Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

085 
WWUS41 KBUF 110358
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1058 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

NYZ010-012-019>021-085-111200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T1700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1058 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHWESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE BUFFALO 
  METRO AREA AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. 

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...EXPECT ALL LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA TO SEE 
  SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION...HINDERING TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION. 
  STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL TUESDAY NIGHT...LIKELY HINDERING THE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TMA

662 
WWUS41 KBUF 110836
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
336 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

NYZ001>004-011-013-014-111645-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
336 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT...LIKELY HINDERING
  THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. LIGHT SNOW WILL LINGER ALL DAY
  WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ010-012-019>021-085-111645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T2200Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
336 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL THIS EVENING...BUT LIGHT SNOW
  WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY
  MORNING'S COMMUTE WILL BE IMPACTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM

606 
WWUS41 KBUF 111453
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-112300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
953 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT...LIKELY 
  HINDERING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. LIGHT SNOW WILL 
  LINGER ALL DAY WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM/ZAFF

345 
WWUS41 KBUF 111843
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
143 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

NYZ005-006-120245-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T2200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
143 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT...LIKELY 
  HINDERING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. LIGHT SNOW WILL 
  LINGER ALL DAY WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-120245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.110111T2100Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
143 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT...LIKELY 
  HINDERING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. LIGHT SNOW WILL 
  LINGER ALL DAY WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$


ZAFF

331 
WWUS41 KBUF 120248
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
948 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-121100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
948 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT...LIKELY 
  HINDERING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. LIGHT SNOW WILL 
  LINGER ALL DAY WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

087 
WWUS41 KBUF 120815
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
315 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-121615-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
315 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY WITH THE GREATEST
  AMOUNTS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE CHAUTAUQUA
  RIDGE. STORM TOTALS 4 TO 6 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH TODAY
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

863 
WWUS41 KBUF 121202
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
702 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

NYZ007-008-122015-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
702 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES TODAY WITH THE GREATEST
  AMOUNTS ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM TOTALS 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH TODAY 
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
702 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY WITH THE GREATEST
  AMOUNTS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE CHAUTAUQUA
  RIDGE. STORM TOTALS 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH TODAY 
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

995 
WWUS41 KBUF 121451
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
951 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES TODAY WITH THE
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE
  CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. STORM TOTALS 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
951 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES TODAY WITH THE 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM TOTALS 4 TO 7 
  INCHES. 

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

ZAFF

440 
WWUS41 KBUF 121729
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

NYZ003>006-014-130130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.110112T1729Z-110113T1100Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO...CANANDAIGUA
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACED BY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY...IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...EXPECT STEADIEST SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING...GRADUALLY
  TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODERATE SNOW WILL MAKE ROADS
  SLIPPERY...AND LOWER VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-130130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.110112T1729Z-110113T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACED BY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY...IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW WILL MAKE ROADS SLIPPERY...AND LOWER
  VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-085-130130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.110112T1729Z-110113T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACED LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...
IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
  COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA
  RIDGE...WITH LESS SNOW IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS FROM JAMESTOWN TO
  SALAMANCA.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES IN MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW WILL MAKE ROADS SLIPPERY...AND LOWER
  VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ021-121830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF AN INCH OR TWO.

$$

NYZ010>013-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...FOR
  A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1229 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH LATE
  AFTERNOON...FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

APFFEL

283 
WWUS41 KBUF 122152
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
452 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

NYZ001-002-019-020-085-122300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110113T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
452 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

WHILE ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE AN
ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...THE STEADY SNOWS THAT COULD PRODUCE MORE
OF AN IMPACT HAVE GREATLY DIMINISHED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY. 

$$

NYZ007-008-010>013-122300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110112T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO
452 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

WHILE ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE AN
ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...THE STEADY SNOWS THAT COULD PRODUCE MORE
OF AN IMPACT HAVE GREATLY DIMINISHED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY. 

$$

NYZ003>006-014-130600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110113T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO...CANANDAIGUA
452 PM EST WED JAN 12 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...EXPECT STEADIEST SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... 
  GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODERATE SNOW WILL MAKE 
  ROADS SLIPPERY...AND LOWER VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

RSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
319 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ONTARIO WILL KEEP FAIR WEATHER ACROSS
THE BULK OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT NUISANCE SNOW SHOWERS FROM ROCHESTER TO OSWEGO. A DISORGANIZED
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEAST TUESDAY
BEFORE TRANSFERRING ITS ENERGY TO A DEEPENING STORM ALONG THE EAST
COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING
SNOW FOR OUR REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LAKE
ENHANCEMENT ADDING TO THE SNOWFALL SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL NOSE TO THE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL
PROVIDE FAIR WEATHER TO THE BULK OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE EXCEPTION
WILL BE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE A LIGHT FLOW OFF THE LAKE WILL
KEEP LAKE INDUCED CLOUDS AND NUISANCE FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN
PLACE.

