Gale Watch 5, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1138 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 06Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE
DAWN...BUT NOT AS THICK AS THURSDAY MORNING DUE TO SLIGHTLY
STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP
AROUND DAWN. BKN TO OVC CEILINGS ABOVE 3K FEET WILL SET UP BY
AFTERNOON ON BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND GULF MOISTURE.
HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ALSO BEGIN THICKEN ON SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...SKIES CLEARING FOR THE EVENING...WITH ONLY A FEW
CLOUDS POSSIBLY MOVING INLAND AFTER SUNSET ON EAST WINDS ALOFT.
SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT. THE SIGNAL FOR FOG DOES NOT LOOK DOMINANT...SO
WIDESPREAD FOG SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT DOES NOT LOOK FAVORABLE.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY...
REACHING NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEARING 30KTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY WITH GOOD MIXING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 130 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE
NEEDED TO THE FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST
THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AND RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS DUE TO AN INCREASE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASING. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE INCREASING FROM 0.65
THIS AFTERNOON TO AROUND 1 INCH ON FRIDAY. INCREASING SURFACE
MOISTURE ALONG WITH POSSIBILITY LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT COULD RESULT IN PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME WITH FOG DEVELOPMENT DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF THE SURFACE WINDS REMAINING ABOVE 5 MPH TONIGHT.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
RUNS SHOW A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY MORNING WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS.  MOISTURE INCREASES
ON SATURDAY WITH ABOVE 70 PERCENT PROJECTED FROM THE SURFACE ALL THE
WAY UP TO ABOVE 500 MB.  A POSSIBLE SQUALL LINE COULD DEVELOP OUT
AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.  SCATTERED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY.  STRONG
NORTH WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM BY LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.  A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE
LIKELY IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
EVENING.  TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY BY LATE SATURDAY AND
PLUMMET TO NEAR 50 BY SUNDAY MORNING.  A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE
AIR MASS WILL BE IN STORE FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY.  THERE WILL
BE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY.  WINDS WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR ALLOWING FOR A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING NIGHT.  MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT OVER MOST LOCATIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WILL BE IN THE 30S.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY ALLOWING
A RETURN SOUTHEAST FLOW OF AIR CAUSING WARMER TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BUOY 42020 REPORTED
EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 KNOTS GUSTING TO AROUND 11 KNOTS WITH
SEAS OF 3 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 6 SECONDS AT 1150 CST/1750 UTC.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
OF SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE
AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON CAUSING STRONG NORTH WINDS AND HIGH SEAS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.  SCATTERED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE AREA ON SATURDAY.  SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH GUSTS TO GALE POSSIBLE.  WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG AND
SEAS HIGH ON SUNDAY WITH THE WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING RAPIDLY BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.  SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.
A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL BE THE RULE FOR MOST OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

54/66

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>