Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Burlington, VT

873 
WWUS51 KBTV 062113
SVSBTV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
513 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VTC017-062123-
/O.CAN.KBTV.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110706T2145Z/
ORANGE VT-
513 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED SOUTHEASTWARD INTO WINDSOR COUNTY. 

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7
9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4329 7299 4332 7326
      4352 7325 4368 7295 4386 7257 4377 7220
      4370 7230 4360 7233 4358 7237 4338 7241
      4336 7238 4330 7239 4323 7244 4322 7270
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 287DEG 29KT 4371 7252 4343 7305

$$

VTC021-027-062145-
/O.CON.KBTV.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110706T2145Z/
WINDSOR VT-RUTLAND VT-
513 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES...

AT 504 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE SEVERE STORMS EXTENDED
FROM SILVER LAKE STATE PARK TO MIDDLETOWN SPRINGS...AND WERE MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
  NORTH POMFRET...WEST HARTFORD...WILDER...EXIT 13 I91...
  POMPANOOSUC...SOUTH READING...PROCTORSVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...

THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7
9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET TO SAFETY IMMEDIATELY WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. WINDS
MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES AND DAMAGE BUILDINGS. LARGE HAIL
MAY CAUSE INJURY AND DAMAGE PROPERTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT.

&&

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4329 7299 4332 7326
      4352 7325 4368 7295 4386 7257 4377 7220
      4370 7230 4360 7233 4358 7237 4338 7241
      4336 7238 4330 7239 4323 7244 4322 7270
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 287DEG 29KT 4371 7252 4343 7305

$$

BANACOS

378 
WWUS51 KBTV 062142
SVSBTV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
542 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VTC021-027-062152-
/O.EXP.KBTV.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110706T2145Z/
WINDSOR VT-RUTLAND VT-
542 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN RUTLAND AND WINDSOR
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM EDT...

THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL HAS DIMINISHED. THEREFORE 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ALLOWED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
WARNING TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING REMAIN POSSIBLE.

STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS DURING THUNDERSTORMS. REMAIN IN SAFE
SHELTER AT LEAST 30 MINUTES AFTER YOU HEAR THE LAST CLAP OF THUNDER.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7
9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4329 7299 4332 7326
      4352 7325 4368 7295 4386 7257 4377 7220
      4370 7230 4360 7233 4358 7237 4338 7241
      4336 7238 4330 7239 4323 7244 4322 7270
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 287DEG 29KT 4364 7221 4336 7274

$$

BANACOS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
429 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMING TO AN END THIS EVENING AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THURSDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY, SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND MUCH DRIER. FRIDAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY, ALTHOUGH A FEW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS POINT,
IT LOOKS LIKE SATURDAY WILL BE A TYPICAL SUMMER DAY FEATURING A
FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 403 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...BUSY FEW HOURS ON THE RADAR. HAVE HAD
QUITE A FEW IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURES ON THE RADAR TODAY, PRIMARILY
FOR STRONG WINDS. THE LINE REALLY CAME TOGETHER QUICKLY THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT WILL HANG ONTO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ACROSS NORTHERN NY AS THERE ARE STILL A FEW STORMS OFF TO
THE WEST AND STILL A LITTLE BIT OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER,
CONFIDENCE IN ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER IS DECREASING.

THE STORMS ACROSS VERMONT WILL BE OFF TO THE EAST BY 6PM. ANY LEFT
OVER SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE GONE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH THE CLOUDS CLEAR OUT AFTER MIDNIGHT, THE
MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FOG.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 403 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD FOR
THURSDAY, SO IT WILL BE A SUNNY/DRY DAY. DEWPOINTS WILL BE DOWN
INTO THE 50S SO IT WILL ALSO BE MORE COMFORTABLE. STUCK CLOSE TO
GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, SO LOTS OF 70S. ONLY FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE
THURSDAY NIGHT. CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING. MAV GUIDANCE NOW SHOWING SARANAC LAKE DOWN TO
37F. AGAIN, THINK THAT IS TOO COLD. SUSPECT PATCHY FOG WILL
DEVELOP IN THE NORMALLY COLDER AREAS, AND THAT WILL LIMIT THE
TEMPERATURE FALL. STILL 40S IN THE COOLER SECTIONS WITH LOWER 50S
IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. MIGHT ALMOST BE A BIT TOO COLD IN SOME
AREAS TO HAVE THE WINDOWS OPEN OVERNIGHT.

A LITTLE MURKY OF A FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. THE GFS IS NOW COMING
AROUND TO WHAT THE EURO HAD BEEN SHOWING WITH REGARD TO MOISTURE
BEING TRANSPORTED INTO OUR REGION LATER IN THE DAY. HAVE PAINTED
IN SOME LOW CHANCE POPS, PRIMARILY FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA. DONT THINK IT WILL BE TOO BAD OF A DAY -- PROBABLY WORK OUT
TO BE LIKE A TYPICAL SUMMER DAY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH A SHOWER HERE OR THERE. WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT,
SLIGHTLY WARMER MORE HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE COMING IN. THUS LOOK
FOR HIGHS NEAR NORMAL IN THE LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 403 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR THE LONG TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST. HONESTLY, WITH ALL THE ONGOING WEATHER, I
DID NOT HAVE A CHANCE TO EVALUATE THE GUIDANCE ALL THAT MUCH, SO
HERE IS ABOUT ALL I KNOW...