A VERY LOW CAP (SUBSIDENCE INVERSION) OF 3-4K FT SHOULD KEEP THIS
TEA KETTLE TYPE 'SNIZZLE' FROM REALLY ACCUMULATING...YET THERE IS
FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT PCPN WILL BE OCCURRING. WILL THUS USE
SLGT CHC POPS AND GO WITH SCATTERED FLURRIES FROM NIAGARA COUNTY
EASTWARD TO WAYNE.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL OFFER UP ANOTHER COLD NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO
THE TEENS FOR MOST AREAS...WITH SINGLE DIGITIS FOUND FOR MUCH OF THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MINS HAVE BEEN
RAISED FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE SRN TIER...AS THE CURRENT
CIRRUS SHIELD WILL LOWER AND THICKEN TO ALTO-STARTUS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

ON TUESDAY...A SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED STORM SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND APPROACH OUR REGION. AS A 130KT H25
JET SCREAMS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY DURING THE MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON...THE SFC LOW WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A WELL DEFINED FEATURE
WHILE A SECONDARY STORM WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN OFF THE CAROLINAS.
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARDS AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL TRANSLATE
INTO LOWERING AND THICKENING ALTO-STRATUS...PARTICULARLY OVER THE
WESTERN COUNTIES WHERE CIGS COULD DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER
LUNCHTIME.

IN TERMS OF PCPN...DIFFLUENT FLOW AHEAD OF THE OHIO VALLEY STORM
SYSTEM WILL COUPLE WITH SOME JET INDUCED LIFT TO PROVIDE FAIRLY DEEP
ASCENT ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES BY LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW
OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES WILL QUICKLY PICK UP IN INTENSITY AS
THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON PROGRESS. A VERY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
FIELD WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THIS EVENT...AS A DEEP SNOW DENDRITIC
GROWTH ZONE OF 6-8K FT WILL LIE OVER AN EQUALLY DEEP ISOTHERMAL
LAYER OF -5 TO -10C AIR WHERE MAXIMUM ACCRETION AND AGGREGATION CAN
MAXIMIZE SNOW PRODUCTION.

SNOW ACCUMS BY EVENING SHOULD BE RANGE FROM ABOUT A HALF INCH IN THE
GENESEE VALLEY TO 2 INCHES NEAR THE PA BORDER. FOR WHAT ITS WORTH...
HAVE DISREGARDED THE SLOW TIMING OF THE NAM AND HAVE OPTED FOR THE
TIMING OFFERED BY THE GEM AND GFS...WHICH LOOKS MUCH MORE REASONABLE
GIVEN THE DYNAMICS AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE EXITING THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY EVENING WILL TRANSFER
ENERGY TO A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW. THIS COASTAL LOW WILL
STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY...EFFECTIVELY TAKING OVER AS IT PASSES EAST OF CAPE
COD WEDNESDAY. THE INITIAL LOW WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SYNOPTIC
SNOW TO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL TRANSITION INTO MORE
OF A SYNOPTICALLY ENHANCED LAKE EFFECT EVENT WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

MODEL AGREEMENT HAS BEEN CONSISTENT...BOTH RUN TO RUN...AND BETWEEN
VARIOUS MODELS IN THE HANDLING OF THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
STORM TOTAL QPFS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING ARE ALSO IN GOOD
AGREEMENT...THOUGH THE NAM AND MOST SREF MEMBERS ARE NOTABLY SLOWER
AND NOT AS FAR NORTH IN STARTING SNOW THAN THE
GFS/EURO/RGEM/UKMET. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...LIFT AND PRECIPITATION
WILL BE PRIMARILY DRIVEN BY MID-LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AS A
MODESTLY STRONG EASTERLY FLOW AT 850 MB SETS UP. THE NAM IS
TYPICALLY SLOWER IN STARTING THINGS IN WARM AIR ADVECTION
PATTERNS...WITH A GFS CAMP-WEIGHTED COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE TWO
CAMPS TYPICALLY THE BEST FORECAST IN THIS TYPE OF SET UP.

