Alert archive / Texas / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 2, NWS Brownsville, TX

January 8, 2011

NWS Brownsville, TX issued this small craft advisory at Jan 8, 2011, 5:12 AM CST. It took effect at Jan 8, 2011, 3:00 PM CST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2011, 5:12 AM CST (11:12 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 8, 2011, 3:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 9, 2011, 3:14 PM CST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Brownsville, TX

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

889 
WHUS74 KBRO 081112
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
512 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
WILL MOVE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT APPROACHING SOUTH TEXAS. AS THIS
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE PRODUCING HAZARDOUS BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS ALONG
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT TO THE 
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN
SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION ON SUNDAY
MAINTAINING THE ELEVATED BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS.

GMZ130-132-135-081915-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T1200Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
512 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM
CST SUNDAY. 

THE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE BY
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE WEST. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE
REGION THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION LATER IN THE DAY EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO 
THE WEST TO NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL RESULT IN ROUGH BAY WATERS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE THROUGHOUT
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-081915-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.110108T2100Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
512 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25 KNOT
RANGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE WEST. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE
REGION THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION LATER IN THE MORNING EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS GULF SWELLS BUILDING INTO THE 6 TO 10
FOOT RANGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
9 follow-up statements
622 
WHUS74 KBRO 081131
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
531 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
WILL MOVE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT APPROACHING SOUTH TEXAS. AS THIS
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE PRODUCING HAZARDOUS BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS ALONG
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN
SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION ON SUNDAY
MAINTAINING THE ELEVATED BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS.

GMZ130-132-135-082000-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T0600Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
531 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

THE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE BY
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS FROM THE WEST. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION
THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
DIRECTION LATER IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO THE
WEST TO NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
RESULT IN ROUGH BAY WATERS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-082000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.110108T2100Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
531 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25 KNOT
RANGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE WEST. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER
THE REGION THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION LATER IN THE MORNING EVENTUALLY SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS GULF SWELLS BUILDING INTO THE 6 TO
10 FOOT RANGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
398 
WHUS74 KBRO 081853
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1253 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES WILL MOVE EASTWARD APPROACHING SOUTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT. THE
EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT PRODUCING SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO COASTAL WATERS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE. THE WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY AND THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST MAINTAINING THE ELEVATED
WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


GMZ130-132-135-090300-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T0900Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
1253 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM
CST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

THE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVING OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE WEST. MODERATE TO STRONG
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY ON
SUNDAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN ROUGH BAY WATERS ACROSS
THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-090300-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.110108T2100Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1253 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS INTO THE 20 TO 25 KNOTS
RANGE IN ADVANCE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE WEST EARLY SUNDAY. THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS WHICH WILL SHIFT TO THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
RESULT IN HAZARDOUS GULF SWELLS BUILDING INTO THE 6 TO 10 FEET
RANGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
958 
WHUS74 KBRO 082208 AAA
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
408 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

.WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND DISTURBANCE IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE APPROACHES THE LOWER TEXAS COAST AND MOVES THROUGH.

GMZ130-132-135-090615-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T0900Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
408 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE
  SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS
  DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY.

* BAY WATERS: A MODERATE CHOP ON THE BAY TONIGHT WILL BECOME CHOPPY
  BAY WATERS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-090615-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
408 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY 
FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.

* WINDS: WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST
  SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED. 

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
386 
WHUS74 KBRO 090319
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
919 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

.WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND DISTURBANCE IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE APPROACHES THE LOWER TEXAS COAST AND MOVES THROUGH.

GMZ130-132-135-091130-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T0900Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
919 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO 
  THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 20 
  KNOTS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. 

* BAY WATERS: A MODERATE CHOP ON THE BAY TONIGHT WILL BECOME 
  CHOPPY BAY WATERS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-091130-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
919 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY 
FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.

* WINDS: WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST 
  SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED. 

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
634 
WHUS74 KBRO 090557
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1157 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

.WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND DISTURBANCE IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE APPROACHES THE LOWER TEXAS COAST AND MOVES THROUGH.

GMZ130-132-135-090930-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.110109T0600Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
1157 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
CST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO 
  THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 20 
  KNOTS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. 

* BAY WATERS: A MODERATE CHOP ON THE BAY TONIGHT WILL BECOME 
  CHOPPY BAY WATERS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-090930-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1157 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST 
  SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED. 

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
253 
WHUS74 KBRO 090922
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
322 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS
THIS MORNING...SWITCHING STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO NORTHWEST.
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT AS
THE DRAMATIC WINDS SHIFT WILL BE RAPID AND INTENSE... CAUSING
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE AND CHAOTIC SEAS.

GMZ130-132-135-091530-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
322 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST
  AND THEN NORTHWEST AROUND MID MORNING.

* BAY WATERS: A MODERATE CHOP ON THE BAY WILL BECOME CHOPPY TO
  ROUGH BAY WATERS THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-091530-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
322 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL
  SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A COLD
  FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
608 
WHUS74 KBRO 091545
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
945 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THIS
MORNING...SWITCHING THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST.
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE
DRAMATIC WINDS SHIFT WILL BE RAPID AND INTENSE CAUSING CHAOTIC
SEAS.

