Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

488 
WHUS71 KBUF 090234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

LEZ040-041-091045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T0900Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO
4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM
EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-091045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T0900Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
934 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO
4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT
  THROUGH SUNDAY  NIGHT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT...AND TO 5 TO 7 FEET
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-091045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T1700Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS SUNDAY 
  AND SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND TO 5 TO 8 FEET
  SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

396 
WHUS71 KBUF 090800
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
300 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

LEZ040-041-091700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T0900Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
300 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-091700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T0900Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
300 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-091700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T1700Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
300 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

615 
WHUS71 KBUF 091421
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
921 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

LEZ040-041-092230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
921 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-092230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
921 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-092230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.110109T1700Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
921 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

008 
WHUS71 KBUF 092021
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
321 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

LEZ040-041-100430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-100430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET THIS EVENING SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET LATE
  TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-100430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS THIS EVENING DIMINISHING TO
  15 TO 25 KNOTS LATER TONIGHT.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET THIS EVENING SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET LATER
  TONIGHT THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

612 
WHUS71 KBUF 100223
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
923 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

LEZ040-041-100900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
923 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-101030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
923 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-101030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
923 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

888 
WHUS71 KBUF 100803
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
303 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

LEZ040-041-100915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
303 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

LOZ042>044-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
303 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
303 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 BY THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM

175 
WHUS71 KBUF 101511
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

LOZ042>044-102100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-102100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

963 
WHUS71 KBUF 101853
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
153 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

LOZ042>045-102000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
153 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

RSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
337 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING EAST OF CAPE COD WILL SET UP A NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW...BRINGING A ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO PORTIONS OF WESTERN
NEW YORK. THE LOW WILL EXIT TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY...ALLOWING
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A WEAK SURFACE TROF OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM LONG ISLAND BACK
TO CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THIS
EVENING...WITH A NW FLOW SETTLING AS A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS EAST OF
CAPE COD. MEANWHILE...A CLOSED 500 MB LOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
EAST...WHICH WILL WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT.

WITH THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE REGION...STEEP LAPSE RATES OF AROUND
7.5 C/KM WILL REMAIN IN PLACE UP TO 600 MB. THIS DEEP AND MOIST
MIXING LAYER WILL ALLOW FOR FAIRLY INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP IN SPOTS. FAIRLY SUBTLE FEATURES WILL DRIVE THIS
DEVELOPMENT...KEYING ON SURFACE CONVERGENCE WHICH IS DRIVEN BY THE
EXIT OF THE INVERTED TROF AND MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW.

AT 300 PM...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FEATURE ON RADAR IS A BAND OF HEAVY
SNOW DROPPING SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS DROPPING A QUICK
2-3 INCHES IN ITS MOST INTENSE AREAS...WHICH ARE WEST OF ROCHESTER.
THE BAND WEAKENS TO THE EAST. THIS BAND SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
FURTHER FROM THE LAKE...WITH DIMINISHING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...TO 1-2
INCHES BY THE TIME IT REACHES I-90. DEEP UNSTABLE LAYER IS ALLOWING
THIS TO MAINTAIN BETTER THAN BANDS WOULD NORMALLY IN A LIGHT NW
FLOW.

ITS THE REMNANTS OF THIS FEATURE THAT PROMPT UPGRADING THE ADVISORY
IN CHAUTAUQUA/CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
SEEING THE TAIL OF THIS BAND INTERACT WITH AN ALREADY IN PLACE LAKE
ERIE BAND. HRRR W/SUPPORT FROM THE NAM12/WRF/RGREM ALL SHOW ENHANCED
QPF BETWEEN 21Z AND 06Z IN THIS AREA...WITH MESO MODELS HAVING A
GOOD TRACK RECORD SO FAR WITH THIS EVENT. BASICALLY...THE TAIL OF
THIS MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO PIVOT INTO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...WHICH
SHOULD ENHANCE SNOWFALL RATES THIS EVENING. WHILE NOT EVERYWHERE WILL
SEE IT...EXPECT LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND...A WEAKENING INVERTED TROF WILL ALLOW SNOW
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THEN A MORE TRADITIONAL LAKE EFFECT EVENT WILL UNFOLD SE OF
LAKE ONTARIO AS A NW FLOW SETS UP. MODEL QPFS FOR THIS ARE
UNIMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER...VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS ALREADY
DEVELOPING BEHIND THE EXITING LAKE ONTARIO BAND. WITH WINDS FORECAST
TO BE FAIRLY WELL ALIGNED AND WITH A FAIRLY DEEP MIXING LAYER FOR
MUCH OF THE NIGHT...OPT TO GO ABOVE MODEL QPF AND ISSUE A LOW END
ADVISORY. BY SUNDAY MORNING...SHEAR INCREASES...WHICH DISORGANIZE
WHATEVER DOES DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THIS...EXPECT TONIGHT TO BE FAIRLY UNEVENTFUL...WITH
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...AND NW FLOW. BIAS CORRECTED BLEND OF
SREF/MET ACCEPTED FOR TEMPS THROUGHOUT PER RECENT VERIFICATION TRENDS.