FRIDAY NIGHT...GUIDANCE SHOWING SOME MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION, BUT KEPT POPS GENERALLY 25% OR LESS AS LACK OF DAYTIME
HEATING SHOULD PRECLUDE MUCH PRECIPITATION FROM OCCURRING, HOWEVER
THE ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE DOES APPEAR TO HAVE SOME STRENGTH TO IT,
SO ITS POSSIBLE LATER FORECASTS WILL NEED TO UP THE POPS.

SATURDAY...STILL INDICATIONS OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS
THE REGION DURING THE DAY WHICH SHOULD TOUCH OFF A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. STILL NOT LOOKING FOR ANYTHING MAJOR OR WIDESPREAD.
KEPT POPS IN THE LOW CHANCE RANGE (30-35%) AND PROBABLY MORE
FOCUSSED ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE DACKS AND VERMONT.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S)

SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD. DRY AND SUNNY DAY.

MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. STILL NOT THE
BEST AGREEMENT ON TIMING BETWEEN THE GFS AND EURO, BUT BEST GUESS
IS DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. PAINTED IN 30-35% POPS FOR THE ENTIRE
DAY, BUT IT MAY BE ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SHOULD BE DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...VOLATILE SITUATION TODAY WITH THE
ATMOSPHERE PRIME FOR ENHANCED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. COMPOSITE
RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS FIRING ALONG THE FRONT AND AHEAD ALONG
CONVERGENT ZONES. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO CONTINUE
UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THIS EVENING. CURRENT TIMING SHOWS A WEST TO
EAST PROGRESSION WITH PASSAGE AT MSS AROUND 20Z...SLK AT 22Z...PBG
AND BTV AT 23Z...RUT AND MPV BY 00Z. EXPECT MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
WITH THESE STORMS AND PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AROUND 25KTS...SMALL
HAIL...SEVERE WINDS...AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.
AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH MOST AREAS WILL HAVE RESIDUAL MID
CLOUD FOR MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FOG WILL BE LIKELY IN
VALLEY LOCATIONS WHERE RAINFALL OCCURS...MPV AND SLK WILL LIKELY
GO IFR OVERNIGHT. MSS HAS RECEIVED A DECENT AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION ALREADY AND HAS A CHANCE OF MIST OR
FOG...HOWEVER...OPTED NOT TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME DUE TO LACK OF
SUPPORT BY MODEL GUIDANCE. WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE NORTHWESTERLY
OVERNIGHT BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES FOR THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
18Z THURSDAY THRU 18Z SUNDAY...VFR WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. NOCTURNAL FOG POSSIBLE MPV/SLK
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH VLIFR POSSIBLE 06-11Z EACH
MORNING. 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR BUT WEAK
UPPER TROUGH COULD BRING A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
SAT AFTERNOON. 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NASH
NEAR TERM...NASH
SHORT TERM...NASH
LONG TERM...NASH
AVIATION...BANACOS/BOYD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
437 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

NYZ027-028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-072045-
NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-
ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-
WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
437 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 605 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ026-029-087-072045-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
437 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
434 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     LIGHTNING        ESSEX                   44.31N  73.35W
07/06/2011                   ESSEX              NY   PUBLIC

            CHURCH IN ESSEX STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100366

MUCCILLI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
435 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     LIGHTNING        ESSEX CENTER            44.51N  73.06W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

            CHURCH IN ESSEX STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

&&

CORRECTED COUNTY/STATE...LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100366

MUCCILLI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
436 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VTZ011-012-019-062130-
EASTERN RUTLAND VT-WESTERN RUTLAND VT-WINDSOR VT-
436 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT RUTLAND AND SOUTHERN
WINDSOR COUNTIES...

AT 432 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
CHITTENDEN TO FORT ANN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
GIFFORD WOODS STATE PARK...KILLINGTON...DANBY FOUR CORNERS...
RUSSELLVILLE...WEST WOODSTOCK...WOODSTOCK...NORTH HARTLAND...QUEECHEE
STATE PARK...AMSDEN...DOWNERS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4329 7299 4330 7303
      4332 7326 4354 7325 4358 7330 4360 7330
      4373 7312 4365 7231 4353 7239 4348 7237
      4337 7241 4335 7238 4323 7243 4322 7270

BANACOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
440 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE SOUTH BURLINGTON  44.45N  73.16W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

            TREES UPROOTED ALONG HAYES AVENUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100367

MUCCILLI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
442 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE WATERBURY CENTER   44.36N  72.70W
07/06/2011                   WASHINGTON         VT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100368

MUCCILLI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
449 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST BURKE              44.64N  71.98W
07/06/2011                   CALEDONIA          VT   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 5

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100369

MUCCILLI