Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Advisories in 2011
Lake Effect Snow Advisory 11, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow advisory at Feb 8, 2011, 11:40 AM EST for Cayuga County, Oswego County, Wayne County, New York. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 8, 2011, 11:40 AM EST (16:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 9, 2011, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cayuga County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 606 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -73 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -18 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
255 WWUS41 KBUF 081640 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1140 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 NYZ006-090045- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.110208T1640Z-110209T0900Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1140 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...LAKE SNOW OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE COUNTY MID EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN PERSISTENT BANDS. 1 TO 2 FEET POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM BREWERTON TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH FOR THE WATCH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ004-005-090045- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.110208T1640Z-110209T0400Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 1140 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS EAST OF SODUS BAY. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH NEAR LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ007-008-090045- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1140 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ON THE TUG HILL. * TIMING...LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM WATERTOWN TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ HITCHCOCK/RSH
3 follow-up statements
398 WWUS41 KBUF 082028 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 328 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 NYZ019>021-090430- /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.110209T0500Z-110209T1500Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 328 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...LATER TONIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. * WIND CHILL VALUES...AROUND 15 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE ANY EXTENDED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ006-090430- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-110209T0900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 328 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE ADVISORY. LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE WATCH. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT IN PERSISTENT BANDS. 1 TO 2 FEET POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM BREWERTON TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH FOR THE WATCH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ004-005-090400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-110209T0400Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 328 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS EAST OF SODUS BAY. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH NEAR LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ007-008-090430- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 328 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ON THE TUG HILL. * TIMING...LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM WATERTOWN TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ HITCHCOCK
851 WWUS41 KBUF 090336 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1036 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 NYZ004-005-090445- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-110209T0400Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 1036 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE LIFTED OUT OF THE REGION. $$ NYZ006-091145- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-110209T0900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1036 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE ADVISORY. LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE WATCH. * ACCUMULATIONS...A TOTAL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN PERSISTENT BANDS. 1 TO 2 FEET POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM BREWERTON TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH FOR THE WATCH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ019>021-091145- /O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.110209T0500Z-110209T1500Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1036 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...LATER TONIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. * WIND CHILL VALUES...AROUND 15 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE ANY EXTENDED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ007-008-091145- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1036 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ON THE TUG HILL. * TIMING...LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN BANDS. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 FROM WATERTOWN TO PULASKI. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ APFFEL
533 WWUS41 KBUF 090905 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 405 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011 NYZ006-091700- /O.EXP.KBUF.LE.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-110209T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0007.110209T2000Z-110210T2300Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 405 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TUG HILL. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH- SOUTH HIGHWAYS SUCH AS INTERSTATE 81. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ007-008-091700- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.110209T2100Z-110210T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0007.110209T2000Z-110210T2300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 405 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST IMPACT EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH- SOUTH HIGHWAYS SUCH AS INTERSTATE 81. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ019>021-091500- /O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110209T1500Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 405 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...THROUGH 10 AM THIS MORNING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND BRISK CONDITIONS WILL MAKE ANY EXTENDED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ JJR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow advisory went out at Feb 8, 6:35 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 8, 6:35 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
635 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC AIR WILL SURGE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND LINGER THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
OF SNOW POSSIBLE. A WESTERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION THIS
WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 08Z...THE SURFACE MAP SHOWS AN ARCTIC FRONT EXTENDING FROM
EASTERN NEW YORK TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES. A WEAK WAVE FORMING
ALONG THE FRONT IS IN PLACE OVER NORTHEAST PA/SOUTHEAST NY STATE.
THE MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT IS STILL GENERATING SOME
STEADY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA EARLY THIS MORNING.
EXPECT THIS SYNOPTIC SNOW TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING AS THE ARCTIC FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST AND MERGES WITH A
SECONDARY LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE NEW ENGLAND COAST.
THE EMPHASIS WILL THEN SHIFT TO LAKE EFFECT AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES
TO ADVECT EAST ACROSS THE AREA.
INITIALLY...THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL AFFECT MOST AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO THIS MORNING BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYERS BACK MORE TO THE
WEST NORTHWEST AND ALLOW THE STEADIER SNOW TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST...IMPACTING WAYNE, NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES. IN
TERMS OF ACCUMULATIONS...THERE IS STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE BEHIND THE FRONT. THE LATEST
NAM12 SOUNDINGS SHOW THE LOWER LEVEL DRYING OUT QUITE A BIT THIS
MORNING BEFORE MOISTENING UP A BIT DURING THE AFTERNOON WHILE LAKE
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE AS THE COLDER AIR DEEPENS. FOR NOW...WILL
KEEP ACCUMULATIONS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO JUST BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA.
FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...EXPECT A FEW MORE SNOW SHOWERS TODAY AS
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVE CROSS NEW YORK
STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOST AREAS WILL SEE AN ADDITIONAL INCH
OR LESS OF SNOW. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND
ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER WHERE THE IMPACT FROM THE NORTHWEST
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL COME INTO PLAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN ANOTHER 2 TO
3 INCHES OVER THESE LOCATIONS.
TONIGHT...THE BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL CONTINUE TO BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST
AS THE BROAD SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS
WILL CAUSE THE ONGOING LAKE SNOW BANDS TO SHIFT FARTHER TO THE NORTH
BEFORE SETTLING OVER OSWEGO, LEWIS AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THE TRANSITORY NATURE OF THE SNOWBANDS AND THE
LINGERING QUESTION OF THE AVAILABILITY OF MOISTURE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS SHOULD HELP TO KEEP ACCUMULATIONS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
FOR MOST LOCATIONS TONIGHT.
THE COMBINATION OF NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH AND
TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS WILL BRING WIND CHILLS DOWN TO MINUS 5 TO
MINUS 10 TODAY. ALTHOUGH SNOW WILL NOT ADD UP TO MUCH FOR AREAS
OUTSIDE LAKE EFFECT AREAS...THE BRISK WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CREATE THEIR OWN PROBLEMS ACROSS AREA ROADWAYS...PARTICULARLY OVER
OPEN AREAS. AS TEMPERATURES DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AWAY FROM THE
LAKES TONIGHT...WIND CHILLS VALUES WILL GET CLOSE TO ADVISORY
CRITERIA.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
ANOTHER BOUT OF ARCTIC AIR ALONG WITH LAKE RESPONSES WILL DOMINATE
THIS PERIOD OF THE FORECAST.
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM
THE TUG HILL NORTHWARD AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW HOLDS WEST SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF APPROACHING SECONDARY UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
TROUGH. SECONDARY SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE IN WAKE OF THE
UPPER WAVE/TROUGH PASSAGE...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO
AROUND -22C. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL VEER SLIGHTLY WESTERLY BEHIND THE
PASSAGE...SHIFTING THE LAKE SNOWS INTO THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED
AREAS OF THE TUG HILL. CONCERNED THAT THE DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ARCTIC AIRMASS MAY LIMITED LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL...AT LEAST
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. LAKE PARAMETERS LOOK TO BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS LOW LEVELS MOISTEN DUE
TO FAVORABLE LONG FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE. SNOW TO WATER RATIO
SHOULD BE RATHER HIGH PROBABLY I EXCESS OF 25:1...THEREFORE
WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL IS STILL A CONCERN FOR THE TUG HILL
REGION.
WE EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY ACTIVITY EXPECTED OFF OF LAKE ERIE. THE
LAKE IS MOSTLY FROZEN...BUT WE CAN STILL SEE SOME LIMITED UPSLOPE
ACTIVITY...HOWEVER STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL LIMIT ANY EFFECTIVE
FETCH.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD HOLD IN THE TEENS WEDNESDAY WITH WIND CHILL
MORE THAN LIKELY REMAINING FROM ZERO TO 10 BELOW WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF AT LEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE AT BEST WITH BELOW ZERO READINGS ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. NOT MUCH
IMPROVEMENT FOR THURSDAY WITH HIGHS NO BETTER THAN THE TEENS WITH
WIND CHILLS AGAIN ZERO TO 10 BELOW. WIND CHILLS LIKELY REACHING
ADVISORY CRITERIA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE IS ON THE HORIZON...THE ASIAN PACIFIC HORIZON
TO BE EXACT...FOR THIS LONG RANGE PERIOD. HOW MAJOR? WELL...TEMPS
FOR DECEMBER...JANUARY AND THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF FEBRUARY HAVE ALL
AVERAGED MORE THAN 3 DEGREES F BELOW NORMAL ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK. DURING THAT NEARLY 10 WEEK STRETCH...THE LONGEST
STRETCH OF DAYS WHEN TEMPS CLIMBED ABOVE FREEZING WAS JUST 4. THAT
INCLUDED THE LAST TWO DAYS OF DEC AND THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF JAN. WE
MAY NOW HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO EXCEED THAT NUMBER LATER THIS
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
A HEMISPHERIC VIEW OF THE WV IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY TIGHTLY WOUND
SHORTWAVE LIFTING TOWARDS THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS AREA HAS BEEN
UNUSUALLY QUIET IN TERMS OF INTENSE STORMS THIS SEASON AS A STRONG
WEST COAST RIDGE HAS DIRECTED DISTURBANCES FURTHER NORTH...BUT THIS
PATTERN IS NOW BREAKING DOWN. THE CURRENT SHORTWAVE WILL LIFT NORTH
ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA IN THE COMING DAYS WHILE A PAIR OF
SHORTWAVES SEEN EXITING EASTERN ASIA WILL RACE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
AND REINTENSIFY THE LONG WAVE TROUGH NEAR THE GULF OF ALASKA. AS
THESE SHORTWAVES EJECT FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH FRIDAY INTO THE
COMING WEEKEND...THE WEST COAST RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN AND A STRONG
PACIFIC BASED ZONAL FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED. THINK OF THESE
SHORTWAVES AS DAMN BUSTERS. EACH ONE HAMMERING AWAY AT THE DAMN
UNTIL IT BREAKS TO ALLOW FOR PACIFIC AIR TO FLOOD ACROSS THE
CONTINENT.