GIVEN LARGE SCALE WARM AIR ADVECTION...AND GOOD MODEL
CONFIDENCE...GO WITH NEAR 100 POPS SOUTH LAKE ONTARIO...DESPITE
MODEST MOS POPS. MODERATELY FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH SHOULD ALLOW FOR
15:1 RATIOS...AND USE THIS AS A BASIS FOR SNOW AMOUNTS. FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT...THIS SHOULD BRING 3 TO 5 INCHES SOUTH OF I-90...2
TO 4 JUST NORTH OF IT...TAPERING OFF TO JUST A DUSTING IN NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF LEWIS/JEFFERSON COUNTIES. CONFIDENCE IS AMPLE TO ISSUE
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS SYNOPTIC PORTION OF THE
EVENT...FOCUSING ON SW PORTIONS OF NEW YORK. SOME ADDITIONAL AREAS
MAY BE ADDED OR EXTENDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND PENDING
DISCUSSION BELOW.

A TRANSITION WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE COASTAL LOW
TAKES OVER. FLOW BELOW 850 MB WILL BACK TO THE NORTH...WEAKENING
WARM AIR ADVECTION AS THE WESTERN LOW DISSIPATES. HOWEVER...AS THIS
HAPPENS...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND 850
MB...INCREASING LAKE INDUCED CAPE...ESPECIALLY OFF LAKE ONTARIO. IN
ADDITION...THERE STILL SHOULD BE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE. ONE FINAL
FAVORABLE FACTOR FOR LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL FROM ROCHESTER EAST TO
FULTON IS THE NOT-TOO-STRONG 20 KT NORTHERLY FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO.
PERHAPS THE BIGGEST LIMITING FACTOR IS THE SHALLOW UNSTABLE
LAYER...WITH THE INVERSION AT AROUND 875 MB...MAKING THE 850 MB -
SURFACE DELTA T MISLEADINGLY SMALL. THE TRANSITION MAKES SNOWFALL
FORECASTS TRICKY FOR WEDNESDAY. GENERALLY SPEAKING...LOOKING AT A 1
TO 3 INCHES WEST OF ROCHESTER...THOUGH WILL HAVE TO WATCH UPSLOPING
ON THE CHAUTAUQUA WHICH MAY ALSO ENHANCE LIFT. LOOKING AT PAST
EVENTS...THIS SET UP IS SIMILAR TO PAST SYNOPTICALLY ENHANCED EVENTS
ON ROCHESTER AND THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...EXCEPT THAT THE 500/850 MB
LOW IN THIS EVENT IS FURTHER WEST THAN THE MEAN FLOW OF THE MAJORITY
OF PAST EVENTS. AN ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AT SOME POINT FOR
THE LAKE ENHANCED PORTION OF THIS EVENT...WITH LOW-END WARNING
CRITERIA A POSSIBILITY...BUT AT THIS TIME TOO UNCERTAIN AND
LOCALIZED TO ISSUE A WATCH. AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN IS SE OF LAKE
ONTARIO...ROCHESTER EAST...WITH A SECONDARY AREA OF CONCERN BEING
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

TREND TOWARD THE NAM FOR QPF FROM 18Z WED ON...AS IT IS THE ONLY
MODEL AVAILABLE WITH THE RESOLUTION TO CAPTURE THE LAKE ENHANCEMENT.
HOWEVER...EXPECT IT IS UNDERDONE TOWARD THE LATTER HALF OF THE
EVENT...THOUGH SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
SAID...MODEST 200 J/KG LAKE INDUCED CAPES REMAIN...WITH A CONTINUED
20 - 25 KT NNW FLOW WHICH WILL LIKELY BE WELL ALIGNED. GREATEST RISK
FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE IN MONROE/WAYNE/CAYUGA/S OSWEGO
COUNTIES...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH ALL AREAS SOUTH FOR A MORE
TEMPORARY LAKE HURON CONNECTION...WHICH MAY BRING A LOCALIZED FLUFFY
SNOWFALL OF A COUPLE INCHES OR SO.

