Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2011

Winter Weather Advisory 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 6, 20117 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 6, 2011, 3:28 PM EST for 7 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 6, 2011, 5:00 PM EST. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 6, 2011, 3:28 PM EST (20:28 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 6, 2011, 5:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 7, 2011, 7:08 PM EST
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-01-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-01-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

926 
WWUS41 KBUF 062028
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

NYZ012-019-020-085-070430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.110106T2200Z-110107T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
328 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
  CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON FRIDAY. HEAVIEST PERIOD OF
  SNOW EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-070430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.110107T0800Z-110108T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
328 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY
TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES STORM TOTAL WITH THE GREATEST
  AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
6 follow-up statements
256 
WWUS41 KBUF 070307
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1007 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

NYZ010-071100-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.110107T0307Z-110107T1100Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1007 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES STORM TOTAL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-071115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1007 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND 
  CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON FRIDAY. HEAVIEST PERIOD OF 
  SNOW EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS 
  HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-071115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.110107T0800Z-110108T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1007 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES STORM TOTAL WITH THE GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. 

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$
983 
WWUS41 KBUF 070859
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

NYZ010-071000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T1100Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
359 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

WHILE SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A WHILE THIS
MORNING...THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS HAS
ENDED...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-071700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
359 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND 
  CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...NOW THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW...WITH THE GREATEST
  AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-071700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
359 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS
  ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

JJR
432 
WWUS41 KBUF 071442
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
942 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

NYZ012-020-071545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2100Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
942 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LAKE ENHANCED SNOW HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ019-085-072100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
942 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES WITH THE
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.

* TIMING...THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-072245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
942 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL...WITH THE GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. 

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
794 
WWUS41 KBUF 072025
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

NYZ019-080430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.110109T0000Z-110109T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WITH THE
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT
  TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
  EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-072130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY...
THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ085-072130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2100Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ007-008-080430-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS
  OF 5 TO 7 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS. 

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR 
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ020-080430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.110109T0000Z-110109T1500Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
325 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WITH THE
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT
  TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
  EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
322 
WWUS41 KBUF 072039
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

NYZ007-008-080445-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
339 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS 
  OF 5 TO 7 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS. 

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR 
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-080445-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.110109T0000Z-110109T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
339 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WITH THE 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHAUTAUQUA 
  RIDGE. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT 
  TIMES. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
609 
WWUS41 KBUF 080008
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
708 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

NYZ007-008-080115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
708 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE STEADY LIGHT SNOW THAT IMPACTED THE AREA EARLIER IN THE
DAY HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. MORE LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
WORK WEST ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO
POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK.

$$

NYZ019-020-080815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.110109T0000Z-110109T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
708 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WITH THE 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHAUTAUQUA 
  RIDGE. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT 
  TIMES. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TJP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 6, 3:21 PM EST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 3:21 PM EST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
321 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WINTRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK WITH CHILLY
TEMPERATURES AND SEVERAL PERIODS OF SNOW. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL
BE SOMEWHAT HEAVIER ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. A DRIER PERIOD IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT HAS ENDED THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING OUR ATTENTION TO
TURN BACK TO THE SYNOPTIC SCALE. 20Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWING LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR MANITOULIN ISLAND IN NORTHERN LAKE HURON.
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING LIGHT SNOW OVERSPREADING THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND EASTERN LAKE ERIE ALREADY...SUPPORTED BY A WEAK
WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT REGIME AHEAD OF THE LOW. UPSTREAM
RADARS SHOW THIS LIGHT SNOW EXTENDING ALL THE WAY BACK INTO SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN.

SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH THE SURFACE LOW MOVING EAST TO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
AND THEN STALLING NEAR THE EASTERN SHORE OF GEORGIAN BAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. INITIAL WARM ADVECTION AND THEN HEIGHT FALLS/DPVA ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DIGGING MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF
WEAK LIFT...MOVING SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. EVENTUALLY THE DIGGING MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL CAPTURE A PLUME
OF SOMEWHAT DEEPER ATLANTIC MOISTURE WHICH WILL BE TRANSPORTED INTO
EASTERN AND NORTHERN NY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SOME
ENHANCED SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THAT PART OF THE STATE.

LOOKING AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE CWA
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS EVENING...REACHING THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGION SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS TO ONLY
BE AN INCH OR SO IN MOST AREAS THROUGH DAYBREAK FRIDAY. ACROSS
WESTERN NY SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT MAY COMPLICATE MATTERS HOWEVER. THE
AIRMASS REMAINS JUST COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A LAKE RESPONSE...WITH
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISING TO AROUND 8K FEET LATER TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. INITIALLY THERE IS TOO MUCH SHEAR THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
TONIGHT...BUT LATER ON THE FLOW BEGINS TO ALIGN BETTER OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS MAY BRING A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO
SOUTHERN NIAGARA AND NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY FOR AN HOUR OR TWO...THEN
THE MEAN BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS QUICKLY VEER MORE TO THE WSW WHICH
WILL CARRY LAKE ENHANCEMENT INTO SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER. LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
APPEAR TO MAXIMIZE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...SO MAY SEE A BURST OF
DECENT LAKE ENHANCEMENT IN THIS AREA LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING. WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING
THROUGH NOON FRIDAY FOR S.ERIE/WYOMING/CHAU/CATT COUNTIES TO COVER
THE COMBO OF SYNOPTIC AND LAKE ENHANCEMENT. LOOK FOR TOTALS OF 3-6
INCHES IN THIS AREA. FARTHER NORTH IN BUFFALO...THE LAKE ENHANCEMENT
IS VERY BRIEF AND WILL PROBABLY ONLY ADD AN INCH OR TWO ONTO THE
SYNOPTIC SNOW...SO 2-3 INCHES LOOK GOOD THERE.