ON SUNDAY...THE NW FLOW CONTINUES. FLOW CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED OFF
LAKE ONTARIO...WITH OVERALL LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR LAKE
EFFECT. MAY SEE AN INCH OR TWO FROM LEFT OVER BANDS...BUT GENERALLY
EXPECT THINGS TO WIND DOWN OFF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE DAY. SLIGHTLY
BETTER SET UP OFF LAKE ERIE...WITH COLDER TEMPS ALOFT...AND LESS
SHEAR. MARGINAL IN TERMS OF HEADLINES...BUT RIGHT NOW LOOKING MORE
OF ADVISORY TYPE CONDITIONS. ONE CONCERN HERE...AS FLOW
SHIFTS...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY FOR A LAKE HURON TIE
IN...WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE COASTAL LOW AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL
CLOSED LOW WILL BE MOVING OUT INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC. ONE LAST MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE CLOSED LOW AND CROSS NORTHERN
NY OVERNIGHT. THIS MAY BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTH COUNTRY
SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. THE AIRMASS WILL
ALSO REMAIN MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT. OFF LAKE ERIE...
EXPECT SOME WEAKENING LAKE EFFECT/UPSLOPE ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE
TO PRODUCE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO IN THE EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING
OVERNIGHT AS INVERSION HEIGHTS CRASH AND MOISTURE IS STRIPPED AWAY.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SOME LIMITED LAKE EFFECT IS ALSO POSSIBLE FROM
THE EASTERN SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER OVER TO OSWEGO COUNTY...BUT
FORECAST INSTABILITY IS EVEN MORE MARGINAL HERE WITH AN INCH OR SO
IN SPOTS AT BEST.

ON MONDAY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE FROM THE NORTHERN LAKES
TOWARDS THE LOWER LAKES...WITH A DRY DAY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
AREA. MAY STILL SEE A FEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO IN THE MORNING...AND ALSO ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. EVEN THIS SHOULD END BY AFTERNOON WITH STRONG DRYING
AND SUBSIDENCE BUILDING IN. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TO LAST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. TEMPS WILL BE JUST
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN
THE MID 20S ON THE LAKE PLAINS AND LOWER 20S ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NIGHTS WILL BE
CHILLY...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHICH ARE ABLE TO SEE ANY
CLEARING...WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND EVEN SOME SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
COLDER SPOTS OF THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

ON TUESDAY OUR ATTENTION WILL TURN TO THE NEXT SYNOPTIC SYSTEM AS A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TRACKS TOWARDS
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO SECONDARY
COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. AS THE COASTAL
TAKES OVER...AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL LINGER BACK ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND LIFT TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES...SPREADING MOISTURE AND
LIGHT SNOW INTO MUCH OF THE AREA. MODELS HAVE BEEN IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THIS SCENARIO...AND GIVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO RAISE POPS TO
LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER AND MOST OF THE CWA
TUESDAY NIGHT. OLDER SREF MEAN WAS FASTER WITH THE ONSET...BUT
LATEST MODEL TREND SUGGESTS A SOMEWHAT SLOWER ONSET AND WILL LEAN
TOWARDS THE NEWER/SLOWER SOLUTIONS WITH THE BEST CHANCES LATE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK MINOR AT THIS POINT...AND
DESPITE NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO THE AIRMASS IS A
LITTLE TOO MILD FOR MUCH IF ANY LAKE ENHANCEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ON WEDNESDAY A COASTAL LOW WILL BE MOVING WELL OUT TO SEA...WITH AN
INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING BACK TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES GRADUALLY
WEAKENING AND PUSHING SOUTH WITH TIME. WEAK CONVERGENCE FROM THE
INVERTED TROUGH AND NORTHERLY UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH
LIFT TO JUSTIFY LIKELY POPS WITH SNOW SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT AGAIN AMOUNTS APPEAR VERY MINOR.

FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT A GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW
REMAINS IN PLACE WITH A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVES AND MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT
PRODUCING A FEW PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS...BUT AGAIN AMOUNTS
LOOK MINIMAL. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BUILD A
RIDGE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES...PROVIDING A BRIEF BREAK
OF MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. BOTH MODELS BRING A PACIFIC SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY NEXT
SATURDAY...WITH A BRIEF/MINOR WARMUP JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT
DEPICTED BY BOTH MODELS AND MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. THE FRONT MAY
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS WITH TEMPS NOT WARMING QUITE ENOUGH
TO ALLOW ANY PRECIP TYPE OTHER THAN SNOW.

LOOKING A LITTLE FURTHER AHEAD...GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN TIME AVERAGED
500MB HEIGHT PATTERNS FOR WEEK 2 OF THE FORECAST CENTERED ON 19-JAN
SHOW HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING PERSISTING RIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD NEAR
GREENLAND AND THE DAVIS STRAIT. AT THE SAME TIME...NEGATIVE HEIGHT
ANOMALIES ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST FROM ALASKA SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES AND INTO THE EASTERN CONUS.

ALSO OF NOTE...THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS FORECASTING A SIGNIFICANT
MJO EPISODE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE
MONTH. MEAN OLR ANOMALIES OVER THE PAST WEEK SHOW ENHANCED
CONVECTION CONCENTRATING OVER TROPICAL SOUTHEAST ASIA. GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS ARE ALL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN MOVING THIS AREA OF
ENHANCED CONVECTION EAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC...WITH WHEELER PHASE
SPACE PLOTS BASED ON THE GEFS ENSEMBLES SHOWING A MODERATE TO STRONG
MJO SIGNAL ORBITING INTO THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFTER ABOUT 20-JAN.
IF THIS VERIFIES...THAT WOULD PUT US INTO PHASE 8 AND PHASE 1 OF THE
MJO CYCLE FOR THE LAST 10 DAYS OR SO OF JANUARY...WITH COMPOSITE
ANALOGS SHOWING A STRONG CORRELATION TOWARDS BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIP IN THE GREAT LAKES WHEN IN
THESE PHASES. THUS...IF THE MJO FORECAST VERIFIES WE MAY SEE A
PERIOD OF WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR
THE LAST 10 DAYS OR SO OF JANUARY...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE CONTINUANCE
OF THE GREENLAND BLOCK. BEFORE THIS HAPPENS...THE MJO CYCLE ALSO
SUPPORTS A BRIEF BUT POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP AS WE PASS THROUGH
PHASE 5 AND 6 IN A WEEK TO 10 DAYS. THIS HAS SOME SUPPORT WITH THE
ECMWF AND GFS...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE MAJOR DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
BUF/IAG/ROC...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CROSSING...RESULTING IN A
BRIEF PERIOD OF 1/2SM OR LESS VSBY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP
SOUTH...WITH RAPIDLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH THE EXIT OF THIS
BAND. MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY AT BUF/IAG...BUT MAY SEE LAKE
EFFECT RE-DEVELOP TONIGHT AT ROC THOUGH NOT AS INTENSE.

JHW...EXPECT VARIABLE BUT GENERALLY LOW CONDITIONS OF LIFR-IFR
THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION. LIKELY WILL SEE AN IMPROVEMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT OR SO...AS
THIS EXITS...WITH VARIABLE TO PREDOMINANTLY IFR CONDITIONS LIKELY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

ART...MVFR CLOUD DECK HAS DEVELOPED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE TRENDS
SUGGEST THIS MAY BE HERE TO STAY FOR A WHILE. HEDGE
PERSISTENCE...WITH MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

.OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT...AREAS OF MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...MORE
PREVALENT SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN LIGHT SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
INCREASING NW FLOW TONIGHT...SUPPORTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ON
BOTH OF THE LAKES SUNDAY. FLOW GRADUALLY DIMINISHES SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEADLINES LIKELY TO DROP FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH
MONDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ004>006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ019-020.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST
         MONDAY FOR LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY
         FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1028 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

NYZ001>008-010>014-021-085-091530-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
1028 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-091530-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
1028 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-091530-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1028 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1209 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

NYZ019-081915-
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
1209 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MOVING INTO THE AREA...