OTHERWISE...EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SHOULD BE RELATIVELY QUIET THROUGH
THIS PERIOD...WITH ONLY SNOW SHOWERS AND LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS FROM
THE BACK OF THE EXITING SURFACE LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL...WITH A BIAS CORRECTED SREF/MET BLEND SUGGESTING HIGHS WILL
ONLY BE IN THE LOWER 20S ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL HAVE THE REGION IN A BROAD CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT...WITH SLIGHTLY COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. WITH
CONTINUED COLD AIR ALOFT (-16 C OR SO)...AND A SLIGHTLY DEEPENING
MIXING LAYER...MAY SEE SOME FORM OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
LINGER...ESPECIALLY E-SE OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...WHICH MAKES IT HARDER TO PIN DOWN WHERE OR HOW FAR INLAND ANY
LAKE EFFECT WILL MAKE IT. BASICALLY CARRY AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
CHANCE POPS IN TRADITIONALLY FAVORABLE LOCATIONS ALL THE WAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. IN GENERALLY...LOOKS MORE LIKE A NUISANCE EVENT...BUT IT
WOULD ONLY TAKE A WELL ALIGNED AND PERSISTENT FLOW TO CHANGE THAT.

12Z GFS/EUROPEAN IN GOOD AGREEMENT...WITH THE 12Z GGEM 12-18 HRS
SLOWER ON THE NEXT CLIPPER LOW. EITHER WAY...LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY
QUICK SHOT OF SNOW WITH THE PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM...WITH A CONSENSUS
TIMING USED...JUST SLIGHTLY LATER THAN THE GFS/EURO WITH HIGHEST
POPS SATURDAY. MAY HAVE TO WATCH SW FLOW AHEAD OF THIS ON LAKE ERIE...
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT...THOUGH ICE MAY START
TO LIMIT THINGS SOMEWHAT.

THE CLIPPER LOW WILL DROP A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH TO THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH THIS BOUNDARY STALLING OR SLOWING AS UPPER PUSH EXITS.
EUROPEAN DEVELOPS A WEAK SURFACE LOW ON THIS BOUNDARY AND TRACKS IT
JUST TO OUR SOUTH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHILE GFS DOES NOT. NO
CONFIDENCE IN EITHER SPECIFIC SOLUTION...WITH A SIMPLE CHANCE POP
THE BEST MIDDLE OF THE ROAD FORECAST. DO EXPECT CONTINUED COOL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS PERIOD...AS WE WILL LIKELY BE SOUTH OF
WHATEVER BOUNDARY DOES FORM.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTHEAST FROM ONTARIO WILL KEEP FAIR
WEATHER ACROSS THE BULK OF THE REGION TONIGHT...A LIGHT NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL HELP TO GENERATE SOME MVFR CIGS. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE
THE CASE FROM KROC TO KFZY...ALTHOUGH ALL SITES BUT KJHW SHOULD
EXPERIENCE TIMES OF MVFR CIGS.

ON TUESDAY...A DISORGANIZED STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY. THE MVFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY MIX OUT DURING THE
COURSE OF THE MORNING WHILE AN ALTO-STRATUS DECK WILL LOWER AND
THICKEN. THIS WILL LEAVE VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE
BULK OF OF THE DAY.

DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY...LIGHT SNOW WILL
GRADUALLY LIFT ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. VSBYS AND THEN CIGS WILL
LOWER TO MVFR FOR KJHW AS A RESULT...WITH KBUF/KIAG FOLLOWING SUITE
BY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS INCLUDING CANCELLATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AS A RESULT OF HEAVY SNOWS FROM KPHL TO KBOS.

.OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT...IFR/LIFR IN WIDESPREAD STEADY SNOW. SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS INCLUDING CANCELLATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.
WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD IFR IN SNOW TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...MAINLY MVFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR IN SNOW SHOWERS.
SATURDAY...MVFR IN SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE NOSING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL
PRODUCE GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLIES ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO THIS
EVENING WHILE LIGHTER WINDS WILL BE FOUND ON LAKE ERIE.

AS THE HIGH BUILDS SOUTHEAST LATER TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER
TO THE NORTHEAST ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. THESE WINDS WILL
FRESHEN ON TUESDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST WILL THEN PRODUCE
STRONG NORTHERLIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHEN SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO NOON EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ010-012-019>021-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...RSH
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL
AVIATION...RSH
MARINE...RSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
325 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

NYZ010-012-019>021-085-112030-
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
325 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-011-013-014-112030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
325 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOWFALL IS LIKELY LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
AND PENNSYLVANIA...THEN REDEVELOPS OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. AT
THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES APPEAR LIKELY FOR
MOST OF THE AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR
THESE COUNTIES IN LATER UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-112030-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
325 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-112030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
325 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

RSH