Alert archive / New York / Areal Flood Advisories in 2011

Areal Flood Advisory 55, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 14, 2011Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this areal flood advisory at Aug 14, 2011, 5:53 PM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2011, 5:53 PM EDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2011, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 99 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
99 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
657 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Aug 14, 5:52 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 5:52 PM EDT, 1 minute before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 5:08 AM EDT, 12 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
508 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-150915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
508 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING SOUTH OF NEW YORK STATE WILL BRING
SHOWERS TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE BASIN AVERAGE
RAINFALL WILL BE GENERALLY UNDER AN INCH...SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE GENERAL AREA OF SHOWERS COULD
RESULT IN MUCH HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS AND POSSIBLY SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-150915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
508 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 4:08 PM EDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 14, 4:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 14, 4:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 14, 4:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 14, 4:55 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 14, 5:01 PM EDT, 52 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 8:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFWayne65 min
Aug 13, 8:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOntario, Wayne55 min
Aug 13, 9:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOntario59 min
Aug 13, 9:56 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFOntario3 hr
Aug 13, 11:06 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBUFLivingston118 min
Aug 13, 11:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFLivingston75 min
Aug 14, 9:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie60 min
Aug 14, 9:28 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie47 min
Aug 14, 10:12 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Wyoming3 hr
Aug 14, 10:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming48 min
Aug 14, 10:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Wyoming3 hr
Aug 14, 11:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie50 min
Aug 14, 1:54 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFLivingston, Ontario3 hr
Aug 14, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe57 min
Aug 14, 2:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne5 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New York, 2011Every areal flood advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.