AT NOON A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXTENDED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
SHORELINE FROM ERIE PENNSYLVANIA TO JUST OFF SHORE FROM DUNKIRK.
THE BAND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST, AND WILL BE EFFECTING AREAS WEST OF
SHERMAN, CASSADAGA AND FORESTVILLE AFTER 1245 PM. THE BAND IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SNOWFALL AT THE RATE OF AN INCH OR MORE AN
HOUR. MOTORISTS TRAVELING THE I 90 THIS AFTERNOON CAN EXPECT SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS, ALONG WITH PERIODS OF GREATLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY SNOW.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1258 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

NYZ001>003-082000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
1258 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW PUSHING ONSHORE...

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PUSH SOUTH ONTO THE SOUTH
SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO FROM NEAR CHARLOTTE AND THE NORTHWEST
SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER WEST INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF ORLEANS AND
NIAGARA COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES IN THIS BAND WILL BE INTENSE AT
ABOUT 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL
BE VERY DIFFICULT ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
WORST CONDITIONS FOUND NORTH OF ROUTE 104. EXPECT VISIBILITY TO BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE WITH ROADS QUICKLY BECOMING
SNOW COVERED.

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
207 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

NYZ001>003-082030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
207 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES...

AT 205 PM A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TO PUSH
INLAND FROM LAKE ONTARIO. THIS WEST TO EAST ORIENTED SNOW BAND
WILL BRING BURSTS OF SNOW ACROSS THE NIAGARA PENINSULA...NIAGARA
AND ORLEANS COUNTY AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER THIS AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL RATES IN THIS BAND WILL CONTINUE TO BE INTENSE AT ABOUT 2
INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY
DIFFICULT ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE WORST
CONDITIONS FOUND ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104.

EXPECT VISIBILITY TO BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE WITH
ROADS QUICKLY BECOMING SNOW COVERED. AS THE BAND MOVES INLAND...IT
WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AND WEAKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

NYZ019-082030-
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
207 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

A NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN NEW YORK...WITH THE HEAVIEST BURSTS OF SNOW FOUND
ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

SNOWFALL RATES WILL VARY ACROSS THE COUNTY...BUT SEVERAL HEAVIER
BURST OF SNOW WILL BRING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO UNDER A QUARTER OF A
MILE...QUICKLY COVERING ROADS WITH SNOW...AND MAKE FOR DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS.

MAJOR ROADS IMPACTED BY THIS SNOW THIS AFTERNOON INCLUDE THE NEW
YORK STATE THRUWAY...ROUTE 394...ROUTE 430 AND COUNTY ROAD 70
BETWEEN BROCTON AND STOCKTON.

THOMAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
326 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

NYZ001>003-082230-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
326 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SLOWLY DRIFTS SOUTHWARD...

AT 330 PM A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TO DROP
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER AND NORTHERN
GENESEE VALLEY. THE BACK EDGE OF THIS BAND OF SNOW AT 330 PM IS
ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE LATE AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL REMAIN WITH THIS
LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS TODAY UP TO 2 TO 4
INCHES ACROSS NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTY AND 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MONROE.

ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED UNTIL TREATMENT AND DRIVERS SHOULD MAINTAIN
CAUTION...EVEN WHEN VISIBILITIES IMPROVE...AS ROADS MAY STILL
PROVE DIFFICULT DRIVING.

NYZ019-082230-
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
326 PM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

A NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE HEAVIEST BURSTS
OF SNOW FOUND ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

SNOWFALL RATES WILL VARY ACROSS THE COUNTY...BUT SEVERAL HEAVIER
BURST OF SNOW WILL BRING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO UNDER A QUARTER OF A
MILE...QUICKLY COVERING ROADS WITH SNOW...AND MAKE FOR DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS.

MAJOR ROADS IMPACTED BY THIS SNOW THIS AFTERNOON INCLUDE THE NEW
YORK STATE THRUWAY...ROUTE 394...ROUTE 430 AND COUNTY ROAD 70
BETWEEN BROCTON AND STOCKTON.

THOMAS