GMZ130-132-135-100000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
945 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

* BAY WATERS: ROUGH BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-100000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
945 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS CONTINUE ACROSS THE
  OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGHOUT THE EARLY EVENING.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
186 
WHUS74 KBRO 091912
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
112 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...HAZARDOUS GULF CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THIS
MORNING ALLOWING STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO BUILD OVER THE LOWER
TEXAS GULF WATERS. THESE HAZARDOUS GULF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE GULF WINDS AND SEAS
WILL IMPROVE STEADILY LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

GMZ130-132-135-092015-
/O.CAN.KBRO.SI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
112 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS. 

THE NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE HAVE DIMINISHED INTO THE
10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE. ACCORDINGLY THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
LOWER TEXAS BAY WATERS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-100000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
112 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
  THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGHOUT THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNSET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
587 
WHUS74 KBRO 092114 AAA
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
314 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

.WINDS AND SEAS ARE IMPROVING RAPIDLY ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST...
ALLOWING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BE CANCELLED EARLY.

GMZ150-155-170-175-092215-
/O.CAN.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110110T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
314 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. 

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER THE LOWER TEXAS COAST IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. WINDS
AND SEAS HAVE DECREASED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND
THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED A FEW HOURS
EARLY. HOWEVER...SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION TONIGHT
FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 20 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.

$$

TOMASELLI
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 8, 5:00 AM CST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 5:00 AM CST, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
500 AM CST SAT JAN 8 2011

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...IR SATL IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT THE WEST COAST MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREAS HAS MOVED OVER
SOUTHERN AZ AND IS PROGGED BY SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN NM AND EXTREME WEST TX BY THIS EVENING EVENTUALLY MOVING
ACROSS S TX BY EARLY SUN MORNING. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE MAINTAINS
IMPRESSIVE 500 MB PVA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE MOVING OVER THOSE
AREAS OF TX ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LRD TO CRP. THIS LEAVES
THE BRO CWA A LITTLE BIT SOUTH OF THE BEST MID LEVEL DYNAMICS. ON
THE OTHER HAND MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN SPINNING UP A SURFACE
LOW AHEAD OF THIS MID LEVEL FEATURE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. THE
COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS SURFACE LOW MAY PROVIDE GOOD LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE TO ASSIST WITH CONV INITIATION. THE LATEST SWODY1
MAINTAINS SOUTH TX IN THE GENERAL CONV OUTLOOK THROUGH 12Z SUN.
THE INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS
FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER BRO INDICATES CAPES REMAINING BELOW 1000
J/KG. THIS IN ADDITION TO THE FACT THAT THE WEST COAST FEATURE WILL
BE MOVING LATE AT NIGHT WITH NIL DAYTIME HEATING WILL TEND TO
INHIBIT THE STRONG/SVR CONV POTENTIAL. HOWEVER DUE TO THE STRENGTH
OF THE APPROACHING MID LEVEL SYSTEM AND ISOLD STG/SVR STORM IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. THE ATMS WILL THEN DRY
OUT PRETTY QUICKLY LATER ON SUN AS A DRIER NW LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNS. MAV AND MET TEMPS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A COOL
BIAS INDICATED IN THE MAV NUMBERS. WILL GO WITH A BLEND OF THE MAV
AND MET TEMPS THROUGH SUN. MAV IS FASTER IN MOVING IN THE HIGHER
POPS VERSUS THE MET NUMBERS. BELIEVE THAT THE MET POPS ARE TOO SLOW
VERSUS THE GFS.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...THE MAIN HEADLINE IN
THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD WILL THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD AIRMASS
EARLY IN THE PERIOD FOLLOWED BY PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE TERM. THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN ON THE
BACKSIDE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY SUNDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR THE RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS
TO REMAIN IN PLACE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD A CHILLY NIGHT WITH
TEMPS BY SUNRISE MONDAY MRNG AROUND 40 ACROSS OUR NORTHERN CWA AND
MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. LOCALES NEAR/AT THE
COAST WILL REMAIN THE WARMEST WITH READINGS LIKELY HOLDING IN THE
LOW 50S. A DECENT ENOUGH DAY EXPECTED MONDAY AS AN AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDES A BIT EWD WITH WINDS SLIGHTLY BECOMING MORE
EASTERLY AND TEMPS CLOSE TO IF NOT JUST SHY OF EARLY JANUARY
NORMS. ENJOY MONDAY AS THE BIG CHANGE ARRIVES AROUND THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY.

STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS WESTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAIN STATES WILL SPILL INTO TX MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. COLD AIRMASS WILL OOZE INTO DEEP SOUTH TX DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THICKER CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS DEVELOPING WILL PUT A HALT TO ANY HOPES OF A TEMPERATURE
RECOVERY DURING THE DAY. DAYTIME READINGS ON TUESDAY WILL REMAIN
IN THE 40S AND 50S...THE COLDEST DAY SINCE LAST JANUARY. FORECAST
MODELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION
OF THE FORECAST DURING THE THE MIDDLE TO LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
AN OVERRUNNING SCENARIO LOOKS TO BE THE BEST BET FOR THE CWA BY
WEDNESDAY. THIS PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO PERSIST THRU THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BUDGE MUCH BETWEEN
THE OVERNIGHT AND DAYTIME READINGS. A DENSE OVERCAST SKY AND
PERIODIC SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE WILL BECOME COMMON ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TX DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE PATTERN LOOKS TO
BREAK SOME BEGINNING FRIDAY AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW RESUMES
ALLOWING THE AIRMASS TO MODIFY AND THE PCPN CHANCES TO DWINDLE.
&&

.MARINE...
TODAY THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY...CURRENT BUOY DATA FROM OFFSHORE
INDICATES PRETTY BENIGN GULF CONDITIONS IN PLACE. HOWEVER THE PGF
WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO SUN AS THE WEST
COAST MID LEVEL LOW MOVES CLOSER TO SOUTH TX. AS THIS FEATURE
APPROACHES THE REGION EXPECT A STRONG SURFACE LOW TO FORM UP AND
MOVE OVER DEEP SOUTH TX AND THE COASTAL BEND AREA ON SUN. AS THIS
FEATURE CLEARS THROUGH THE REGION AND MOVES FURTHER NE INTO THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEX STRONG AND GUSTY W-NW SURFACE WINDS WILL
MOVE IN BEHIND THE FEATURE. THIS WILL RESULT IN QUICKLY BUILDING
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS BOTH THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TX GULF
WATERS REQUIRING SCAS.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LWR
TX COASTAL WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN UNSETTLED THRU THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY A BRIEF LULL EARLY IN
THE WEEK. A DEPARTING COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE EAST
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS TO PERSIST THRU SUNDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
ACROSS THE NW GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY WILL ALLOW FOR MORE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP LOCALLY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE SEAS. UNFORTUNATELY...THESE CONDITIONS
WILL NOT LAST AS ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
ON TUESDAY. A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ON
TUESDAY. A MODERATE TO STRONG WIND AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ARE
LIKELY TO PREVAIL THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AND POSSIBLY JUST
BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST THRU THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. ANTICIPATE SCA CONDITIONS AT THE VERY LEAST TO BE COMMON
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT THE LIGHT SE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE
DEWPOINTS STEADILY AROUND THE REGION. THIS WILL INTERACT WITH THE
LOW LEVEL NOCTURNAL INVERSION EVIDENT ON THE 00Z BRO SOUNDING TO
ALLOW SOME INCREASE IN EARLY MORNING FOG AND LOW CLDS. THE SE
SURFACE FLOW WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY ALLOWING INCREASED MIXING
WHICH WILL IMPROVE THE VSBYS AND CEILINGS SOMEWHAT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. THE MOIST NOCTURNAL INVERSION WILL THEN RETURN LATER
TONIGHT ALLOWING THE CEILINGS TO LOWER ONCE AGAIN THROUGH EARLY
SAT NIGHT/SUN MORNING. WILL LIKELY NEED TO INTRODUCE SOME MENTION
OF THUNDER LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD WITH THE 12Z ISSUANCE AS THE 500
MB CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN END OF THE BAJA CA PENINSULA
CONTINUES TO SWEEP EAST TOWARDS TX. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AND LIFT OVER THE REGION IN THE 06 TO 12Z
TIME FRAME. WILL LIKELY START OF WITH PROB30/TEMPO CONV REMARKS
LATE IN THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  76  65  73  48 /  30  80  20   0
BROWNSVILLE          78  64  74  49 /  30  80  20   0
HARLINGEN            79  62  74  48 /  30  80  20   0
MCALLEN              81  61  78  48 /  30  80  10   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      75  54  74  46 /  30  70  10   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   75  65  71  52 /  30  80  30   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
     GMZ130-132-135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY
     FOR GMZ150-155-170-175.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

SHORT TERM...SPEECE-60
LONG TERM...VIPOND-57
MARINE...60/57
AVIATION...60
GRAPHICAST...CAMPBELL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 3:45 PM CST, 13 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
345 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

TXZ248>257-081200-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
345 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PATCHY FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES FOR MOTORISTS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES OR DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY AT THE
BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA SUNDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVATIONS OF WIND DAMAGE OR
TORNADOES SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-081200-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
345 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES OR DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS LIKELY FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DUE TO
STRONGER WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

MARINERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVATIONS OF WIND DAMAGE TO VESSELS
OR WATERSPOUTS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO THE
COAST GUARD OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE.

TOMASELLI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 8, 5:12 AM CSTSmall Craft Advisory for WindsBRO32 hr
Jan 8, 1:02 PM CSTFire Weather WatchBROCameron, Hidalgo, Starr, Willacy17 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Texas, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.