THE COLD CANADIAN/ARCTIC AIR WILL BECOME BOTTLED UP WELL TO OUR
NORTH WITH H85 TEMPS OVER OUR REGION MODIFYING TO BETWEEN -8C AND
ZERO C...RATHER THAN THE DOUBLE DIGIT COLD AIR FROM RECENT WEEKS.
SPEAKING OF WHICH...THE COLDEST AIR IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE HAS
BEEN FAIRLY EVENLY SPLIT BETWEEN THE 'EASTERN AND WESTERN'
HEMISPHERES SINCE MID DECEMBER BUT DURING THE COURSE OF THE COMING
10 DAYS...THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER ASIA.
WHAT WILL THIS ALL MEAN FOR OUR REGION? IT MEANS THAT NOTICEABLY
MILDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD OUR REGION FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS LIKELY FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTERS 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY TEMP OUTLOOKS SUPPORT THIS
FORECAST...WHICH IS BASED ON A 75/25 SPLIT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND
GEFS. NOW...SOME DETAILS OF THE DAY TO DAY FORECAST.
LOOK FOR A DRY DAY ON FRIDAY. VERY COLD START BUT TEMPS WILL
MODERATE INTO 20S IN AFTERNOON UNDER INCREASING SW WIND.
WEAKENING TROUGH WILL THEN DROP ACROSS THE REGION FRI NT WITH CHC
POPS...FOLLOWED BY A WEAK RIDGE ON SATURDAY. THEN A STATIONARY/WARM
FRONT GROWS EAST FROM THE UPPER LAKES LATER IN WEEKEND WITH LOWS
RUNNING ALONG IT. 12Z GFS TAKES THESE DISTURBANCES RIGHT ACROSS OUR
REGION WHICH WOULD LEAD TO UNSETTLED WX...NOTHING MAJOR BUT SOME
SNOW SHOWERS AND TEMPS NEAR FREEZING. MOST OF THE MODELS KEEP THIS
BOUNDARY JUST NORTH...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO MILDER BREEZY WX SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. IN FACT...850 MB TEMPS RISE ABOVE ZERO BOTH DAYS. SFC
TEMPS SHOULD RESPOND SOME...WILL GO WITH U30S SUN AND L40S MON. STAY
TUNED.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL GENERATE
OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...WITH THE STEADIEST
SNOW EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. MAINLY
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH IFR CONDITIONS IN THE AREAS OF
STEADIER LAKE SNOWS BETWEEN KROC AND KART.
AS THE WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
LIFT NORTH TOWARD KART...CAUSING VSBYS TO LOWER TO IFR. DRIER AIR
BUILDING FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO VFR
AROUND 09Z AT THE REMAINING TAF SITES.
THE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS
AREA RUNWAYS TODAY.
.OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...AND
LOCAL LIFR IN SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR...BUT MVFR POSSIBLE WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
THE INCREASING WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT
WILL CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO GALE FORCE OVER THE EASTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN END
OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CREATE ISSUES
WITH FREEZING SPRAY ON LAKE ONTARIO. THEREFORE...A HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LOZ043>045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LOZ042.
&&
SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...RSH/SFM
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...TJP/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Feb 8, 5:33 AM EST, 6 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-091045- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH BRISK WINDS TO CREATE BITTER WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. BITTER WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 15 BELOW CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-091045- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. BITTER WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 20 BELOW CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003>005-013-014-091045- MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH BRISK WINDS TO CREATE BITTER WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. BITTER WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 15 BELOW CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ043>045-063>065-091045- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ042-062-091045- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-SLZ022-024-091045- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 533 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 4:13 AM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 41 hr | |
| Feb 8, 4:13 AM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | BUF | 35 hr | |
| Feb 8, 3:28 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 19 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Advisories in New York, 2011Every lake effect snow advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.