Alert archive / New York / Areal Flood Advisories in 2011

Areal Flood Advisory 42, NWS Buffalo, NY

June 23, 2011Erie County, Niagara County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this areal flood advisory at Jun 23, 2011, 4:18 PM EDT for Erie County, Niagara County, New York. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2011, 4:18 PM EDT (20:18 UTC)
Expired
Jun 23, 2011, 5:20 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 2 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 5 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-06-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 64 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-06-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
64 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
982 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jun 23, 3:57 PM EDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 3:57 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 4:56 AM EDT, 11 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
456 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-240900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
456 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE....WITH THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEING
FROM DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-240900-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
456 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE....WITH THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEING
FROM DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

APFFEL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
241 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

NYZ007-008-231945-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
241 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...

* AT 237 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A VERY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
  RAIN. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR INDIAN RIVER...AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM MAY INCLUDE...
  INDIAN RIVER...
  CROGHAN...
  DIANA...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND COULD
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RADAR
ESTIMATES THAT UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ALREADY...WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 INCH POSSIBLE BEFORE STORMS MOVE EAST OF THE AREA.

LAT...LON 4389 7541 4398 7554 4418 7536 4418 7534
      4411 7517 4410 7516 4405 7516

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 22, 8:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOntario37 min
Jun 22, 8:41 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFOntario19 min
Jun 23, 12:50 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF54 min
Jun 23, 3:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Ontario57 min
Jun 23, 4:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne45 min
Jun 23, 2:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis64 min
Jun 23, 3:27 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF63 min
Jun 23, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee, Monroe59 min
Jun 23, 7:55 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF35 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New York, 2011Every areal flood advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.