Alert archive / New York / Lakeshore Flood Advisories in 2011

Lakeshore Flood Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

October 14, 2011Chautauqua County, Erie County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lakeshore flood advisory at Oct 14, 2011, 3:54 PM EDT for Chautauqua County, Erie County, New York. It took effect at Oct 15, 2011, 7:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2011, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 15, 2011, 7:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2011, 7:27 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 52 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -60 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
52 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
480 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lakeshore flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lakeshore flood advisory went out at Oct 13, 7:34 PM EDT, 20 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 7:34 PM EDT, 20 hours 20 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 4:08 AM EDTGale WarningBUF54 hr
Oct 14, 4:08 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF12 hr
Oct 14, 3:51 PM EDTHigh Wind WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 5 more35 hr
Oct 14, 3:51 PM EDTWind AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cayuga, Livingston, Ontario, Wayne35 hr

Nearby

Lakeshore Flood Advisories in New York, 2011Every lakeshore flood advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.