ON FRIDAY THE LAKE ENHANCEMENT SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS BY MIDDAY AS DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR MOVES INTO WESTERN NY AND
SYNOPTIC SUPPORT SHIFTS EAST. FARTHER EAST...SOMEWHAT STEADIER
SYNOPTIC SNOW WILL LAST THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY IN THE GENESEE
VALLEY...AND ALL DAY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. EVENTUALLY SOME DEEPER
ATLANTIC MOISTURE BECOMES ENTRAINED IN THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY. EXPECT THE GREATEST TOTALS TO BE FOUND IN UPSLOPE AREAS OF
THE TUG HILL IN SOUTHERN LEWIS AND EASTERN OSWEGO COUNTY WHERE 3-5
INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...WITH MORE TO COME FRIDAY
NIGHT. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
OSWEGO/JEFF/LEWIS COUNTY FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL BE A LONG DURATION EVENT WITH FAIRLY MINOR SNOWFALL
RATES...BUT DURATION WILL ALLOW SNOW TO ADD UP OVER TIME. THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS THE TUG HILL IF THE AXIS
OF BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS OVER THE FAVORED UPSLOPE
AREAS...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE PLACEMENT OF THIS IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH
FOR A WARNING YET. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODEL AND OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE DEEP UPPER LOW DIVING THAT WILL BE DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO REACH WESTERN NEW YORK/PA BY
SATURDAY MORNING...THEN SLIDE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL REMAIN OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST...WHILE A LOW LEVEL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS WEST INTO
EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE THROUGH SATURDAY. STILL LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. THIS WILL MAINTAIN PERIODS OF STEADY SNOW ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN A GRADUAL
EAST TO WEST DECREASE IN POPS FARTHER TO THE WEST WHERE THE IMPACT
FROM THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL NOT BE AS STRONG. THE EXCEPTION TO
THIS GENERAL TREND WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE WHERE THE
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE TROUGH COULD RESULT IN SOME LAKE
ENHANCED SNOW. THE PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD HELP TO KEEP
ACCUMULATIONS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THOUGH.

AS THE SURFACE TROUGH PULLS OUT TO THE EAST SATURDAY...THE FOCUS
WILL SHIFT MORE TO LAKE EFFECT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
WHEN THE LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL LINE UP BETTER FROM THE NORTHWEST.
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STILL BE IN PLACE...BUT THE SHORT
NORTHWEST FETCH AND ANTICIPATED LACK OF CONNECTIONS TO UPSTREAM
LAKES MAY HELP TO KEEP ACCUMULATIONS DOWN A BIT.

WE WILL STILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEP LAYERED MOIST
CYCLONIC FLOW INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY
POPS FOR MEASURABLE SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WHERE THERE WILL BE
AN ADDITIONAL COMPONENT TO LIFT DUE TO NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL WEST TO EAST
DECREASE IN MOISTURE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES. A CORRESPONDING WEST TO EAST DECREASE IN POPS WILL
REFLECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.

SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
EXPECT RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER FOR OUR CWA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD
WITH THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL TO OUR EAST.

BEGINNING ON MONDAY...ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD TAPER
OFF AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RIDGE IN FROM THE WEST AND BRINGS
DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
MODERATE ABOVE -10C AS THE BACK EDGE  OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OFF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES COAST.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST MONDAY NIGHT IS
FORECAST TO HEAD TO THE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN JUST OFF THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY. SOME OF THE LIGHT SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM MAY
REACH THE SOUTHERN TIER DURING THE AFTERNOON.

AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON
WEDNESDAY...A COLDER NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP OVER OUR
REGION. AS USUAL...THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL HAVE NO DIRECT IMPACT ON
OUR WEATHER...JUST THE STANDARD SNOW SHOWER THREAT. SOME LAKE EFFECT
SNOW MAY LINGER EAST OF THE LAKE ON THURSDAY...BUT MINIMAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO BUILD IN
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. LIGHT SNOW HAS
ALREADY SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER INCLUDING KJHW WITH
VSBY DROPPING TO IFR IN LIGHT SNOW. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...THEN LIGHT SNOW
WILL OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE REGION EARLY THIS EVENING WITH VSBY
DROPPING TO IFR FROM WEST TO EAST. THE SNOW WILL REACH THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION AT KART SHORTLY AFTER 06Z. EXPECT SNOW TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD
IFR. SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY WITH VSBY IMPROVING
TO VFR ACROSS WESTERN NY BY MID TO LATE MORNING...ALTHOUGH SOME MVFR
CIGS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW WILL LINGER THROUGH THE DAY
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS THE FORWARD PROGRESS OF THE SURFACE LOW
STALLS...SO IFR WILL LAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THERE.

.OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...AREAS OF IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS AND LAKE ENHANCED SNOW.
SUNDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASING ON BOTH LAKES. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
KEEP MOST OF THE HIGHER WAVE ACTION ON LAKE ONTARIO ALONG THE
CANADIAN SHORE. AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING...WAVES MAY APPROACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON LAKE
ERIE. FOR NOW WILL KEEP WAVES JUST BELOW IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE.
FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY ON LAKE ONTARIO WAVES
WILL INCREASE ON THE EAST HALF OF THE LAKE...WITH WAVES POSSIBLY
EXCEEDING SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME
NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPS IN
THE GULF OF MAINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER WAVES ALONG THE
ENTIRE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NYZ006>008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ012-019-
     020-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 6, 5:02 AM EST, 10 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
502 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-071015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
502 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
502 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SFM

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2011Every winter weather advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.