIMES SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY.

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Feb 2, 1:31 AM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
131 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-020845-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
131 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...SNOW TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...
MODERATE SNOW WAS FALLING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AT 130 AM.
THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...UNTIL ABOUT 4 AM WHEN IT
WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. RATES WILL BE ABOUT AN
INCH PER HOUR. IN ADDITION...SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
BEGIN TO MIX WITH THE SNOW SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVIA...CUTTING
DOWN THE ACCUMULATIONS. TOTALS BY 4 AM SHOULD BE IN THE 3 TO 5
INCH RANGE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CAUSE
EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING...SO MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION.

NYZ019>021-020845-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
131 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 4 AM. UP TO
A QUARTER INCH OF ICE CAN ACCUMULATE ALONG WITH UP TO AN INCH OF
SLEET. THE ICE IS MORE LIKELY CLOSER TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE. UNTREATED
ROADS WILL BE VERY SLICK SO MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION.

NYZ003>005-013-014-020845-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
131 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

MODERATE SNOW WAS FALLING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AT 130 AM.
THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH AT LEAST 5 AM.
RATES WILL BE ABOUT AN INCH PER HOUR. IN ADDITION...SOME SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH THE SNOW FROM ABOUT AVON
TO CANANDAIGUA AND SOUTH...CUTTING DOWN THE ACCUMULATIONS. TOTALS
BY 4 AM SHOULD BE IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING...SO
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

NYZ006>008-020845-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
131 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

MODERATE SNOW WAS FALLING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AT 130 AM.
THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH AT LEAST 5 AM.
RATES WILL BE ABOUT AN INCH PER HOUR. TOTALS BY 4 AM SHOULD BE IN
THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
CAUSE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING...SO MOTORISTS SHOULD
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.
Special weather statement, Feb 2, 3:34 AM EST, 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-021030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
334 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...JUST SPOTTY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...
AT 330 AM...SNOW HAS CHANGED TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM
BUFFALO SOUTHWARD. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS
A LARGE DRY SLOT EAST OF THE STORM LIFTS INTO THE REGION. SNOWFALL
SO FAR HAS RANGED FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES BUT LITTLE ADDITIONAL IS
EXPECTED THROUGH 6 AM...PERHAPS AN INCH NORTH OF BUFFALO.
UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE VERY SLIPPERY THOUGH SO EARLY MORNING
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

NYZ019>021-021030-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
334 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK...
SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6 AM. LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED. UNTREATED ROADS WILL
BE VERY SLIPPERY SO EARLY MORNING COMMUTERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION.

NYZ003>005-013-014-021030-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
334 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...SNOW WILL DIMINISH BEFORE DAYBREAK...
STEADY SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BETWEEN 4 AND 6 AM ACROSS THE
REGION. IT WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY AS WELL BUT LITTLE ICING IS EXPECTED.
SNOWFALL SO FAR HAS RANGED FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES AND ANOTHER 1 TO 3
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 6 AM.

NYZ006>008-021030-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
334 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK...
STEADY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK. RATES WILL BE CLOSE
TO AN INCH PER HOUR. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE VERY SLICK.

SFM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 3:34 AM ESTGale WarningBUF9 hr
Feb 2, 12:44 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF9 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2011Every winter weather advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.